Texans are clear favorites, but AFC South remains a three-team race

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The Texans are now the clear favorites to win the AFC South after Thursday night’s win over the Colts. But both teams remain in the division race, and the Titans are still in the mix as well.

In fact, the 5-5 Titans still control their AFC South destiny: They still play the 7-4 Texans twice and the 6-5 Colts once, so if the Titans win out they’ll be 11-5, and the Texans and Colts could be no better than 10-6.

For now, Houston is a game ahead of Indianapolis and 1.5 games against Tennessee. But the Texans’ next game is against the Patriots, so that’s one they’ll be underdogs in. After that they have two games with the Titans and games with the Broncos and Buccaneers.

The Colts play the Titans, Buccaneers, Saints, Panthers and Jaguars the rest of the way. Even if Indianapolis wins out, they need Houston to lose at least one.

Everything is still ahead of the Titans, who play the Texans twice and the Colts once in December, and also have games remaining against the Jaguars, Raiders and Saints. That’s not an easy schedule to go 6-0 against, but if the Titans did it, they’d win the AFC South.

Realistically, the Jaguars are out of it: They’re 4-6 overall and 1-3 in the division, so they have almost no path to first place.

The team with the clearest path to the division title is always the team that just has to win to get in. That currently describes both the Texans and the Titans.

22 responses to “Texans are clear favorites, but AFC South remains a three-team race

  1. It was a fumble recovered by the colts defense. A pity the refs were to busy checking FanDuel to review the play.

  2. The AFC South is the perennial worst division in football. There are teams in other divisions that are 3rd or 4th that would run away with the AFC South.

  3. The Titans have been playing pretty good football since making the QB switch. They have a real chance to make a run at the division.

  4. Vikings4Life says:
    November 22, 2019 at 8:09 am

    The AFC South is the perennial worst division in football. There are teams in other divisions that are 3rd or 4th that would run away with the AFC South.
    ————-

    I guess you don’t watch too much football. I would like to see a list of 3rd or 4th place teams that would run away with any division. The Rams are the only 3rd place team even with a winning record (or even close to a winning record), and the way they’ve played I doubt they would “run away”. By no means is the AFC South a powerhouse division, but if you look at divisions as a whole (not just one team leading), the AFC North, AFC West, NFC East, and NFC South are all arguably weaker.

    I wouldn’t say the Texans are clear favorites in the division either. After they lose to NE next week and the Colts win,they’ll be tied, although I believe the Texans will be leading on the tie breaker. It should come down to the last week or two of the season.

  5. The AFC is trash except for the Pats and Ravens
    ———————————————-
    yea the chiefs, raiders, and bills suck so bad

  6. If only one team from the South can get it together and make some noise in the playoffs, it’s the Colts.

  7. The giants, redskins, rams, cardinals, bears, lions, falcons, buccaneers, jets, dolphins, chargers, broncos, browns, and bengals are all the 3rd and 4th place teams. Not sure how you make a claim one of these runs away with a division that currently has three teams .500 or better. Only other division like this is nfc west

  8. Texans will win this division and fail to advance beyond AFC divisional round, so in that sense little has changed in Houston.

  9. Ignore the guy talking about how all the bottom feeders would dominate the AFC South as I highly doubt he put much thought into that, probably doesn’t expend a great deal of thought on many things he spouts.

  10. “After next week, Colts n Texans will be tied again”

    You also said the Colts would win easily last night, the 9-1 Pats would lose every single game this season etc etc.

    Hilarious

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