PFT’s divisional round picks

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Wild-card weekend was great for me, not so great for MDS.

I went 3-1 for the first four games of the postseason, nailing upset selections in both Houston and Chicago. (A prediction of a 17-15 Eagles win missed by a single point.) MDS, on the other hand, ate a donut in the straight-up picks game, guessing wrong on all four contests.

This week, he has a chance to gain some ground, because we disagree on two of the games. For all of the divisional round selections, keep scrolling.

And check out the “best bets” video accompanying this post, for our picks against the spread. With points factored in, we’re on the opposite side of three of the four games.

Last week, we picked the opposite side of one game, fueling my 3-0 performance and keeping MDS at 2-1.

Colts at Chiefs

MDS’s take: These may be the two hottest teams in the NFL right now. The Colts had a dominant all-around performance against the Texans, and that’s the way they’ve been playing for three months. The Chiefs have been the best offense in the league and one of the best offenses in NFL history all season. If this were in Indianapolis I’d take the Colts to win this game with their stout defense and balanced offense, but I just can’t pick against the Chiefs in Kansas City.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 28, Colts 21.

Florio’s take: The Chiefs haven’t won a home playoff game since 1993. In fact, they’ve won as many playoff games at Arrowhead Stadium as the Colts have: Two. The problem, as evidenced by various big games lost by the Chiefs this year, is the defense. Can they keep Indy’s offense from not outscoring Patrick Mahomes? That’s where the game will be won or lost. This one could go either way, but I’ll say it will be won by the Chiefs, barely.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 30, Colts 27.


Cowboys at Rams

MDS’s take: The Rams’ biggest weakness is their run defense, so I see Ezekiel Elliott having a big game. Unfortunately for the Cowboys, that’s the only area where I anticipate them having an advantage over the Rams. Elliott probably gets off to a hot start, but after the Rams put some points on the board and the Cowboys are playing from behind, Dallas will be forced to pass, and Aaron Donald will make it a long night for Dak Prescott.

MDS’s pick: Rams 31, Cowboys 21.

Florio’s take: In most Dallas games, it becomes obvious whether the Cowboys will win within the first half of the first quarter. This week, it quickly will become evident that their approach is working against a Rams defense that will have its hands full with one of the best offensive lines in football, and against a Rams offense that isn’t as good as it was before Jared Goff‘s skills regressed and Todd Gurley‘s knee became swollen. In their home away from home, Dallas gets its first road playoff win in 26 years.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 17, Rams 13.


Chargers at Patriots

MDS’s take: I actually think the Chargers are a better top-to-bottom team than the Patriots right now. But the Chargers’ disadvantages are having to play against the Ravens while the Patriots were resting, two long cross-country flights, and an early kickoff. The Patriots’ playoff experience can’t hurt, and the Chargers are going to have to radically change their defensive approach this week against Tom Brady from the way they played last week against Lamar Jackson. The Patriots will pull out a close win.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 24, Chargers 23.

Florio’s take: Something’s got to give. The Chargers are 9-0 away from L.A., the Patriots are unbeaten at home, and Tom Brady has never lost to Philip Rivers. Playoff experience becomes the difference for a New England team that was left for dead not long ago.

Florio’s take: Patriots 24, Chargers 17.


Eagles at Saints

MDS’s take: When these teams met in the regular season, the Saints won in a 48-7 beatdown. That was the second-biggest margin of victory in the NFL during the 2018 season, second only to the Ravens destroying the Nathan Peterman-led Bills in Week One. If Nick Foles can lead the Eagles to a win over the Saints after the same opponent dominated Carson Wentz in the regular season, it’s going to lead to increased calls to make Foles, not Wentz, the Eagles’ franchise quarterback. Fortunately for the Saints (and for Wentz), I don’t see that happening. Drew Brees should have a big day against the Eagles’ defense, and although the Saints aren’t going to win by 41 again, they should win by a healthy margin.

MDS’s pick: Saints 31, Eagles 17.

Florio’s take: Few believed the Eagles could beat the Bears in Chicago. (I did.) Fewer believe the Eagles can beat the Saints in New Orleans. I do. Coupling the bye week with a lackluster Week 17 game against the Panthers, and it will have been a long time since the Saints played a meaningful game. The Eagles have been playing meaningful games week after week after week. The road team has improved greatly since losing 48-7 in the Superdome, and the Saints peaked during round one. So push the chips into the middle of the table, hope the Eagles keep it close, count on a little magic late in the game, and prepare for the biggest debate of the offseason regarding whether the Eagles should keep Nick Foles or Carson Wentz.

Florio’s pick: Eagles 20, Saints 17.

108 responses to “PFT’s divisional round picks

  1. The only thing assured in NO is Brees will either be really sharp or the Saints will lose badly, there’s no in-between.

  2. Once again Florio is 100 percent correct on his Eagles pick! I love the reasoning and the pick!

    Eagles in an upset. Don’t bet against the defending Super Bowl Champions!

  3. everybody get this straight. The Whodats, the bad boy bounty hunters, the New Orleans Saints that is, are going to LEISURELY TROUNCE the eagles on sunday. yall had yall fun and got yall lil first ring but for us one is not enough. We need to get on that 2dat. So step aside and make way for the big dawgs, chopperstyle 2 the sb

  4. Thanks for the vote of confidence in Dallas, Florio. You forgot to mention that Dallas D is just as good as Chicago, who held the Rams to only 6 points. The Rams have been stumbling at the end of the season. Dallas has a legitimate shot at winning, and to even host the NFC Championship.

  5. I’ve lost some interest since my Ravens were beaten, but I’m a little surprised the Colts aren’t getting a little more love.. The defense is playing great and Luck is on fire – add to that the fact that KC’s defense couldn’t stop Clemson. I really like the Colts in this one.

    Colts 34
    KC 24

  6. While the Chargers are certainly a very good team, let’s be honest… They’re still the Chargers and will always choke in the biggest games.

  7. OHHHH Florio with the zagnut!!! The cajones!!! The Philly special sauce!!

    Gotta know when to SPROLES ’em
    Know when to FOLES ’em

  8. You heard it here first:
    Colts beat Chiefs b/c Mahomes is overrated, plus Luck has the playoff experience advantage.
    Rams destroy the Cowboys.
    Iggles beat the Saints b/c Brees refuses to call run plays and wants to own every passing record in the entire world, at the expense of his team.

  9. Chiefs 31 Colts 27 I can’t see the Colts keeping up with Mahomes and the Chiefs. Cowboys 20 Rams 13 the Rams have struggled against great teams the Boys unfortunately will prey off of turnovers. Patriots 24 Chargers 17 I think both offense will turn the ball over multiple times but Brady will connect with White and Edelman to put them past the Chargers. Finally give me the Eagles over the Saints 38 to 30 as I think Foles will show up again.

  10. I’d love to see my Eagles win, but man, it’s gonna be TOUGH to beat that Saints team.

  11. AND, if both of Florio’s predictions for the NFC games, come to fruition, the NFCCG WILL be played in Arlington 🙂 Go Florio, go!!!

  12. Nice job by Florio last week. Is it really any wonder why MDS is so bad at picking games? He only picks the favorites, nearly every time. He is even worse against the spread.

  13. Last week I predicted a Cowboys win 23-20; the final was 24-22. I saw quite a few comments (not only in that article but others on PFT) from the trolls talking trash how the Cowboys would get destroyed. With a few exceptions, I haven’t seen any of them come out of the shells yet. This article should change that.

    Cowboys 27 Rams 23
    Saints 31 Eagles 20
    Patriots 27 Chargers 17
    Chiefs 31 Colts 27

  14. Chargers flooding the field with DBs like they did last week is not a bad defense against the Pats. Pats RBs are pretty good though so if the Chargers do use the heavy DB defense its up to Michel, White and Burkhead to do the main damage. At some point after repeated gashings it will open things up for Brady to pass successfully.

    Chargers may well have a better overall roster. They have strong, tall receivers that match up well against a good Pats secondary. That’s the battle to watch when Chargers offense is on the field

  15. ricko1112 said:
    “While the Chargers are certainly a very good team, let’s be honest… They’re still the Chargers and will always choke in the biggest games”

    ========

    That’s what people used to say about the Cubs.

    If Rivers can calm down and not act so hyper, I think the Chargers have a great chance of winning. If the Chargers don’t turn the ball over they will win easily.

  16. The Rams remind me of the 2009 Saints. The lost of steam toward the end of the regular season, but ended up winning it all.

    All home teams win this weekend and the Chiefs and Saints squeak out wins next week.

  17. Once Foles leaves this yr the eagles will be screwed cuz obviously wentz’s isn’t the answer. Still no playoff wins for him. If wentz’s had been playing they wouldn’t have even reached the playoffs lol

  18. I’m predicting one major upset this weekend and it’s the Colts beating the Chiefs.

    Colts
    Rams
    Saints
    Patriots

  19. You heard it here first:
    Colts beat Chiefs b/c Mahomes is overrated,
    —————————-
    LOLOLOLOLOL!! Yeah, b/c the league MVP is overrated?!?! SMDH.

  20. Colts schedule will finally catch up to them. They had a few bad losses and just haven’t played the caliber of teams KC has.

    I’m hoping the chiefs win, and they should, but Andy’s loyalty to his friend and defensive coordinator Bob Sutton will likely bite him badly in the next few weeks.

  21. Eagles will be lucky to score 17 on the Saints in the SuperDome, and Brees will slice up Jenkins and that secondary all game. 30-17 Saints

  22. Take the UNDER [57] in the Chiefs/Colts game. This game has 24-21 written all over it. Crummy weather, Colts going to run the ball on a poor KC defense, it’s not going to sniff 57 points. Colts win.

  23. Man…last weekend was pretty darn good, but this weekend will be GREAT…just enjoy really good football, folks!

  24. Tony zendejas- that was pretty good, well done sir

    Colts 31-27
    Chargers 29-23

    Rams 25-17
    Eagles 31-26

    I like weird numbers, weird ish happens in the playoffs. Wouldn’t be surprised if I’m 4-0 or 0-4, the beauty of the sport & why it’s so much better than the NBA will ever be lies in the cliche of “any given Sunday”. The only team I can’t see winning the super bowl are the cowgirls

  25. Chargers beat Florio’s Super Bowl pick in this tournament, but he still won’t pick the Chargers.
    Florio is going 0-4.

  26. Cowboys run game has been outstanding. The interior pressure they can bring is impressive. Don’t have a clue what the score will be but I don’t see the Cowboys losing.

    Chiefs will score at will on the Colts. They aren’t playing the Texans.

    Beating the Pats in NE in January is tough. Chargers had a good year but it ends this weekend.

    If the bad Eagles show up in New Orleans they get hammered. If the good Eagles show up, they just lose.

    Let the games begin!

  27. max kellerman (a stooge) made a comment that actually is not far off. ” tom brady is the worst AFC QB left in the playoffs” Actually the only QB he may be better than in the playoffs is Prescott

  28. Plus, Payton is nervous. He’s trying to motivate the players by showing them the trophy when they won, the ring and 200k in cash. Wreaks of desperation if you need those specific props to get your team up for the biggest game of the year to date. A symbol like a clown mask? I get that, but cash? Come on man. I’d say the same thing if Doug p showed up to Foles locker with a million dollar check if he wins (Foles contract gets him 1M bonus with every playoff win he is a part of)

  29. dryzzt23 says:
    January 10, 2019 at 1:16 pm

    You heard it here first:
    Colts beat Chiefs b/c Mahomes is overrated, plus Luck has the playoff experience advantage.
    Rams destroy the Cowboys.
    —————–

    The Colts might beat the Chiefs, but it will be because of the defense, not Mahomes, who is obviously not overrated.

  30. Teams change over the course of a season and this Eagles team is not the same Eagles team NO played at the beginning of the season. If the eagles win this game they are going all the way again this year.

  31. Win or lose, I’m just happy to see the phrase “stout defense and balanced offense” associated with the Colts.

  32. I hope my Chargers can come home with a win, but the matchup with Patriots should be fun to watch.

    First, Tom Brady is no Lamar Jackson. Comparing how the Chargers played against Raven and Jackson’s ability to run won’t be an issue for the Chargers. Brady has 1000 rushing yards in almost 19 years. Jackson 700 yards in 7 games.

    Second, Chargers learned a valuable lesson last week–keep the offense going throughout the ENTIRE game. Don’t let up. Especially against the Patriots.

    Third, the game will be won by the team that wins the turnover battle. The team that wins the turnover battle wins the game.

  33. The Chargers have to fly cross-country again, as MDS pointed out, play at 10AM Pacific time, and then factor in the bitter cold. I like the Patriot’s chances coming off of a bye week.

  34. greymares says:
    January 10, 2019 at 1:13 pm

    72 yr old Eagle fan talent prevails. Wentz has more talent case closed.
    ———————

    Talent doesn’t matter if you can’t stay on the field for a full season. Two years in a row Wentz has gone down when it mattered. The Eagles are lucky they have a backup QB that can actually win some games, or their Super Bowl drought would have continued.

  35. The Florio takes on Chargers/Patriots and Eagles/Saints are contradictory. The Patriots get the nod for their playoff experience, even though they had the bye, but the Saints haven’t played a meaningful game, despite their undefeated playoff at home record.

  36. I’m telling you it’s scripted… Colts are going to Gillette for the AFC title game against the Pats.

  37. isithockeyseasonyet says:
    Plus, Payton is nervous. He’s trying to motivate the players by showing them the trophy when they won, the ring and 200k in cash. Wreaks of desperation if you need those specific props to get your team up for the biggest game of the year to date.

    He did the same thing in 2010 for their, wait for it, Superbowl win.

  38. Iggles beat the Saints b/c Brees refuses to call run plays and wants to own every passing record in the entire world, at the expense of his team.
    ===============================================
    Is that why Brees had his least amount of yards since joining the Saints? Its called being well balanced. Do you even watch football??

  39. I don’t see the Chargers coming cross country AGAIN, playing a 10:00 game(their time), & playing the Patriots at the Razor in 15-25 degree weather as a recipe for success….. Pats are rested, healthy & coached by B.B. & have to face TB12……yes, the Chargers are a VERY GOOD TEAM…. that said:
    Pats 34-27

  40. Are the Chargers really better? I may be crazy but I feel like the Patriots are gonna roll. The Chargers schedule was sorta soft. They beat exactly 2 playoff teams in the regular season – KC and Seattle. Granted, as far as the strength of the divisions, the Bills and Jets aren’t powerhouses but let’s face it, Denver and Oakland are no juggernauts either.

    If you look at the Patriots losses (not in chronological order) – they lost early to a Jags team that had a disappointing season but was coming off the AFCC game last year and were still playing at a very high level….at that time. Clearly the wheels feel off the wagon AFTER that game for whatever reason.

    They looked awful against the Titans but again, Tenn was a playoff team they beat last year who clearly played their best, most complete game of the year against them.

    They dropped a winnable game to the Steelers who absolutely HAD to win in Pitt to stay alive.

    Both Tenn and Pitt are borderline playoff teams.

    No excuse for the Detroit game – that was just a stinker. Turns out the Pats were one of the few teams Patricia just knew how to beat.

    Lastly there’s the fluky “Miami miracle.” If not for a once-in-a-generation play, the Patriots would of won and been the #1 seed.

    All that said, the Pats STILL beat ALL 4 playoff teams they faced – the Texans, Colts, KC and Chicago AND went undefeated at home.

    I’m predicting the Colts and Patriots win to set up another AFCC match-up at Gillette.

  41. Thank you guys! Finally an article on NBCSPORTS/NFL about the playoffs [and not coaches being hired for under performing teams.] It almost felt like the playoffs had been forgotten about.

  42. Chargers dethrone the Pats. Their coach looks like he eats glass and chains, the QB has the unhinged militant enthusiasm of a tent preacher, they’ve been through a miserable move to a town where noone likes them, nobody believes in them, and the locals root for the visitor.

    Perfect foil to takeout the Wonderboys.

  43. tylawspick6 says:
    January 10, 2019 at 1:12 pm
    Pats will win by more than 7.
    —————————

    I’m feeling it too, brother.
    Surprise butt-whooping for the Chargers.

  44. Future facts to consider after the Chargers-Patriots game.

    1. Chargers up by 8 points at end of 3rd Q.
    2. Chargers won’t score again after 3rd Q.
    3. In 4 Q, Chargers will play their new strategy: ‘prevent offensive first downs’– -their own.
    4. Chargers will give Brady the football with 1 time out and less than
    one minute on game clock.
    5. Chargers pull of a miracle-a defensive stop on the last play of the game.

  45. An interesting addendum would be which ref crews are working which games, since that seems to be such an issue this year.

  46. Sorry, but Mahomes fantasy season is done. Only blowout not so close game is Saints over Eagles. All other games are down to last minute.

    Colts over Chiefs.
    Cowboys over Rams.
    Chargers over Patriots.
    Saints over Eagles.

  47. bradygirl12 says:
    January 10, 2019 at 2:28 pm
    The Chargers have to fly cross-country again, as MDS pointed out, play at 10AM Pacific time, and then factor in the bitter cold. I like the Patriot’s chances coming off of a bye week.

    ———-

    The Chargers flew cross country several times this season already and won all of their 10am match ups. This is the most balanced team the Chargers have had in years, and they’re rolling at the right time. Besides, the league will ensure a victory for them because they have a shiny new stadium to show off soon.

    Fun fact: When New England has the ball, the weather for them will also be bitter cold.

  48. Luck throws twice as many interceptions on the road (5 home vs. 10 away). 9 of which are in outdoors stadiums. His QB rating is 20 pts lower on the road.
    Chiefs average 26.5 points a game. No way IND can keep them to 20 or less. KC wins this one.

  49. Quietly the New England Patriots are waiting. Nobody is concerned with them. That is why the Patriots will end up in the AFC Championship.

  50. riggo08 says:
    January 10, 2019 at 1:07 pm
    Not giving the Chargers enough credit and you are over praising the Eagles.

    ———–

    Florio said they were a better top to bottom team. How much praise do you want?

  51. Colts pass rush will be the difference. Mahomes, for as good as he is, is still basically a rookie playing in his first playoff game. We saw how it affected Lamar Jackson.
    Colts 34-14

    Chargers are playing the one team in the AFC that’s most dangerous this time of year. Patriots have had the extra week of rest. They needed it.
    Pats 31-17

    There’s just something with the Eagles with Foles behind center. Team seems to respond better.
    Eagles 26-24 (last second Elliott FG)

    Cowboys are playing with a whole lot of confidence right now. The Rams are not. Good game to watch….especially in a Dallas sportsbar.
    Cowboys 35-18

  52. leehacksawhamilton says:
    January 10, 2019 at 3:28 pm
    bradygirl12 says:
    January 10, 2019 at 2:28 pm
    The Chargers have to fly cross-country again, as MDS pointed out, play at 10AM Pacific time, and then factor in the bitter cold. I like the Patriot’s chances coming off of a bye week.

    ———-

    The Chargers flew cross country several times this season already and won all of their 10am match ups. This is the most balanced team the Chargers have had in years, and they’re rolling at the right time. Besides, the league will ensure a victory for them because they have a shiny new stadium to show off soon.

    Fun fact: When New England has the ball, the weather for them will also be bitter cold.

    They like itt that way. Have you been watching results from the last 20 years?

    The only thing that could give New England a bigger advantage over the Chargers than the bitter cold would be “bitter cold and snow.” Too bad that’s not in the forecast.

    Brady is arguably the best QB of all time, but he’s undoubtedly the best cold weather QB of all time.

    Look for turnovers to usher the Chargers into the offseason and the Pats to go their 8th straight AFC championship game. What a run.

  53. Saints will go up 14-3, and then the Eagles will start to abandon what little run game they have. And when the Saints win by 20+, Peters will again blame the Saints for running up the score when the Philly D again will fail to stop the New Orleans pass and run game. Kamara and Ingram are arguably the best RB duo in the league, and WR Thomas is a stud.

    Foles is a very good player, but this is a team sport,and New Orleans is simply a better team, and are playing at home.

  54. The Colts really are flying a “1-0” flag outside their stadium lolololol.

    And that’s why nobody takes the Dolts seriously as a franchise. 🙂

  55. jaycitie says:
    January 10, 2019 at 3:15 pm
    Sorry, but Mahomes fantasy season is done. Only blowout not so close game is Saints over Eagles. All other games are down to last minute.

    Colts over Chiefs.
    Cowboys over Rams.
    Chargers over Patriots.
    Saints over Eagles.

    ————

    3 road teams have only won once on divisional weekend in 45 years.

  56. tbisgod says:
    January 10, 2019 at 4:05 pm
    Pats only chance is an Indy win in KC. Even if they beat SD, they’re a 3-5 team on the road this year. 3-5 says it all.

    ————-

    This week is all that matters. Next week doesn’t exist yet.

  57. therealzeitgeist says:
    January 10, 2019 at 3:08 pm
    Chargers dethrone the Pats. Their coach looks like he eats glass and chains, the QB has the unhinged militant enthusiasm of a tent preacher, they’ve been through a miserable move to a town where noone likes them, nobody believes in them, and the locals root for the visitor.

    Perfect foil to takeout the Wonderboys.

    ————–

    Every team is the team of destiny until they lose. Then they are forgotten. Lets see what happens on Sunday.

  58. mrgdawg says:
    January 10, 2019 at 3:29 pm
    Luck throws twice as many interceptions on the road (5 home vs. 10 away). 9 of which are in outdoors stadiums. His QB rating is 20 pts lower on the road.
    Chiefs average 26.5 points a game. No way IND can keep them to 20 or less. KC wins this one.

    ———–

    True that Indy cannot hold them to 20 points or less. Luck needs to get at least 31 to win. I think he can, but I agree that picks could cost him.

  59. ricko1112 says:
    January 10, 2019 at 1:15 pm
    While the Chargers are certainly a very good team, let’s be honest… They’re still the Chargers and will always choke in the biggest games.

    …….
    You can’t pick a team to lose based on history. Every year is a new year and history means nothing. The seahawks were a dumpster fire their whole existence and they won their first superbowl a few years ago. The Eagles were a dumpster fire their whole existence and they won their first superbowl last year. The broncos were a dumpster fire until 97. The Patriots were a dumpster fire until 2001. The Chicago cubs were a dumpster fire for over 100 years and they won their first world series a couple years ago. Every year is a new year. Only an idiot makes their picks based on the past. A smart man picks his winners based on the current season, not past history. Every team in the playoffs with a good qb has a chance to win. Nobody gave the Eagles a shot to beat the Patriots in the superbowl last year. Any given Sunday. Even mark Sanchez beat tom brady in the playoffs in Foxborough where no one gave mark Sanchez a shot at winning. I see the chargers winning a close game. They have the better all around team. Take that to the bank.
    Chargers 27
    Patriots 23

    Colts 27
    Chiefs 38

    Eagles 30
    Saints 24

    Cowboys 27
    Rams. 23

  60. redandgoldhitman52 says:
    January 10, 2019 at 5:29 pm
    ricko1112 says:
    January 10, 2019 at 1:15 pm
    While the Chargers are certainly a very good team, let’s be honest… They’re still the Chargers and will always choke in the biggest games.

    …….
    You can’t pick a team to lose based on history. Every year is a new year and history means nothing. The seahawks were a dumpster fire their whole existence and they won their first superbowl a few years ago. The Eagles were a dumpster fire their whole existence and they won their first superbowl last year. The broncos were a dumpster fire until 97. The Patriots were a dumpster fire until 2001. The Chicago cubs were a dumpster fire for over 100 years and they won their first world series a couple years ago. Every year is a new year. Only an idiot makes their picks based on the past. A smart man picks his winners based on the current season, not past history. Every team in the playoffs with a good qb has a chance to win. Nobody gave the Eagles a shot to beat the Patriots in the superbowl last year. Any given Sunday. Even mark Sanchez beat tom brady in the playoffs in Foxborough where no one gave mark Sanchez a shot at winning. I see the chargers winning a close game. They have the better all around team. Take that to the bank.
    Chargers 27
    Patriots 23

    Colts 27
    Chiefs 38

    Eagles 30
    Saints 24

    Cowboys 27
    Rams. 23

    ———

    You are right… history generally doesn’t matter. However, it does to some extent predict the likelyhood of something happening and 3 road teams have only won once on divisional weekend (in 2008) since 1971. It’s very unlikely. It’s also very unlikely that both the Rams and the Saints will be upset given the point spread. it’s like a 4% chance.

  61. The rams and saints aren’t playing against bums. It’s very likely they both lose. Eagles and Cowboys are both really good teams on a hot streak with momentum, while the rams and saints have been mediocre in their last four games of the season and haven’t played in two weeks. Get ready for a few upsets. Remember the 8-8 Giants beating tom brady twice in the superbowl holding him to under 17 points and embarrassing him, mark Sanchez embarrassed him to in Foxborough, Jakeplummer and the broncos also embarrassed tom brady in the playoffs. Flacco beat Tom brady in the playoffs. Brady is not unstoppable. He’s been beaten many times by mediocre qbs and mediocre teams. The chargers and rivers are alot better than those teams. And this years Patriots are alot worse than those Patriots that lost, and brady is alot worse and older than the brady that lost those playoffs. I won’t be surprised to see the Patriots lose on Saturday like you guys will. I’ve seen it happen to often.

  62. Patrick winning the MVP award is also a bad look for the Chiefs in the post-season. The curse is real. While Brady had an excellent post-season last year, the rest of his team didn’t. KC will be very fortunate if they don’t go one-and-done again.

  63. My Chargers can pull out a close one. But won’t. Because the Colts will win. And there’s NO WAY the nfl wants the AFC chip game in a soccer stadium. Brady and the refs will win a close one (that they should lose)

  64. I went 4 and 0 last week. This week it will be Chiefs, Chargers, Cowboys and Saints.

    The Chiefs are just better than the Colts everywhere. Hard to see the Colts finding a way to win.

    The Chargers Defense us too good. The Patriots just seem a little off this year.

    The Cowboys are rolling right now. The Rams seemed to slow down at the end of the season.

    Nobody is beating the Saints. Chiefs won’t even do it in the superbowl.

  65. doubleogator says:
    January 10, 2019 at 4:10 pm
    @Troll destroyer
    Regular season vs playoff teams

    You left out one, Saints 3-1 vs playoff teams

    ——

    Whoops! Forgot one.

  66. tbisgod says:
    January 10, 2019 at 4:05 pm
    Pats only chance is an Indy win in KC. Even if they beat SD, they’re a 3-5 team on the road this year. 3-5 says it all.
    ————————————-

    Well, many Colts fans on this site like yourself have not given the Pats any chance at the Super Bowl over the last five years, and the Pats have actually competed in three Super Bowls, and won two, during that period.

    Given the fact that your Colts are actually playing good ball right now, and have a very good chance of being the AFC representative in the Super Bowl, I do not understand why you still feel the need to pretend to be an always pessimistic Pats fan.

  67. The road team has improved greatly since losing 48-7 in the Superdome, and the Saints peaked during round one.

    *********************************************************************

    If the Saints had peaked in November, someone must have forgotten to let them know that. They put up 31 points at home, against the Steelers in week 16..in a “meaningful” game that guaranteed them the #1 seed.

  68. Anything can happen, but I’ll take the well-rested team that blew off the last regular-season game and had a bye week backed by a racous Superdome crowd over an exhausted magical team that needed a double-doink to advance playing their 5th game in 6 weeks on the road, all pretty much do-or-die.

  69. demetriusjames says:
    January 11, 2019 at 12:29 pm

    If the Saints had peaked in November, someone must have forgotten to let them know that. They put up 31 points at home, against the Steelers in week 16..in a “meaningful” game that guaranteed them the #1 seed.

    ===============

    They also gave up 28 points, and the Eagles defense is better than Pittsburgh’s. I think this is going to be harder than Saints fans believe.

  70. mrgdawg says:
    January 10, 2019 at 3:29 pm
    Luck throws twice as many interceptions on the road (5 home vs. 10 away). 9 of which are in outdoors stadiums. His QB rating is 20 pts lower on the road.
    Chiefs average 26.5 points a game. No way IND can keep them to 20 or less. KC wins this one.

    ==================

    Misleading stats on Luck. Most of those away interceptions came in that 1-5 start to the season. Since then, he and Mahomes have thrown the same # of interceptions, pretty much evenly split between home & away.

    They just destroyed a division rival with a better defense than the Chiefs have, on the road.

    Meanwhile, the Chiefs have lost all their big games this season.

    I think the toughest thing for the Colts will be the pressure to score every chance they get. That will be wearing. But this will be much harder for the Chiefs than you think.

  71. They also gave up 28 points, and the Eagles defense is better than Pittsburgh’s. I think this is going to be harder than Saints fans believe.

    ******************************************************

    Against an offense with a healthy AB & JuJu in the lineup, they gave up 28 points. I just made the comment based on Florio saying that the Saints would be limited to 17 points, when that has only happened to that offense on the road.

    This is the NFL PlayOffs so any Saints fan that thinks the game will be easy is fooling themselves.

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