What will Teddy Bridgewater get in free agency?

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Forget TB12, at least for now. There’s another TB who will definitely be a free agent next month, and some are suggesting that Teddy Bridgewater could cash in significantly.

Via multiple accounts on Twitter and elsewhere, Jeremy Fowler said on ESPN Monday that Bridgewater will have a strong market, and that he could make $30 million per year under his next contract.

Needless to say, that would represent a gigantic bump of the one-year, $7.25 million deal Bridgewater signed a year ago to remain with the Saints, who sent a third-round pick to the Jets to acquire the 2014 first-rounder in 2018.

Ultimately, anyone is worth whatever someone will pay them. But in a market that will be full of plenty of current and former starting quarterbacks, $30 million for Bridgewater is a lot.

Bridgewater has 34 career starts, but he has started only six games since 2015. And although he went 5-0 as a starter last season in place of Drew Brees, is that enough to put Bridgewater north of players like Jimmy Garoppolo ($27.5 million) and Kirk Cousins ($28 million)?

If there were no other free-agent quarterbacks, maybe. But the 2020 quarterback class features an unprecedented number of free agents and potentially available quarterbacks who are under contract (like Andy Dalton and Cam Newton), the notion that Bridgewater and his career passer rating of 88.3 with 38 touchdown passes and 25 interceptions would get $30 million per year seems like a stretch.

I love Teddy. I hope he gets a huge contract. I hope he becomes what he seemed to be poised to become when he suffered a fluke ACL tear in late August 2016. But if really does him no favors to have a number like that out there, because whatever he gets will be viewed as a failure in comparison.

A more realistic number, all things considered, would seem to be in the range of $24 million. And if that ends up being low, good. It’s always better for a guy to get more than he was expected to get than less.

88 responses to “What will Teddy Bridgewater get in free agency?

  1. I agree. Holy cow, 30m a year for Bridgewater? Even if a team drafts a qb and signs bridgewater short term that seems way to high. I was thinking a jacoby brisett type contract in free agency. But who knows, some of the GM’s in the NFL are idiots so i guess we qill see.

  2. It’s the reverse of last year where everything said here leading into the offseason was Bridgewater would get paid and be a starter which both seemed unlikely last yr. If it wasnt ESPN then it would get the thumbs up here.

  3. Maybe the Vikings should take him back. Ok, they will have about $60M in cap money tied up in the QB position but Cousins is in a lame duck year of his contract and the Vikings will have to bite the bullet at some point, just do it 2020. Man the other positions with UDFA’s and gear up for 2021

  4. No way would anyone pay him $30 mil a year. $15m to $20m would be generous. Don’t forget there are names like Brady, Cam, Winston, Stafford, Rivers, Tannehill, and potentially Brees that are all going to be ahead of him. He has a very limited market and teams know it.

  5. How could any team pay him more than $10 mil? He’s injury prone and is the 2nd biggest bust from the 2014 draft (only Johnny football is worse).

  6. I know Drew is beloved in Nola, but it’s time to cut bait. He has no accuracy beyond 10-15 yards and goes limp in the pocket when there is pressure. Unless the Saints want to watch him completely crumble in 2020 so that he finally realizes his drop-off and decides to retire, they need to anoint Teddy or hope that Hill can be an every down QB.

  7. Teddy Bridgewater would have most likely sent the Bills to the Super Bowl, but they decide to move up and draft Trash Allen instead.

    #mistakeaftermistake

  8. My guess is in line with yours. I was going to say $25M a year for Teddy. If someone gave him a 3 years/$90M contract with something like $15M signing, $15M first year, $5M roster bonus and $25M second year and a $30M third year with maybe the 3rd year being non-guaranteed.

  9. He should get a ham sammich and be thankful he’s still in the league. He is not impressive since he was on a talented team that would make even Kirk Cousins look good.

  10. Tampa Bay seems to be the best choice with their WRs.

    Which means welcome to Tennessee.

  11. Teddy is a great teammate and worked his way back quietly even taking less with his last contract with the saints to continue to learn, get healthy and better. He deserves whatever he can get this cycle as it might be his last big shot. Good Luck

  12. I did not expect what he did with the Saints this year.

    That being said, I would not commit to him long-term as a starter with starting money based on five games with a well-run franchise that has a lot of offensive weapons.

    If you’re the Miami Dolphins how much better do you think he would be than Ryan Fitzpatrick was last year? Would he even be better at all? Even if you believe so, you have to factor in he’ll be taking at least 18 million of the salary cap, a much larger hit than the former Harvard player.

    If you’re Washington do you want to make your QB situation even more crowded and complicated? If you’re the Chargers do you really think he is the answer to following a legend? Is he better than Carr if you’re the Raiders?

    You have three QBs in this draft who will be better Week 1 than he is and have much higher upside. You’ll be paying them much less next year. You have Trevor Lawrence next year. You could take a chance on Nick Foles and probably get a high draft pick for taking him off Jacksonville’s hands. There are just too many other options out there than giving Bridgewater big money.

  13. He will be overpaid. Wherever he goes will not have Alvin Kamara to hand off to or Michael Thomas to catch the ball.

  14. I had to comment because this analysis has such a defeatist argument behind it. Its better to get paid a little and succeed than a lot and fail? How about have a winners attitude that you maximize compensation and then you show the world that you are worth it. That’s the thing that people fail to understand about successful people. They are not afraid to succeed, nor are they afraid to fail. They simply hate to fail, but for them fear doesn’t enter into the equation. Bridgewater is a winner. He is only 27 years old and his career was derailed for 2 seasons because of his injury. The reality is that he would have been one of the great young QBs in this league by now if he had not gotten hurt. Everyone acts like Bridgewater is a finished product and he’s done developing. Give him time and he will once again show he is a top 10 QB. The fact that he just wins where ever he’s been…high school, college, and the Pros is no fluke. The fact that Mike Zimmer, Sean Payton, and Bill Parcells love this kid is no fluke. He is the real deal, and if he gets $30M a year guess what? He won’t shrink from he spotlight. Instead he will grow into what he was supposed to be by now which is one of the smartest and most efficient QBs in the league. Just watch.

  15. Bridgewater went 5-0 last season. Two games he played well, two games he was awful, and one game was decent. As someone whom has watched that offense march up and down the field and score on any team they faced the past 14 years, the offense was seriously handcuffed while Bridgewater was starting. Had both started all 16 games, Brees’ numbers would’ve still dwarfed Bridgewater’s. The team averaged almost 200 more yards and 12 more points per game while Brees played compared to Bridgewater.
    It’s hard not to root for Teddy, but he will be vastly overpaid and will be met with, somewhat, unfair expectations.

  16. Whoever signs him will be getting a leader and a winner. He might not be flashy, but he gets the job done and he’s as classy as they come. Good luck to him.

  17. The Vikings could’ve kept him for a 1984 Buick and three parking passes, but in their infinite wisdom sent him packing instead. Just think of the support players surrounding Teddy they could’ve afforded with all that Cousins money. Almost makes you want to cry.

  18. He has shown that he can get his team to the playoffs, having done it before he got hurt. Nevertheless it would be difficult to find a team who will pay him $30 million or more. My guess is that he may get between 20 and 25 million dollars per season.

  19. With everything this kids been through, and with what a good person he seems to be, I would love to see him get a top dollar starting job. But with the other free agent QB’s that will be out there I just can’t see it happening. At least not at $30 million.

  20. Only takes two interested teams to drive up the price. This QB market is impossible to predict, supply might outweigh demand for once.

  21. Its amazing what some of these QB’s are getting nowadays when you consider what some of the true legends of the game played for. Its just crazy!

  22. biged1340am says:
    February 17, 2020 at 9:42 pm
    Gets injured and never played a full season….see Nick Foles
    ———————————-
    Foles was so great he won a SB without a full season effort. Some guys play 15 years and never get close. History loves the brilliant flashes of light, the geniuses for a season. The guy was magical at Philly. No telling how many titles he would’ve had if he had not suffered those bone breaking injuries.

  23. Wow. Lots of uninformed and ridiculous statements being made here about TB.
    A sampling:
    “injury prone”
    “Bust”

    I mean really… Do some of you even ever Watch football?

  24. This
    smarter than you says:
    February 17, 2020 at 8:50 pm
    When I spoke with Teddy he emphasized wanting to go to a quality team, his time with the Jests was a living nightmare

    19 35 Rate This

    We’re not talking about Teddy Roosevelt

  25. Teddy is $22M as a starter. That 5-0 record last season came against some great teams, and he was nearly flawless proving he can grind out wins. He’s not as flashy as other qbs and that flashiness doesn’t sell tickets, but winning sells more tickets.

  26. I think Teddy had a great opportunity and not necessarily was great himself. He went 5-0 while Drew was out, you may want to look at how those games were won before dropping him all that cash. The Saints defensively played lights out, special teams made plays and the offense was very simple. The coaching staff put together a great gameplan and was able to get away with those wins. Out of the five games Teddy may have played above average once. If he can get to a team with that same mind set, say like Tennessee, he can win. If the team is put on his shoulders he wont be better than .500

  27. Funny how you guys expect an upstart starting QB to get paid less than 30 million. It’s not going to happen in today’s NFL. Once Cousins got paid, the bar was set. Also, a franchise starting QB gets at least 30 mil. It’s simple math and economics at this point.

  28. $30 million for a QB with a bad leg? Who do you think he is – Sam Bradford?

    Just hope Teddy gets his chance to start. He’s earned it.

  29. somuchdramainthepft says:
    February 17, 2020 at 8:46 pm
    I know Drew is beloved in Nola, but it’s time to cut bait. He has no accuracy beyond 10-15 yards and goes limp in the pocket when there is pressure.

    ——————

    Serious question: Have you ever seen a football game?

    Career yards/attempt is 7.6 yards Last year it was 7.9.

    AY/A was 8.8. His career AY/A is 7.6.

    % of times sacked when attempting to throw last year: 3.1% – BEST IN THE NFL.

    You don’t have a clue what you’re talking about.

  30. The way the QB market has been run by the agents the last few years (since Cousins got tagged by Washington) is that every big deal has to be higher than the last.

    Where is the “middle market” for starting QBs? There isn’t one. Either guys are getting paid in the $30 million range, or they’re on backup or rookie deals.

    I think there SHOULD be a middle range. Does something like $20 million (give or take) for Bridgewater sound right? To me it does.

    But let’s also remember – a QB going to a new system is a NEW fit and it doesn’t often work. The team signing a QB needs to understand whether that QB will fit their system. For example: if Osweiler had stayed in Denver, he likely would’ve had more success in the system he was familiar with. He wasn’t a good fit for Houston’s system.

    Does that mean he would’ve been successful in Denver? That’s a different question. But QB is never a plug-and-play position, but many fans expect it to be. I think Bridgewater could be a legit starter with the right team, but too often it’s the wrong team signing these guys – AND too often it’s a bad team. A bad team isn’t going to magically get better with a new QB. The rest of the pieces need to be there to some degree.

  31. nite2al says:
    February 18, 2020 at 8:30 am
    Funny how you guys expect an upstart starting QB to get paid less than 30 million. It’s not going to happen in today’s NFL. Once Cousins got paid, the bar was set. Also, a franchise starting QB gets at least 30 mil. It’s simple math and economics at this point.
    ———————————————————————–

    Yes – that’s it exactly. It all got thrown out of whack when Washington franchise tagged Cousins for those two seasons. Remember when Osweiler getting $17 mil/year from Houston was considered ridiculous? That was only 2016.

    Now the starting point for negotiations seems to be $30 mil. Any time a team signs a QB to a big deal “before it’s due” these days, it seems like they’re thinking that it will only be higher if they wait a year or two.

  32. stellarperformance says:
    February 17, 2020 at 9:57 pm

    The Vikings could’ve kept him for a 1984 Buick and three parking passes, but in their infinite wisdom sent him packing instead. Just think of the support players surrounding Teddy they could’ve afforded with all that Cousins money. Almost makes you want to cry.

    _________________________________

    Funny how you’ve come around on Bridgewater. When he was with the Vikings, I remember Packer fans like you referring to him as “noodle-arm,” “baby hands,” “Check-down Teddy,” and comparing him to a child trying to play pro football. I also remember Packer fans saying that he would never come back from the knee injury.

    He certainly proved you wrong, but that isn’t all that difficult to do on any given day.

  33. Had both started all 16 games, Brees’ numbers would’ve still dwarfed Bridgewater’s. The team averaged almost 200 more yards and 12 more points per game while Brees played compared to Bridgewater.
    ===============
    Absolutely right. But numbers don’t win games. I sincerely believe Teddy is one of those quarterbacks who can win a lot of games without putting up great numbers. I’ve never heard any of his teammates say anything but they would run through a wall for the guy and that counts for a lot in my book.

  34. If he’ll play anywhere, he’ll have the opportunity to get paid bigger. $24-28M per territory

    If he wants to go somewhere that needs a starter & is a bubble-playoff team, he’ll probably top off at $22 per year.

    His challenge is that the supply of QB’s is great this year. So, he is probably better off looking at:

    Hoping onto an existing winner that has a QB whose 2021 starting QB is in question might be a great option. Try to get $12M as a backup & learn the system without getting killed does not seem like a bad idea.

  35. He still doesn’t have an arm , he’s still check down Teddy and he’s still started only five games in three seasons which really doesn’t show he can hold up over a full season. So who and what has he proved wrong? The market is set at about 30mil for a franchise quarterback, Teddy isn’t a franchise quarterback.

  36. Looking at his career numbers do not really tell the right story. You should truly only look at his post-injury numbers. While he started to take some strides before the injury, a lot of those numbers include his struggles when he was first a starting QB. Those are not truly indicative of his current possible play.

    While there are a lot of QBs available this offseason, many are old or have their own injury concerns. More available QBs also means more teams are looking to replace someone. So, he may or may not get $30M, but he will likely get a very good offer. I wish him the best of luck wherever he ends up.

  37. Who the hell is gonna pay TEDDY BRIDGEWATER 30 mil? Yea sure, he was decent, maybe good, with a great team around him but just wait and see what happens when he is expected to carry. In what universe does Teddy deserve about as much as Russ, Aaron, & Ben combined?

  38. mtgummibear says:
    February 18, 2020 at 9:54 am

    Had both started all 16 games, Brees’ numbers would’ve still dwarfed Bridgewater’s. The team averaged almost 200 more yards and 12 more points per game while Brees played compared to Bridgewater.
    ===============
    Absolutely right. But numbers don’t win games. I sincerely believe Teddy is one of those quarterbacks who can win a lot of games without putting up great numbers. I’ve never heard any of his teammates say anything but they would run through a wall for the guy and that counts for a lot in my book.
    **************************************************************************
    Which requires a great defense and running game then and it which case you are no better then Alex Smith. You basically just admitted he is not a franchise QB and needs help to win games.

  39. There are only about 10 to 12 NFL teams that have capable NFL starters and a few more with recent draft picks, so there is always a market to overpay for a QB. If any GM thinks he can improve that position and isn’t to bound to a contract they will easily pay top dollar for who they think is a QB that will get them into the 10 to 12 club. Teams that are or should be looking looking or their QB is a free agent with a tag price of $33 million Pats, Lions (if they can get some decent draft picks), Miami, San Diego, Raiders, Dallas, Tennessee, Colts, Tampa Bay, Chicago, Cincinnati, Saints, Carolina, Jags, seeing Ghosts Jets, Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Vikings (by draft only) etc. There looks to be 3 decent draft-able QB’s but history clearly shows 1 will be a bust, 1 will be mediocre and 1 should get a max 2nd contract at the 50% bust rate for 1st round QB’s. A few teams have to decide if they will pay their current free agent QB at least $33 million tag price to stay or get in a bidding war for one of the either way to old or really never did much free agent market and end-up way over paying for a mediocre QB out of desperation. Agents will plant seeds so scare the already skittish owner’s and GM’s who will panic and end up signing someone like Teddy for $30 million plus on a fully guaranteed contract.

  40. 30 mil is crazy for Bridgewater. I don’t think he’s worth more than a lower tier starting QB, but some desperate GM will don the clown suit and pay it.

  41. vikesfan says:
    February 18, 2020 at 9:22 am
    Funny how you’ve come around on Bridgewater. When he was with the Vikings, I remember Packer fans like you referring to him as “noodle-arm,” “baby hands,” “Check-down Teddy,” and comparing him to a child trying to play pro football. I also remember Packer fans saying that he would never come back from the knee injury.

    He certainly proved you wrong, but that isn’t all that difficult to do on any given day.
    Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

    He hasn’t proven anything. Nobody yet knows if his knee can hold up over the course of a season, and his hands haven’t grown larger. My personal opinion about Bridgewater hasn’t changed. I’ve always been indifferent about him.

  42. “Ultimately, anyone is worth whatever someone will pay them.”

    This is demonstrably untrue. Players get overpaid all the time. Is Todd Gurley worth what he was paid? Clearly not.

    I hope Bridgewater gets a good starting job. I’d say he’s earned it. Though the wins with the Saints probably say: he will give you the minimum ceiling based on the rest of the talent you have. That’s not the same as elevating a team beyond their average talent, as the best QBs do.

  43. californianewton says:
    February 17, 2020 at 10:27 pm
    He has shown that he can get his team to the playoffs, having done it before he got hurt.

    ================

    Unfortunately, he also showed failing to score a single TD in a one-and-done playoff loss. The kicker scored all their points that day but still gets the blame for the loss.

    I like Bridgewater and hope he does well for a long time, and makes the most of this ambiguous state where no one’s quite sure where his ceiling or floor are.

  44. everyone and their dog knew nick foles only played well in philly, his rams stint was atrocious and he still got his bag…Teddy will get his too cause teams are desperate…. and stupid

  45. Wish him all the best — I hope he makes a boatload of money this year. That devastating training camp injury, and the significant recovery time, changed the entire direction of the Viking franchise.

  46. With all of the free agent QB’s and the new rookie QB’s joining the league I think it is entirely possible that Bridgewater will be the odd man out and will be a backup again next season.

  47. Extrapolate his stats across 16 games

    3600 24 TD 5 INT

    Couple that with the fact he’s been a successful starter in this league – Yeah he’s getting paid.

  48. stellarperformance says:
    February 17, 2020 at 9:57 pm
    The Vikings could’ve kept him for a 1984 Buick and three parking passes, but in their infinite wisdom sent him packing instead. Just think of the support players surrounding Teddy they could’ve afforded with all that Cousins money. Almost makes you want to cry.

    ——————————

    Well, I laughed till I cried. Does that count?

  49. Everyone complained about Cousins getting 88m guaranteed or whatever.

    Wait til someone throws 100 plus mill at TB12….as a Vikes fan, I think Cousins is good, not “great”…but he’s better than TB12 will EVER be…

  50. Cousins and Teddy aren’t worth $30 million a year. And Russ Wilson isn’t worth the $35 a year he gets. The GM’s in the NFL need to find a new way to run teams.These QB contracts are ruining NFL football. One player making 25-30 % of the salary cap is stupid.
    GM’s also need to stop signing retread back up QB’s and paying them $20 some million a year just because they play QB.

  51. If ifs and buts we’re candy and nuts! No telling if he stays healthy for 16 games, he wouldn’t have gone 16-0 , he would’ve thrown more than five interceptions he’s never thrown for over 3400 yards and never thrown for over 14 touchdowns. He had a career stretch for those five games. He’s not that good bro.

  52. stellarperformance says:
    February 17, 2020 at 9:57 pm

    The Vikings could’ve kept him for a 1984 Buick and three parking passe/////

    Typical packer fan nonsense. Teddy wanted the chance to be the starter. He wasn’t going to start for the Vikings after his injury so he left as a free agent.

  53. stellarperformance says:
    February 17, 2020 at 9:57 pm
    The Vikings could’ve kept him for a 1984 Buick and three parking passes.

    Maybe the packers should look at him – higher passer rating, better winning percentage, same TD %, less sacks, and was on pace for more game winning drives and 4Q comebacks, than that old fella who choked against the Niners for a fraction of the price.

  54. Bobbybucks says:
    February 18, 2020 at 11:18 am

    seeing Ghosts Jets, Buffalo, Vikings (by draft only) etc.

    Are you out of your mind? Do you even KNOW how pissed those fanbases would be if their teams drafted QBs?

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