Jordan Howard trade again shows Eagles prioritize compensatory picks

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The Eagles’ decision to trade a 2020 third-day pick for Bears running back Jordan Howard is another example of the value Philadelphia places on compensatory picks.

That’s because Howard is heading into the final year of his rookie contract. At first blush, it might seem like trading for a player in the final year of his contract is unwise, as he could just leave in free agency next year. But if he does, that would help the Eagles acquire compensatory picks.

The NFL’s compensatory pick formula gives teams additional draft picks when they lose more free agents than they acquire. That has been a key part of the Eagles’ strategy, and in 2020 they’re poised to lead the way in compensatory picks, as they should get a third-round compensatory pick for losing Nick Foles, and two fourth-rounders for losing Golden Tate and Jordan Hicks.

The Eagles traded a third-round pick for Tate last year even though he was in the final season of his contract and has now left in free agency. Some questioned the wisdom of that, but Tate was a valuable player for the Eagles last season — he scored the winning touchdown in their playoff victory over the Bears — and he’ll produce a fourth-round pick for them next year.

Howard may end up doing the same: He could play a valuable role on the Eagles in 2019, and if that convinces some other team to out-bid the Eagles for him in free agency next year, the Eagles would get a compensatory pick for his departure. The Eagles aren’t just planning for what Howard can bring to the team this season, they’re planning for several seasons down the road. That’s what smart teams do.

65 responses to “Jordan Howard trade again shows Eagles prioritize compensatory picks

  1. Another good thing about players in their contract season? He is going to come to play!

    Go Birds!

  2. Howie playing chess, while most teams play checkers… why the Bears just wouldn’t utilize Howard this year, and then let him walk in FA in 2020 and get a better than the 6th rounder in a comp pick then they just got anyway doesn’t make any sense when his cap hit is so low. But as an Eagles fan… thanks!!!

  3. The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago. They have had 16 winning seasons, 14 playoff appearances, 15 playoff wins, 8 NFC east titles, 2 NFC titles, and 1 Superbowl. It started with Joe Banner and the beat goes on under Roseman. Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.

  4. Great move all around for the Eagles. Learn something everyday it seems like when it comes to compensatory picks. Now the Bears just need to go ahead and sign Jay Ajayi and they can make the proper swap of big backs.

  5. “That’s what smart teams do.”
    —————————

    The more logical conclusion is that all teams already priced the possible compensatory pick into the trade value model and everyone gets fair market deal. Seriously, it’s not that hard to calculate…

  6. This Bears fan wanted Howard gone. Good vision but painfully slow, no passing game threat and clearly didn’t fit Nagy’s offense (which I thought was what they ran in Philly). I think at this point the Bears valued the roster spot for a rookie this year more than keeping Howard around as the third back for $2 million. Their starting RB will be a draft pick to go with Cohen and Davis.

  7. Patriots have been doing this for years and is a key part of their continued success. Instead of breaking the bank for Flowers, get a comp pick, sign Bennett, and then get a comp pick when he leaves!

  8. good trade but the problem is still with the man behind the center who ins’t there on a consistent basis, the other guy who was doing a very good job is now in Jacksonville.

  9. Brilliant strategy. With cap restraints, younger is better than the ridiculous numbers some are demanding. Dallas, please let Lawrence walk. Or trade. Number 1 picks are just fine.

  10. If Howard plays well enough to get a contract with someone else that allows the Eagles to get a compensatory pick in 2021, then he likely will hit the escalator for the Bears to get a 5th round pick in 2020. Based on position and that he has declined in production each year he has been in league, I find it hard to believe that anyone would give him a big contract next offseason. He should absolutely find a job somewhere, but he just does not have the burst and speed to justify a really big contract, imo.

  11. robertfootball says:

    March 29, 2019 at 7:47 am

    Great move all around for the Eagles. Learn something everyday it seems like when it comes to compensatory picks. Now the Bears just need to go ahead and sign Jay Ajayi and they can make the proper swap of big backs.
    ——-
    bears already got their big back in Mike Davis. If the bears add another back it will likely be thru the draft.

  12. Howard is not going to command a contract that necessitates a comp pick.

    He was just dropped off for a future 6th rounder. That shows the value he has around the league.

    His impact on the formula will be minimal.

  13. officialgame says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:44 am
    The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago. They have had 16 winning seasons, 14 playoff appearances, 15 playoff wins, 8 NFC east titles, 2 NFC titles, and 1 Superbowl. It started with Joe Banner and the beat goes on under Roseman. Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.
    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    Agreed, not to mention that NE gets a more than artificial salary cap boost because the QB is subsidized. But the Eagles have proven, even with those legal advantages- softer cap and easy division .454 winning percentage for the Fins/Jets/Bills in the last 20 years, the mighty Pats can be beaten in the big game.

  14. Another deal where the Bears got the second place award. Say what you want about Ryan Pace, I believe he is about the 31st best GM in the NFL, and continues the long held commitment to mediocrity that the Bears follow. (Ex: Trade two additional picks to move up ONE spot to take Mitch Trabisky, with Pat Mahomes and DeShaun Watson on the board) He sucks watch the Bears be back to 7-9 this year.

  15. “At first blush, it might seem like trading for a player in the final year of his contract is unwise, as he could just leave in free agency next year.”

    First and foremost you get the best version of that player possible, it’s a contract year.
    THEN you can take the dialogue to compensatory picks…

  16. officialgame says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:44 am
    The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago…….Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.
    ____________________________________________________________

    The Patriots win at exactly the same rate in the division as out of the division.

  17. Pretty sure performance plays a role as well; and if he doesn’t ball out in Philly or gets hurt, then any compensatory value will be negligible.

  18. “The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago. They have had 16 winning seasons, 14 playoff appearances, 15 playoff wins, 8 NFC east titles, 2 NFC titles, and 1 Superbowl. It started with Joe Banner and the beat goes on under Roseman. Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.”

    In the last 20 years the Eagles have had 15 winning seasons, 12 playoff appearances, 14 playoff wins, 8 NFC east, 2 NFC and 1 Superbowl..Source: profootball reference.

    Green Bay has done equal in the last 20 years and much better if you go 25… which is why I suspect it cut off at 20 years. I mean if you are going to go back in history why stop at 20 years, right?

  19. joetorontoisaclown says:
    March 29, 2019 at 8:50 am
    officialgame says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:44 am
    The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago…….Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.
    ____________________________________________________________

    The Patriots win at exactly the same rate in the division as out of the division.

    ————————————————————

    Your point is irrelevant. The Patriots could go 10-0 outside the division, but if they’re still going 5-1 or 6-0 against division opponents every season, that tells you how uncompetitive that division has been for a long while.

  20. Howie is by far one of the best GMs in the NFL. Man looking at this Eagles team they could potentially be better then the 2017 team. DJAX is huge upgrade and Howard gives them that Blount/Ajayi presence.

  21. S. M. (Smacks) says:
    March 29, 2019 at 9:05 am
    “The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago. They have had 16 winning seasons, 14 playoff appearances, 15 playoff wins, 8 NFC east titles, 2 NFC titles, and 1 Superbowl. It started with Joe Banner and the beat goes on under Roseman. Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.”

    In the last 20 years the Eagles have had 15 winning seasons, 12 playoff appearances, 14 playoff wins, 8 NFC east, 2 NFC and 1 Superbowl..Source: profootball reference.

    Green Bay has done equal in the last 20 years and much better if you go 25… which is why I suspect it cut off at 20 years. I mean if you are going to go back in history why stop at 20 years, right?

    =========================

    Good point, why only 20 years vs 25? Lurie bought the team May 6, 1994, which is 6 weeks shy of 25 years ago. The ends some people will go to in their hate for the Pats is astounding.

  22. stucats says:
    March 29, 2019 at 8:14 am
    good trade but the problem is still with the man behind the center who ins’t there on a consistent basis, the other guy who was doing a very good job is now in Jacksonville.

    ————————

    How many 16 game seasons does Foles have under his belt again? Oh…. none??????

  23. “The Patriots win at exactly the same rate in the division as out of the division”.

    My point wasn’t that the Pats aren’t good, they are, but rather the division being so bad gives them an advantage over teams that have to scratch and claw every year. How big? Who knows?

  24. suissecheese says:
    March 29, 2019 at 9:23 am
    joetorontoisaclown says:
    March 29, 2019 at 8:50 am
    officialgame says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:44 am
    The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago…….Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.
    ____________________________________________________________

    The Patriots win at exactly the same rate in the division as out of the division.

    ————————————————————

    Your point is irrelevant. The Patriots could go 10-0 outside the division, but if they’re still going 5-1 or 6-0 against division opponents every season, that tells you how uncompetitive that division has been for a long while.

    ———-

    Put the Patriots in any division and they will make it look “non-competitive”

  25. springfb15awsome says:
    March 29, 2019 at 8:46 am
    officialgame says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:44 am
    The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago. They have had 16 winning seasons, 14 playoff appearances, 15 playoff wins, 8 NFC east titles, 2 NFC titles, and 1 Superbowl. It started with Joe Banner and the beat goes on under Roseman. Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.
    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    Agreed, not to mention that NE gets a more than artificial salary cap boost because the QB is subsidized. But the Eagles have proven, even with those legal advantages- softer cap and easy division .454 winning percentage for the Fins/Jets/Bills in the last 20 years, the mighty Pats can be beaten in the big game.

    __________________________________________________________
    The Eagles have been living off of Wentz’s rookie contract, we will see how Howie does next year when $35 to $40 (closer to $40) goes towards Wentz, and who gets sacrificed. They are all in this year. Seattle, Green Bay, New Orleans, Atlanta once QB has been paid no more Super Bowls. Brady cost $22 million last year, and can earn up to $32 million in 2019.

    Belichick does it by getting cheap discard players that could not be utilized by the system coaches and their GM would have cut them. Then when they come up for contracts the other coaches/GMs think they are great, sign them to big contracts, then they end up sucking and Bill gets draft picks to go shopping with. Example, Van Noy was on his way out of the league.

  26. If Howard plays well the Eagles have the option of resigning him, if not then he will leave as a FA with a decent contract – which means the Eagles more than likely would get a 5th round Comp pick in 2021 (part of the factor is also how the player performs in 2020). If that happens then the pick the Eagles traded will escalate to a 5th round 2020 pick. In this case the Eagles will have traded a 2020 5th rounder for Howard and a 2021 5th rounder.

    If he doesn’t perform well enough to get a FA contract, then the trade is a straight up 2020 6th round pick for Howard . . . a pretty small price to pay for a player who has generated greater than 1,000 yards from scrimmage over his first three seasons. Howard is clearly a 1st and 2nd down + short yardage running back, but the Eagles already have third down backs on the roster in Corey Clement and Wendell Smallwood.

    The other factor that needs to be considered is the impact for 2020 compensatory picks. If the Eagles went out and signed a free agent running back it would negatively impact their compensation picks for next year. Whereas trading a day 3 pick for next year doesn’t have any impact on the Comp Pick calculations.

    This is a low risk/high reward trade for the Eagles, Howard clearly didn’t fit into the Bears offensive scheming, despite just missing being a 1,000 yard rusher for a third straight year. So it was known that the Bears were looking to trade Howard and that always reduce a players trade value. Look at what the Steelers got for AB when they “had” to trade him versus what the Giants got for OBJ when they said they weren’t going to trade him.

  27. officialgame says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:44 am
    The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago. They have had 16 winning seasons, 14 playoff appearances, 15 playoff wins, 8 NFC east titles, 2 NFC titles, and 1 Superbowl. It started with Joe Banner and the beat goes on under Roseman. Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.
    ———-

    Yep, another expert. Wow!! Eagles been to 2 SB’s! Brady has been to 9.

    Sure, Its because they play in the AFC East. In those 20 years, The Pats winning % against AFC is .741. Against the NFC it is .741 Against the AFC East it is .741
    The entire AFC East has a .513 winning percentage against the NFC East in that time frame.

  28. Smart move by the Eagles. But their fans taking shots at Pats is so unnecessary. The two teams are not even in the sane division!

    I just don’t understand trash talk. As a Bears fan, I still enjoy watching Packers games because the game itself is more important to me than fandom.

  29. Your point is irrelevant. The Patriots could go 10-0 outside the division, but if they’re still going 5-1 or 6-0 against division opponents every season, that tells you how uncompetitive that division has been for a long while.
    ————————————————————–
    So if the Patriots go 10-0 every year outside their division and 5-1 or 6-0 in their division, your advanced logic says the division they play in is uncompetitive? Thank you for the laugh.

  30. so it’s possible then that the Eagles get Howard for 2019 and a 2021 3rd round compensatory pick for a 2020 5th or 6th. If True then that’s just Robbery

  31. Also, if the Eagles had signed a free agent RB, that would have counted against them in the compensatory formula.

  32. So in other words the Eagles let pretty good football players in the present walk so in hopes acquired low draft picks click in the future ,,,, so it’s a buy low sell low formula ,,Stupid if you ask me !

  33. Tell me how trading a 3rd rounder for Tate and getting a 4th round comp pick is a brilliant idea? He was mediocre at best for the Eagles and caught a 2 yard TD in the playoffs on a little flat pass. You telling me someone else couldn’t have caught that TD? Comp picks are the latest “brilliant” strategy because Belichick has been doing it for years. If you think that’s why he is so much better than other coaches you are an idiot. He is so much better because he strategizes each game based on who he is playing rather than playing his “style of game” and hoping it works. That is called coaching.

  34. sportoficionado says:
    March 29, 2019 at 11:11 am

    I’m not concerned about Howard trade as Cowboys fan. He is a quality back but he is not a threat to break anything significant, more volume runner.
    …………………………………………
    “more volume runner.”
    Just keep movin’ the chains , baby !

  35. The other aspect of playing this game is the risk of finding suitable replacements for the players you let walk. Getting picks is nice but you are churning the roster repeatedly and getting slightly lower compensation than you spent to acquire the initial player. A 4th for Tate when you spent a 3rd or a 4th for Howard when you spent a 3rd. You still have to find a good replacement with lower picks.

  36. The Eagles basically traded a 3rd round pick for Tate but will receiver a 4th round pick for him after he left. That is not bad. The Patriots did it much better though. They traded a 6th (IIRC) round pick for Trent Brown, got a pro bowl performance from him for an entire year, and they will receive a 3rd round pick for him because he signed with the Raiders.

  37. sportoficionado says:
    March 29, 2019 at 11:11 am
    I’m not concerned about Howard trade as Cowboys fan. He is a quality back but he is not a threat to break anything significant, more volume runner.

    Eagles dont need him to be great or elite. Just need a solid back to move the ball and they can win with that. Eagles dont rely so much on one elite rb like Dallas does. I’d still like to draft a rb in the 2nd round though.

  38. BILLY PENN IS A GIANTS FAN says:
    March 29, 2019 at 11:48 am
    So in other words the Eagles let pretty good football players in the present walk so in hopes acquired low draft picks click in the future ,,,, so it’s a buy low sell low formula ,,Stupid if you ask me !
    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    Newsflash, they are gearing up to get young over the next 2 years…comp picks help…
    see you in the Meadowlands

  39. I think this trade was good for both teams.

    First of all, if the Eagles get a comp pick it doesn’t negatively affect the Bears. In fact, if they get a higher comp pick, the Bears likely upgraded the 2020 pick to a 5th rounder.

    The Eagles may or may not get a 2021 comp pick for Howard. They may resign him or he may have a disappointing year. But there are two outcomes that are good for them and one that isn’t. So it’s a decent gamble.

    For the Bears, they GUARANTEED compensation for Howard who didn’t fit their offense. Now they have 9 projected picks for 2020 if they get a comp pick for Amos. If they let it ride with Howard, there would be no guarantee they would receive anything for him.

    Personally, I like Howard and think he’ll look grwat in Philly. I wouldn’t be surprised if he does well enough to turn the 6th rounder into a 5th and for the Eagles to happily resign him. A best case scenario for both teams and for Howard.

  40. I like this trade for the Eagles a lot, and I say that as bears fan who watches every snap.

    That being said, don’t talk about how awesome jordan howard will be and how stupid the bears are until you watch some of the Bears games from last season. He still has power but his feet looked like they were in concrete at times. How much of that is scheme and how much of that is him, I don’t know. Nobody does.

  41. Hmmm, last time I looked Belichick/Brady are 0-3 vs NFC East in SBs. Don’t think they would have it as easy if they were in the NFC East as opposed to the AFC East. Just sayin.

  42. s1dew1nder1 says:
    March 29, 2019 at 1:08 pm
    Hmmm, last time I looked Belichick/Brady are 0-3 vs NFC East in SBs. Don’t think they would have it as easy if they were in the NFC East as opposed to the AFC East. Just sayin.

    ——–
    Pats beat Eagles in 2005. Probably before you were born.

  43. Dallas, please let Lawrence walk. Or trade. Number 1 picks are just fine.
    =======

    No, no, and NO. Lawrence is a premier player at one of the game’s most impactful positions; Jordan Howard is a garden-variety RB whose numbers have decreased each year. Don’t compare him to Lawrence.

  44. officialgame says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:44 am
    The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago. They have had 16 winning seasons, 14 playoff appearances, 15 playoff wins, 8 NFC east titles, 2 NFC titles, and 1 Superbowl. It started with Joe Banner and the beat goes on under Roseman. Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.

    **************
    The eagles have been the laughingstock of football for 50 years zero superbowls without Doug pederson

  45. demstinkinbums says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:40 am
    Howie playing chess, while most teams play checkers… why the Bears just wouldn’t utilize Howard this year, and then let him walk in FA in 2020 and get a better than the 6th rounder in a comp pick then they just got anyway doesn’t make any sense when his cap hit is so low. But as an Eagles fan… thanks!!!

    ******
    Howie Roseman has zero playoff wins as a gm without Nick Foles he’s the dumbest gm in football

  46. Something else to throw out there… in his first two seasons with the Bears he had prime Josh Sitton and prime Kyle Long as his guards. Last year he had a half season of Larsen and a half season of very good rookie (but still rookie) James Daniels on one side and half season of Kyle Long and half season of Brian Witzmann on the other. It is hard to say if one scenario made him look better than he deserved or the other worse than he deserved.

  47. unleaded92 says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:32 am
    Another good thing about players in their contract season? He is going to come to play!

    Go Birds!
    *******
    Just like the eagles dream team of 2011 and 2012 that was a massive failure because of bad clubhouse guys like desean Jackson Howie Roseman is under 500 as a gm without Nick Foles

  48. It’s really a no lose situation for the Eagles. If Howard isn’t getting it done, they’ll just sit him and play one of the other RBs and then let him walk at the end of the season. If he does have a good year, they may try to keep him. They really can’t lose in this deal.

  49. Looks like the way to play the game now is to not deal with your players in their final year and let them walk; you can quickly restock a team with youth for less money and then carefully pick where you want to invest the remaining dollars.

  50. So who are the hall of fame players Howie has drafted with compensatory picks? Who are the players that have been rock solid foundation players for years holding up the superstars that have been drafted with compensatory picks?

    I think we’re over-using the idea of genius here.

  51. directdriver says:
    March 29, 2019 at 10:36 am
    Smart move by the Eagles. But their fans taking shots at Pats is so unnecessary. The two teams are not even in the sane division!

    I just don’t understand trash talk. As a Bears fan, I still enjoy watching Packers games because the game itself is more important to me than fandom
    —-
    That’s only because every single eagles article is flooded with Patriots fans who come on here talking trash because they still haven’t gotten over their sb loss from 2 seasons ago. It’s like people expect us eagle fans to keep quiet on our own threads. It’s not like we’re here trolling on a patriot article. If you don’t believe me, go back and check previous articles or keep an eye out in future articles. They have a great team but yet still so salty.

  52. Any true analysis of this ridiculous subject must include 4 factors. 1: the player that was lost and their impact on the team. 2: the salary the lost player would have commanded. 3: The player drafted with the compensatory pick. 4: the salary of the compensatory pick.

    Most teams lose high quality players, They are RARELY replaced by compensatory draft picks. The Patriots routinely lose three or four starters per season as they transition from rookie contracts to free agency. It is absurd to think they are replacing these players with compensatory picks. Elandon Roberts has turned out to be a nice player for the Pats and so has Rasul Douglas for the Eagles. they were compensatory picks (Brady too) but these are the only guys making regular contributions I can think of for those teams.

  53. officialgame says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:44 am
    The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago. They have had 16 winning seasons, 14 playoff appearances, 15 playoff wins, 8 NFC east titles, 2 NFC titles, and 1 Superbowl. It started with Joe Banner and the beat goes on under Roseman. Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.
    **************************************************************

    I think the Patriots winning record against all NFL competition, including post season record, far outshines the eagles regardless of division play, and don’t tell me NFC Least teams haven’t spent most of their time being doormats. The Patriots winning percentage against the entire NFL is .741. If the whole NFL were a team playing just the Patriots, their winning percentage would be worse than the Cleveland Browns. The AFC East has the highest winning percentage against the other divisions at .524. The NFC East is second at .513. Your comments don;t hold water. I give the eagles credit though for being the only team that sees what the Patriots do and then goes out and does a decent job trying to do the same. Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery. Thank you.

  54. Look, Bears know Howard is slow, no big plays last year. They trade him now, they still get a 5 or 6 rd for him next year, get rid of 2 mil cap space, AND pick up a faster RB in draft that is a natural pass catcher. Bars dont want to wait a year for that. May be good for both teams. Bears got Howard in 5th rd 3 years ago. Good trade for them.

  55. Just add the 8th round back to the draft and get rid of compensatory picks altogether. Its a system that rewards teams for NOT signing their won players. Dumb idea.

  56. BILLY PENN IS A GIANTS FAN says:
    March 29, 2019 at 10:18 am
    Cowboys 5
    Giants 4
    Redskins 3
    Eagles a lowly 1
    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++=
    You must have the economy model of the Delorean…
    Go back before the first Superbowl and picture is more clear…
    Actually, counting all the Championships
    It would be:
    Giants 8
    Redskins 5
    Eagles 5 + 1 (Yellow Jackets)
    Dallas at a Lowly 5

  57. officialgame says:
    March 29, 2019 at 7:44 am
    The Eagles have been ahead of the curve since Lurie bought the team more than 20 years ago. They have had 16 winning seasons, 14 playoff appearances, 15 playoff wins, 8 NFC east titles, 2 NFC titles, and 1 Superbowl. It started with Joe Banner and the beat goes on under Roseman. Only the Pats have done better over the last two decades and they have the advantage of playing in the worst division in football.

    **************
    The eagles have been the laughingstock of football for 50 years zero superbowls without Doug pederson
    +++++++++++++++++++++++==+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    Like Dude, That scenario, never comes up with the caviat, “without BB Doug”, please, quit smoking…it’s bad for the brain….
    :}

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