PFT 2019 storyline No. 15: Will Kyler Murray be the NFL’s next big thing?

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As NFL quarterbacks go, Kyler Murray is as little as they get. But that may not stop Murray from becoming the NFL’s next big thing. Whether he does lands at storyline No. 15 as the 2019 season appraoches.

From the moment he chose football over baseball, Murray captured the imagination of scouts, coaches, players, and fans. In this golden age of quarterbacking, Patrick Mahomes and Baker Mayfield became the darlings of the league in 2018, a year after Deshaun Watson was all the rage, until he suffered a torn ACL.

Despite his (lack of) size, Murray brings an explosiveness that the league hasn’t seen since Mike Vick, but possibly with a better set of passing skills. While Murray may not be the next Mahomes, Murray doesn’t need to be a 50-touchdown MVP to justify Arizona’s faith in him.

Ulimately, it was an easy analysis. The Cardinals have struggled with young quarterbacks in recent years (decades), getting their best performances from veterans like Kurt Warner and Carson Palmer. Murray could be their first born-and-raised franchise quarterback since moving to the desert 31 years ago.

Sure, there’s a chance he’ll be a bust. That he won’t be able to stay healthy once he’s hit hard by NFL-caliber defensive players. That his speed and other skills won’t translate to the pro game.

The risk is worth it. And it’s far better to roll the dice on Murray and get it wrong than to pass on him and have him become a star player for someone else.

If he becomes a star for the Cardinals, the NFC West becomes very interesting, perhaps before long the best division in the league.

44 responses to “PFT 2019 storyline No. 15: Will Kyler Murray be the NFL’s next big thing?

  1. The current big thing, and the future big thing…….will remain Mr. Patrick Mahomes.
    Please do not insult him by insinuating Kyle “BUST” Murray can even carry his bags.
    Mahomes is the current and the future.
    Bye Brady
    Forget it Murray

  2. Used to be NFL teams would sit rookie QBs and ease them onto the field. Now first round picks are shipped off after the first year for the next big thing….

  3. And what happens if Murray DOESN’T become a star for the Cardinals? What if he gets hurt, or his skill set doesn’t transfer well to the NFL game? What will the franchise do then? They already traded away Rosen, and they have essentially no one to back up Murray. This team has totally wasted Larry Fitzgerald’s career, and they’re on their way to doing the same thing with David Johnson. I will be very surprised if Arizona wins more than three games this year, although it would be nice to see.

  4. I think his stats will look pretty decent. That offense features tons of short throws so he’ll get plenty of yards and completions and interceptions will likely be fairly low because he won’t be throwing downfield all that often. But I also predict they’ll struggle moving the ball inside the opponents’ 30 so for all his apparent production there won’t be a ton of points being scored. Ultimately, Murray’s success or failure will be decided with a different coach running a more traditional offense.

  5. The only thing you can say that makes sense now is nobody knows. Like all these highly hyped rookies until they get into regular season games no one knows if they will be bust or boom.

  6. No, he’s the next little gimmick who for a bit will have some fools thinking big – eg Tebow.

  7. Mahomes may be the best QB the league has seen in generations. I wish the best for Kyler, the Cardinals and Coach Bro, but Murray will be boom or bust…

  8. I have a feeling this guy is going to be a bust. Facing one or two NFL caliber/speed players in college is way different than facing 11 guys that are all the best players of any team he faced his whole career. Not a new argument but I just think he is going to get broken behind that AZ OL. Mahomes had a pretty decent OL to help him. Top 15 at least and the AZ Cardinals had the worst OL in the league last year.

    Murray is going to get Murraydured

  9. Another commentor earlier nailed it, methinks. This offense will feature a lot of high percentage plays for Murray to avoid big mistakes, or at least that’s what likely planned. I think Arizona is okay with losing next year with the bet that the Murray-Kingsbury experiment will eventually take flight, so I don’t think they’ll force the issue strategically in the same way that they would if they were contending. They’ll likely lose a lot of games, and Murray will appear to have solid stats, but the offense will struggle in the red zone and with making big plays, and likely have more than a few three-and-outs.

    A bigger factor in how Murray turns out is actually his coach. Kingsbury was not a winning coach in college, despite some gaudy offensive passing stats, but even if he consider his offensive philosophy a plus, his lack of experience in handling a full NFL season will impact Murray more noticeably than if Murray had gone to, say, Andy Reid in KC. Kingsbury’s ability to adjust throughout the year (as any good coach would do with any QB of any experience level) is also extremely important in determining how successful Murray will be, beyond Murray’s own individual’s success or failure.

  10. A lot will depend on how successful Kingsbury’s system works. With the players he has, and against NFL caliber defenses.
    Spurrier 2.0? Or maybe not. It’s on Kliff because Murray can play.
    Maybe not at an NFL level, but I doubt the offense clicks but he misses all his reads and fails to hit open guys.

  11. mding729 says:
    July 9, 2019 at 1:57 pm
    nope, he is over rated. he was terrible against bama in the football playoffs
    ——–
    308 yards 2TD no INT
    109 rushing 1 TD
    No fumbles.

  12. I don’t think Kyler is going into the best situation in Arizona.. No question he can throw it well, but the issue is the Cardinals allowed over 50 sacks last year, can Kyler’s body handle that?

  13. harrisonhits2 says:

    July 9, 2019 at 2:00 pm

    The only thing you can say that makes sense now is nobody knows. Like all these highly hyped rookies until they get into regular season games no one knows if they will be bust or boom.

    Exactly get back to me in November to see where he is as a QB. I am not at all saying he is going to be a bust but NFL defenses are a whole different animal than the Big 12 where defense is optional.

  14. Mr Genius says:
    July 9, 2019 at 1:52 pm

    The current big thing, and the future big thing…….will remain Mr. Patrick Mahomes.
    Please do not insult him by insinuating Kyle “BUST” Murray can even carry his bags.
    Mahomes is the current and the future.
    Bye Brady
    Forget it Murray
    ____________________________

    The frustration is palpable in your post. I would be frustrated too if a 6’4″ QB with very limited physical abilities has OWNED the league since 2001.
    MAN, that has to be frustrating.

    Paddy great, but don’t hate on new guys cuz you have a creepy borderline man-crush on the 22 yr QB in KC

  15. “Baker Mayfield 2.0”

    —————-

    You mean a malcontent with an irrational chip on his shoulder, and inability to not say stupid things?

    pretty lofty expectations.

  16. It’s only been a few months since Tom Brady won his 6th super bowl, and he’s about the least athletic QB I’ve ever seen. So the game hasn’t changed. The QB position is still 90% mental, 10% physical. Nick Foles just won a super bowl a couple years ago, and we’re seeing guys like Matt Ryan and Jared Goff lead their teams to super bowls. We’re not seeing RGIII winning anything, and he’s a phenomenal athlete, just like Kyler Murray. We’re much more likely to see QB’s like Daniel Jones and Ryan Finley dominate the league, than we are guys like Kyler Murray. Unless something drastic changes.

  17. I expect Murray to play in and win the same number of Super Bowls as Mike Vick. He’ll sell a lot of jerseys for a year or two, though, so he’s got that going for him.

  18. “nope, he was over rated. He was terrible against bama in the football playoffs”

    Ah…

    So you didn’t actually watch the game.

    Generally a pre-requisite for commenting on it…but what the hell…it’s the internet

  19. All the athleticism in the world won’t matter if he doesn’t have the work ethic to become a fully developed quarterback.

  20. He would have been in the Big Leagues fairly fast. He has the bat speed of Bill Madlock with more power. Swings up more (they teach that now). As an athlete (with that arm too), I would guess he had a shot as a perennial gold glove.

    I’d take the 30 Mil to play in the NFL. Beats the minor leagues and who knows if he could hit ML hitting or if he was a 4A player (those not in the know, 4A means all star in triple A and not good enough for the Bigs).

    But man, he has a nice swing. 30 mil now vs maybe a 2nd contract in baseball? If he fails now, it will be a 4 to 5 year failure and he can play baseball again. I guarantee he still goes to a batting cage over the next 4 years. I would.

  21. factschecker says:
    July 9, 2019 at 2:40 pm
    mding729 says:
    July 9, 2019 at 1:57 pm
    nope, he is over rated. he was terrible against bama in the football playoffs
    ——–
    308 yards 2TD no INT
    109 rushing 1 TD
    No fumbles.
    +++

    Wrong. Stats were mostly in the second half after Alabama had a three to four touchdown lead. Did none of you see Anfernee Jennings jerk Murray down by his jersey?

    There is going to be a LOT of that this fall.

  22. No. Every year it’s the next thing. Vick, Kaep, Jackson, Murray. And every year a pocket passer with a solid defense wins the super bowl.

  23. I still think the best option would have been to have Murray and Rosen compete and even keep both for at least another year. One year on a terrible team isn’t the best indicator of how Rosen will develop or end up. When one proves himself, then trade the other away. The Cards could have given themselves more insurance on the search for this important position.

  24. The media is trying to pump him up way too much. It will take 2-3 yrs to see if he can hang. He couldn’t hang on to the Texas A&M job. I don’t know if he can stand up behind the Cardinals O-line its trouble for any QB, it could be the run for your life offense.

  25. RG3andout was a bust the first time around. What will make this time different?

  26. I think he’ll be like a lot of guys and have a great first year when everything is new. Then D coordinators will have some tape on them and the dream is over.

  27. And for the first pick in the 2020 draft the Arizona Cardinals select Tua Tagovailoa

  28. PFT 2019 storyline No. 15: Will Kyler Murray be the NFL’s next big thing?
    ____________________________________________

    I could have sowrn that’s what they thought about Rosen when they moved up to 10th to draft him? 🤔 😜

  29. Hardly any positives. This guy is a passer first and what more could he have done in college to project better as a pro. Kyler will be a top QB in this league and many of you will eat your words just like when you said no way he would be drafted #1.

  30. Murray posted the highest PFF grade in their history of college grading and is the only college QB to ever throw for over 4300+YDs w/ 43TDs-7INTs while also rushing for over 1000+YDs w/ 12TDs ranking #1 in the country in several statistics w/ a 199 QB Rating while also posting the highest QBR EVER among all FBS passers breaking Russell Wilson’s 95.1QBR posting a 95.7 QBR last season. Murray can beat defenses w/ both his arm and legs possessing 4.28-4.30 40yd speed w/ the ability to throw on the run to either his left or right w/ precision accuracy and Murray is being dropped into a system he already thoroughly understands, into an offense with a lot of talent and a lot of speed already on it w/ David Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk, Andy Isabella, Hakeem Butler, Keesean Johnson, Kevin White, Charles Clay, Ricky Seals Jones, Caleb Wilson, Maxx Williams and 2nd year dual threat back Chase Edmonds. Murray has been dominant at every level he’s ever played and has been groomed to play the position since he was a child, he is going to be just fine in Arizona and will become one of the leagues top QB’s in the very near future.

  31. He’s certainly been the sports media’s “next big thing” click-bait since draft day, why would one expect anything else for the next 2 months?

  32. I think it is laughable that we are still talking about height. I know Pats fans won’t like this (they don’t like anything) but Drew Brees, arguably the best QB still playing of this generation, is shorter than I am. Russell Wilson is short than that. New offenses just don’t need height to be good. They need good QBs.

    Now do I think that is Murray? Who knows. Maybe we can let him actually play a down….

  33. webster8723 says:

    July 9, 2019 at 2:31 pm

    Baker Mayfield 2.0
    __________________________________________
    I don’t know if this is a complement or a slam. The Jury is still out on Baker but trending to be a good QB. The Jury verdict is he elite or just the average starter.

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