PFT’s Week 13 picks

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It’s probably over. OK, it’s over.

With five weeks to go, MDS has built a 10-game cushion. It’s going to be very hard for me to catch, especially if (as this week) we’re only going to disagree on one game.

I was 9-5 last week, and MDS went 11-3. For the year, he’s now 118-58. I’m at 108-68.

Bears at Lions

MDS’s take: The Bears are still clinging to remote playoff hopes, while the Lions’ season is spiraling downward. This will be an ugly game to watch before your turkey.

MDS’s pick: Bears 19, Lions 6.

Florio’s take: The Bears scratch and claw toward what would be one of the most unlikely playoff berths in years. They won’t get there, but it’s fun to watch.

Florio’s pick: Bears 20, Lions 10.

Bills at Cowboys

MDS’s take: Jason Garrett needs to bounce back from the loss that made his boss say he got out-coached. I think the Cowboys’ offense will prove too much for the Bills’ defense.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 28, Bills 20.

Florio’s take: Cowboys coach Jason Garrett seems to be at his best when he is desperate. On Thursday, he is desperate.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 23, Bills 16.

Saints at Falcons

MDS’s take: Can the Falcon upset the Saints on Thanksgiving night, just as they did in New Orleans a couple weeks ago? I don’t see it happening.

MDS’s pick: Saints 24, Falcons 13.

Florio’s take: The push for a bye, and possibly the top seed, continues with a shot at righting the wrong of an ugly home loss to the Falcons.

Florio’s pick: Saints 38, Falcons 31.

Browns at Steelers

MDS’s take: The winner of this game will be well positioned in the AFC wild card race, which is quite a turnaround given how bad both of these teams have looked at times this season. I think the Steelers made the right move going to Devlin Hodges, and they’ll pull out a win.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 20, Browns 17.

Florio’s take: The Steelers get a little revenge, without banging anyone over the head with their own helmet.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 17, Browns 13.

Packers at Giants

MDS’s take: The Packers looked terrible last week against the 49ers, but a visit to the Giants should be just what the doctor ordered.

MDS’s pick: Packers 30, Giants 17.

Florio’s take: Green Bay should go 4-1 down the stretch, which should be good enough to win the division but not good enough to secure a bye.

Florio’s pick: Packers 27, Giants 10.

Eagles at Dolphins

MDS’s take: The Eagles looked terrible last week against the Seahawks, but a visit to the Dolphins should be just what the doctor ordered.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 28, Dolphins 14.

Florio’s take: If the Eagles lose this one, they can forget about the playoffs.

Florio’s pick: Eagles 24, Dolphins 13.

Buccaneers at Jaguars

MDS’s take: Jameis Winston is always a sure thing to throw a couple great passes and a couple terrible passes, and the key to the game is what he does on all his other plays. I think he’ll do enough to outscore a struggling Jaguars offense.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 28, Jaguars 21.

Florio’s take: The Battle for Florida will definitely not result in any sort of trophy, but it could be an exciting game between teams currently moving in different directions.

Florio’s pick: Jaguars 34, Buccaneers 31.

Titans at Colts

MDS’s take: The AFC South is still a three-team race, but the loser of this game is in a world of hurt. I think this is the game when Ryan Tannehill comes back to earth and the Colts win a low-scoring affair.

MDS’s pick: Colts 14, Titans 13.

Florio’s take: The loser of this one will have a hard time making it to January, and the Colts are too good to be in that position on Thanksgiving weekend.

Florio’s pick: Colts 21, Titans 20.

Jets at Bengals

MDS’s take: With Andy Dalton back under center, the Bengals earning their first win of the season wouldn’t shock me, but instead I think they’re going to fall just short.

MDS’s pick: Jets 21, Bengals 20.

Florio’s take: It may be too late for the Jets, especially with the Ravens looming in two weeks. But it’s fun to watch.

Florio’s pick: Jets 30, Bengals 17.

Washington at Panthers

MDS’s take: No two-game winning streak is on order for Washington, which has an offense that can barely move the ball.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 20, Washington 9.

Florio’s take: Ron Rivera may not make if to Week 17 if he loses this one.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 27, Washington 13.

49ers at Ravens

MDS’s take: An outstanding game between the Ravens’ historic offense and the 49ers’ stout defense. I like Lamar Jackson to make enough plays with his feet to win a close one.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 24, 49ers 20.

Florio’s take: Game of the year? Game of the year.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 24, 49ers 21.

Rams at Cardinals

MDS’s take: The Rams are down to their last chance to turn this season around, and I think they’ll get the win they need in Arizona.

MDS’s pick: Rams 22, Cardinals 17.

Florio’s take: A get-right game for the Rams, even though things probably won’t stay that way.

Florio’s pick: Rams 31, Cardinals 27.

Chargers at Broncos

MDS’s take: Both of these teams are out of the AFC West race, but I think the Chargers will be a little more competitive down the stretch.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 17, Broncos 14.

Florio’s take: The Chargers have begun to emotionally detach from Philip Rivers, and it will affect them just enough to give the Broncos an opening to win.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 20, Chargers 17.

Raiders at Chiefs

MDS’s take: It’s not too late for the Raiders to make a push to win the AFC West, but it will be if they lose on Sunday, and that’s what I’m expecting them to do.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 30, Raiders 17.

Florio’s take: When Andy Reid has extra time to get ready, that’s very good for his team and bad for the other one.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 31, Raiders 21.

Patriots at Texans

MDS’s take: Patriots cornerback Stephon Gilmore is leading one of the best pass defenses we’ve ever seen in the NFL, and Deshaun Watson is going to struggle against them.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 24, Texans 13.

Florio’s take: The Patriots know they have no margin for error, not with the Ravens still hot on their heels. Meanwhile, Bill O’Brien has never beaten Bill Belichick.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 21, Texans 17.

Vikings at Seahawks

MDS’s take: This is a very important game to the NFC playoff race, and I think a hostile atmosphere in Seattle is going to be too much for the Vikings.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 24, Vikings 17.

Florio’s take: That win over the Cowboys hardly means that the Vikings have exorcised their prime-time demons.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 24, Vikings 20.

48 responses to “PFT’s Week 13 picks

  1. Yes. Everyone continue to remind Counsins that he sucks, he can’t win in primetime and can never beat a team with a winning record… Don’t know if we’ll win, but out offense is completely different than the one from last year in Seattle. Should be a great game in which turnovers will be key once again.

  2. The Chiefs will put to an end the hilarious idea that The Raiduhs where going to be a playoff team…..The Bills will show The Clapper the door for Jerrah….

  3. The Chiefs will put to an end the hilarious idea that The Raiduhs were going to be a playoff team…..The Bills will show The Clapper the door for Jerrah….

  4. You’re picking Devlin Hodges to outscore a team with Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, OBJ, and Jarvis Landry? OK.

  5. So the Bucs are going to beat the Bucs?
    As for the Jets. This is exactly the type of game they lose.

  6. So, there’s no reason to get up on Thanksgiving to watch a boring Bears / Lions game. Too bad the NFL can’t shift to better games on the holiday.

  7. Niners Ravens should be flexed to Sunday Night. Patriots are boring, Texans overrated.
    Both picked the Steelers after Browns dominated them in every phase of the game. Interesting.

  8. No one picked the bills because josh Allen has not beaten a good team yet and doesn’t play good Agasnt good teams. The bills have had the softest early schedule and should have lost against the titans and jets

  9. You say you disagree on only one game. But clearly looking at the predictions you disagree on two. So what game is not predicted right. Broncos chargers or bucs jaguars

  10. Don’t worry Vikings fans, these two clowns thought the Cowboys would beat us too. If you notice, they come to the game picks with way too many preconceptions and conflated views of teams that don’t deserve it.

  11. The Bills are living in fantasy land – don’t get me wrong Dallas isn’t anything special but Buffalo has won almost all of their games against semi-pro teams ……. and Baltimore is waiting to dismantle the Bills joke mafia

  12. Come on Vikings! Niners did you a favor by beating the Packers. Now return the favor and beat the Seahawks!

  13. Why should the Packers go 4-1 down the stretch? And why should Seattle hold the Vikings to under 20 points.

    The Packers just got smoked 2 of past 3 games.
    Seattle gives up the second most points for a team with a winning record in the NFL (Raiders give up most, at a record of 5-4).

    This broken clock duo will be wrong this week, and will be wrong on the Packers going 4-1 down the stretch.

  14. Seattle will end up stealing this division and 1st rd bye from SF. All Seattle has to do is stay 1 game back of SF until week 17’s matchup in Seattle. Win that game, grab the division based on tie breaker and send SF to the W.C.

    With all the SF hype, it just seems so appropriate.

  15. Lol, I’ll take this with a grain of salt as just a week ago you picked the packers to take the 49ers. I love it when you pick against the Vikes guys, because they usually win when you do that. So please pick against them the rest of the way.

  16. The Chiefs will put to an end the hilarious idea that The Raiduhs where going to be a playoff team…..The Bills will show The Clapper the door for Jerrah….


    Even after losing to KC the Raiders have 4 winnable games against teams that might have checked out by that point. 10-6 is in. 9-7 they still have a chance with how everyone else is playing.

  17. This broken clock duo will be wrong this week, and will be wrong on the Packers going 4-1 down the stretch.
    I agree, we will probably be 5-0 down the stretch, but it does always give me a kick when you purples get so worked up about these picks and rankings.

  18. Can someone tell me again why we are forced to watch the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving every year?

  19. All these crystal balls hard at work. And a lot of broken glass to be eaten before Monday evening.

  20. Dallas will lose to a very scrappy Buffalo bills team! and my upset special will be those Arizona Cards beating the LA Rams!

  21. conormacleod says:
    November 27, 2019 at 3:35 pm

    This broken clock duo will be wrong this week, and will be wrong on the Packers going 4-1 down the stretch.

    So you’re saying they are going to to go 5-0?
    Wow! That’s pretty upbeat for you.
    You’re usually talking quite poorly about the Pack.

  22. Saints over Falcons – The falcons shocked everyone the 1st time but losing to the Bucs isn’t a good sign.. Saints wont let it happen a 2nd time.

    Jags over Bucs – Bucs just struggle to put 2 wins together, Jameis is known to play bad after a decent game and the Jags have the edge.

    Panthers over Redskins – Panthers play well and the Redskins are unsettled in several positions.

  23. @dsisgrey

    Agreed, it is a little surprising that the NFL does not move the Ravens/49ers game to 4:30 EST. Not going to move it to the night game because the Pats are a bigger draw even though they are not playing as well as those two teams currently.

  24. Arizona is going to beat the Rams at home. Arizona’s offense can score points at a high clip, and while their defense isn’t good the one thing they can do very well is rush the QB and the Rams cannot protect, Goff falls apart under pressure. I think Arizona wins this game 31-21 Arizona.

  25. Lucas C, I’m right there with you. I know the Steelers D is good, and they want revenge, but really? If the browns lose this game, I will fire Freddie myself.

  26. NFL wake up. Ravens should be on Sunday night. At a minimum the 430pm game. The nation is tired of the Pats. Just stop. Oh and the Cowboys are going to lose and Jerruh is going to choke on a turkey bone watching Garrett blow another game to a team above .500.

  27. If the game were sunday afternoon, or in Minnesota, I would say it is a toss-up. Maybe even Vikings’ advantage. But Russell Wilson becomes an absolute monster in home primetime games.

  28. thewizardsrevenge says:
    November 27, 2019 at 6:35 pm

    No playoff win in 27 years. Perennial holiday game.



    Obviously you’re talking about the terrible Lions. Its been 28 years and that’s an understatement. The Lions only playoff win since 1957 was the one you’re referring to in 1991.

    62 years of failure.

  29. Patriots 23 Texans 13 turnovers from Watson and some Edelman and Harry receiving win the day. Browns 20 Steelers 7 their offense is in deep trouble and the Browns finally are getting their act together. Cowboys 24 Bills 17 can’t see the Boys losing after last week’s disappointment.

  30. I like the Bills and dislike the Cowboys, but I think the Bills are in big trouble today, unfortunately.

  31. The two best teams in NFL history are the 2007 Patriots and the team that beat them in the Super Bowl by 3 points to deny them 19-0.  Do you even remember who that team was? Because they are still less memorable than the runner up.  And that must prove some kind of point.  Just a few weeks earlier, those Giants lost at home to the Patriots by the same margin. This gave the Patriots the only perfect regular season of the modern era and a 52-52 overall tie after two games between these two teams. (For the record they met in the final game of the preseason, a 27-20 Patriots win, the final game of the regular season, and the final game of the postseason).  It’s nothing short of magic.

    Those Patriots were mythological.  The only team to dare to go 19-0, unlike some teams that would rest their starters after 13-0 or 14-0 in fear of some jinx that doomed every team in the 16 game era to lose at least one game. The Patriots did not succumb to some jinx. They gave the fans of the game a special gift.

    They also had to endure the fallout from Spygate, which really never even applied to THEIR season. They unwittingly exposed the gross imperfections of the 1972 Dolphins who sports journalists suddenly realized played not only in a 14 game season but played only two teams with better-than-.500 records — and those two teams both finished 8-6. (Just think of what we thought of this year’s 8-0 Patriots before that Ravens game. Now they’re #4 in this year’s Power Rankings).

    That 2007 team beat some solid competitors. 1. The 5-0 Cowboys in Dallas in a game grandiosely titled “The Duel in Dallas” — a game known for Dante Stallworth’s stiffarm assisted TD run. 

    2. The 8-0 Manning led Colts in Indianapolis.

    3.  In the AFCCG they beat a Chargers team that was on an 8 game winning streak. 

    4.  They also beat them in week 2 as well after the Chargers swore revenge for having been upset by New England as a 14-2 number 1 seed the previous year (and Ellis Hobbs danced on the Chargers logo).

    5.  They beat a Ravens defense in Baltimore led by Rex Ryan and three former U of Miami alumns who dedicated the game to the recently fallen Miami teammate Sean Springs.

    6. They beat an Eagles team that swore revenge, taking advantage of the Spygate narrative to claim they were cheated out of their Super Bowl in 2004.

    7. They were 3 TDs better than the Steelers, using a flea flicker to burn the very man who guaranteed a victory.

    8.  They beat the playoff bound Joe Gibbs coached Redskins 52-7 and the Bills 56-10.

    9. They went 5-0 against the State of New York before the Super Bowl, including a win over the eventual champion Giants in New York, coming back from a 28-16 halftime deficit to win 38-35.  The game was given the State of the Union treatment, aired on all 3 networks.

    10. The Dolphins were playing to preserve the legacy of their 72 predecessors.

    The Dolphins of 72 never had this gauntlet and never these thrillers against teams chomping at the bit to bring them down from Week 1.  Even the rivalry with the Jets was given an infusion of hostility when the Jets hired Eric Mangini out from under the Patriots.  So from kickoff Game 1 (and the confiscation of the video camera at halftime), it was that kind of year. The only games that did not involve some hostility, rivalry, or desperation were the Browns, Bengals, and Redskins games.

    I bet that 72 season was a snoozefest by comparison.

    The 2007 season was the stuff Literature is made of. The two best teams from that season should be rewarded accordingly. One dared be the only 19-0 team in history and the other crawled back from obscurity after narrowly averting an 0-3 start that might have doomed the season.

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