PFT’s Super Bowl picks

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The time almost has come to play Super Bowl LIV. The time definitely has come to quit procrastinating on picking a potential winner of the game.

MDS and I have made our selections, and we surprisingly agree on this one. For our reasoning and our selections, keep on reading.

MDS’s take: When I picture how this game plays out, the first thing that comes to my mind is that Patrick Mahomes meets perhaps the best defense he’s ever played against, in the biggest game of his career, and comes out on top.

The 49ers will, of course, bring some pressure on Mahomes and make it hard on him to find open receivers, but I think he’ll rise to the occasion. With Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman and Sammy Watkins able to stretch the field, I think Mahomes is going to hit several deep balls. If he has time to pass, he’s going to make the 49ers’ defense pay.

How can the 49ers stay in it? I think they’ll move the ball fairly effectively against a Chiefs run defense that was suspect in the regular season but has played well in the postseason. And I think Jimmy Garoppolo will be efficient, if not spectacular the way Mahomes will be. The 49ers’ offense will put points on the board.

But in the end, I think it comes down to Mahomes. With the game on the line in the fourth quarter, he’ll deliver.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 34, 49ers 31.

Florio’s take: As the 49ers were dismantling the Packers in the NFC Championship, a game I was convinced Green Bay would win, I became convinced that the 49ers would also dismantle the Chiefs in the Super Bowl. In the six quarters since coach Kyle Shanahan flipped the switch from passing to running, the 49ers’ offense has become unstoppable. And even though the Chiefs stopped Titans running back Derrick Henry, the San Francisco running game is more diverse and sudden and explosive.

As time passed, and as I took a closer look at things that a healthy Patrick Mahomes can do, the pendulum began to swing the other way. Hobbled through much of the season due to an ankle injury suffered in Week One and a dislocated kneecap sustained on a Thursday night in Denver, Mahomes had become second fiddle to Ravens phenom Lamar Jackson. By December, however, Mahomes was back and literally better than ever — conjuring images of 2018 and in plenty of respects taking his game to a higher level.

So here’s the question: Can Nick Bosa, Dee Ford, and company get to Mahomes before Mahomes spots one of his various receivers wide-ass open in the San Fran secondary? Given that Mahomes never stops moving (making it much harder to track him down than a guy who settles into the pocket), I’m betting that Mahomes will be as elusive against the 49ers as he has been against pretty much every team (when healthy), and that the 49ers won’t be able to keep him from gaining yards and scoring points.

Which could make the game turn on whether the Chiefs can slow down the 49ers’ offense just enough to outscore the NFC champs. Based on what Kansas City did to Henry, I’ll give the benefit of the doubt to Steve Spagnuolo and company to come up with something to slow down the 49ers just enough to allow Mahomes and company to emerge with a win.

The score I’ve picked represents a certain amount of wishful thinking. These teams seem to be so evenly matched that it’s possible, with a lucky (or unlucky) break or two early in the game, that things could get out of hand, with the Chiefs far better suited to come from behind than the 49ers, who could be cooked if they fall behind by 10 and who could see things snowball out of control.

Here’s hoping it doesn’t get to that point. Here’s hoping that the game stays close and exciting and utimately gives us an outcome that will provide a fitting end to the NFL’s 100th season.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 30, 49ers 27.

125 responses to “PFT’s Super Bowl picks

  1. Dismantling the Packers means nothing. Pack didn’t even belong in playoffs. My heart is with San Francisco, but KC will win by two scores.

  2. This is a great matchup that could go so many different ways. Will it really go the way of Super Bowl XIX? We shall see.

    I just can’t pick Jimmy G. over Mahomes. KC has shown that they can stop the run, so Jimmy G will have to play great to win it. I think he’ll make a crucial mistake.

  3. When everyone talks about how great the 9ers defense is(and it is), why do they always fail to mention that the Chiefs D was ranked ahead of the 9ers D by the end of the season?

  4. I’m glad you both picked against the Niners like you have all year. It’s worked out well. I just hope this game is a classic. If the Niners win, that would be awesome! All losses suck, but I like KC, so it wouldn’t be as disheartening to lose to them. Neither team was picked to be in the Superbowl, but here we are. Go Niners! Good luck, KC!

  5. I find this game impossible to predict. Both teams have many reasons why they could win. Maybe it just comes down to how effective the 49ers are at containing Mahomes. Let’s just hope it’s a game that goes down to the wire and makes up for that awful Rams/Patriots snoozer last year.

  6. Chiefs defense: poor run stoppers that get bailed out by mahomes that forces offenses to pass on their defense. they can’t stop any of the 49ers talent. Kittle will destroy sorenson just like Gronk did last year. chiefs defense has a bad, bad day no matter what mahomes does on offense.

    49ers defense: the cheifs will have no running game against that front 7. this game is all #15. 49ers secondary is not set up well to cover all that talent, but they can get the rush on #15 to prevent him from going bonkers.

    49ers are the better overall team with a great running game that will limit #15’s possessions, and the top defense. defense wins championships.

    49ers win.

  7. I’ll go with the team whose QB threw more TDs than the other in regular season.

    In other words, the 49ers.

    Aside from that, Niners have significantly better D and running game which puts Mahomes (who I otherwise freakin’ love) on the bench for stretches.

    Both coaches are fabulous with offensive game planning, but I think the KC defense is the weakest link. Not weak, just not as strong as their O, the Niners D and the Niners O.

  8. “Andy deserves the big one.”

    I don’t think he deserves a win in the SB any more than any of the other players or coaches do. The 100+ million he’s made over his coaching career is everything he “deserves”.

    Here’s hoping for a 9er win

  9. markspeicher says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:31 pm
    LMAO, you realize GB lost to SF by the same amount (17) as MIN did, right?
    ____________________

    GB had an entire half of garbage time because the game was over. MN was in that game until they melted down in the 3rd.

  10. I am indifferent when all is said and done about who I WANT to win.

    I’m just going to say that Salah’s defense will be the MVP. You just don’t see dominant defenses get over run in games of this size and scope.

  11. Close game thru mid 4th quarter….Chiefs break it open with a fumble recovery for a score and a a Field Goal…..Chiefs 35-24

  12. This is why some people here shouldn’t gamble. The 49ers are objectively the superior team, hands down. Kansas City is a one dimensional football team with not much of a running game and a horrible rush defense. Not falling for them stopping Derrick Henry. The 49ers will win, the Chiefs will cover the spread, and the total will go over.

  13. tonyzendejas says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:29 pm
    Kinda prefer the team without the child abuser wins.
    ————————————————————————-
    I am curious as to which team has a player that has even been charged with child abuse?

    KC by 10

  14. KC will go down by 14 early, and this time, it will bite them in the ass, and they won’t catch up. Then, there is the Andy Reid factor: I don’t know what he will do wrong, but he will.

    SF 31 – KC 28

  15. Bold prediction: 49ers get the ball first, score a TD in 2 plays. Mahomes throws a pick on his first drive, and all hell breaks loose from there.

    I’d like to be wrong, but I think this could get ugly for the Chiefs real quick. They’re finally playing a team that can maybe match their offensive production. With a far better defense too. 49ers seem to be the more complete team. Niners control the game all night. Blowout 42-24.

  16. San Fran will run the ball down their throat, and the defense will get pressure with their front 4. 49ers 42 Chiefs 24

  17. Unfortunately 49ers will be able to run the ball and eventually get pressure on Mahomes. 49ers have better oline and dline no disrespect to the chiefs. Niners win by 7+.

  18. This game comes down to the referee assigned to watching the line of scrimmage, especially “offensive line” holding. Since Mahomes’ return from his kneecap injury, the Chiefs offensive lineman, meaning…the center, two guards and two tackles, have been flagged ONE time. Is it any wonder Mahomes has all the time in the world to run around and find the open receiver?

  19. I don’t know who will win, but the team that best exploits its advantages over the other’s weaknesses will win this game.

    What I see. Defensively, the 49ers are superior. The question will be whether their net advantage on pass rush will be enough to nullify the superior talent at QB of KC.

    Offensively, there is no question KC has the superior QB who has a unique blend of runner and passer and makes throws no one else can from positions no one else can. The running game will be crucial – but more so for KC. If they can keep the 49er defense honest, this could be a huge game for Mahomes. The 49ers must be able to exploit their run advantage to help their statue QB. This means run when it should be a pass formation and to pass from run formations. This could help the 49ers keep KC off balance.

    Overall, can KC maximize its possessions to force the 49ers into passing – and if that happens, the game is over for the 49ers. The only effective route to counter the net weakness of the 49er QB is to throw to running backs and full back and to do unusual things in the passing game. But if this comes down to TE and wide receivers, this game is over.

    Prediction: KC 45, SF 35 – And for all the talk about defenses, this game won’t have much of any.

  20. Should be better than last years Boring Bowl. Can’t wait, and no Patriots or Packers. Should be a great game.

  21. Defense wins Championships is an an outdated model. Mahomes is unbelievable. But, I gotta go with the great D. 49ers

  22. Lifelong Steelers’ fan, but, for decades, I’ve always rooted for the Chiefs when it didn’t affect the Steelers in any way. So, go Chiefs! Main thing is, I hope it’s a good game, and no controversies. LOL

  23. Alan Light-headed slipped on a piece of Lutifisk and banged his already barely conscience noodle into a specious stupor if he thinks the Pack didn’t belong in the playoffs and his Barney brigade did. Main reason the 9rs blistered the Pack was due to being well rested from having a bye the week before against Minisoda who had to cheat to get to play in the 2nd round.

  24. When the playoffs began there was only one team in the field that could have beaten KC and that was the Ravens. Niners can’t keep up with KC.

    KC 35
    49ers 20

  25. I’m extremely hopeful that the Karma Police will prevent Tyreek Hill from ever having a Super Bowl ring.

    And it would also be nice if T-sizzle doesn’t get another one – he’s no saint either…

  26. “As the 49ers were dismantling the Packers in the NFC Championship, a game I was convinced Green Bay would win, ”

    ____

    I was equally convinced SF would crush GB. My posts leading up that game show it.
    Not sure why anyone would believe GB could beat Frisco in SF, with the way they’ve been playing.

    Which makes me want to go the exact opposite of both PFT predictions for KC to win.
    2 Picks, incidentally, I knew would favor KC before I even opened this story and had read only the headline. My hunch was that neither picker in this story would have enough gumption to pick the 49ers to win the SB.

    So, SF wins in a close one, 34-29

  27. Alan Light says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:25 pm
    Dismantling the Packers means nothing. Pack didn’t even belong in the playoffs.
    _______

    Well then, what does that say about your Vikings, cheeseisfattening?
    skoLOL!!!

    49ers are a very good, well coached team, and it really warms my heart to see all their fans back again.
    But the Chiefs simply have too much firepower, coupled with their overall speed.
    Close game, but not as much as the score indicates.
    Chiefs by 10, as I rake in several hundred dollars on my pools.

  28. jjackwagon says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:32 pm
    When everyone talks about how great the 9ers defense is(and it is), why do they always fail to mention that the Chiefs D was ranked ahead of the 9ers D by the end of the season?

    ———————————–

    Ummm

    SF #1 ppg 15 ypg 252.5

    KC #9 ppg 27.5 ypg 368.5

    I fail to see where you get this stat. Oh wait you must be talking about that stretch KC played 5 games against those stellar AFCW offenses and the Pats who also had an abysmal offense this year. While the 49ers played the hardest 5 game stretch in NFL history….. give yourself a pat on the back

  29. As a Browns fan, I have no rooting interest. If the Steelers or the Cowboys were playing, I’d have a negative rooting interest. Hate both. All that said, Tyreek Hill’s assaults on his girlfriend/wife and his unconscionable physical and emotional abuse of his son make it impossible for me to be neutral. No accolade or honor should ever come this man’s way. He is repugnant. Go 49ers.

  30. Shocker!

    Florio the 49er hater picking against them, like the Vikings and Packers games previously.

    It’s been entertaining to read his and the rest of the PFT “writers” belittling articles about San Francisco all year long. Guess what? SF is in the Super Bowl.

    Good news for Niner fans is he’ll be wrong again. And there won’t be any other games left for redemption.

  31. jjackwagon says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:32 pm
    When everyone talks about how great the 9ers defense is(and it is), why do they always fail to mention that the Chiefs D was ranked ahead of the 9ers D by the end of the season?
    _________________________

    Kind of like how they fail to mention that the 49ers scored more points this year than the high powered Chiefs offense (and it is). This is not just a strength vs strength superbowl. This is almost no weakness vs almost no weakness type of superbowl.

  32. If the Niners win, 3 teams will have won a full one third of all Super Bowls (Pittsburg, SF, and NE).

  33. jjackwagon says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:32 pm
    When everyone talks about how great the 9ers defense is(and it is), why do they always fail to mention that the Chiefs D was ranked ahead of the 9ers D by the end of the season?

    ——————–
    You’ll need to explain this one to me… I haven’t seen anywhere that says the Chiefs D was better than the Niners D… I’m not even sure they were better in a single statistic… at least none of the important categories anyway…

  34. Both picking Chiefs. And that is who I am pulling for. But my money is on San Fran as I feel they’re the better overall team with that defense. Should be a great game, and thankfully we don’t have to watch the Boston camera crew this year.

  35. AB catches the winning TD from Kap (in for an ineffective Mahomes) and Chiefs win 5 to 1. Goodell’s head explodes as he hands the Lombardi to Chief’s interim coach Hue Jackson. Book it.

  36. That GB beatdown is the best for the Chiefs. SF will think they can rely on the run, not gonna happen. Then they will be out of their game plan. Shanahan will over compensate due to the ATL SB and lose again. Patrick Mahomes with tie or break SB TD pass record.

  37. Said this 3 weeks in a row now, keep picking against SF Florio….btw did you say that the 49ers were your superbowl favorite while they were beating the Packers?

  38. See the Patriots v Chiefs in the AFC game last year (first half): if the 49ers can bottle up Mahomes and limit his scrambling, they can severely limit his scoring. With the KC speed, if it becomes scrambling street-ball, 49ers are toast.

  39. jjackwagon says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:32 pm
    When everyone talks about how great the 9ers defense is(and it is), why do they always fail to mention that the Chiefs D was ranked ahead of the 9ers D by the end of the season?

    The only area the KC defense ranked ahead of the SF defense by the end of the season was points allowed: 310 to 308. SF was significantly better in every other category and played better offensive competition overall between the two teams. If we look at just the playoffs, the Chiefs have faced the #21 and #27 defenses overall. The 49ers are the #2 defense overall and have every starter back from injury which wasn’t the case for most of the season. KC is going to score, you can’t stop this offense completely, but I think the SF defense will hold them to under 30 and that will be enough for a 49er win because many are really missing the boat on how good this SF offense is. They aren’t that far behind the Chiefs in ability to score and score quickly, they just do it with a more balanced attack which in the end will give them the TOP advantage and a win 34-27.

  40. Niners have been doubted all season. These picks are not surprising at all. I feel an upset though 😉

  41. Your question was “Can Nick Bosa, Dee Ford, and company get to Mahomes before Mahomes spots one of his various receivers wide-ass open in the San Fran secondary?” You’re giving credit to the Niners pass rush but not their secondary? This was the #1 defense against the pass in the NFL. Don’t think your giving Sherman and crew enough credit. Niners in a close game.

  42. “So here’s the question: Can Nick Bosa, Dee Ford, and company get to Mahomes before Mahomes spots one of his various receivers wide-ass open in the San Fran secondary?”

    Wide-Ass open hey? SF defense gave up 34 passes over 20yrds on 567 attempts, totaling 5.99%. That is 2nd in the league only behind Buffalo, who came in at 5.88%. Where do you get this logic? Nobody has been running wide-ass open in SF secondary all year.

    The real question is, who on KC is stopping SF running game when they run through “wide-ass open” field?

  43. Not even close chiefs 32 49ers 17… once mahomes gets going in the 2nd quarter the 9ers won’t be able to run the ball and jimmy g will fold like a lawn chair…

  44. delawarehunter says:
    January 30, 2020 at 2:09 pm
    jjackwagon says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:32 pm
    When everyone talks about how great the 9ers defense is(and it is), why do they always fail to mention that the Chiefs D was ranked ahead of the 9ers D by the end of the season?
    ——————–
    You’ll need to explain this one to me… I haven’t seen anywhere that says the Chiefs D was better than the Niners D… I’m not even sure they were better in a single statistic… at least none of the important categories anyway…

    ________________________________________

    I’ll piggyback this comment.

    KC played their last 6 games against 5 teams below .500. They played 1 top 10 offense and two in the bottom 5 for offense. Easy to bump up your stats when you’re playing bottom feeders.

    Meanwhile SF played out one of the hardest stretches of all-time in their last 6 (The GB, Ravens and Saints games were the highest winning % for opponents in a 3 game stretch ever). 4 of 6 were in the playoffs, with only 1 team below .500. Two 13-3 teams and a 14-2 team, with all Offenses in the top 10, excluding GB. SF was playing contenders and were shorthanded with multiple players hurt on the D.

    Stats tell a whole different story when yo dig into them.

  45. I’ve given this a lot of thought, and looked at it from every possible angle, and here’s my pick:

    Sometime late in the third quarter, seemingly down by an insurmountable lead, the Patriots will mount a furious rush to come back from a first-round loss in the playoffs to win the Super Bowl in double overtime. Book it.

    😉

    honestly, I had no idea they played a Superbowl if the Patriots weren’t in it. It’s taken me almost two weeks to wrap my head around this. It looks like a pretty good matchup. I’ve always felt in this case if one team had an aspect of their team that was historically Superior, that team would win the Super Bowl. Kansas City has that aspect with their offense. Falling behind isn’t as big a deal for them. If San Francisco falls behind, that run game becomes less effective and more has to be put on the shoulders of Jimmy g. Jimmy could have a phenomenal game. He’s capable of it. But he also could throw 5 picks in a row. The Kansas City defense is better than it has been in the past, and it has played better lately, but does enjoy the advantage of playing from ahead most of the time. They’re good but not great. Still, San Francisco is the more physical team in the trenches and that is a huge advantage. They will need to be careful early and not allow the chiefs to get too far ahead. I’m quite sure they are spending a lot of time looking at the film of the Patriots versus the chiefs over the last 2 years. The Patriots had a way of disarming the chiefs offense for long stretches. If they can duplicate that and lean on the chiefs with their physicality, they can win. But no lead is safe against Kansas City. If I had to put money on it, straight up, I’d have to take Kansas City. However, from a routing perspective for my team, I prefer to see San Francisco win, join the Patriots and Pittsburgh as six-time Super Bowl winners, and provide incentive for Tom Brady to return to the Patriots to put up banner number 7 Before he retires. Besides, losing the Super Bowl has a hangover effect and I wouldn’t mind seeing Kansas City take a step back since they are a prime competitor for my favorite team. I won’t be upset if the Chiefs win though. Andy Reid seems like a real nice guy, and mahomes seems like a good guy too. I’m not sure I’ll be able to stomach Mahomes girlfriend though.

  46. I’m here for the “New AFC Dynasty” takes if the Chiefs win, then watch them get bounced early next year

  47. Some observations; last year’s AFC game went to overtime. Some commenters seem to think New England shipped the hell out of KC.
    Secondly, wtf do the Packers have to do with this?
    Seattle was pretty beat up this year, but both games against SF went down to the wire. If Mahomes can do a Russell Wilson, they have a shot,
    But, mobile as he is, Russ is unique in his own way.
    It will probably come down to turnovers, and the momentum shifts they provide.

  48. Niners have a chance, but if KC gets up by 2 or more scores, it’s over.

    I predict the Chiefs will win by at least 2 TDs.

  49. marvin1958 says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:40 pm

    I’m just going to say that Salah’s defense will be the MVP. You just don’t see dominant defenses get over run in games of this size and scope.

    —-
    Dominant defense? You mean the 49ers, who gave up 25 & 26 to the Cardinals, 46 to the Saints, 29 to Altanta and 31 to the Rams? Three teams that didn’t even qualify for the playoffs?

    The 49ers have given up an average of 25 points per game in their last 8 games and haven’t met an offense even close to that of the Chiefs. The last AFC team they faced, the Baltimore Ravens, beat them 20-17. That’s the same Ravens team whom the Chiefs beat in Week 3 of the season, without Tyreek Hill.

    The Chiefs defense finished 2nd in points allowed. In their past 8 games, they’ve given up an average of 14.6 points per game and they’re on an 8-0 run. And in during their last meeting with the 49ers in 2018, the Chiefs hung 38 on Saleh’s defense with the score being 35-10 at halftime.

    Saleh outsmarting Reid? I kind of doubt that.

  50. NO one will see this prediction at the bottom of the stack but…

    Late 80s style Super Blow-Out

    KC scores late to make it look close.

    SF 55 – KC 38

  51. I know the sentiment is with the Chiefs, Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes. That said, the players the 49ers have gotten back fully healthy on defense have elevated that team, as they demonstrated in the playoffs.

    San Francisco wins this game because they have a better defense. Don’t underestimate Garappolo either. I suspect we’ll see a bunch of play-action in this game to keep the Chiefs defense off-balance.

  52. LMAO, you realize GB lost to SF by the same amount (17) as MIN did, right?
    ____________________

    GB had an entire half of garbage time because the game was over. MN was in that game until they melted down in the 3rd.
    ____________
    Hate to burst your bubble, but did MIN do anything in the second half? LOL

  53. I don’t have a rooting interest, but I live in the Bay Area and see plenty of the Niners. They are way better on defense than KC, and with their running game they’re just as good on offense. I see SF winning by a lot. 49ers 34 – Chiefs 14.

  54. Shouldn’t be surprised since it’s been this way all playoffs but still funny how these guys CONSISTENTLY make the exact same pick. And not just the winning team but the total scores and spreads are basically identical. (In the opening round they picked EVERY game identically to each other.) It doesn’t make for compelling reading to have guys consistently agreeing 100% with each other. You’d think one of them would have went with a low score and argued it’d be way more a defensive game than most people think or maybe added a TD to the total and argued it’d be a double-digit win.

  55. I think its going to be a good one. Two evenly matched teams…based on the regular season:

    Points per game: KC 28.2 SF 29.9
    Points against: KC 19.3 SF 19.4
    Strength of schedule: KC 4th SF 2nd

    Regardless of how they got there, this game is going to come down to who gets the big break. I dont think either team dominates the other. Its a who has the ball last type game that ends 31-28 or 34-31.

    Or it will be a blow out….. : )

  56. eltigredelnorte says:
    January 30, 2020 at 3:07 pm
    I don’t have a rooting interest, but I live in the Bay Area and see plenty of the Niners. They are way better on defense than KC, and with their running game they’re just as good on offense. I see SF winning by a lot. 49ers 34 – Chiefs 14.

    ——–
    The Chiefs haven’t lost a game by more than 7 points since the 2016 season.

  57. harrisonhits2 says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:38 pm
    “Andy deserves the big one.”

    I don’t think he deserves a win in the SB any more than any of the other players or coaches do. The 100+ million he’s made over his coaching career is everything he “deserves”.

    Here’s hoping for a 9er win

    ———

    Agreed. You only “deserve” it if you do the things necessary to win it. He is a likable guy, but that doesn’t qualify him as a SB winning coach. He has had many good teams that have found ways to not win, and sometimes that has been on him and his late game decision making and clock management. So no, he doesn’t deserve it any more than Kyle Shanahan.

  58. mselah says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:46 pm
    This game comes down to the referee assigned to watching the line of scrimmage, especially “offensive line” holding. Since Mahomes’ return from his kneecap injury, the Chiefs offensive lineman, meaning…the center, two guards and two tackles, have been flagged ONE time. Is it any wonder Mahomes has all the time in the world to run around and find the open receiver?

    ——-

    Yeah we saw this against the Titans. I believe the Chiefs were the better team but they had some blatant holds on almost every play.

  59. I love Mahomes when he’s not playing the Niners, but as has been said several times now, defense wins championships. Also, Mike just sealed the Niner’s win by saying they’re going to lose yet again. Thanks Mike! #6 will be on the shelf soon!

  60. chillyball says:
    January 30, 2020 at 2:56 pm

    Wait – what about all the Vikings fans who bought SB tickets back in October?

    guess they’re watching from home..LIKE ALL THE PACKER FANS

  61. Mitch Kumstein says:
    January 30, 2020 at 3:20 pm
    eltigredelnorte says:
    January 30, 2020 at 3:07 pm
    I don’t have a rooting interest, but I live in the Bay Area and see plenty of the Niners. They are way better on defense than KC, and with their running game they’re just as good on offense. I see SF winning by a lot. 49ers 34 – Chiefs 14.

    ——–
    The Chiefs haven’t lost a game by more than 7 points since the 2016 season.
    _____

    And…..ONE offensive line holding call by the Chiefs since week 10!!!!!

  62. I want to see the Niners win just for Nick Bosa to visit the White House and Sherman (probably) not visit.

  63. “Florio’s take: As the 49ers were dismantling the Packers in the NFC Championship, a game I was convinced Green Bay would win…”
    ===========

    Nothing more need be said.

  64. goldrush36 says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:58 pm
    jjackwagon says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:32 pm
    When everyone talks about how great the 9ers defense is(and it is), why do they always fail to mention that the Chiefs D was ranked ahead of the 9ers D by the end of the season?

    ———————————–

    Ummm

    SF #1 ppg 15 ypg 252.5

    KC #9 ppg 27.5 ypg 368.5

    I fail to see where you get this stat.

    —————————————————————-

    jjackwagon is referring to points allowed per game. With that stat, he right, but barely right. The Chiefs allowed 0.1 less points per game than the Niners allowed.

    In the other stats that you mentioned, the Niners have a clear advantage.

    But at the end of the day, the prior games and stats mean nothing. It’s one game, winner take all.

    Before the Titans-Ravens game, all of the stats had the Ravens winning in a blowout. How’s that turn out?

    Both the Chiefs and Niners are great teams. I think the biggest difference will be in how Shanahan and Reid coach. IT will come down to which coach inserts the best plays….on both sides of the ball.

  65. Everyone seems to be calling for a close game, but I just don’t see it.

    Either SF will rattle Mahomes early and often and their run game will be combined with a lethal play action passing game or KC will get out to an early lead, forcing SF to make mistakes playing catch up. I’m hoping for a close game with some fireworks, but I have a feeling that it will be at least a two touchdown margin, regardless of who wins.

    I also see a lot of references to KC shutting down the Titans run game. Reality is that Tennessee lives and dies on the run game. SF is far more balanced, so it will be difficult for KC to sell out to stop the run.

    The way that the SF D has shut out passing games (outside of NO and garbage time), I think that SF blowing out KC is the more likely- but neither would be a surprise.

  66. Now I’m convinced to drop a nickle on the 49ers. Andy Reid will find a way to ruin a great Mahomes performance.

  67. Mitch Kumstein says:
    January 30, 2020 at 3:20 pm
    eltigredelnorte says:
    January 30, 2020 at 3:07 pm
    I don’t have a rooting interest, but I live in the Bay Area and see plenty of the Niners. They are way better on defense than KC, and with their running game they’re just as good on offense. I see SF winning by a lot. 49ers 34 – Chiefs 14.

    ——–
    The Chiefs haven’t lost a game by more than 7 points since the 2016 season.

    ————————————————————

    Stats from prior years mean nothing. But this year, the Niners also didn’t lose any game by more than 7 points. The Niners also played a tougher schedule than KC.

  68. KC tough to beat. 9ers will have to be very successful running the ball, but even then KC’s passing game will get them.

    Machines is just a better QB than Jimmy G, and that will be the difference

  69. No good way to pick this game. Every argument people are making is valid. Playing up to potential, both teams have what it would take to win.

    I’m thinking that one team or the other will start to make some mistakes, things won’t go as planned. Seems like that’s what happens in so many big games – it’s never both sides performing ideally, it’s one side starts to crack unexpectedly, a few “oh crap” setbacks, the other takes control, and the team that made the mistakes can’t catch back up. It could be either of these teams, but I suspect it will be one of them.

  70. Florio now has the reasons KC can beat SF.

    Picked Minnesota to beat them. Florio’s take: Thirty-two years ago, Anthony Carter and the Vikings shocked the 49ers in San Francisco, six days after shocking the Saints in New Orleans. One year earlier, the Vikings stole a regular-season game in San Francisco with a 27-24 overtime win. Earlier this year, the 49ers lost their first game of the year, 27-24 in overtime. So what the hell? Lightning strikes all over again for the Vikings, who are good enough to keep it close and if they can keep it close anything can happen.
    Didn’t even come close.

    Picked GB to beat them. Florio’s take: The 37-8 victory in Week 12 becomes a ball and chain for the 49ers this time around. HA! Didn’t even come close.

    Hasn’t been right on the 49ers yet this post season. Are you watching the same league as everyone else or are you just grudge picking against them? It clearly bothers you that SF is so good this year. It’s fun to watch. Thanks, Mike SF wins!!!

  71. mtripses says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:41 pm
    tonyzendejas says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:29 pm
    Kinda prefer the team without the child abuser wins.
    ————————————————————————-
    I am curious as to which team has a player that has even been charged with child abuse?

    KC by 10

    mtripses, tonyzendejas never used the word “charged”, he said “team without the child abuser”. You have to admit, Tyreek Hill DOES have a history! Even BEFORE he was in the NFL.

  72. It has been proven time and time and time again, “DEFENSE wins Championship!”

    I trust the 49ers defense more than i would the Chiefs…

    49ers 34
    Chiefs 28

  73. goldrush36 says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:58 pm
    jjackwagon says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:32 pm
    When everyone talks about how great the 9ers defense is(and it is), why do they always fail to mention that the Chiefs D was ranked ahead of the 9ers D by the end of the season?

    ———————————–

    Ummm

    SF #1 ppg 15 ypg 252.5

    KC #9 ppg 27.5 ypg 368.5

    I fail to see where you get this stat. Oh wait you must be talking about that stretch KC played 5 games against those stellar AFCW offenses and the Pats who also had an abysmal offense this year. While the 49ers played the hardest 5 game stretch in NFL history….. give yourself a pat on the back

    ——————-

    I’ll add more to gold rush’s comment. For the last quarter of the year, we had major injuries to ALL THREE LEVELS of the defense. Dee Ford on the DL, Kwon Alexander at LB, and Jacquarski Tartt in the secondary. All three came back for the divisional round, and I think the defense has looked pretty good since then 🙂

  74. For a second there I was worried that Florio might go rogue and actually pick the 49ers. I’m relieved to see that both he and Pete Prisco are going with KC. Good luck with that kiss of death Chiefs fans!

  75. FootballSeasonRules says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:41 pm
    This is why some people here shouldn’t gamble. The 49ers are objectively the superior team, hands down. Kansas City is a one dimensional football team with not much of a running game and a horrible rush defense. Not falling for them stopping Derrick Henry. The 49ers will win, the Chiefs will cover the spread, and the total will go over.
    —–
    How did anyone upvote this? The 49ers will win, but the Chiefs will cover the spread? For the Chiefs to cover the spread, they have to WIN by 2.

  76. I really want Andy Reid to win a SB, but unfortunately, that 49ers D is just too good. I bet the 49ers win by 10 or more.

  77. Niners do not need to blitz to get QB pressure and the Chiefs running game is not great. They are the perfect team to stop Mahomes. Couple that with the Niners good run game and the Chiefs bad run defense, the Niners will be able to stay on the field longer and keep the ball away from Mahomes.

    Niners roll 34-24.

  78. This will be a true test of the Niner’s Def. In terms of Points Scored and Yards Gained….they played the 30th toughest schedule in both categories. The early part of the schedule was ridiculously easy (averaged 11 points allowed)…and starting in week 9, they allowed an average of 23 points per game. Their def is good…but KC will be the best offense they have faced all year. We will certainly see what happens…

  79. KC cannot stop the 49ers pass rush or the 49ers running attack. Mahomes has too much to overcome and the 49ers played much better teams leading up to this one. Sorry but the Saints, Seattle TWICE, Green Bay TWICE, the Rams and Minnesota is why they will win this game Sunday. KC will find it impossible to stop the run and they cannot cover anybody on the 49ers. Jimmy G will be very efficient since Mostert, Breida and Coleman will just pound KC down and end this game around late 3rd quarter. Shoot, the 49ers are more battle tested than KC and KC cannot run the ball at all. Sorry Reid but you got more work to do in the offseason since you cannot compete with this loaded team.

  80. jackedupboonie says:
    January 30, 2020 at 5:27 pm
    Chiefs 63-7

    ————

    You and the rest of the 12’s be sure to enjoy watching the “Clara’s” on Sunday. SF ruined your pretty little season In December and will ruin your Sunday as well. Delicious…

  81. FootballSeasonRules says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:41 pm
    The 49ers will win, the Chiefs will cover the spread, and the total will go over.
    ——————————————————————–

    That would be a neat trick considering the Chiefs are favored by 1.5 points.

  82. 49ers come out looking good early. By the 2nd quarter, the Chiefs have figured out their run game enough to at least slow them down. Chiefs will pull the same game plan as they did against the Texans and Titans. They sell out to slow down the run enough. Kittle will have a big game as the Chiefs defense usually gives up good games to the TE’s. Chiefs secondary is a top 10 secondary and will limit the 49ers WR. By slowing down the run, the Chiefs force Jimmy G to beat them in the air. I don’t think they can go toe to toe with KC’s offense. 49ers defense will probably fool Mahomes early but their secondary doesn’t have the people to cover Hill, Kelce, Hardman, Watkins, & Williams the whole game. They will have to double Kelce and double Hill leaving Hardman, Watkins, & Williams the opportunity to have big games. In the end, the Chiefs offense is too good and their defense is just good enough.

    Chiefs – 34
    49ers – 24

  83. Became a big fan of Kyle Shanahan when he was here with his Dad for four seasons. But I must pull for Andy Reid to get a Super Bowl win after ‘losing’ in his previous appearance with the Eagles. It has been a pleasure awaiting this game between two great teams and organizations. All respect to the Rams, Eagles, and Falcons in the three prior Super Bowls, but it was impossible to anticipate those games with complete pleasure and faith in the nature of the competitions.

  84. Tape it, skip the half-time acts, just watch the commercials. KC will win if they don’t give SF too big a lead in the first quarter. Close score at the end. Good game for everyone. KC pulls it out if Mahomes stays healthy and his receivers remember how to catch.

  85. I’m of two minds for this game. I like the Chiefs, because for the first two years of their existence they were the Dallas Texans. If Lamar Hunt hadn’t founded the AFL and placed his team in Dallas, the NFL would not have allowed the league to expand and Clint Murchison could not have started the Dallas Cowboys. The two teams didn’t play against each other then, but they did share a stadium, the Cotton Bowl. Hunt became frustrated by that, so he packed up and moved to Kansas City and renamed his team the Chiefs.

    Still, they originated in Texas, so I tend favor them. And Patrick Mahomes played high school football in a small Texas town. (As did Tom Landry.) Mahomes is a phenomenal talent, and because he came from Texas, I can’t root against him.

    On the other hand, as much as I hate San Francisco, for numerous reasons I won’t go into, I think the 49ers are the better built team in this matchup. They have a very strong and fast defense, and a three-headed running game. Plus, Garoppolo was Brady’s understudy in multiple Super Bowls. For that, I cannot underestimate him. This guy has been there before and knows what it takes to win.

    Both of these teams are equally matched. The KC offense vs the SF defense; the SF offense vs the KC defense. In the end, I think it’s going to come down to special teams. Reid has coached in a Super Bowl before, and lost. Shanahan has been an assistant coach in a Super Bowl before, but not a head coach, and lost.

    We’re not talking about rings and trophies here. We’re talking about football, coaching: matchups, game planning, play calling. Players making plays.

    Absent injuries, this is going to be a close game. The outcome will be determined by which team has the better defense and the better running game. The quarterbacks may make a difference, but it’s not called armball for a reason.

    Defense and the run game will determine the outcome of this game. It could go either way. I don’t make bets on football–the ball is shaped funny, its bounce is unpredictable, anything can happen, and the refs are unreliable.

    But I think the 49ers will prevail, because they have faced much stiffer competition to get to the game.

  86. daphne49er says:
    January 30, 2020 at 1:38 pm
    I’ll go with the team whose QB threw more TDs than the other in regular season.

    In other words, the 49ers.
    ================================

    Lol in 2 more games, yes.

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