Both home teams favored by a touchdown in conference championships

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The home teams are touchdown favorites in the AFC and NFC Championship Games.

In the AFC Championship Game, the Chiefs are 7 or 7.5-point favorites over the Titans, while in the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers are 7-point favorites over the Packers.

The home team is usually favored in conference championship games, although a touchdown is a bigger point spread than we typically see. Last year the two home teams, the Chiefs and Saints, were both 3-point favorites. Both home teams lost in overtime, to the Patriots and Rams.

Both of the conference championships are rematches of regular season meetings. The Titans beat the Chiefs in Tennessee, 35-32, while the 49ers destroyed the Packers in San Francisco, 37-8.

20 responses to “Both home teams favored by a touchdown in conference championships

  1. None of the four remaining teams got this far by being lucky (or, as some silly people think…….because of blatant NFL-mandated preferential treatment by referees.) Anybody can win. The Packers have been there, done that.

    Consider the poor expectations for the Packers at the start of this season; new head coach, new personnel, new offensive scheme, “terrible” relationship between LaFleur and Rodgers……I could go on. From the start it’s been two-steps toward, one-step back. It’s time to keep going forward…..without looking back. My expectations have been exceeded this year way beyond my best scenario. Make it special Packers.

  2. The 49ers look tough, especially at home. Packers are going to have to catch a few breaks and win the turnover battle to win this one. Hopefully the flu bug will have run it’s course and the team is healthy. If GB does find a way to win this one, it will be a nail-biter – just like all of their games this season.

    Should be a good game. These two teams are playing for the NFC Championship because they are the cream of the NFC. Good luck to both teams.

    Good luck to both teams.

    Go Pack!

  3. I’m going to refrain from being a troll and guaranteeing a win like I normally would here. But let’s just say I like our chances after we beat the packers like a drum earlier this season. They looked like they struggled against the pass rush last night which isn’t a good sign for them since we have Dee Ford back and our pass rush looked back to early season form against Minnesota. What has changed with the packers since our last meeting that makes a different outcome likely? Not much in my opinion. But I guess we’ll see Sunday night.

    Go Niners!

  4. The Chiefs aren’t going to walk all over the Titans like they did the Texans. Henry is going to wear them down like he has every other team in the playoffs – and like he does to the Colts every time we play them. (Colts fan here)

    This is going to be a great game!

  5. NFL (Niners Football League) says:

    January 13, 2020 at 8:44 am

    I’m going to refrain from being a troll and guaranteeing a win like I normally would here. But let’s just say I like our chances after we beat the packers like a drum earlier this season. They looked like they struggled against the pass rush last night which isn’t a good sign for them since we have Dee Ford back and our pass rush looked back to early season form against Minnesota. What has changed with the packers since our last meeting that makes a different outcome likely? Not much in my opinion. But I guess we’ll see Sunday night.
    ________________________________________________________

    Has Dee Ford learned to line up onsides? I am so glad he is not a liability for the Chiefs this year.

  6. h0metownzero says:
    January 13, 2020 at 8:49 am
    The 49ers haven’t played anybody in the playoffs yet. Can they do it against a real NFL team?

    _________________________________________

    Are you referring to the real NFL team that they already took behind the woodshed in a 37 – 8 beatdown?

  7. The NFC championship is a joke.
    Two fraud teams who the refs helped into this tainted game.
    Vikings and Seahawks were robbed and rightfully should be in this game.
    I can’t watch it.
    I’ll be watching the AFC game. Mahomes vs Henry will be epic and the Super Bowl winner anyway.

  8. The 49ers haven’t played anybody yet?
    They took on all comers and are in the friendly confines of home for their championship game.
    49ers have the best front four in football. Line play generally dictates the winners and losers so it’ll take something special for the Pack to make that trip too the SB but they do have the better QB, so there’s some hope!
    Tennessee and KC gonna’ be an epic slugfest and methinks you should all take the over. If you’re a Chiefs fan you might consider praying really, really hard for snow and ice, because what else is gonna’ stop Henry?

  9. Titans/Chiefs is an interesting game. Mahomes is a special player, but I think outside the QB position the Titans are a better all around team. And the Titans are playing with house money at this point. Should be a fun game.

  10. I think the first time the Packers played the Niners they started believing their own press.

    I think the spread is about right. The Packers will have to play a perfect game to beat them, and get a turnover or two.

  11. savethebs says:
    January 13, 2020 at 12:25 pm
    Titans/Chiefs is an interesting game. Mahomes is a special player, but I think outside the QB position the Titans are a better all around team. And the Titans are playing with house money at this point. Should be a fun game.
    ———————————————
    QB – Chiefs
    WRs – Chiefs
    TE – Chiefs
    RB – Titans

    The Titans are not the better all around team but they are the flavor of the month.

  12. 49ers have the best D line and O Line in football. They’ve been playing playoff caliber teams since early December. With Kwon, Ford and Tarrt back, Rodgers is gonna have a tough time staying upright. It will be a good game but I see the 49ers winning way more matchup all over the field.

  13. I’m really happy that GB won this game. They had the easiest schedule of every team that made the postseason, but were able to beat a severely depleted Seattle. The Hawks barely beat the Niners in SF because of injured players (Gould would have hit the game-ending FG). Now the Niners are healthy again. Gould and their starting O-Linemen are back as are key defensive players, Kwon Alexander and Dee Ford.

    GB is going to be exposed!!!

  14. I don’t expect Green Bay to win on Sunday but I’m happy they have an opportunity. Seattle was a half yard away from beating San Fransisco and Green Bay just beat them. So it’s not impossible. I expect the Packers to play better just not optimistic they can pull off that big of an upset.

  15. ninersolid says:

    January 13, 2020 at 4:11 pm

    49ers have the best D line and O Line in football. They’ve been playing playoff caliber teams since early December. With Kwon, Ford and Tarrt back, Rodgers is gonna have a tough time staying upright. It will be a good game but I see the 49ers winning way more matchup all over the field.
    ________________________________________________
    Seriously, what has D Ford done this year to think he deserves any credit. 14 tackles with 6 of those being sacks… OOOOH… That is well worth the draft picks and money spent on him. “IF” the Chiefs and San Fran match up. Expect the Chiefs to run right at Dee Ford. He is a liability in the run and lining up on sides.

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