Quarterback market has exploded in less than two years

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From 2013 through 2016, the quarterback market stagnated. From 2017 through now, the quarterback market has exploded.

Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers enjoyed an extended stretch as the highest-paid player in the NFL, with a new-money average of $22 million per year, until Colts quarterback Andrew Luck finally leapfrogged Rodgers in 2016, with $24.6 million per year. An NFL player finally reached the $25 million mark on June 22, 2017, when Raiders quarterback Derek Carr signed a deal with five new years and $125 million in new money.

In less than 22 months since then, the high-water mark has increased by another $10 million per year.

From Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford ($27 million per year) to 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo ($27.5 million) to Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins ($28 million) to Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan ($30 million) to Rodgers ($33.5 million) to Wilson ($35 million), the market has gone higher and higher.

That will continue, as more quarterbacks move toward new deals. While some, like Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott and Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, won’t beat Wilson’s average, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes and Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield seemed destined to do so. (It’s hard to get a feel for where Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz will land on that spectrum.)

As the cap continues to increase and, in turn, franchise-tag amounts continue to grow, quarterbacks whose contracts are concluding will have more and more leverage. And multiple quarterbacks will eventually be making more money than Wilson.

The last time Wilson signed a long-term deal, his $21.9 million per year new-money average was close to the top of the market. As of Monday, his annual average landed in the middle of the pack. Within the next four years, Wilson could be right back there.

110 responses to “Quarterback market has exploded in less than two years

  1. This is ridiculous. Plain old QB greed and nothing to do with what’s best for the team. Every single team that goes down this route has paid for the poor decision to devote such massive chunks of the salary cap to one player… in the win/loss column. Hope Seattle enjoys watching their team stay mired in mediocrity while Russell makes way more money than anyone ever needs in a lifetime.

  2. Paying actual franchise QB’s big money is a must in the NFL.

    What if you paid a QB big money and you got Kirk Cousins?

    Poor Barneys

  3. We all know Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, etc are in a different tier than Kirk Cousins and Russell Wilson. So this will not be sustainable. Once teams figure out how to best handle the QB contract, this will all turn. It is cyclical – just as the RB market has dropped in recent years. Once teams figure out how to draft a 1st round QB every 4 to 6 years and develop them, we will have a whole new strategic advantage salary cap speaking.

  4. Can’t wait to see garbage football when 4-5 players take up 95% of a team’s salary cap and the entire rest of the roster is forced to be on min deals.

    This constant leapfrogging is ridiculous. Aaron Rodgers is a better QB than Russell Wilson. Wilson shouldn’t have gotten more than him.

  5. Based on career accomplishments, Cousins, Garropolo and Stafford probabably shouldn’t have gotten as much as they did, nor should Dak Prescott be paid in that range.

  6. It is maddening when the third best quarterback in the NFC West gets the biggest paycheck in the entire NFL. Jimmy G averaged over 300 yards per game passing in 2017, and Jared Goff has led his team to the Super Bowl. Wilson was ranked 25th in the NFL in passing yards in 2018 and he was unable to be beat a weak Dallas team in the playoffs. If Seattle finishes 2nd again or even third and out of the playoffs, I wonder if the new owner is going to fire Petey.

  7. “From Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford ($27 million per year) to 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo ($27.5 million) to Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins ($28 million) to Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan ($30 million) to Rodgers ($33.5 million) to Wilson ($35 million), the market has gone higher and higher.”
    ——————————-

    And every one of those deals was around 16.5% of the existing salary cap at that time. Just like Peter King researched the 1997 QB market when Favre, Bledsoe and Aikman were ALSO making 16.5% of the salary cap back then.

    So what’s the issue? The elite QB market HAS NOT moved up or down. And I would EXPECT the next big contract to also be 16.5% of whatever the salary cap will be.

  8. Quarterbacks are very important. If you find a top 3 QB you have to pay him.

    People comparing Russell to A-Rod aren’t considering the fact that Rodgers isn’t a team player or leader, and has had issues with coaches. There hasn’t necessarily been a lack of talent around him. It’s a diva issue.

    Also, let’s look at what just happened to the Rams. They were able to build a solid overall team with a stout defense and run game. What happened in the Super Bowl? They couldn’t even score one TD because they didn’t have a quarterback.

    Sure, it will be a challenge to build a top tier squad on both sides of the ball when you are paying one guy that much. But it can be done.

  9. So Rogers had a hangup over not being highest paid before, the argument is that if he is better than other qbs then hes getting shortchanged if hes not getting paid more. I wonder if this impacts his ability to be happy with his most recent contract if its not been beaten.

  10. I’m shocked that Sam Bradford isn’t in the running for big contract (joking). I’m certain that 99.9% of the posters on here would, if given the chance, accept a contract like these.

  11. fmackaw says:
    April 16, 2019 at 10:52 am
    Can’t wait to see garbage football when 4-5 players take up 95% of a team’s salary cap and the entire rest of the roster is forced to be on min deals.

    This constant leapfrogging is ridiculous. Aaron Rodgers is a better QB than Russell Wilson. Wilson shouldn’t have gotten more than him.
    —-

    The min. deals will be for draftees and walk ons because they don’t have much choice. Everyone else in that teams system with any talent when their initial contract finishes may walk. But they will only walk to teams not playing the same game of a few guys make most of the money.

  12. I’m not making reference to the Wilson deal with this comment, but some teams keep overpaying for mediocre QBs, thus driving the price up. Plus, as is proven year after year, a franchise QB is hard to come by, so once a team feels they have found one, they pay up at nearly any cost. You can always find a new RB, WR etc., not so easy finding a franchise QB. IMO

  13. jman967 says: “It’s called a bubble. They generally burst.”
    ————————

    The QB market has ALWAYS been around 16.5% of the salary cap. From 1997 Brett Favre to 2019 Russell Wilson.

  14. I wouldn’t add Mayfield into that conversation just yet. He’s had one season in the league. Let’s see how he looks after this season, when defensive co-ordinators have had an offseason to study him. Lots of hype surrounding Mayfield and the Browns, but it’s all talk until they do it on the field.

  15. Looks like the QBs are going to suck up the entire increase of the cap and leave the same amount for everyone else.

  16. This is also the other side of the franchise tag. QBs especially can push the narrative of pay me 2 or 3 years on the tag for big money or just pay me the big money and get it over with.

    The franchise tag can be used by players to max out their income.

  17. It’s funny how people complain about what other people are making. You don’t get paid what you deserve. You get paid what you NEGOTIATE. Clearly Seattle valued his service as such. Way to get your money Russ!

  18. Until teams can be consistently successful with below average QBs, there’s no reason not to overpay above average QBs. They have the leverage. Teams would rather be a fringe playoff team with the QB position settled than spend an indeterminate number of years in QB purgatory.
    It is a little puzzling that more quality veteran QBs don’t look at Brady’s contract and put 2 & 2 together. It’s not like he’s is taking the veteran minimum, but he’s giving his team flexibility.

  19. Soon the winningest team in the NFL will be the one that convinces the QB to make less so they can spend money on other players. If my goal was to win the big game, and I genuinely loved where I was playing, I’d want people just as talented around me. I seriously doubt any team in the NFL can nail every draft that well. Pretty sure that team exists now, I’ll let you figure out which one it is.

  20. So basically….once your franchise finally finds a franchise QB, your ability to field a competitive team ceases. This isn’t good for the NFL that once a Rodgers or Wilson become great and out live their rookie deals, GMs can’t afford to build a quality team around them.

  21. Look at the teams those guys play for. How have they largely done? Even Indy, which is doing well, is able to do so because they had a couple rookie all-pros. When those guys come up in a few years for new contracts the team is going to have to make some hard choices.

  22. With all the rules in place to protect Qbs it appears to be one of the safest investments a team can make. The impact a franchise qb has on not only the offense but also keeping the defense off of the field makes the money palatable. And then teams calculate the impact qbs have in putting folks in the stands and merchandise flying off the shelf and it is a no brainer.

  23. akira1971 says:
    April 16, 2019 at 11:06 am

    jman967 says: “It’s called a bubble. They generally burst.”
    ————————

    The QB market has ALWAYS been around 16.5% of the salary cap. From 1997 Brett Favre to 2019 Russell Wilson.
    ===================================================================================
    –you mentioned this stat more than once, do you have actual numbers or data to back up your stated 16.5% of the cap in the past–

  24. The Vikings messed up bad and were so desperate with no Superbowl wins the way overpaid for Cousins, a proven mediocre QB, even though they had a decent cheap QB that at least one a play-off game. 49ers are still a bit unknown since Jimmy has yet to beat a good team or play a full year, but that is a lot of money for a unproven QB that played a few games with superior coaching in New England. These two teams reset the QB market and shows simply that in the NFL there are teams with QB’s and teams with out QB’s that are perennial losers, and those without QB’s will always over pay. A QB like Dak now can command same type money as these two if not more, because if Jerry doesn’t pay him someone will. Same for Mahomes $40 million from the Chiefs, or many other teams will pay that.

  25. QB’s are the attraction for most teams.
    Teams are making more than enough off their QB’s.
    That being said, a lot of teams overpay a QB for a chance at the golden ring.

  26. Players make X amount on the whole. If half of that goes to 32 guys in the whole league, that just means the other 98% fight over scraps. SOunds like income inequality. Anyhoo…

    Another reason it’s good to be a Pats fan. Their QB takes less tha his worth, and there’s actually a middle class of players on their roster (2-5 million). Everyone else appears to be going with the “Stars and Scrubs” strategy.

  27. Does having a $35M quarterback outweigh having a 10-cent offensive line? (Minnesota Vikings)

    Or would a $35M offensive line be able to keep a 10-cent quarterback upright? (Cleveland Browns)

  28. Can PFT please do an article on Top 3 Paid QBs over the last 10 years and who won the Super Bowl each year.

    I suspect that making your QB a top 3 paid QB makes winning the Super Bowl much harder or nearly impossible.

  29. When is it going to stop? Some team is going to have to say to their QB Sorry, we just cant dedicate $40 mil of the cap to you.

    That QB is either going to trick a different team to pay him $40 mil, or come back to their team and sign a more team friendly deal.

    At some point enough is enough. I mean, how much evidence do teams need. Whenever a QB signs a huge deal the team gets worse overall.

  30. “The QB market has ALWAYS been around 16.5% of the salary cap. From 1997 Brett Favre to 2019 Russell Wilson.”

    Yes and the inflation is part of the rapidly increasing salary cap. Again, the rapidly increasing contracts are a bubble that’s about to burst. If you really think the 10+ million increase in salary cap is going to continue indefinitely year after year, I’ve got some bad news for you.
    So what happens when the cap increase stagnates? Because it will happen. Will QB contracts level out as well? Likely not, because players aren’t tying contracts to a % of the cap, even though you can retroactively evaluate that and see it has not changed.

  31. I’m sorry, but no NFL player is worth over $30 million per year.

    It is time for the NFL to impose positional salary caps that limit the annual cost of positions based on stats, win-loss rates, and years of service (games played). Every position should have a max ceiling and players can deal with it or whine.

  32. I can see paying a top QB, a guy who adds a few wins to your team.
    But paying a lot to :

    Andy Dalton

    Joe Flacco

    Ryan Tannehill

    is counterproductive. You are better off drafting a QB, paying them 700K, than paying Flacco 24MM. If teh draftd QB is bad, you will suffer, but if he’s average, you will have saved 20+MM that can be used to pay up to retain talented offensive players.
    Look at Andy Dalton without AJ Green and a top Olineman.

  33. The market hasn’t been broken by the GOAT. Brady keeps quietly celebrating these quarterbacks draining roster cash while he keeps counting RINGS. The NFC has inflated quarterbacks who’ve won nothing. Brady is projected to exit the NFL with 8 rings well into his 40’s. Like taking candy from a baby!!!

  34. Funny how sports is a microcosym of society: income inequality is pervasive, even among the affluent and those in specialized trades (like throwing a dead pig’s former epidermus).

  35. Rob Brzezinski is a Magician says:
    April 16, 2019 at 11:16 am
    I guarantee Aaron Rodgers is in Gutey’s office today looking for an adjustment to his contract. He made such a huge deal out of being the highest paid player and it only lasted this long? That will not sit well.
    Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

    I think that’s the bitter pill that drives Viking trolls crazy; Rodgers never said a word. He never manipulated anybody or anything, especially including the press. The Packers were upfront and told him they WANTED to pay him highly. He trusted the Packers and the process and got rewarded. He never complained or voiced an opinion the last time he signed a big contract, and was subsequently passed by several other quarterbacks. He never said anything then, and he won’t say anything now. You know that bitter pill I mentioned earlier? Eat it trolls! You’re stuck with Cousins. Good luck with that, while my thumb is on my nose and my fingers waggling!

  36. Anyone who’s still comparing Russell Wilson to Kirk Cousins doesn’t know football.

    Apparently Russ still has that “average QB carried by a defense and running game” stigma from his rookie year which is ridiculous. Watch him play and look at his numbers and record. He’s elite. If I’m starting a team today, the top available options at QB would be Russ, Luck, Rodgers, Mahomes, and Baker in no particular order.

  37. A lot of commenters above that don’t realize the salary cap has increased by at least $10 million in each of the last 6 years. This will probably get a ton of down votes.

  38. People are saying Wilson doesn’t deserve to be paid more than Rodgers. Consider that Wilson’s career record is 75-36-1 (.674), compared to Rodgers’ 100-57-1 (.636). Wilson has been to two Super Bowls and won one. Rodgers has just been to the one he won. Wilson has never had a losing season. Rodgers had a losing season just last year. Their career stats are very comparable, although Rodgers’ are a little better across the board. Rodgers is 35 and trending down, however, while Wilson is 30 and still going strong. Last season, Wilson was so much better than Rodgers it’s ridiculous. Any objective NFL observer would rather have Wilson for the next five years than Rodgers.

  39. Russell Wilson is going to need his magical concussion water because the team won’t be able to afford any decent linemen

  40. It’s amazing how a QB inking his new deal can still drive the dimwitted Barneys into enough of a lather to try and paint Aaron Rodgers into a villain once again.
    That man must have truly done a number on your team over the years for so much irrational hate to consume you all.
    It’s truly kind of funny.
    Never mind the fact that the Vikings own overspending on a mediocre QB has contributed as much as anything to all this.

    Truth be known, this is a very old story and an even older argument that has played out over the last several years, and will play out again as the next stable of young QBs approach free agency.
    Get over it.
    It’s the price of doing NFL business.
    It’s the price of being viable if a team truly seeks postseason success.
    It will continue to be the price, that is until someone comes up with a better plan to win football games.

  41. mumfio says: “you mentioned this stat more than once, do you have actual numbers or data to back up your stated 16.5% of the cap in the past”
    ————–

    Peter King’s MMQB days. Favre’s 2001 $11.514m was 17.1% of the cap that year. Peyton Manning, the year they made the Super Bowl against Saints, was at 17.2%.

  42. So many socialists are commenting on Wilson’s salary. In capitalist America, your worth is determined by how much someone is willing to pay you. By that definition, Wilson is worth every penny of his new contract.

  43. Apart from Brady and Manning, how many “paid” QBs have won a SB recently? I can’t think of any.

  44. I’m sorry, but no NFL player is worth over $30 million per year.

    It is time for the NFL to impose positional salary caps that limit the annual cost of positions based on stats, win-loss rates, and years of service (games played). Every position should have a max ceiling and players can deal with it or whine.
    ________________________________________________________

    OK,

    First, baseball players are making over $100 million per year right now, and they arent being hit by 300 pound guys and suffering crippling brain damage.

    Second, NFL stars are actually making significantly less than stars in other sports, despite the NFL making roughly $4 Billion more per year than the next leading sports league.

    Third, NFL players actually GAVE UP a few percent of annual pay in order to reduce contact practices in the offseason and drop the injury rate. So they already involuntarily took a pay cut.

    Fourth, your proposal is categorically impossible because of the existence of the NFL players union. They would NEVER allow that. And while the NFL could lock them out in an attempt to strong arm the matter, that would be financial suicide. Because of all the players under the NFLPA, youd be looking at a season of Zach Metterberg facing John Manzeil in the superbowl. Something nobody will watch

  45. jman967 says: “So what happens when the cap increase stagnates? Because it will happen. Will QB contracts level out as well? Likely not, because players aren’t tying contracts to a % of the cap, even though you can retroactively evaluate that and see it has not changed.”
    —————————

    History shows that it WILL level out. The salary cap was relatively flat between 2012-2013 going from $121m to $123m. In 2012, Brees signs a 5yr/$100m deal while in 2013 Super Bowl MVP Flacco got a 6yr/$121m.

    And incidentally, both deals were exactly in the 16.5% range.

  46. cueghost says:

    Dak Prescott is gonna be in for a surprise if he thinks Dallas is gonna pay him anywhere CLOSE to this neighborhood.
    ================================================

    If you think Jerry isn’t going to make him the highest paid player in the NFL then you don’t know him too well.

  47. “First, baseball players are making over $100 million per year right now, and they arent being hit by 300 pound guys and suffering crippling brain damage.”

    Mike Trout just signed the richest contract in baseball history, which was 12 years, $430 million. That’s about $36 million per year…not quite $100 million per year.

  48. In the next CBA wanna bet the league tries to put salary caps within the salary cap, ie. either position by position no QB can make more than X%, no RB Y%, etc. or just a flat no player can make more than X%.

    Then that will backfire like the NBA’s max contract where undeserving players will get that percentage “max” because somewhere one of the 32 NFL teams will be in need of their particular position and be willing to pay.

  49. 😂😂😂 all the qbs named in this article together have as many rings as tb12 😁😁😁

  50. I’d like to hear some comments about how much player salarys and owner revenue affect ticket prices, and what the average guy has to shell out to be a fan of and watch his favorite sport.

  51. LOL, Goff is a top 10 QB in the league who had a bad game in the SuperBowl. Plus he owns Seattle’s ass! How did the slant pass from Wilson do in the SB against the Pats! Pat’s are great you can’t measure Goff by 1 game against a dynasty.

    seabrawk12 says:
    April 16, 2019 at 10:57 am
    Quarterbacks are very important. If you find a top 3 QB you have to pay him.

    People comparing Russell to A-Rod aren’t considering the fact that Rodgers isn’t a team player or leader, and has had issues with coaches. There hasn’t necessarily been a lack of talent around him. It’s a diva issue.

    Also, let’s look at what just happened to the Rams. They were able to build a solid overall team with a stout defense and run game. What happened in the Super Bowl? They couldn’t even score one TD because they didn’t have a quarterback.

    Sure, it will be a challenge to build a top tier squad on both sides of the ball when you are paying one guy that much. But it can be done.

  52. He made such a huge deal out of being the highest paid player and it only lasted this long?
    —–
    Well, that’s revisionist Viking history. He in fact never said anything about being the league’s highest paid player. The media sure did, but never once did I read a quote from him or his agent saying such.

  53. Cousins
    Year
    Team
    CMP%
    YDS
    TD
    INT
    Rating
    2018

    Vikings
    70.1
    4,298
    30
    10
    99.7
    2017

    Redskins
    64.3
    4,093
    27
    13
    93.9
    2016

    Redskins
    67.0
    4,917
    25
    12
    97.2
    2015

    Redskins
    69.8
    4,166
    29
    11
    101.6
    2014

    Redskins
    61.8
    1,710
    10
    9
    86.4
    2013

    Redskins
    52.3
    854
    4
    7
    58.4
    2012

    Redskins
    68.8
    466
    4
    3
    101.6
    Career
    66.5
    20,504
    129
    65
    95.0

  54. Patriots fans have to pinch themselves every day when they wake up to be sure this Tom Brady thing with their team is real. So do his teammates. That’s Tom Brady, your 2017 League MVP and 2018 Super Bowl Champion QB….Long Live TB12!

  55. erinrodgersreachednirvana says:
    April 16, 2019 at 10:41 am

    Cousins and Stafford.

    Very funny stuff.
    ___________________________________________

    But Jimmy GQ was the funniest, NEVER PROVED A THINK AND GOT THE BIGGEST DEAL AT THE TIME!

  56. “You can just see the title now:

    How Kirk Cousins and Russell Wilson destroyed the NFL.”

    You’re wrong about that. The teams use every tool the CBA gives them to limit player pay. What these 2 guys have done is leverage the franchise tag portion of the CBA to maximize their pay.

    The owners wanted the tag originally as a way to retain a crucial player and compensate the team for all the players they took risks on that were busts and cost them millions to develop and have on the field.

    If teams can use the CBA to limit what they pay players, the smart players will use it a Cousins and Wilson have done. Essentially saying go right ahead and tag me. And keep tagging me. Its gonna cost you.

  57. “chickensalad43 says:
    April 16, 2019 at 11:44 am
    Anyone who’s still comparing Russell Wilson to Kirk Cousins doesn’t know football.
    Apparently Russ still has that “average QB carried by a defense and running game” stigma from his rookie year which is ridiculous. Watch him play and look at his numbers and record. He’s elite. If I’m starting a team today, the top available options at QB would be Russ, Luck, Rodgers, Mahomes, and Baker in no particular order.”

    Maybe you left Brady out because of his age but TB brings eyeballs, love or hate him, you’re either rooting for him or hoping he gets crushed. Anyways, viewers brings in money and Brady also wins…kind of a lot. Winning brings other FAs to town to join the fun (see the hundreds of 1 year deals that have been a win/win for both player and team). I could argue all day for many reasons why I WOULD start a team with Tom Brady, even at 42. Would it shock anyone if 5 years from now, at 47 yrs old, he leads the Pats to 12-4 with a 31TD, 13Int stat line and wins his 8th or 9th SB?

    Everyone loves deciding when this guy is done…except him. Tune it for more!

  58. udub says:
    April 16, 2019 at 11:34 am
    When is it going to stop?

    That QB is either going to trick a different team to pay him $40 mil, or come back to their team and sign a more team friendly deal.’
    ________________________

    You find out what teams think of their QBs, you all ready do, Kirk Cousins didn’t fool Washington and snagged Alex Smith, but Seattle didn’t feel they had, or could quickly find a better option, guys like Dalton, Cousins, and Flacco are an improvement at the QB spot, for a 25% of the teams in the league, and those teams would jump at them… but if you know they aren’t franchise material sometimes you need to take one step back to take two forward.

  59. At some point when do you think players in the locker room will not be happy about this because it means they’ll have to take less money so Russell can get more money every year than a person could sensibly spend in a lifetime? If I were an owner I’d tell him that since he has that much money they won’t be able to pay their offensive line so he’s going to have to make do with an offensive line that can’t block anyone. Wilson cares more about money than about winning so he probably doesn’t care.

    I’d have to think this means Clark is gone since they can’t afford to keep him after this.

  60. I might be wrong, but I believe it was Bill Walsh that said you should draft a QB in every draft. If you can use him and he works out, you’ve got something. If you can’t use him you can always trade him. But you never know when you will uncover that diamond in the rough.

  61. @erinrodgersreachednirvana

    Aaron Rodgers – highest paid, injured two years in a row, Team completely incapable and decimated without him.

    VERY, VERY “funny stuff”

  62. Empty stadiums, unpurshed memorible, televisions turned off. It is just a game. Won’t happen. But should

  63. Pat Mahomes is going to get PAID
    kcflake says:
    ……………………………………………………
    Only Patrick and a couple of other guys I would open the bank vault for, Because what can you say for a guy taking his Team pretty much with the WORSE DEFENSE 31st rank and having them not only make the Playoffs but also have the BEST record in the AFC, Something that’s unheard of in the History of the game. That’s why he was the Runaway MVP and the Best player in the league.

  64. “History shows that it WILL level out. The salary cap was relatively flat between 2012-2013 going from $121m to $123m. In 2012, Brees signs a 5yr/$100m deal while in 2013 Super Bowl MVP Flacco got a 6yr/$121m.

    And incidentally, both deals were exactly in the 16.5% range.”

    Please direct me to the point in history when the salary cap was rising %6+ every year and the contracts tied to that immediately leveled out when the inflation stopped or regressed, because that’s what we are talking about. You are cherry picking historical instances where things happened and applying it to now, under a completely different set of circumstances. Use some logic and sense, instead of blind stat spewing, like you have done this whole time. TV deals have ballooned the cap, which in turn has ballooned contracts. QBs, WRs, Dlineman are playing the one up game every offseason now for the highest contract and we are approaching a new CBA negotiation period. On top of the changing viewership demographics that will likely, directly affect TV revenues moving forward. But I’m sure you considered all of that when you were reading the MMQB articles and reposting “16.5%, 16.5%, 16.5%” with no context…

  65. >>exinsidetrader says: Can PFT please do an article on Top 3 Paid QBs over the last 10 years and who won the Super Bowl each year. <<
    No, because they don't stay the highest paid for long.

  66. jman967 says: “Please direct me to the point in history when the salary cap was rising %6+ every year and the contracts tied to that immediately leveled out when the inflation stopped or regressed, because that’s what we are talking about.”
    ——————–

    Fine. 2003-2009. Salary caps of: $75m-$81m-$86m-$102m-$109m-$116m-$123m, ranging from +6% to +19%. Then flatlines from 2011-2013 with salary caps of only $120m-$121m-$123m.

    As I pointed out, QB contracts signed from that three-year flatline period were all in the SAME $20m mark (Brees, Flacco, Matt Ryan, etc.) without any increase.

    IS THAT ENOUGH PROOF FOR YOU?

  67. jman967 says: “On top of the changing viewership demographics that will likely, directly affect TV revenues moving forward. But I’m sure you considered all of that when you were reading the MMQB articles and reposting “16.5%, 16.5%, 16.5%” with no context…”
    ====================

    You do know the NFL is a BUSINESS, right? Pretty sure they have a couple of smart businessmen to analyze the shifting viewership habits and be able to sell those broadcast rights to whatever new services to reach those fans. Fact that Amazon, Facebook, Twitter, Verizon, Yahoo, etc all have billions in bids for sports rights means the NFL is not dying any time soon.

  68. omeimontis says:
    April 16, 2019 at 10:54 am
    It is maddening when the third best quarterback in the NFC West gets the biggest paycheck in the entire NFL. Jimmy G averaged over 300 yards per game passing in 2017, and Jared Goff has led his team to the Super Bowl. Wilson was ranked 25th in the NFL in passing yards in 2018 and he was unable to be beat a weak Dallas team in the playoffs. If Seattle finishes 2nd again or even third and out of the playoffs, I wonder if the new owner is going to fire Petey.
    ====================================

    LoL. Jimmy G is the worst QB in the NFC and is never available, he has played in 10 career starts and has suffered 3 different injuries 2 of them very serious injuries that sidelined him for months. When he was on the field he threw pick after pick after last season and was extremely unimpressive. The 49ers already know they made a massive mistake in paying that guy but this is the year they’ll have to admit it publically once he goes down AGAIN which is going to happen he is Sam Glassford 2.0.

  69. Have to love the fake Chiefs fans extolling the “unheard of in the history of the league” performance by the AFC Championship first half no show Patty Mahomes and his ability to overcome the “31st ranked defense…”. I would hope that the 2 or 3 knowledgeable Chiefs fans would know that they had the 24th ranked D, not great but not as awful as some know nothing would suggest in order to over value Mahomes. As good as he is and should continue to improve, why is it that he managed to do virtually nothing in the first half of both games against the Pats (9 points total), very possibly costing his team their first SB appearance in 50 nearly years?

  70. Michael E says:
    April 16, 2019 at 12:38 pm
    cueghost says:

    Dak Prescott is gonna be in for a surprise if he thinks Dallas is gonna pay him anywhere CLOSE to this neighborhood.
    ================================================

    If you think Jerry isn’t going to make him the highest paid player in the NFL then you don’t know him too well.
    ——-
    You clearly haven’t been paying attention for the last 7 or so years.

  71. I agree with the bubble poster. Kind of like how everyone was excited by 5 QBs in the first 10 picks (It must be the Marino Class!!). No it is not.

    The fact that contracts go the way they do is no indication of anything other than the fact that people think the QB wins championships (and step away Pats fans, BB could have made anyone a contender and any QB look fantastic) while ignoring the reality that there’s a whole bunch of people who make that happen.

    Numbers are awesome, but all you have to do is look at the desperation of the Vikings for a guy who will never be confused with a franchise QB or be in the discussion for a 5th ballot HOF. The fact that people spend doesn’t mean quality. If often just means a bad business decision.

  72. stellarperformance says:
    April 16, 2019 at 11:44 am

    Rob Brzezinski is a Magician says:
    April 16, 2019 at 11:16 am
    I guarantee Aaron Rodgers is in Gutey’s office today looking for an adjustment to his contract. He made such a huge deal out of being the highest paid player and it only lasted this long? That will not sit well.
    Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

    I think that’s the bitter pill that drives Viking trolls crazy; Rodgers never said a word. He never manipulated anybody or anything, especially including the press. The Packers were upfront and told him they WANTED to pay him highly. He trusted the Packers and the process and got rewarded. He never complained or voiced an opinion the last time he signed a big contract, and was subsequently passed by several other quarterbacks. He never said anything then, and he won’t say anything now. You know that bitter pill I mentioned earlier? Eat it trolls! You’re stuck with Cousins. Good luck with that, while my thumb is on my nose and my fingers waggling!
    ___________

    How mature of you. I love how you suppress the memory of Rodgers publicly stating that he wished Matt Ryan would sign his contract so he could get around to negotiating with the Packers. I know you want to pretend your hero doesn’t care about money but you don’t renegotiate a contract with two years left on it unless you’re unhappy with it. NFL teams aren’t in the business of going up to their players and offering them more money just because they think they deserve it.

  73. How much can the qb salary grow, are we looking at 4yrs/ 200 million contract in the future? What will it do with the salary cap? Wilson making almost 19 percent of cap, leaves 81 percent for 52 players.

  74. Wisconsin Is SUPERIOR! says:
    April 16, 2019 at 1:08 pm
    Stafford started this madness. And look where the Lions are now.

    ———————-

    Yeah, 4-0 against your sorry team over the past two years, Wisconsin is (NOT) Superior!

    ROAR!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! #ONEPRIDE

  75. You can pay these guys and make all the reasons why you should or have to, but the stone cold fact is no SB winning team ever paid their QB more than 13.4% and that was to Young the very first year of the salary cap. Since then no SB winning team has paid their QB more than 12.1% of the cap(Peyton) and only four SB winners paid more than 11% of the cap Peyton X2, Eli and Brady. Also recent research shows that these teams that choose to pay their QBs top dollar have less of a chance of making the Playoffs and almost never reach the Championship game let alone the SB. So all the facts so far say this high QB pay doesn’t equate to Championships, but that won’t stop teams from doing it. How smart is that especially when so many teams are moving towards analytics and the study of these numbers, but this is one that seems to fly right over their heads and they haven’t even noticed it.

    But go ahead and keep paying them, we need some more research specimens!

  76. OH BTW of the 6 highest paid QBs in the NFL last season exactly 0, NONE, NOTTA, ZERO, ZILCH made the Playoffs!

  77. The problem is the NFL keeps raising the cap total about 10 million a year on average, now at around 190 million total, about a 15-20% yearly pay increase. A lot of hard working people would like to get that kind of pay increase every year.

  78. Why is this a problem? Isn’t this how capitalism works? He is receiving market value for his services. If Seattle decided not to pay him, I can imagine there be about twenty teams willing to pay him the same amount of money.

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