PFT’s one, and only, 2020 mock draft

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Mock drafts are like opinions, assholes, and corpse lilies. Everybody has one (except the corpse lily), and they all stink.

And now that I’ve gotten your attention, here’s our stinky mock draft, made even smellier by virtue of the fact that the absence of Pro Day workouts kept scouts and coaches and General Managers from passing around information that helps create a consensus as to who should or shouldn’t be among the first 32 players taken.

Much of the pre-draft process is about CYA. And there’s no better way to CYA than to point to the widespread groupthink reflected in the various media mock drafts, most of which are shaped not by film study by supposed draft experts but by what scouts and coaches and General Managers tell those crafting the drafts.

So instead of taking a bunch of time to track down and harmonize and homogenize a consensus in a year when one hasn’t developed like it usually does, I’ve turned over the process to a proven executive whose name would be instantly recognized, and whose opinion would have much more credibility than mine or anyone else’s currently in the media.

Thus, if you like it, credit the unnamed expert. If you don’t like it, blame the unnamed expert. Either way, here it is.

1. Bengals: Joe Burrow, QB, LSU.

2. Washington: Chase Young, EDGE, Ohio State.

3. Lions: Jeffrey Okudah, CB, Ohio State.

4. Giants: Mekhi Becton, OL, Louisville.

5. Dolphins: Tristan Wirfs, OL, Iowa.

6. Chargers: Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon.

7. Panthers: Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn.

8. Cardinals: Jedrick Wills, OL, Alabama.

9. Jaguars: Isaiah Simmons, LB, Clemson.

10. Browns: Andrew Thomas, OL, Georgia.

11. Jets: Jerry Jeudy, WR, Alabama.

12. Raiders: C.J. Henderson, CB, Florida.

13. 49ers (from Colts): CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma.

14. Buccaneers: Kenneth Murray, LB, Oklahoma.

15. Broncos: A.J. Terrell, CB, Clemson.

16. Falcons: K’Lavon Chaisson, EDGE, LSU.

17. Cowboys: Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama.

18. Dolphins (from Steelers): Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama.

19. Raiders (from Bears): Henry Ruggs III, WR, Alabama.

20. Jacksonville (from Rams): Javon Kinlaw, DL, South Carolina.

21. Eagles: Brandon Aiyuk, WR, Arizona State.

22. Vikings (from Bills): Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU.

23. Patriots: Austin Jackson, OL, USC.

24. Saints: Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU.

25. Vikings: Raekwon Davis, DT, Alabama.

26. Dolphins (from Texans): Patrick Queen, LB, LSU.

27. Seahawks: Yetur Gross-Matos, EDGE, Penn State.

28. Ravens: Laviska Shenault, WR, Colorado.

29. Titans: Michael Pittman Jr., WR, USC.

30. Packers: Xavier McKinney, S, Alabama.

31. 49ers: Marlon Davidson, DL, Auburn.

32. Chiefs: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, LSU.

67 responses to “PFT’s one, and only, 2020 mock draft

  1. PFT is right that Miami will draft Tua. But that is going to happen at five … or sooner.

  2. As a Dolphin fan I’ll sign up for these results right now. Don’t see Tua making it to 18 though.

  3. As A Dolphins Fan I can accept your version even though I still would not draft a QB because we have Josh Rosen for this year to compete against Ryan Fitzpatrick

    I give you a B+ at least we didn’t take Herbert!

  4. 9ERS wouldn’t pass on Ruggs if he falls to #13. They seen first hand what a speedy WR can do (Tyreke Hill)

  5. Don’t need Simmons in Jax so that is a bad pick as doesn’t fit. 20 is a pipe dream but if true would be awesome.

  6. I like it. Pretty bold of the Dolphins to take their chances and let Tua fall to 18. At first I thought there was no way he’d fall that far but, on second look, I have a hard time believing most of those teams between those picks would grab him. I suppose the Chargers may but then Herbert falls to 18 so either way…awesome. Makes me think of what everyone wanted the Giants to do last year instead of getting anxious to take Daniel Jones.

  7. The only thing I would add is a surprise QB. A couple years ago Andy Reid opened some eyes when he traded up to snag Patrick Mahomes at #10. I’m still not sure how far Mahomes would have slipped if Reid hadn’t drafted him. Maybe he would have gone 11th, or maybe even in round two. Strangely enough, we didn’t hear one peep from Reid about Mahomes prior to the draft. Someone has a secret they’re not sharing. It could be Jordan Love, Jacob Eason, Jalen Hurts, or Jake Fromm. Belichick can keep a secret.

  8. Honestly looks good. I’d say 50/50 on whether the Dolphins take Herbert at #5, but if not, the Chargers will take him for sure.

  9. Vikings trade an elite receiver with 3 years left on his contract to take a gamble on a first round receiver. Spielman’s last two first round ‘receivers’? Kick returner Cordarrelle Patterson and Laquan Treadwell.

    Smart move.

  10. Be still my beating heart…. the one and only … PFT = Another guess ? Shot in the dark? Roll of the dice? You dont say . . . .

  11. I’d love it if Lamb lasted that long and the Niners grab him. I also don’t want to see Lamb reunited with Murray especially considering that AZ just picked up Hopkins too.

  12. It would be great if the Dolphins draft goes like you have it. But no way Grier could pull that off.

  13. Tua Tagovailoa at 18? I don’t see it but if the FIns could pull that off it would be amazing.

  14. Everyone comes up with their own wrinkle. It’s just a fun exercise.

    Guess we’re about to see what Miami has up their sleeve….

  15. I’m not sure I see Tagovailoa getting past the Cowboys and the Steelers. If he drops that far, I would expect either someone trading up ahead of those two teams, the Cowboys to celebrate getting the #1 QB talent in the draft without having committed to Prescott, or the Steelers considering themselves lucky for their post-Ben plan to fall into their laps.

    I don’t think Tagovailoa gets that far, but if he does, he doesn’t make it past those two teams. And Hurts might not, either.

  16. So Miami did tank for Tua 🙂
    Always thought that was one of the stupidest things I had ever heard. Tanking for a player that is a flip of the coin to not be a bust. Yes, teams really do that (not).

  17. I hope you’re right about the Seahawks choice; assuming they stick & don’t trade back, like normal. My guess is that it’s about 85-99% chance they trade back.

  18. No chance.. Miami will never get Tua that late. And if they do they would want a RT and isn’t Wirfs a LT?
    Miami will take Herbert or Wirfs at 5 and trade back into top 10 for the one they don’t take at 5

  19. Kenneth Murray to the Bucs? Umm…I hope to god not. I mean we’d have the best LB core by far but geez, not even close to a need.

  20. Interesting.

    To me, the most intrigue happens during picks #3-5. Depending how those go, it’s either going to be an unpredictable mess or a tame, boring evening.

  21. I know the Bucs want an OT and willing to trade up to get one. If they can’t, I think is between LSU K’Lavon Chaisson and Javon Kinlaw DT from South Carolina. Chassion has the ability to create havoc on an offense and Todd Bowels loves havoc. The Bucs could trade down and go with the OT from Houston, or a wide receiver like LSU’s Justin Jefferson depending on how far they trade down. I think draft will be entertaining. There is not a lot of truly outstanding players, but a lot of really talented players depending on what a team is looking for. There is a lot of depth to this draft.

  22. There is no way that the Bucs pass of Tua with 43 year old Tom at QB. Tua has even stated that he would be fine learning for a year.

  23. If Tua is there at #17 the Cowboys MUST scrap their original boards and draft this man. I like Dak… but I love Tua.

  24. It sounds to me like you are hinting at a Mike Mayock mock draft, although I’d be surprised if he’d release one even “unnamed”? I’d say the first half sounds quite possible for the most part, I have my doubts about the second half being very close. That said, I think most mock’s and peoples choices this year in the second half of the first, and even into the mid-2nd round is anyone’s guess, perhaps well beyond that. It should be interesting, and I can’t wait to see how it all unfolds.

  25. Aye really don’t see the point of more. Sure, discuss who’s prob #1, teams’ needs etc, but one out-of-place pick or hotseat trade and the best guessing list is like a house of cards in a gale.

  26. Not usually a fan of mock drafts and I like the fact that PFT only does the one. Well done. Lamb would be a good pick for my 9era there, but I have a feeling he’ll be the 1st WR off the board.

  27. Don’t dislike it, no matter the expert, but I surely hope the Packers don’t draft another safety in the 1st round.

  28. The Vikings need O-line. All these mock drafts keep picking WRs because Diggs left. The team is a run first offense. Linemen, linemen, linemen.

  29. It wouldn’t surprise me if Spielman drafts a running back.
    A.J. Epenesa or Yetur Gross-Matos at 25, best available cornerback at 22.
    Raekwon Davis, DT, Alabama is intriguing though.

  30. Tua is too low. In like Laviska finding his way into the first round. I think he will be great in the league for somebody.

  31. This actually makes more sense than most drafts. BUT, I don’t see Simmons lasting that far to the Jags. I believe he is the one surefire star.

    I can see where Tua might last that long. Look at the teams picking ahead – do they need a QB? Miami does need offensive line help so that makes sense getting a really good one early. Jacksonville may be the wildcard in that.

    Minnesota – by the time they pick I think they will pick the best player and not position. If they believe an offensive lineman is better for their team than jefferson they will go with it.

  32. Geez I hope not! I’m hoping to see Vikings go any two of the CB, DE, or OL positions in the first. I wouldn’t mind if they traded their second or Anthony Harris for Trent Williams either.

  33. A mock draft I finally like for Denver. Everyone has them taking a WR, but PFT was smart enough to realize that they are super weak at CB and have them drafting one in the first. A WR would be nice for Lock, but if there aren’t enough decent corners to cover all the receivers on the field, that WR becomes irrelevant. Elway needs to draft 2 CBs or the Broncos will struggle to defend to pass in 2020.

  34. I think the Vikings skip WR and go OL and DE in the 1st round

    If they dont go OL with one of the first round picks, the GM should get fired. Its their biggest weakness.

  35. joker65 says:
    April 23, 2020 at 9:54 am
    I think the Vikings skip WR and go OL and DE in the 1st round

    If they dont go OL with one of the first round picks, the GM should get fired. Its their biggest weakness.
    /////////
    Well, sort of. But what if all the OL that are left are more like 3rd round prospects? You want to reach and just take OL in the first still?

  36. Based on the way this draft seems likely to fall, I think the Vikings will go OT and CB in the first round and WR in the second. That said, they may find it hard to pass on Jefferson if he’s there. There’s virtually no chance they take Raekwon Davis in the first, though. First, he isn’t worth that pick. Second, their history is to take defensive linemen in the third and fourth rounds and coach them up to be solid starters or stars. Expect a trade back from 25.

  37. I feel like no mock draft is accurate if it doesn’t include an incredible reach by the Vikings…especially if they have two first round picks.

    I see them taking Jake Fromm and Dominik Eberle in the first round.

  38. The Packers absolutely will not be drafting a safety in the first round. Safety, interior offensive line, and kicking specialists are all off the table. QB, TE, and DL are unlikely, but I wouldn’t rule them out.

  39. If Jerrah was not home alone chugging down the whiskey unabated, he should take Javon Kinlaw at 17 but his idiot side says Tua Tagovailoa.

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