Bills favored by 17 points for first time since 1992

Getty Images

There’s nothing new about the Dolphins being on the wrong side of an oversized point spread this season and they will be in that position again in Week Seven.

The Bills are favored to beat them by 17 points and that kind of a spread is unusual for Buffalo. They have not been favored by that many points since a 1992 game against the Jets, although it’s not a topic of conversation that holds much interest for head coach Sean McDermott.

“If you’re focused on that, then you’re focused on the wrong things,” McDermott said, via ESPN.com. “We’ve got to focus on where we’re at, where we need to improve and make sure we’re ready to go on Sunday. [Miami] is a good football team.”

It hasn’t been too long since the Bills were in a similar position as the Dolphins. They were 17-point underdogs to the Vikings in Week Three of last season.

Both that game and the 1992 game offer cautionary tales for both bettors and the Bills. They beat the Vikings 27-6 in Josh Allen’s first start while the Jim Kelly-led Bills of 1992 lost 24-17 to a Jets team on its way to a 4-12 record.

29 responses to “Bills favored by 17 points for first time since 1992

  1. Can the Dolphins really be that bad that a team with a QB that throws picks and fumbles more than he scores TD’s is favored by 17 points?

    You have to take the points here.

  2. I love the Dolphins to cover here. Now all I need to do is find more money to bet with since I have been wrong about almost every single other prediction I’ve made this season.

  3. joetoronto says:
    October 17, 2019 at 7:03 am
    Can the Dolphins really be that bad that a team with a QB that throws picks and fumbles more than he scores TD’s is favored by 17 points?

    You have to take the points here.
    ————————————————————-
    Yes, yes they can be… They are on a pace to be worse than the 1976 expansion Buccaneers and are on pace to be one of the worst teams in history.. They average 8.4 points per game and give up 36.0 per. Their leading rusher has 153 yards on the season. Their QBs have combined to throw 3 TDs and 9 Ints, with a 54.0%. They have 5 sacks and have given up 23 through 5 games. They have had the lead just over 3:00 (Total) this year.

    This is what is known as a sucker bet. Taking the points looks like a slam dunk.. Bills will win 30-7.

  4. I agree with everyone too many points take the points in a teaser with the 9ers and bet the mortgage thats my plan

  5. If the Bills stay true to the formula of running the ball and good defense they’ll blow out the Dolphins. The Bills quietly have a top three defense. Phenomenal defense.

  6. Haha, Joe. I love you. At least someone is more bitter than me.
    Yeah, Josh Allen will be incredible as he grows.
    Big, fast, and smart.

  7. The Bills shouldn’t be favored by more than 5 or 6 against any team – and I say that as a Bills fan. This team just isn’t built/coached to blow people out. They get a lead, play (too) conservatively, and maintain close games. They have a stellar, Top-5 defense, and a middle of the road (or worse) offense.

    This is the definition of a 9 win team in most years, against most schedules. Sneaky 6-seed that can beat you because they can hold you under 20. Their schedule this year should make them more like a 10-11 win team, which I love, but it doesn’t change their organic makeup. Miami plus the points parlayed with the under sounds like a good bet.

  8. All disrespect intended to the LOLphins this game should really be a bloody bludgeoning. A massacre. A beatdown. Anything less will be a massive disappointment.

  9. The Bills defense will probably score at least 7 points in this game, maybe 14, and also provide the offense with good field position all day.

    Still, Dolphins may get a TD in garbage time and get a back door cover losing 27-12.

  10. The Bills went 4-12 in 1992? Try 11-5. That was also the year that Frank Reich playing for an injured Jim Kelly lead the then “greatest comeback” in NFL history to beat the Oilers in the AFC wildcard game and then trashed whipped the Steelers and Dolphins in order to advance to their third straight superbowl appearance and loss.

  11. wdpatti says:
    October 17, 2019 at 8:32 am
    The Bills shouldn’t be favored by more than 5 or 6 against any team – and I say that as a Bills fan. This team just isn’t built/coached to blow people out. They get a lead, play (too) conservatively, and maintain close games. They have a stellar, Top-5 defense, and a middle of the road (or worse) offense.

    This is the definition of a 9 win team in most years, against most schedules. Sneaky 6-seed that can beat you because they can hold you under 20. Their schedule this year should make them more like a 10-11 win team, which I love, but it doesn’t change their organic makeup. Miami plus the points parlayed with the under sounds like a good bet.
    ~~~~~~~~~~~
    The combination of the Bills very good defense and the Dolphins very bad offense means that Buffalo will likely be playing on a short field all day. Even a bunch of field goals should be enough to win. Toss in the 3+ turnovers they will likely get and they could easily exceed 30 unless Miami suddenly finds competence on both sides of the ball.

  12. They will win by 24 also. The Bills are a legit team and in the years to come they are going to hurt some feelings.

  13. Trap Game! Take the points or leave it alone. Buffalo shouldn’t be favored by 17 over anybody

  14. Forget the points.. I don’t gamble. This is an up and coming team but we aren’t quite there yet. This is the definition of trap game. We cannot lose this bevause good teams win this game. I’m actually very nervous to be honest

  15. This is a case of Miami being absolutely horrible. I doubt they will score a point. Bills can beat the spread with 18 points, which is their current average per game.

  16. wdpatti says:
    October 17, 2019 at 8:32 am
    The Bills shouldn’t be favored by more than 5 or 6 against any team – and I say that as a Bills fan. This team just isn’t built/coached to blow people out. They get a lead, play (too) conservatively, and maintain close games. They have a stellar, Top-5 defense, and a middle of the road (or worse) offense.

    This is the definition of a 9 win team in most years, against most schedules. Sneaky 6-seed that can beat you because they can hold you under 20. Their schedule this year should make them more like a 10-11 win team, which I love, but it doesn’t change their organic makeup. Miami plus the points parlayed with the under sounds like a good bet.

    ————-

    At a high level you can work out an approximate spread using the point differentials. The Bills through 5 games have a differential of 20 or 4 points per game. The fins have a whopping differential of -138 or -27.6 points per game. averaging the two differentials you get 31.6/2 = 15.8 points. That’s basically what the spread opened at. Then it moved due to betting.

    As you can see, it’s not because the Bills are great. They are 28th in scoring and not winning games by a large margin. It’s because the Fins are historically bad.

  17. I’m a die hard bills fan have been and will be till i die but you people are crazy with all this Buffalo should never be favored by that much bs, there defense is 100% real andvya there offense ain’t great but there young and ain’t got much for talent outside a few couple players but the Dolphins are absolutely garbage and I ain’t got not 1 worry bout covering that spread lol Buffalo haters are funny, I won’t be a bit surprised if we shut them waste of a franchise this year Dolphins out… I’m calling Bills win 23-3 if not 23-Zip!!

  18. Doesn’t buffalo have Devin Singletary coming back from an injury in week 2? They also have speedy John Brown too right? Fins defense will be on the field all day long. Just waiting for injuries to mount up on this exhausted and depleted fins trash defense with a trash calling defensive head coach.

    Bills 42
    Fins 9

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to leave a comment. Not a member? Register now!