Like plenty of veteran players have done, bettors are fleeing the Patriots

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The Patriots remain the favorites to win the AFC East. But they’re less favorite than they were before free agency.

The William Hill Sportsbook has seen the Patriots odds to win the division drop from -300 to even money, in the aftermath of the departures of Tom Brady and various other free agents. In turn, the Bills have climbed from 7/2 to 7/5 to win the AFC East, disrupting a streak for the Patriots that goes back to 2009.

The Jets have 8/1 odds to win the division, and the Dolphins are at 12/1. They previously were 10/1 and 20/1, respectively.

The Bills have become the darlings of the bettors putting money on the AFC East championship, with 52 percent of tickets and 89 percent of dollars. The Dolphins are at 29 percent and four percent, the Jets are at 14 percent and six percent, and the Patriots are at five percent and one percent.

Since 2003, the Patriots have won the AFC East every year, except 2008. Since coach Bill Belichick arrived in 2000, the Patriots have never made the playoffs as anything but the division champion.

18 responses to “Like plenty of veteran players have done, bettors are fleeing the Patriots

  1. I am laying big money on the Pats. Vegas is just looking to take people’s money who buy into a trendy soup du jour like Buffalo.

    Miami has no chance with no qb, o line or rbs and brand new bodies everywhere.

    NE loses Brady and then Van Noy on D in terms of most obvious impact losses.

    The bottom line is, no young QB in that division has BB the GM or the QB.

    NE wins the division at 11-5. They love Stidham, Josh Allen is really flawed and Darnold has peaked.

  2. I would bet there’s a better chance the Pats come in third or worse in the division than win it.

  3. What do people think all of a sudden Bill is clueless? He’s thinking five moves ahead all of the time. People are looking at the here and now, and Bill is looking at 3 years from now. He’s going to see what Stidham is made of this year, and if he likes what he sees then he’s the future, but if it all goes south then Bill will go all in for the future quarterback in the 2021 draft

  4. bartpkelly says:
    March 24, 2020 at 8:46 pm
    Pats were in the playoffs last year due to defense.

    9 2 Rate This

    ———————

    imagine what an improved qb will look like and a younger, faster team with 12 picks in the draft and a redshirted 2019 draft class with 100 mil in cap space in 2021?

    will be tough to make the pats roster

    Also, ne is signing Derek Wolfe to the dl. if they go dr/de early in the draft, it is possible they have upgraded the dl as well. it’s already a filthy secondary as is along with the special teams.

  5. bartpkelly says: Pats were in the playoffs last year due to defense.
    ————-
    Brady was 7th in yards last year despite a patchwork offense.

  6. If it were me, I would favor Miami more than Buffalo. Buffalo is all around good, but there still exists a fear of inconsistency in certain areas of the game. If Buffalo as a team plays up to its talent level across the board, it can win the division. Do we trust the team as a whole to do that for the entire year consistently? That’s the real question. Another is how Devin Singletary plays this year as their lead back. He showed a lot of promise last year, and if the line can block consistently for him and he expands on his demonstrated abilities last season, they should have a solid foundation for Josh Allen to grow. Allen too needs to demonstrate consistency, as he’s had his share of highs and lows. He’s young, and has played overall decently, but this is his time to mature fully as a QB, and if he can establish a connection with Diggs, he has several good options to carry the load and round out his receiving options in Brown and Beasley.

    Honestly though, I think I prefer Miami over Buffalo. It seems like they maybe cashed in a year early with their free agency spending (I would have expected them to do so after building a young corps of franchise players in the draft, giving Flores a chance to make his first real selections as coach after a year seeing where his holes are), but that’s not necessarily a bad thing. They got some good players at positions of need, especially Jones and Van Noy. Their defensive line has improved, with Godchaux (perhaps the most unrecognized stud interior defender in the NFL) and the athletic Wilkins as options there. DeVante Parker started slowly, but finally has developed some of his potential into on field production. Albert Wilson is a smart and versatile receiver. And Ryan Fitzpatrick still can play. The most important thing, though, is that they seem to have an actual direction and the team has bought in and played above their expected ability the last half of the season. The team has a good ways to go but their composure and consistent play in the second half really speaks a lot to the direction that they’re heading in. Flores appears to have them on track to being competitive sooner than we thought. I could see them as surprisingly in contention for the AFC East this next year-they won 6 games last year with a worse roster. 9 or 10 wins this year might actually be enough to win the division. The Dolphins are still a draft away from acquiring the necessary talent to be real contenders, but they appear to be in good shape to start building around whomever they decide will be their franchise quarterback in this draft or possibly the next.

    But, at the end of the day, there is one very important detail that we have to remember, and that’s the cancellation of the offseason programs. New free agents will get limited windows to become acquainted with their new teams. In the cases of guys going to link up with former coordinators (like Van Noy and Flores), the impact will be lessened, but it will still be there. It’s more important, in my mind, for defenders or offensive linemen. Guys like Byron Jones or the new Jets linemen (Connor McGovern and especially George Fant, who is moving into a completely new role on the top of the depth chart) who are moving into new schemes will have to adjust on the fly, even if there may be efforts by the staff to implement familiar concepts. You still time to learn how to work with your teammates and coaches personally. This is something that favors teams who won’t be depending as much on new free agents to play large roles in improving their records this year. That is something that would favor the Patriots (who will be relying on returners more familiar with the system), even if the other teams have closed the talent gap a little more this year than in previous seasons. Will it be enough to win the Pats the division? I can’t say for sure, but I will that if the Pats do win the AFC East, it will be for that reason.

  7. I honestly believe the Patriots got a HUGE STEEL in Stidham….Its awesome that he got to sit & learn the system for a year & also do it under Brady…..He was a stud QB in a really lousy system/team his senior year in college….. with a decent O-Line & some excellent but still raw WR’s along with a strong running game he should excell…. TE IS STILL a horror story though…..
    Looking forward to watching him lead the Pats…. got a good one here people, maybe even GREAT….
    GO PATS!!!!

  8. Patriots had one of the easiest schedules last year which made their defense look better than it really was. Their schedule in 2020 is one of the most difficult. Also, don’t forget Dante Scarnecchia will not be returning, which is huge. To that end, the rest of the division is garbage so the division winner might be up for grabs (I’ll exclude the Jets though)

  9. I get thinking they will naturally decline due to Brady’s departure, but the rest of their offense was crap too. For their offense to improve they are going to need a QB who is not just as good as Brady was, but better. Don’t see it happening.

  10. “Image what an improved quarterback will look like?” How is it possible to improve something that is the best ever? Here’s hoping for all you Belichick worshippers that Stidham has a pair of big boy pants. I’m watching Zola’s/Bertrand as I type this and they’re saying over/under for wins this season is 91/2. Lol, gotta go, on my way to Twin Rivers,RI and put down 2 dimes on the under

  11. tylawspick6 says:

    March 24, 2020 at 8:52 pm

    I am laying big money on the Pats. Vegas is just looking to take people’s money who buy into a trendy soup du jour like Buffalo.

    Miami has no chance with no qb, o line or rbs and brand new bodies everywhere.

    NE loses Brady and then Van Noy on D in terms of most obvious impact losses.

    The bottom line is, no young QB in that division has BB the GM or the QB.

    NE wins the division at 11-5. They love Stidham, Josh Allen is really flawed and Darnold has peaked.

    How on earth you think the Pats will win 11 games this upcoming season is beyond me. They have one of the toughest schedules in the NFL. They also have the second least cap space in the NFL, only behind KC. They have 2.8M in cap space – that’s not gonna land you many premier tight ends or wide receivers. Or a veteran QB like some people think they’re going to sign. I give them 6-8 wins. But watch out for 2021. I heard they’ll have over 100M in cap space. Lots of money to reload with.

  12. p6, why don’t you just give me your money. Bills are a lock. Pats will be lucky to come in 2nd.

  13. It’s a bit sad for the Fins, Jets and Bills that the public doesn’t even know who will play QB for the Patriots yet the Patriots are still favored to win the division.

  14. Dennis Carson says:
    March 24, 2020 at 9:07 pm
    I would bet there’s a better chance the Pats come in third or worse in the division than win it.

    ————-

    So many people wanted to say it was all Belichick until Brady left. Lol.

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