PFT’s Week 17 picks

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The last week of the regular season is here. MDS clinched our competition a while ago.

But at least I can say I won Week 16, with a 10-6 mark against his 9-7.

For the year, he’s at 158-82. I’m at 146-94. Which means that, yes, he’s 12 games ahead of me.

The good news, if there is any, is that I can narrow the gap to 10, based on two disagreements for the coming week. For the full slate of picks, keep scrolling.

Falcons at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: Both of these teams are playing hard despite being long since eliminated from playoff contention. I see the Bucs pulling out a victory in what should be an entertaining if meaningless game.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 31, Falcons 30.

Florio’s take: Jameis Winston needs two interceptions to become the NFL’s first 30 touchdown/30 pick player. And that’s really the only reason to pay attention to this one.

Florio’s pick: Falcons 27, Buccaneers 24.


Dolphins at Patriots

MDS’s take: The Patriots just need to win this game to get a bye week, and they’ll cruise to an easy win.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 27, Dolphins 7.

Florio’s take: The Patriots have every reason to not stumble toward the regular-season finish line, since a loss could relegate them to the wild-card round.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 24, Dolphins 13.


Bears at Vikings

MDS’s take: It’s a meaningless game for both teams, but I think the Vikings will be eager to turn in a good performance heading into the playoffs.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 24, Bears 10.

Florio’s take: The Bears packed it in last week. The Vikings have no reason to try to win this one. Flip a coin, and walk away before it lands.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 24, Bears 21.


Chargers at Chiefs

MDS’s take: The Chargers are limping toward the finish of a disappointing season, while the Chiefs are trying to peak at the right time.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 30, Chargers 20.

Florio’s take: The Chiefs still have an outside shot at the No. 2 seed; more importantly, they could still slide to No. 3 and face a very good Bills team in the wild-card round. That’s reason enough to not falter at home to a hopeless Chargers team.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 27, Chargers 17.


Packers at Lions

MDS’s take: There’s a part of me that thinks the Lions may just be primed to pull an upset here, but a bigger part of me that says they’re just too beaten up to win.

MDS’s pick: Packers 21, Lions 20.

Florio’s take: The Packers have a bye week, and possibly the No. 1 seed, in sight. The Lions don’t have much to put in their way.

Florio’s pick: Packers 24, Lions 10.


Browns at Bengals

MDS’s take: The Bengals have already clinched the first pick in the draft, but they’ll now clinch the worst season in franchise history.

MDS’s pick: Browns 28, Bengals 21.

Florio’s take: It’s a final exam for Freddie Kitchens, even if he already has failed the course.

Florio’s pick: Browns 24, Bengals 17.


Saints at Panthers

MDS’s take: The Panthers don’t have anything for the Saints, who will cruise in a game that they hope can help them earn a bye week.

MDS’s pick: Saints 34, Panthers 10.

Florio’s take: Will Grier is starting again, which means that the Panthers are (gladly) losing again, enhancing their draft status by finishing the full-blown plunge from 5-3 to 5-11.

Florio’s pick: Saints 31, Panthers 13.


Jets at Bills

MDS’s take: The Bills have nothing to play for, and the Jets have played hard over the second half of the season.

MDS’s pick: Jets 21, Bills 14.

Florio’s take: Adam Gase and company have whipped up an intriguing batch of chicken salad, and they’re motivated to finish the season at 7-9. The Bills have nothing to gain, and could mothball some of their key players for all or part of this one.

Florio’s pick: Jets 16, Bills 10.


Cardinals at Rams

MDS’s take: With a disappointing season coming to an end in Los Angeles, I think the Cardinals are going to make a statement that they plan a changing of the guard in the NFC West next year.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 28, Rams 21.

Florio’s take: The Rams close out their latest run at the Coliseum with a meaningless game against an improving team. Pride will fuel the home team’s desire to avoid a three-game losing streak to end the season, and coach Sean McVay surely will be paying close attention to which Rams will, and won’t, step up when the stake are low.

Florio’s pick: Rams 27, Cardinals 20.


Raiders at Broncos

MDS’s take: The Raiders are still clinging to playoff contention, and they’ll take care of business against the Broncos.

MDS’s pick: Raiders 28, Broncos 17.

Florio’s take: The Oakland Raiders lost their last game in Oakland. If they win their last regular-season game as the Oakland Raiders, they may get to play for one more week.

Florio’s pick: Raiders 20, Broncos 17.


Eagles at Giants

MDS’s take: I think this is going to be a closer contest than expected, but the Eagles won’t choke away the division.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 21, Giants 20.

Florio’s take: The last time these two teams met, a switch flipped for the Eagles at halftime. With a division title hinging on a victory, the switch won’t be flipped back.

Florio’s pick: Eagles 23, Giants 17.


Colts at Jaguars

MDS’s take: It’s been a disappointing season for both teams, but the Colts look to me like they’re playing harder down the stretch.

MDS’s pick: Colts 24, Jaguars 20.

Florio’s take: Two teams who had plenty of promise end the season by playing a game that has meaning only for the Raiders, possibly.

Florio’s pick: Colts 27, Jaguars 16.


Titans at Texans

MDS’s take: Bill O’Brien says the Texans are playing to win, but I’m picking the team that has the playoffs to play for over the team that knows it’s hosting a playoff game next week regardless.

MDS’s pick: Titans 28, Texans 21.

Florio’s take: By the time this one starts, the Texans will know whether they can improve from the No. 4 seed to No. 3, avoiding the Bills in the wild-card round. Chances are the Patriots and Chiefs will win, keeping the Texans in their current spot on the AFC playoff tree.

Florio’s pick: Titans 24, Texans 14.


Washington at Cowboys

MDS’s take: Jason Garrett will win and then get fired in the locker room five minutes after the game is over.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 30, Washington 10.

Florio’s take: Jason Garrett goes out with a win.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 30, Washington 17.


Steelers at Ravens

MDS’s take: If the Ravens were playing to win, they’d win. But they’re resting their starters, so I like the Steelers.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 27, Ravens 14.

Florio’s take: The Ravens may regret not knocking the Steelers out when the Ravens had the chance to do it.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 20, Ravens 14.


49ers at Seahawks

MDS’s take: The regular-season game of the year will determine the NFC West champion, and I like the 49ers to go to Seattle and earn a hard-fought win. The road to the Super Bowl in the NFC will go through San Francisco.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 28, Seahawks 24.

Florio’s take: The NFL has saved the best for last, with a division title, the top seed in the NFC for the 49ers, and a bye (possibly) for the Seahawks riding on the outcome.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 27, Seahawks 24.

61 responses to “PFT’s Week 17 picks

  1. Falcons over Bucs – Falcons have played inspire ball for their coach and beaten great teams… Bucs have a detriment at the most critical position, Qb… (JW throws at least 2 ints and causes Arians to lose 9 games for records)

    Saints over Panthers – if you’ve been paying attention you’d know why!

  2. Packers at Lions

    MDS’s pick: Packers 21, Lions 20.

    Florio’s pick: Packers 24, Lions 10.

    It’s clear that neither of you have watched a single snap of this pathetic defense.

    I’ll take your points and combine them and say Aaron goes Aaron and puts up a 45 Burger. Book it.

  3. Even though the Ravens are resting almost all their starters this weekend, I still like their 2nd stringers more than Duck Hodges.

    Ravens 21
    Steelers 13

  4. MDS is a little salty about being 100% wrong about the Vikings being better than the Packers.

    I think my favorite quote from the interwebs this morning was:

    “An early game that has zero relevance that no one will be watching? It’s Kirk Cousins’ time to shine, baby!”

    Oh, fun fact: Kevin King caught more Cousins passes than Thielen did last week.

  5. Raiduh’s will once again be exposed, this time by the hapless Broncos, for the mediocrity that has engulfed the Vegas Chuckies…

  6. It’s hard to win in Seattle, in general, but it’s even harder in prime time. I forsee false starts and sack-fumbles for the 49ers offense. 34-27 Seahawks

  7. Upset of the week: Miami beats the Pats at Patsville. Miami has nothing to lose, one of the worst teams in the league, mostly devoid of talent. The lousiest team usually rises up to beat the best, for some reason.

  8. Where are all the vikiins fans today who told us they would beat the Packers?
    Just crickets now huh?
    Cousins isn’t the answer and again a wasted defensive year.
    Vikings are a joke.

  9. The Raiders will represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, you can book it, it’s guaranteed

  10. If Zimmer is smart, he’ll rest the best. Neither team has anything to look forward to, and the game is meaningless except draft picks. Therefore the Bears win 17 to 6.

  11. Newsflash…Washington as you refer to it or Redskins as the rest of us refer to them don’t want to win, they are playing for the #2 pick and possibly Chase Young, anyhow this game and score will be a lot closer than one may think, so give me 27-24 Dallas on a last second FG.

  12. willycents – when it comes to Brady/Belichick and the Dolphins I would most certainly agree with you, if the game were in Miami. This is at Gillette, with a first round bye in the balance, though. New England will eviscerate the Dolphins.

  13. greenwhodat26 says:

    December 26, 2019 at 1:24 pm

    It’s hard to win in Seattle, in general, but it’s even harder in prime time. I forsee false starts and sack-fumbles for the 49ers offense. 34-27 Seahawks

    —-

    Is it possible you’re just hoping this is the case because you want that 1 seed? I mean, you guys won pretty easily in Seattle without Brees.

  14. pedrocreek says:

    December 26, 2019 at 1:21 pm

    Apparently you Both have underestimated the effect of the return of BEASTMODE!!!!!

    Go Hawks!

    —-

    Apparently, you are overestimating the return of a 33 yr old RB who hasn’t played a single snap of football in over a year.

  15. Great Sunday nighter to end the season!
    All out war, take no prisoners matchup. Two good teams that will put it all on the line. Can the Seahawks mount the kind of pass rush it will take to get Jimmy G to make the fatal mistake?
    The Beastmode thing will be overblown. The best thing Marshawn can do is protect the ball. But if the Niner’s protect the passer, it will be over by the fourth quarter.

  16. it rubs the lotion on the skin says:
    December 26, 2019 at 1:46 pm
    The Raiders will represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, you can book it, it’s guaranteed

    ************

    What year?

  17. Am I to understand Lynch has not been just sitting on a beach somewhere, smoking the gonga, having large quantities of food fed to him by pretty ladies, and getting fat? Weird.

  18. Vikings won their last game of the season in LA. Its been a bi-polar year for the team and I am happy it will come to an end next week

  19. Lightsabermetrics says:
    December 26, 2019 at 1:12 pm
    Even though the Ravens are resting almost all their starters this weekend, I still like their 2nd stringers more than Duck Hodges.
    ————————-
    I agree. Give me RGIII over Hodges or Rudolph any day.

  20. I can actually see the Eagles losing to the Giants. I really hope not though because if they win. It’s a win to my cowboys. Bye bye Garrett. Hopefully they look for another QB in the draft because watching Dak is painful

  21. Niners are more physical, and they know they gagged the first game away. Beast Mold is on a Chapter 11 aversion tour. His signing smells of total desparation by SEA. I’d obviously like the home team to win, but common sense and respect for a formidable opponent tells me the Niners get it done.

  22. I would not bet a plug nickle, that my ‘Boys beat the Redskins! Jason Garrett is still in the house……sigh

  23. Everyone saying Dallas season is over. I am the ONLY one saying otherwise. Eagles WILL lose to the giants. I have never been more sure of anything in my life.

    Dallas easily handles the lowly skins and backs into the playoffs.

    Folks, this is easy money. You better book it. Can’t wait to tell you all, “Told you so!”.

  24. The winners:

    Falcons, Dolphins, Vikes, Chiefs, Pack, Bengals, Saints, Bills, Cards, Raiders, Eagles, Jags, Titans, ‘Skins, Ravens and ‘Hawks.

  25. Jordan says:
    December 26, 2019 at 2:25 pm
    I can actually see the Eagles losing to the Giants. I really hope not though because if they win. It’s a win to my cowboys. Bye bye Garrett. Hopefully they look for another QB in the draft because watching Dak is painful

    __________________________________

    Get ready for a lot of pain,then,because Stephen Jones said the other day on a radio show that he is still “bullish” on Dak Prescott. Not a good sign if the fans want him gone… the son is just like the father.

  26. The Bills need to win to have any momentum going into the playoffs. If they are real contenders, they should easily dispatch the Jets.

  27. The Eagles don’t have enough talent to take any team lightly. However, Entering the playoffs on a 4 game winning streak and getting players back healthy at the same time could make for a tough out.

  28. Saints played (and defeated) both teams, and while the Titans showed resilience at home, the Texans pushed my team to the limit at the Dome. I pick the Texans to TCB, 27-17.

  29. Please STOP with the notion the Ravens will be remorseful if they don’t knock out the Steelers.

    Of all the teams your team might play in the playoffs, would you NOT prefer it to be the Steelers this year?

    Fear NOT The Duck!

    Signed
    Steelers Diehard Fan

  30. isaidjoemontegna says:
    December 26, 2019 at 2:00 pm
    pedrocreek says:

    December 26, 2019 at 1:21 pm

    Apparently you Both have underestimated the effect of the return of BEASTMODE!!!!!

    Go Hawks!

    —-

    Apparently, you are overestimating the return of a 33 yr old RB who hasn’t played a single snap of football in over a year.
    ————————————

    Please refer to my above statement.

    Go Hawks!

  31. Florio keeps beating this drum that a “switch was flipped at halftime of the Giants game” that turned the season around for the Eagles. The Giants were a TWO WIN TEAM with their washed up benched QB playing.

    They’ll back into the playoffs thanks to one of the softest schedules in the NFL and the Cowboys top to bottom incompetence, but it was no heroic undertaking. No “switch was flipped”. They beat three very bad teams.

  32. But if the Niner’s protect the passer, it will be over by the fourth quarter.

    Is that how football works? Brilliant!

  33. Pete Carroll has to start coaching like a wild crazy shoot from the hip coach like he once was. Lynch won’t make a difference if the Seahawks are 14 down in the 1st half having Wilson drop back to play dodge a 9er rusher or 3.

  34. Refs over the Raiders!!! once again will finish first place in penalties this year, however with one of the lowest pre-snap penalties. Led the league far and away by so called “interpetation” calls, or Raider hating refs call. Oddley enough 11of the 15 games this year the opposing team had the lowest amount of calls called against when they played the Raiders, including for the first time in 40+ years when the chiefs had 0 called against them.

    Go Raiders…Screw the Refs!

  35. Vikings lose to the Bears.It will be the first of their last two losses of the 2019 thank God. They showed us what they were made of last week. They were either told to make it look like you aren’t losing on purpose, or they were supposed to win and are that much worse than the Packers!
    Vikings have had a rep in recent years of not beating teams over .500, but this year they played the softest divisions in the NFC, (East) AFC (West) and Play IN one of them. One thing for sure is no team from the NFCE or NFCN will represent the NFC Super Bowl team.

  36. Patriots 27 Dolphins 20 this will be closer than most think since the Fins want to spoil the bye but I think some passing to White and some picks from the defense close the game out. Eagles 17 Giants 7 low scoring slug fest with eagles locking up the last spot in the NFC. Ravens 31 Steelers 13 RG3 will look at the game as a tryout for another job look for him to rip the Steelers a new one.

  37. jerrykramerssplinters says:
    December 26, 2019 at 5:31 pm
    But if the Niner’s protect the passer, it will be over by the fourth quarter.

    Is that how football works? Brilliant!

    The context is that, in the last game, 21 of their 27 points came off of turnovers. One strip sack for a TD and 2 fumbles, giving Seattle a short field at the 24 and 16 yd line. Other than that, the Hawks offense wasn’t moving all that well. Eliminate those mistakes and the niners have a great shot.

  38. Teams in the NFC North … Packers at Lions … Going to be the usual Black and Blue Division bloodbath.

    Packers at Lions? Leave it to the Lions to be miserable curr dogs and make a serious game of it. The Lions took the Pack to darn near the final gun at Lambeau. Pack should win, but I wouldn’t bet real cash on it.

  39. Who they draft and when won’t matter for the Redskins. They will still have Danny as their owner next year and the sadness will continue. Beating Dallas will be one bright spot for this season.
    Ravens will beat the Stealers unless the refs decide the game. 49rs hawks could be a fun game if the refs stay out of that one too.

  40. Lightsabermetrics says:
    December 26, 2019 at 1:12 pm
    Even though the Ravens are resting almost all their starters this weekend, I still like their 2nd stringers more than Duck Hodges.

    Ravens 21
    Steelers 13
    ——————————————
    The ravens had their starters in last time and needed a BS roughing the passer call in order to get to OT to beat Duck & the steelers… I wouldn’t be so confident.

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