Patriots remain the favorites to keep Tom Brady

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As the calendar creeps toward March 18 and the launch of free agency, Tom Brady‘s current team remains the betting favorite to keep him for at least a 21st year.

Via The Action Network, the Patriots are a -175 favorite (bet $175 to win $100) to re-sign the six-time Super Bowl champion. They are the only team in negative wagering territory.

Of the new teams Brady may join, the Titans have the lowest odds, at +380 (bet $100 to win $380). Next are the Raiders at +500, the Chargers at +600, the Giants at +1000, the Bucs at +1100, and the Cowboys and the Dolphins at +2900 each.

The Patriots have exclusive negotiating rights with Brady, technically. At the Scouting Combine, however, tampering remains rampant. By the time Brady hears from the Patriots, he’ll know what’s behind Door No. 2, 3, 4, etc. Then, Brady will find out what’s behind Door No. 1.

As mentioned throughout the week on PFT Live and here, the Patriots’ offer most likely will be driven by football considerations. A team that views the acquisition of Brady as a business proposition may be willing to pay a lot more, given the huge influx of cash, attention, and relevance that Brady’s arrival would bring.

Indeed, at a time when most assume that Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes will become the NFL’s first $40 million man, Brady could possibly get there. He’d definitely be worth it, given the return he’d generate on his next team’s investment.

31 responses to “Patriots remain the favorites to keep Tom Brady

  1. If your roster is stacked and ready to win now like the Broncos had when Manning was moving on I can see a reason to bring in an old QB that has shown real limitations. Otherwise the short term ticket sales won’t be worth setting your franchise back when you can be trying to build towards sustainable winning which always sells in the NFL.

  2. At his age he is not worth 40 Million. He is a middle of the pack QB at this point. Great career, but his skills dropped this year. And there is nothing wrong with that. He has proven all he needs to prove to the fans.

  3. Brady should take the money the Cowboys offered Dak. Behind that line! Hand it off to that RB! Decent WRs! Goodbye Dak! ROFL!! (Not a Cowboys fan.)

  4. Brady will stay with the Pats. No other team gives him a better chance to win. But he needs to attend OTAs like any other player.

  5. What you mean is the repeated media narrative of an imploding relationship might again be entirely media-driven. Look the Pats always let their vets explore market value before sitting down to talk. And despite the media narrative of Tom being FA, he’s not really – the current contract has salary thru 2021 but both sides have an out. Brady at the time he signed it said it was just acknowledging that though he wants to play to 45, in reality at 42 he’s year-to-year.

  6. In other words, when it’s time to put money on the line, people aren’t buying into this week’s narrative about Brady leaving.

  7. The Patriots can just franchise him and then either keep him at below market or trade him.

    Brady has given them all the leverage over the years. It does not matter what Brady wants short of retiring.

  8. eagleswin says:
    February 28, 2020 at 8:06 am
    The Patriots can just franchise him and then either keep him at below market or trade him.

    Bradys re-written contract that he signed last august forbids the use of the franchise or transition tag

  9. I really believe that he wants to finally get away from Bill. If he could win one more Super Bowl in a different city, what better way to show how important he was to the process of winning It all in the ongoing “is it Belichick or Brady” debate?

    The problem with this is that the best chance To get to and win an SB is when you keep the Wonder Twins activated in New England.

  10. Brady and Belichick are good together, but their relationship is strained.
    I’d describe them as an off key Simon and Garfunkel.

  11. Lie long Pat’s fan here and it’s really time to move on even though he is the best option. I know that doesn’t make sense but the truth hurts. They need to spend money on the O line, TE and another receiver (draft or FA) and see if Sony Michel can be a real feature back like he showed in 2018. If Jarrett Stidham is the next man up it’s time to find out.

  12. I really believe that he wants to finally get away from Bill. If he could win one more Super Bowl in a different city, what better way to show how important he was to the process of winning It all in the ongoing “is it Belichick or Brady” debate?
    ________________________________________________________________________________________________

    Its not a debate at all. They both are responsible, but Brady is more so. BB has never taken a snap in his life. There is only so much you can do from the sidelines. All the planning in the world means nothing without execution.

  13. This off season drama could be improved with a TV reality show named “Tom Brady meets The Kardashians.”

  14. On April 1 they should announce that Brady signed with the Chiefs and that the Chiefs have traded Pat Mahomes.

  15. I’m going to go out on a limb and say regardless of what unnamed “sources” say, what Vegas says, what the experts pontificate, etc., etc., etc., we’ll know exactly what Tom Brady is dong on….. March 18. #hottake

  16. I hardly think they’re a favorite at this point. Wait till Jerrah gets hold of him. He could sell him on winning in Big D as the only thing left for the legacy. Championships with multiple teams.

  17. shuzaam says:
    February 28, 2020 at 2:41 am
    Brady should take the money the Cowboys offered Dak. Behind that line! Hand it off to that RB! Decent WRs! Goodbye Dak! ROFL!! (Not a Cowboys fan.)
    ************************************************
    I agree, would be a great move and a upgrade from Dak and draft his replacement to sit behind Brady for a year or two. This could help Dallas salary cap situation.

  18. Who wants a QB who throws two pick sixes in his last two games?
    ——————-

    That is all you have? What about a QB who has 6 rings. Double the SBs your franchise has even going back to the Browns days.

  19. Move on.. there are too many key defensive players to tie up 2/3 of the cap room with a 43 year old QB. Not to mention they’d need to spend more of that money to get better receivers and upgrade at TE and try to maintain the O line.

  20. And Brady has never caught a pass, ran for more than a couple of yards, play OL or take a snap on defense. If Belichick didn’t surround Brady with a great team he wouldn’t have all those rings. Especially defense which was key to every Super Bowl except the Carolina win and Eagles loss.

    ————————————-

    blessedunliketherest says:

    Its not a debate at all. They both are responsible, but Brady is more so. BB has never taken a snap in his life. There is only so much you can do from the sidelines. All the planning in the world means nothing without execution.

  21. rogergoodellmyhero says:
    February 28, 2020 at 9:23 am
    Who wants a QB who throws two pick sixes in his last two games?

    —————-

    He threw a pick 6 with 15 seconds left in the game at his own 1 yard line down 1 point because he forced the ball in with no other options. The pick 6 actually gave the Patriots a slightly better chance to score because they got a kick off return opportunity down 7.

    Brady did exactly what he should have done. He wasn’t afraid to throw a pick 6. Other QBs would have thrown it away and accepted the L. Brady plays until the clock hits 000.

  22. fritz96 says:
    February 28, 2020 at 12:24 pm
    And Brady has never caught a pass, ran for more than a couple of yards, play OL or take a snap on defense. If Belichick didn’t surround Brady with a great team he wouldn’t have all those rings. Especially defense which was key to every Super Bowl except the Carolina win and Eagles loss.

    ————————————-

    blessedunliketherest says:

    Its not a debate at all. They both are responsible, but Brady is more so. BB has never taken a snap in his life. There is only so much you can do from the sidelines. All the planning in the world means nothing without execution.

    —————–

    This debate has no good answer because the two can’t be separated. Walsh and Montana won a lot together too and had lots of other great players and a great defense. That’s what it takes to win. Brady leaving doesn’t really prove anything either, as Both BB and Brady are far from their prime, so we will never know.

  23. streetyson says:
    February 28, 2020 at 7:29 am
    Look the Pats always let their vets explore market value before sitting down to talk.

    ————

    This is simply not true. Tom Brady has never hit the market before. Gronk never hit the market. Plenty of players resigned well before hitting the market. You’re factually incorrect. And yes, facts should still matter.

  24. How can the Patriots be the favorites when it’s been reported that Brady is definitely going four other teams?

  25. raidwin says:
    February 28, 2020 at 3:56 pm
    I just hope that the Raiders hands are clean of all of these Tom Brady rumors
    —————————-

    The Raiders are very much in the thick of the rumors. But in all honesty I highly doubt thats where he winds up.

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