Chiefs are the NFL’s heaviest favorites to win their division

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The Chiefs have won the AFC West four years in a row, and they’re heavily favored to make it five.

Kansas City is a -425 favorite to win the AFC West at Caesars Sportsbook. No other team in the NFL is close to that heavy a favorite to win its division.

That’s no surprise; not only are the Chiefs the reigning champions but there isn’t another team in the division with a roster that can come close to Kansas City’s. A recent PFT Planet poll found that most would take the Chiefs over an all-star team made up of all the best players from the Raiders, Chargers and Broncos.

The Chargers’ odds to win the AFC West are +600, while the Broncos and Raiders are tied at +1000. Those are long odds for a reason. Anything can happen in the NFL, but four months before the start of the season, the Chiefs look like the class of the division.

41 responses to “Chiefs are the NFL’s heaviest favorites to win their division

  1. I’m a fan of the chiefs and have been since 1989 and am quite familiar with the AFC west because of it ..i want to say I’m surprised that Denver’s odds are the same as Las Vegas and worse than Los Angeles..

    They are better than the raiders and chargers, they have an up and coming quarterback, a decent defense and offensive threats galore.. I think they could grab a wild card if things fall right next season ..

  2. The following are all the favorites to win their division. I would personally say the Ravens, Packers, and Chiefs are my heaviest favorites for winning their division.

    AFC East-Bills

    AFC North-Ravens

    AFC South-Texans

    AFC West-Chiefs

    NFC East-Cowboys

    NFC North-Packers

    NFC South-Saints

    NFC West-49ers

  3. The real fun would be if we could play fantasy world and take Mahomes and switch him with every QB in that Division to see right quick how the narrative changes.

    To put things into perspective the Chargers had the 6th best defense in the league yet they only won 5 games, Denver was rank 12th in defense, the Chiefs was Rank 17th and the Raiders was 2 spots down Rank 19th.

    The AFC West have pretty good teams, the one glaring issue just like with most franchises is the ongoing/ never-ending quest to find that FRANCHISE guy at QB.

  4. Rest of their div is a dumpster this year, almost getting as soft as the AFCN is for the Ravens.

  5. This is today’s world, everything has to be the greatest ever. The Chiefs won the Super Bowl last year, congratulations.

    This is a different year and it’s up for grabs again.

  6. Raider fans will be here shortly to do their annual rant about how this year will be different. The media has already begun their annual promotion of the Chargers and how their the biggest threat in the division.

    In reality the Chiefs are the class of this divisionand their record against the division has been ridiculous since Reid got to town. But the Broncos have done good things and probably aren’t getting talked about enough. If Lock plays as well as he did last year this is a 9-7/10-6 wild card team.

  7. The AFC South will be a interesting battle between the Titans and Texans. I have to lean towards the Titans because of coaching and their beast RB Derrick Henry. I wouldn’t sleep on the Colts either.

    Some will cry about the Bills being favored to win the division over the Pats, but who would honestly say the Pats have a better team and roster right now than the Bills? Belichick isn’t winning that division this year. Could he? Sure. Will he? Nope.

  8. Chiefs are going to be staring at 9-7 and asking what happened. Bottom line is it’s the toughest thing in the world to come back the next year and repeat, and with the lack of off season prep this year, and the fact that they are going to get everyone’s best shot it’s going to be a dog fight each and every week

  9. freefromwhatyouare says:
    May 2, 2020 at 7:42 am
    The following are all the favorites to win their division. I would personally say the Ravens, Packers, and Chiefs are my heaviest favorites for winning their division.

    AFC East-Bills

    AFC North-Ravens

    AFC South-Texans

    AFC West-Chiefs

    NFC East-Cowboys

    NFC North-Packers

    NFC South-Saints

    NFC West-49ers

    ————-
    We all know that Brady was the best of all time, but until Belichick is gone, you have to think the Patriots will find a way to win this division again just with planning, coaching, and in-game discipline consistencies that other teams just don’t regularly exhibit. The best Pats teams always were balanced, and simply outlasted you and made less mistakes. Belichick will get to impose his will again the way he wants to. There will be some aesthetically boring games, but the Pats tend to win those. I also think Stidham will be more impressive than people are expecting. 10-6 or 11-5 (if there’s a full season)

    This is not a knock on the Bills, Dolphins, and Jets either. It’s become institutionalized that the Patriots know how to win, all other things being equal, and the other 3 teams are still trying to figure it out.

  10. The Chiefs are 27-3 v. the AFC West since 2015. Until that changes, and with Mahomes at the helm that’s not happening any time soon, they will rule that division.

  11. Chiefs have dominated the division for 5 years now, why would it change. Best QB, Best Coach, best roster. Get used to it!

  12. It doesn’t matter where the LA Chargers end up. They have no fan base and are an afterthought in NFL national news.

  13. Ahhhh, I thought as of this week the Patriots are favored in VEGAS as the favorites to win the AFC East. We going by what Bills fans “think or rather wish to happen” or Vegas odds? As long as that scrub Allen (Losman 2.0) is the Bills Q.B. my money goes on the Patriots to continue to crush Bills fans spirits and win the AFCE again.

  14. streetyson says:
    May 2, 2020 at 8:18 am
    Rest of their div is a dumpster this year, almost getting as soft as the AFCN is for the Ravens
    ——————
    The AFC East has had one pro bowl qb in their division since Brady has been the Patriots starter.So you really shouldn’t be talking about how soft other divisions are.

  15. Not so much about the Chiefs entire roster. I believe if you swap Mahomes out to any other team in the division, that there would be whole different story.

  16. With the limited offseason, don’t expect Chiefs offense to get enough holding practice. “Magical” fourteen step dropbacks shouldn’t be expected early on in the year until they knock off the rust.

  17. Chiefs offensive line was the best tackling unit in the Super Bowl last year.

  18. The Raiders were able to tie the Chiefs for 1st in the AFCW at 12-4 in 2016 when they had a different HC to the current one. If Gruden wasn’t the current HC of the Raiders then a flawed but decent team wouldn’t have been dismantled and the Raiders might have a legitimate chance to contend for the division title in 2020. As things currently stand, they’re unfortunately a lot closer to 4th place than to 1st place in the AFCW.

  19. Injuries and complacency are the great equalizers.
    Troy Aikman has said on numerous occasions that if the Cowboys he played for hadn’t become so arrogant, they would have won more championships. In fact, he says he’s still annoyed that they didn’t.
    Pre-season hype and polls mean nothing. One fact that stands out to me is over the last 15 years, there have been 13 division winners in the NFL who the year before finished in last place in their division.
    It’s easier to turn around your team in the NFL than just about any other sport, with maybe the exception of the NBA.

  20. Chiefs deserve to be odds on, but you never know with injuries. Every other division, I could make an argument that the 2nd(or even 3rd) choice has a good shot. Pats, steelers, any AFCS, Eagles, Vikes,Tampa, Seattle. Man, I hope they play.

  21. IMO this all depends on when they start the season and how many games are actually played. As a lifelong Bills fan I worry about starting the season later and having games in Buffalo in late January. For the most part this past winter here was surprisingly decent.

    STAY SAFE !

  22. Just think. If KC wins the Super Bowl again this year they’ll only be 10 championships behind the Green Bay Packers. Puts it all in perspective, huh?

  23. Guessing the closest odds come from NFCW or maybe the AFCE now that NE has no QB.

  24. Just think. If KC wins the Super Bowl again this year they’ll only be 10 championships behind the Green Bay Packers. Puts it all in perspective, huh?

    ———————————

    So one can only count SuperBowls but the other gets to count “championships” from a time before forward passing was a thing and there there were four teams……got it.

    Nice try but no cigar. Green Bay is still currently in total disarray after that draft, despite your memory of days long past.

    Your perspective is different than my perspective. My team(seahawks) has been to TWO superbowls since yours was last there. People think of GB and chuckle these days. What’s going to happen with angry Aaron?

  25. jmethane says:
    “Green Bay is still currently in total disarray after that draft”
    >>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<<
    So the Packers made it to the NFC Championship game,… which they were beaten,… but the draft made them a terrible team,…. eh? You must be sitting on your logic.

  26. The Vikings are a combined 0-6-1 against the Packers and the Bears since the Cousins acquisition. So they won’t be winning anything.

  27. So the Packers made it to the NFC Championship game,… which they were beaten,… but the draft made them a terrible team,…. eh? You must be sitting on your logic.

    ———–

    The only reason Green Bay was in the NFC championship is because the Seahawks had marshawn Lynch out of retirement and the team decimated by injuries.

    Somehow still had everyone in lambeau with their hearts in their throats with a couple minutes left and Russell Wilson holding the ball down by 5…

    GB was thoroughly outclassed in the championship game against San Francisco(Seattle much closer to SF than GB is) which is probably what made management decide it was time to draft a QB, revamp and start over.

  28. jmethane says:
    May 2, 2020 at 6:58 pm

    The only reason Green Bay was in the NFC championship is because the Seahawks had marshawn Lynch out of retirement and the team decimated by injuries.

    +++++

    Injuries are part of the equation in the NFL, not part of the excuse.

  29. Sports betting just opened in Colorado. Once the unconstitutional lockdown orders are lifted I’ll be placing a bet against the Chiefs. At +1000 you can’t go wrong.
    It may not be this year but the Broncos will be reigning over this division once again. Especially after Mahomes gets paid put a fork in the Chiefs just like Seattle who won a Super Bowl on Wilson’s rookie contract and haven’t come close since.

  30. Raiders will win the division and the super bowl. Just Win baby!

  31. Anything can happen in the NFL, but four months before the start of the season, the Chiefs look like the class of the division.
    —————————————
    Chiefs returning something like 19 of 22 starters, I would say that makes them the class of the League…for now.

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