Vegas gives Patriots the NFL’s highest win total

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It’s hard to bet against the Patriots, but the sports books will try to get you to do it.

CG Technology, which operates several Las Vegas sports books, has released its 2019 NFL win totals, and the Patriots have the highest in the NFL, at 11.

The NFL is so unpredictable that there aren’t often over-unders that high. Half the league has a win total between seven and nine. Usually, if you see a win total of 11, you’d think they’re just begging you to bet the under.

But the Patriots are different: They’ve won at least 11 games for nine consecutive seasons. To a lot of bettors, an over-under of 11 will look too low. Plenty of people will bet the over.

Eventually the Patriots have to come back to earth, but since Tom Brady became the starter in 2001 they’ve had a winning record every year. If Vegas is setting the Patriots’ most likely record this year at 11-5, that seems eminently reasonable.

33 responses to “Vegas gives Patriots the NFL’s highest win total

  1. Yuri Testikov says:
    March 31, 2019 at 1:10 pm
    Raiders will have more wins than those cheaters, Chucky is king
    —————-
    Sure, if you add the Raiders’ win totals for the next 3 years…

  2. terripet says:
    March 31, 2019 at 1:57 pm
    Play in the worst division every year
    —————-
    Bandwagon fans don’t realize that the Patriots’ winning % is the same OUTSIDE the AFCE as it is inside. NE has dominated every division for the last 20 years.

  3. It gets more interesting when you look at their schedule. They play the Chiefs, Browns, Cowboys, Giants, and the Steelers all in Foxboro. That is huge. The questionable games are against the Eagles, Ravens, and Redskins, which are on the road. They may struggle against the Ravens in defense, if their defense is still competent, but I could see them beating the Redskins. A fair prediction is 12-4 or 13-3.

  4. Pats finally have good competition in the division.

    Combined with what is basically turmoil – major scandal, huge talent loss and big coaching changes – I think fans who pencil the Pats in for 12 wins and the AFCCG every year are in for a bit if a surprise.

  5. ricko1112 says:
    March 31, 2019 at 2:26 pm
    terripet says:
    March 31, 2019 at 1:57 pm
    Play in the worst division every year
    —————-
    Bandwagon fans don’t realize that the Patriots’ winning % is the same OUTSIDE the AFCE as it is inside. NE has dominated every division for the last 20 years.


    They realize it, yet they don’t accept it because it destroys their baseless argument. The sheer pain they’ve endured from losing has them flailing away excuse-wise at the Super Bowl champs. It’s kind of like holding a younger, weaker sibling at bay while smiling as you let them rabbit punch you to no ill-effect. Like when the Patriots toy with the Colts…

  6. Patriots start every season knowing they’re already division champs. They just play the season to determine playoff seeding. AFC_Least

  7. This is nuts. The Patriots have no wide receivers, no tight end and they lost their best defensive player. I’m not sure they could even win their division right now

  8. Wasn’t the number last year 11 or 11.5? I remember thinking at the time the Patriots were almost automatic for 12 wins… but they ended up 11-5, showing Vegas is always a step ahead. As a Pats fan, 11-5 is okay so long as it gets them a bye and game at home.

    PS- when you start making comments about their record being related to a “weak” AFC East, what you’re really saying is you’re just too lazy to look at the statistics and are cool with believing false narratives.

  9. AFC least, easy ride the playoffs. And yes it matters. Bills, Dolphins, Jets have been in rebuild mode for 20 years. Last playoff win for Bills, 1995? Dolphins?? All these Pats fans saying that doesn’t matter is lying.

  10. Michael Philliphs says:
    March 31, 2019 at 3:57 pm
    This is nuts. The Patriots have no wide receivers, no tight end and they lost their best defensive player. I’m not sure they could even win their division right now
    —————
    After the 2017 season, just on offense Brady lost starters Nate Solder, Marty Bennett, Danny Amendola, Brandin Cooks & Dion Lewis (all FA, traded or retired), along with on defense Malcolm Butler, Cyrus Jones, Shea McClellin and DC Matt Patricia going. What a lot of casual haters overlook is that when you’re a perennial champ in the era of Parity Rules, everyone wants your guys and can afford them more easily than you.

  11. The. Iami Dolphins are the only teM capable of beating the Pats in the AFC East and they are in full rebuild ( Tanking, you teasers like to call it). The Jets still have plenty of room to go, but may have found a future QB and the Bills are delusional when they discover over the next season that they will be in full rebuild because Josh Allen is basically a Cam Newton running style QB without an NFL arm. Yes, I’m afraid Old Tom Brady could win the division even if he took the field in a wheelchair.

  12. I can always tell when people haven’t actually seen Josh Allen play.

    He’s the next great NFL QB. And Darnold isn’t far behind.

  13. billsrthefuture says:
    March 31, 2019 at 6:05 pm

    I can always tell when people haven’t actually seen Josh Allen play.

    He’s the next great NFL QB.
    ————————————————————————————-
    I watched him play plenty. He can’t throw. It’s obvious to most anyone with a TV.

  14. Michael Philliphs says:
    March 31, 2019 at 3:57 pm
    This is nuts. The Patriots have no wide receivers, no tight end and they lost their best defensive player. I’m not sure they could even win their division right now
    —————————————————

    All valid points but they aren’t playing “right now” are they? The Pats don’t win the off season or preseason. Sometimes they don’t quite win the regular season either but as sure as the tides, they’ll be there in the post season.

  15. golforepar says:
    March 31, 2019 at 8:00 pm
    11 is easy. 5 – 5 outside of the division which they are 6 – 0 almost every year!
    ——————————————

    They’ve only gone 6-0 twice in the Brady era. No doubt the other teams in the AFCE would appreciate it if the rest of league would help out more with the heavy lifting

  16. billsrthefuture says:
    March 31, 2019 at 6:05 pm

    He’s the next great NFL QB. And Darnold isn’t far behind.
    ———————————-

    Allen may or may not be great. Darnold??? bwahahahahahaha

  17. is there any other team that could lose as much talent in 20-18-2019 and the off season? yet expectations are back to the playoffs and the Sbowl?

    N there is no other team that has set this expectioan! Neither has there ever been one in the history of the NFL.

    Go PAT!

  18. carloswlassiter says:
    March 31, 2019 at 7:12 pm

    billsrthefuture says:
    March 31, 2019 at 6:05 pm

    I can always tell when people haven’t actually seen Josh Allen play.

    He’s the next great NFL QB.
    ————————————————————————————-
    I watched him play plenty. He can’t throw. It’s obvious to most anyone with a TV.

    10

    5

    ————————————

    LOL

    Next thing is, he’ll tell us Lamar Jackson can throw and is accurate, too.

  19. Patriots are 6-3 in the Superbowl division in the BB Era. Played against some good teams. Haven’t seen alot of them since then…go figure. It’s the division they play in, the haters will say. I think it has more to do with the schedule they play the following year. Going from worst to first is easier than staying on top for decades. Not to long ago the jaguars, raiders, cowboys all looked like the next best thing.. Until the next year happened. Philly learned that lesson, falcons anyone. You posers sit down.. The Patriots rule this NFL.

  20. The Patriots have a .788 winning percentage against the AFC East with Brady at QB. They have a .786 winning percentage against the ENTIRE league with Brady at QB.

    So stop with the “weak division” arguments – they don’t hold water. They beat every team from every division.

  21. Troll Destroyer says:
    April 2, 2019 at 9:30 am
    Your comment is awaiting moderation.
    The Patriots have a .788 winning percentage against the AFC East with Brady at QB. They have a .786 winning percentage against the ENTIRE league with Brady at QB.

    So stop with the “weak division” arguments – they don’t hold water. They beat every team from every division.

    ——————

    BTW – it’s even more impressive considering they play a 1st place schedule EVERY SINGLE YEAR. They beat your teams and send you to bed to cry your little tears on your little pillow.

  22. The times are changing, AS AN EXAMPLE now that PI is a reviewable play.

    Last year the Saints would have gone to the SB and another example….
    If the rule was changed the year 2017 the Pats would not have benefited from 4 Offensive PI/pass catch “no calls” that would have placed them at 9-7 for the year- look it up.

    As a result, Buffalo would have won the division on the tie breaker and the mighty Pats would have missed the playoffs….

    Just food for thought…the team had benefited, as all teams do from various calls throughout the season, but a rule change in THAT particular year, would have been devastating to their record.

    Just saying … Vegas might need to rethink how that rule change affects ALL teams.

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