First round could see five quarterbacks, again

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For the first time since 1999, five quarterbacks heard their names called in the first round of the 2018 draft. After a 19-year gap being a quintet of first-round quarterbacks, the new streak may not even get to one.

There’s a current belief in some circles (thanks to a source who knows the ins and outs of the draft as well as anyone) that this year’s draft also could result in five quarterbacks being picked in round one.

Three are a given: Oklahoma’s Kyler Murray, Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins, and Missouri’s Drew Lock. (Lock could actually go before Haskins.) The fourth would be Duke’s Daniel Jones.

The fifth could be one of multiple options, depending on various factors like whether a team drafting late in round one likes one of the remaining quarterbacks enough to pick him and whether a team trades back into round one for a quarterback and the possible five-year deal that goes along with getting him before round two.

Twice since the 2014, a team has moved up to pick No. 32 for a quarterback. The Vikings traded up for Teddy Bridgewater five years ago, and the Ravens traded up in 2018 for Lamar Jackson.

The fifth this year could be, in theory, N.C. State’s Ryan Finley, Auburn’s Jarret Stidham, Northwestern’s Clayton Thorson, or West Virginia’s Will Grier.

This isn’t a report or a prediction that there will be five taken in round one. It’s a “someone who knows his stuff thinks there could be five” head’s up regarding the possibility that, just like a year ago, five new quarterbacks could enter the NFL on the first night of the draft.

And it makes sense. As more and more solid young quarterbacks flood the league, more and more teams that don’t have one will want one. Given that signing a rookie (especially late in the first round) is a lot cheaper than signing a veteran, it makes sense to roll the dice on someone who could become a franchise-caliber player.

40 responses to “First round could see five quarterbacks, again

  1. Seems like every year at least one team drafts a QB in the first round that is clearly a long shot at best. And that same team often has glaring holes elsewhere that could be filled with picks that are much more likely to be successful at the NFL level. Trading down to get more picks is always smarter than picking a long shot QB, but every year it seems at least one team shows they just don’t get it.

  2. First round could see five quarterbacks, again
    ______________________________________________

    If we do it’ll keep the 68% BUST rate for QBs drafted in the 1st round climbing!

    GO……….GO…………GO……….GO………..GO!

  3. That will leave at least 2 or 3 really good defensive players available at the top of the 2nd round, so there will be a lot of scrambling by teams trying to move to the top of the 2nd, since this draft is stacked with defense.

  4. Judging from the “crap shoot” on drafting qbs in the league, If I was a GM, I would draft one every draft, at least in the later rounds. There are several in the league who are serviceable or, better, at least as backups.
    That might be the reason I am not a GM. LOL

  5. Kinda funny.

    Grier is at the bottom of your list but he could very well be the most successful in the NFL of all them.

    Funnier still if he goes in the 2nd round to the Pats.

  6. My money is on Arizona passing on Kyler Murray. I think the media fell for their smokescreen hook, line and sinker w/ AZ just trying to raise trade interest in that #1 overall pick… Once it was reported that QB Josh Rosen will report w/ the rest of the team to the start of OTA’s on Monday that pretty much guarantees Josh Rosen is Arizona’s week 1 starting QB this season. If Arizona wanted to trade him or had a trade in the works they would ask him not to come because they wouldnt want him to get hurt and become an untradeable assett and they would not want him getting a copy of the new offensive playbook and learning what AZ plans to do offensively if he was going to be somewhere else. Arizona knows how much potential Rosen has and just how good he can be this year with more around him and solid protection up front, they would be downgrading themselves at QB as Josh Rosen would be the best QB by a country mile & the #1 overall pick in this years draft.

    With the first pick I think Arizona takes a generational defensive prospect like a Nick Bosa or Quinnen Williams, beefing up an already pretty stacked defensive roster even more. They then will let Kingsbury use the remaining 10 draft picks to build up the offense the way he wants it, I think he’s going to draft both AJ Brown at 33 and Andy Isabella right after at WR giving AZ an excellent WR room with the talent they already have on the roster.

  7. The league of supposed parity does not exist unless you have a franchise QB, you have to keep swinging the bat if you want to compete. Teams drafting QBs are doing their due diligence!

  8. I would not take any of these guys in the first fifteen pics, five months ago I was hoping Lock would fall to Denver in the second round. That is when the experts were saying Jones was 3rd pick, hype machine is out of control now. Elway better not take Lock at 10.

  9. If a team believes he can be a franchise QB, makes sense to take him in the first round to get the Fifth-Year Option.

  10. Funny thing is in ANY other draft if the past 5 years maybe 2 at best go in round one. I don’t see any I’d these QBs being a franchise QB. Murray is fools gold. Lock is the only one that can be good but it depends on where he goes. With a draft so rich in defensive lineman it’s foolish to pass on one if given the chance. Would you take Aaron Donald or Fletcher Cox or Josh Rosen? That’s what it boils down to.

    Teams reaching for need just in the last FIVE YEARS with Bortles, Rosen, Gabbart, E.J Manuel, Weeden, Manziel, Paxton Lynch, Tannehill, then go back a little more with Tebow, Sanchez, Ponder, Josh Freeman, Jake Locker and even RG3. It sets you back 4/5 years. This is why certain teams will never win a ring.

  11. Nonsense. 5 teams aren’t going to ignore 7 stronger position groups in this draft. This year’s QB draft class isn’t as good as last year’s. Some expert.

  12. We all know there have been a lot of great QB’s who weren’t drafted in the 1st round, and a lot of bad QB’s who were. But the reason it’s become increasingly important which QB’s do get drafted in the 1st round is because those have become the guys that get chance after chance after chance, even when they aren’t any good. On the other hand, good QB’s who get drafted later, often don’t get an opportunity to get on the field. It usually takes an injury or something like that.

  13. Instead of QB#4 and QB#5 in the 1st round, wait on AZ and get Rosen. Another team should give a lower round draft pick for Nick Mullens. When comparing 8 games he played to 9 games Jimmy G played, Mullens and Jimmy Gs stats are close and Mullens did better in a few.

  14. 1phillyphan says:
    April 6, 2019 at 2:53 pm
    Funny thing is in ANY other draft if the past 5 years maybe 2 at best go in round one. I don’t see any I’d these QBs being a franchise QB. Murray is fools gold. Lock is the only one that can be good but it depends on where he goes. With a draft so rich in defensive lineman it’s foolish to pass on one if given the chance. Would you take Aaron Donald or Fletcher Cox or Josh Rosen? That’s what it boils down to.

    Teams reaching for need just in the last FIVE YEARS with Bortles, Rosen, Gabbart, E.J Manuel, Weeden, Manziel, Paxton Lynch, Tannehill, then go back a little more with Tebow, Sanchez, Ponder, Josh Freeman, Jake Locker and even RG3. It sets you back 4/5 years. This is why certain teams will never win a ring.

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    I hate to break it to you but Josh Rosen still can easily develop into a top 10 caliber QB in the NFL. Despite being given less than nothing to work with as a rookie he showed a whole lot of talent and potential, he is a far better QB than any other QB on your list. Tom Brady himself would of looked like garbage if he was playing in that same situation in Arizona last year. A seasoned veteran QB in Sam Bradford looked much worse behind that same offense, and the offense improved across the board going from Bradford ( Under Bradford: 0W-3L- 6.7 Points Per Game- 190YPG of total offense- 132 PassingYPG) to Josh Rosen (Under Rosen 3W-10L 15.8Points Per Game- 253.4YPG of total offense 175.2Passing YPG) in the exact same offense despite having nothing to work with. Once Kirk went down Josh Rosen had no one to throw to as teams could just take Fitz out of the game, and as the most hit/pressured QB in the NFL was playing UDFA rookie OL men and street free agents. Watch what he does with a bit more around him in a functional offensive scheme, he was thought of as the best pure passer coming out since Andrew Luck for a reason.

  15. cadreamer1969 says:
    April 6, 2019 at 4:01 pm
    Instead of QB#4 and QB#5 in the 1st round, wait on AZ and get Rosen. Another team should give a lower round draft pick for Nick Mullens. When comparing 8 games he played to 9 games Jimmy G played, Mullens and Jimmy Gs stats are close and Mullens did better in a few.
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    Arizona is getting rid of Josh Rosen though. The Josh Rosen trade narrative is largely media created, everything coming out of Arizona is that he is not available for trade. Teams have contacted Arizona about trading for him and all have been told he is not available and now news has broke that Josh Rosen is in PHX and will report w/ the team to the start of OTA’s Monday morning which all but guarantees Josh Rosen stays in Arizona as the Cardinals starting QB. If they planned on moving him they wouldnt allow him to OTA’s not wanting to risk him getting injured or hurt on the premises which would make him untradeable. Arizona and especially GM Steve Keim/HC Kingsbury have been very high on Josh Rosen and Kingsbury chose AZ specifically to work w/ Josh Rosen when he could of went to NY to coach the NYJ, which is why this has never made much sense especially considering Keim would be downgrading his team at QB if he traded him because Rosen would be the #1 pick in this years draft. This appears to have been a smoke screen from the start in an effort by AZ to get some team to trade up into the #1 overall spot .

    I dont think SF trades Nick Mullens either. Jimmy G is the definition of injury prone, 10 career starts and he’s been injured 3 times two of them serious injuries, SF cannot depend on him and they need a good backup behind him. Jimmy G also wasnt that good last year in Shanahans offense, Mullens stats were almost better across the board than Jimmy G’s. The 49ers very likely want to hang onto Mullens as insurance. They would definitely move CJ Beathard to another though, problem is no team wants to trade for Beathard most likely though.

  16. Teams reaching for need just in the last FIVE YEARS with Bortles, Rosen, Gabbart, E.J Manuel, Weeden, Manziel, Paxton Lynch, Tannehill, then go back a little more with Tebow, Sanchez, Ponder, Josh Freeman, Jake Locker and even RG3. It sets you back 4/5 years. This is why certain teams will never win a ring.

    I agree although tannehill was serviceable and rg was t a reach. He just didn’t play well after year 1. I wouldn’t say Sanchez was a reach at the time. Just because they fizzle out doesn’t mean it’s a reach. The other guys? Totally . And you need a good qb to be a winner. You need to keep trying to find that one. If I’m buffalo, NY and Cleveland? I saw enough from those 3 to not need to try. Arizona? I’m not at all impressed with Rosen so I’d kee trying

  17. draft. This appears to have been a smoke screen from the start in an effort by AZ to get some team to trade up into the #1 overall spot .

    I dont think SF trades Nick Mullens either. Jimmy G is the definition of injury prone, 10 career starts and he’s been injured 3 times two of them serious injuries, SF cannot depend on him and they need a good backup behind him. Jimmy G also wasnt that good last year in Shanahans offense, Mullens stats were almost better across the board than Jimmy G’s. The 49ers very likely want to hang onto Mullens as insurance. They would definitely move CJ Beathard to another though, problem is no team wants to trade for Beathard most likely though.

    1 0 Rate This
    Sorry. Rosen wouldn’t be number one this year. He was drafted 4 last year and it was justified in the way the qbs all played..

  18. hawkkiller says:
    April 6, 2019 at 1:17 pm
    Once it was reported that QB Josh Rosen will report w/ the rest of the team to the start of OTA’s on Monday that pretty much guarantees Josh Rosen is Arizona’s week 1 starting QB this season. If Arizona wanted to trade him or had a trade in the works they would ask him not to come because they wouldnt want him to get hurt and become an untradeable assett and they would not want him getting a copy of the new offensive playbook and learning what AZ plans to do offensively if he was going to be somewhere else.
    —————————————————————————————
    Hmm that would be true if he were making big money. Rosen is making 1.1 with a 2.1 cap it.There would be no urgency to trade him. The risk of injury in these camps is small for becoming an untradable asset and the things they are putting in at this point is basic stuff not game planning or giving anything away. I`m not sure why everyone assumes they have to trade Rosen right away if they draft Murray. You need 2 QB`s and Rosen is making less than most backups. Where he was drafted last season is irrelevant now so they will either get a trade they like or have their 2 QB`s.

  19. johnc44 says:
    April 6, 2019 at 4:55 pm
    hawkkiller says:
    April 6, 2019 at 1:17 pm
    Once it was reported that QB Josh Rosen will report w/ the rest of the team to the start of OTA’s on Monday that pretty much guarantees Josh Rosen is Arizona’s week 1 starting QB this season. If Arizona wanted to trade him or had a trade in the works they would ask him not to come because they wouldnt want him to get hurt and become an untradeable assett and they would not want him getting a copy of the new offensive playbook and learning what AZ plans to do offensively if he was going to be somewhere else.
    —————————————————————————————
    Hmm that would be true if he were making big money. Rosen is making 1.1 with a 2.1 cap it.There would be no urgency to trade him. The risk of injury in these camps is small for becoming an untradable asset and the things they are putting in at this point is basic stuff not game planning or giving anything away. I`m not sure why everyone assumes they have to trade Rosen right away if they draft Murray. You need 2 QB`s and Rosen is making less than most backups. Where he was drafted last season is irrelevant now so they will either get a trade they like or have their 2 QB`s.
    ===============================================

    Your theory doesnt make any sense dude. If Arizona wanted to trade Josh Rosen they most definitely would not let him on the premises and would ask him to stay home and away from OTA’s because if he were to get hurt while on the property Arizona would be on the hook for his salary this season and he would become untradeable, causing Arizona to instantly miss out on a very high draft pick while also forcing them to invest in yet another QB. If Arizona wanted to trade him, it is common sense they would just ask him to stay away from OTA’s until the trade is worked out rather than risking millions of dollars and a high draft pick due to Rosen getting injured, Arizona wouldnt take that risk. It’s been protocol for a long time in the NFL to ask players to stay away from off season activities if a team plans on trading them. Arizona wouldnt want him knowing anything about their offense if he wasnt going to be around either.

    It is now April 6th, the Arizona Cardinals report Monday morning for the start of the off-season program yet Arizona has yet to shop Josh Rosen or make him available on the market. If the Cardinals havent shopped him yet with the draft less than 3 weeks away they’re not going to, Arizona knows what they want to do at this point and that plan involves Josh Rosen as the starting QB .

  20. onebuffalove716 says:
    April 6, 2019 at 4:40 pm
    draft. This appears to have been a smoke screen from the start in an effort by AZ to get some team to trade up into the #1 overall spot .

    I dont think SF trades Nick Mullens either. Jimmy G is the definition of injury prone, 10 career starts and he’s been injured 3 times two of them serious injuries, SF cannot depend on him and they need a good backup behind him. Jimmy G also wasnt that good last year in Shanahans offense, Mullens stats were almost better across the board than Jimmy G’s. The 49ers very likely want to hang onto Mullens as insurance. They would definitely move CJ Beathard to another though, problem is no team wants to trade for Beathard most likely though.

    1 0 Rate This
    Sorry. Rosen wouldn’t be number one this year. He was drafted 4 last year and it was justified in the way the qbs all played..

    =====================================

    Josh Rosen definitely would be the #1 QB in this years class because he is better than all of the QBs coming out in this years class. And given the situation he was in last season with less than nothing to work with around him he still showed far more talent as a passer than Josh freaking Allen did, Allen cannot hit the ocean with a football from the beach. Of all 5 QB’s drafted in the first round Allen is the only sure fire bust, he looks good on the move running but that’s all he can do. He sucks when it comes to actually playing the position of QB, cannot read defenses or throw with any kind of accuracy. Josh Rosen will be a far better NFL QB than Josh Allen will.

  21. Dwayne Haskins couldn’t do much with a loaded roster. Plus he only started one year. Teams beware.

  22. Pats take Finley at 32. After Brady retires, Bill wins yet another SB this time with a QB from NC State that no one was talking about on draft day.

    If anyone could do it the Pats could…

  23. Josh Rosen stinks.
    Arizona gains leverage by keeping status quo look with Rosen.

    They should auction that bum off between now until April 25 & sell to the highest bidder.

    I agree with patsfan4life on Haskins.
    He will not ever be a good NFL QB.
    Buyer beware is right.

  24. onebuffalove716 says:
    April 6, 2019 at 4:37 pm

    And you need a good qb to be a winner.
    _______________________________________

    Trent Dilfer wants to know your address, he wants to send you a yearly Christmas card for calling him a good QB!!!

  25. Vikings trade up for Bustwater?! Give them credit for doing all the little things to contend year in year out for last place in the NFC North every year!

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