Will 2020 be Aaron Rodgers’ last season with the Packers?

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It’s become a given, given the decision to draft quarterback Jordan Love and to not draft any receivers, that Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers may have only two years left with the team. What if it’s only one year?

The salary cap consequences seem to prevent a divorce through 2021, since the cap hit after this year would become $31.556 million ($23 million from his original signing bonus, plus $8.556 million from the partial conversion of a 2019 roster bonus). But here’s the thing: Keeping Rodgers in 2021 will result in a $36.352 million cap charge. Thus, the Packers would actually create $4.796 million in cap space — and save $22 million in cash — by trading Rodgers before a $6.8 million roster bonus becomes due on the third day of the 2021 league year.

With Love operating under a wage-scale deal, it will be easy to justify eating $31.556 million in cap space when the number would be higher to keep Rodgers, and when he likely wouldn’t be willing to agree to another restructuring that would kick the cap can down the road.

The Packers also could probably get more in trade for Rodgers at 37 than at 38, and a trade would avoid what would/could/will be a second year of awkwardness at best, acrimony at worst as Rodgers becomes the odd man out in Green Bay.

So forget about two years. This year could be the last year for the Packers and Rodgers, massive cap charge be damned.

85 responses to “Will 2020 be Aaron Rodgers’ last season with the Packers?

  1. No, no, and no. Can’t happen unless they change the rules. Too big a hit, and the youngster could probably use a year or two to get his sea legs.

  2. LOL what? There is no way they eat 31 million to save 4. And I’m guessing Rodgers will be worth 4 million dollars more than Love.

  3. They haven’t won a SB in 10 years with Rodgers on the team eating up so much of the cap space, so they clearly need a new formula.

  4. What a mess. They can’t move him now, he’s a head case and brittle. I would explore trades right now because the guy caves under pressure and tries to blame everyone else but himself.

  5. If the Cowboys can win a couple of playoff games with Andy Dalton playing QB, teams might start looking at the formula for success a little different.

    Kind of like having a QB in his rookie contract… So much more money to spend on depth and defense and other weapons…

    Once you pay that QB top-dollar it’s hard to win the super bowl…even the Patriots knew that so they talked Tom into giving them huge discounts in exchange for those rings.

    Andy Dalton might be the next guy to put championships over money and I would respect him for it.

    I’m a Seahawks fan and there is no doubt that Russell Wilson’s contract makes John Schneider’s job more difficult.

  6. @ psubeerman21

    “LOL what? There is no way they eat 31 million to save 4. And I’m guessing Rodgers will be worth 4 million dollars more than Love.”

    Re-read what he said, which was a TRADE, (and not a release) BEFORE the roster bonus is due. This is where the savings come in, and l agree with Florio on this scenario.

    Rodgers is as crotchety as they come, and l am pretty sure GB would be on board with trading him after Love gets a year holding the clipboard.

    This divorce has been a long time coming.

  7. All of this is, much ado about nothing. Fake news.

    What’s come as a complete surprise to almost everyone that hasn’t bothered to do their homework, Brian Gutekunst has been trying to upgrade the overall QB position since he took the job.

    In his first season of maintaining the roster, Gute sacrificed a cancer in the locker room in order to bring over Deshone Kizer for a test drive.
    A 2nd round pick in his 2nd season.

    In 2019, the Packers entertained Missouri prospect Drew Lock for a visit, and had a late April visit with Daniel Jones scuttled due to a timing glitch.
    The talking heads, convinced of GB’s serious interest in Lock, made Elway and the Broncos blink, enough to cause them to trade up in front of the Packers to assure that pick for them.
    And these same pundits are shocked by what the Packers did last week?

    When I say this is all fake news, it’s exactly what it is.
    Even Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Adrian Amos mocked the media’s reaction on Twitter soon after the draft.
    Amos even commented on how his opinion of Rodgers changed after becoming one of his teammates all due to his preconceived notions created by unfair media coverage.
    And yes, they used the words, “Fake News” you can look it up.

    Rodgers is GB’s QB for the next three seasons, maybe longer, depending on his body.
    Jordan Love is an interesting prospect with tremendous upside.
    Hopefully with some work on his mechanics and the development of his overall skills, he’ll be able to take over the reigns a few years down the road.
    It’s a lot to put on this kid’s shoulders, so let’s give him his breathing room.
    We’ll see, right now we are neither here nor there.
    But as for those, who are trying to create something out of nothing, save it.

    Maybe they should focus on the problems facing Minnesota’s QB, where there are some obvious serious problems.
    I mean, livid arguments with his receivers on the sidelines, others begging to get off the team, and past teammates refusing trades to play with him, it seems like the story’s much juicier over there.

  8. Talk to me the summer before the 2022 season. I will let you know if Jordan Love is ready. That will determine when the switch is made as much as anything. As it did in 2008 when Mike McCarthy told Ted Thompson that “Aaron is ready and it’s time for him to play.”

    The starting QB won’t change soon, but the Jordan Love era will start at some point. Stay tuned. I know you will. We all though can now enjoy watching Jordan Love develop. As Rob Demovsky said: “Jordan Love= Brett Favre gunslinger. Rodgers arm and intelligence. Patrick Mahomes athleticism.

    As I said, and many others have said, Love has the highest upside or ceiling of any QB from the 2020 draft. Will be fun to watch him grow under Aaron and LaFleur.

    Nice to have the best QB room in the NFL. The present and future are bright in TitleTown!

    #OneTeamOneNation

    PackerNation!✊

  9. Why not wait until next year to draft a QB? Is love really a can’t miss prospect? Take a WR in the 1st this year and give it one more run. If you’ve decided to move on from Rodgers, the next quarterback will need someone other than Adams to throw too also. A wasted opportunity to add a playmaker on an offense that badly needs one, no matter who the quarterback is.

  10. Cmon with the Rodgers trade baloney. If anyone took the gumption to look at his contract and how it affects the salary cap,… you would quickly realize a trade IS NOT HAPPENING.
    The dead cap number would force GB to cut 1/4th of the roster. It ain’t happening Florio.
    Cut with the sensationalism.

  11. The Packers see Rodgers obvious decline. It’s just their plan for dealing with it is dopey.

  12. No one will want to trade for Rodgers and his attitude now that his skills are fading. The packers will have to release him

  13. Wafflestomp says:
    May 3, 2020

    Rodgers is GB’s QB for the next three seasons, maybe longer, depending on his body.
    Jordan Love is an interesting prospect with tremendous upside.

    ——————————————————-

    I agree with this, which is what makes it such a terrible draft pick.

  14. freefromwhatyouare says:
    May 3, 2020 at 7:02 pm
    Nice to have the best QB room in the NFL.
    ————
    You’re a Saints fan now?

  15. If you really want to p**s off Rodgers trade him to Dallas so he can be with Mike McCarthy again.

  16. jackedupboonie says:
    May 3, 2020 at 6:48 pm

    What a mess. They can’t move him now, he’s a head case and brittle. I would explore trades right now because the guy caves under pressure and tries to blame everyone else but himself.
    ________

    Yes, what an absolute horror show.
    They only went 13-3 (6-0 NFC North) and a game away from the Super Bowl.
    But thanks for your astute insight and crack analysis. 🙄

  17. According to OTC, if Rodgers is traded this season with a “Post-June” designation the cap hit of $21.642M leaves a dead money cap hit of only $14.342M & cap savings of $7.29M.

    A trade with a team for their #1 2021 draft pick would be a win/win. They get a QB for 3 years for some $84.5M total liability. In fact, the fourth year is available for only $28M, with $25.5M savings if he is cut that season.

    If I’m w/o an experienced, albeit expensive QB, that is a proven SB Champion, I try to make the deal with a post June designation.

  18. I’m going to quote Rodgers here: R-E-L-A-X! No rookie is going to supplant him. If he moves on; that will = championship for said team! So, what’s he worried about?! I guarantee Rodgers is losing ZERO sleep over this!

  19. Sorry if I’m not up on the Rodgers saga but I honestly enjoy watching him play and he’s pulled off some incredible games. So, are they getting rid of him because he’s just not a nice person? Doesn’t play well with others? Someone ‘splain this to Lucy….

  20. Keep crying packer fans, keep crying! You don’t trade up for a quarterback to just sit him for 4 years! Rodgers is gone! Cry! Cry!!!

  21. Rodgers isn’t going anywhere at least for two more seasons. But it is fun watching the Packers’ opponents fans starting to get worries that maybe Gute knows exactly what he was doing and they fear the likelihood that GB continues to have the best QB in the division for at least another decade.

  22. I doubt it. He’s too good a player. Of course, getting to an age where things can come apart pretty quickly, so who knows. I think media is writing Mr. Rodgers off just a bit early. Lot of football left in him.
    Cowboys might want him next year after they rescind franchise tag for Dak.
    But I don’t see them taking a hit because cap may well go DOWN next year.

  23. It’s not like there would be some sort of drama with somebody like aaron.
    But,what a pickle the gb upper management has created.

  24. Nobody wants to play for the Vikings…Diggs and Williams both know it’s is a complete garbage franchise, which makes sense since they’re a total dumpster fire…and here we have the Vikings #1 cheerleader obsessing about the Packers and their QB situation. Worry more about something real, guys not wanting to play in MN, and less about something completely hypothetical.

  25. cheeseisfattening says:
    May 3, 2020 at 7:16 pm
    The Packers see Rodgers obvious decline. It’s just their plan for dealing with it is dopey.
    Ccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccc

    Hum. Obvious decline, but finished ranked ahead of Cousins ever since Cousins arrived in Minnesota. That’s with Cousins benefiting from having the three best WR’s playing for one team, the best RB in the history of the game, and a “most vaunted” defense that follows Zimmer around. I’d say that’s the opposite of declining.

    How does that really make you feel?

  26. The author thinks some other team is going to be willing to trade enough capital to entice Green Bay to incur $31.5M in dead cap charges, while also paying Aaron Rodgers $22 million?

    Unlikely.

  27. ariani1985 says:
    May 3, 2020 at 6:51 pm
    This team really quit on the new coach fast!
    =========================
    If you call 13-3 having the team quit on you, what do you call that train wreck in Minnesota?

  28. Re-read what he said, which was a TRADE, (and not a release) BEFORE the roster bonus is due. This is where the savings come in, and l agree with Florio on this scenario.

    Rodgers is as crotchety as they come, and l am pretty sure GB would be on board with trading him after Love gets a year holding the clipboard.

    This divorce has been a long time coming.

    First, I never said they would release him. Please, re-read my post and show me where I wrote they would release him. I said they wouldn’t take a 31 million cap hit to save 4 million, because besides the obvious, that Rodgers will still be way better than Love in 2021, the only time teams take that type of dead money is when the player becomes harmful to the locker room (See: Antonio Brown). Rodgers may be a jerk but he isn’t worth that type of black hole in the cap.

    Second, you are right. This divorce is coming, but it won’t happen until that cap hit, either through trade or release, is something Green Bay can justify financially. Teams don’t take massive cap hits unless they have to, and there is no reason to for Green Bay to do that as long as Rodgers is productive.

    The bottom line: getting rid of Rodgers next year isn’t worth it, because for one year you end up paying 31 million in cap space for Love, and I’m pretty sure no one would think that is a good idea.

  29. As someone who tried to justify the Christian Ponder draft, I can appreciate what Packer fans are trying to do to convince themselves Love was a good 1st round pick.

  30. He’s played his last game:
    – he has more money than he’ll ever need
    – he has fame
    – he has a Super Bowl Ring
    – he is dating Danica Patrick and, likely, whoever he wants
    – he is assured of the Hall of Fame
    – he probably won’t care for playing in the Covid-19 era
    He’s going to walk away.

  31. What’s going to be awesome is; all the Packer trolls that are here right now telling us it’s all “fake news” and that Rodgers is awesome, will turn on a dime when he’s traded. Every one of them will then tell us how Rodgers was getting old and slow and how the Packers are geniuses for trading him before it was too late. How do we know this? We’ve already seen this before with this team. Nobody turns on their own players faster than a Packer troll.

  32. As someone who tried to justify the Christian Ponder draft, I can appreciate what Packer fans are trying to do to convince themselves Love was a good 1st round pick.

    +++++

    Those seven articles were last week, where have you been?

  33. Nobody turns on their own players faster than a Packer troll.

    +++++

    All it took was one Cardinals shirt for the Purple fanbase to stop defending Stefon Diggs. One shirt.

  34. I am waiting for the NE fans to start telling us he will got to the Patriots at a discount to win a Super Bowl with Belichick.

  35. Rodgers isn’t going anywhere. The Viking fan modus operandi is wishing, hoping, and praying. It worked once in nearly six decades, against the Saints. It’s not going to work here, no matter how badly you’d like to see Rodgers gone. Ain’t happening.

  36. conormacleod says:
    May 3, 2020 at 8:38 pm

    What’s going to be awesome is; all the Packer trolls that are here right now telling us it’s all “fake news” and that Rodgers is awesome, will turn on a dime when he’s traded.
    ________

    skoLOL!!’
    Like how the Barneys all turned on Stefon Diggs after he was traded?
    He caught so much grief from all of you, just because he found the situation with Kirk Cousins unbearable.
    Even after he gave you all that Minneapolis Missed Tackle Miracle, what a shame.
    But that’s what you guys do, nobody turns on a their players faster than an angry, bitter, Barney.

  37. I just stumbled on the NFL Power Rankings…..after the draft. Green Bay dropped three positions, and the Vikings came up four positions.

    Wait……what? The people that own the show still think the Packers rank ahead of the Vikings? Who’d have thought!

    How does that make you feel?

  38. Wafflestomp says:
    May 3, 2020 at 8:52 pm
    conormacleod says:
    May 3, 2020 at 8:38 pm

    What’s going to be awesome is; all the Packer trolls that are here right now telling us it’s all “fake news” and that Rodgers is awesome, will turn on a dime when he’s traded.
    ________

    skoLOL!!’
    Like how the Barneys all turned on Stefon Diggs after he was traded?
    He caught so much grief from all of you, just because he found the situation with Kirk Cousins unbearable.
    Even after he gave you all that Minneapolis Missed Tackle Miracle, what a shame.
    But that’s what you guys do, nobody turns on a their players faster than an angry, bitter, Barney.

    ***

    lol. Reaching!

  39. cletuspstillwaterjr says:
    May 3, 2020 at 8:51 pm

    I am waiting for the NE fans to start telling us he will got to the Patriots at a discount to win a Super Bowl with Belichick.
    ———————————————————————————————-
    After 10 years of not winning in GB I think he’s going to be pretty motivated to go somewhere where he can win – be it NE or somewhere else, I think the money will not be the most important factor for him.

  40. aa1829 says:

    No, no, and no. Can’t happen unless they change the rules…
    ____________

    If there was ever a team they’d change the rules for it’s the Packers

  41. From Rodger’s competitive point of view there is no reason to play this year, let alone next. You are looking at a full year of “business descisions” that he should make. Money, duh. Don’t even go there. Gutekunst is just putting everyone in a bad situation so that he can blame eveyone else. This is how he got rid of McCarthy for those with short memories.
    If he plays I hope he throws the ball away every time a defender gets within a step of him.

  42. Much more important than salary cap is whether Rodgers can keep the Packers in the playoffs or not. It is not easy. Dak Prescott amassed some very good personal stats last season, but the Cows couldn’t reach the playoffs despite playing in a weak division. Unless Jordan Love is another Patrick Mahomes, the Packers may go through some lean times playing in a division that includes Minnesota and a team like Chicago with a strong defense. If Rodgers fails to reach the playoffs, then they would need to rebuild, and tanking it for a few years on the field with an untried quarterback will get them some early first round picks to turn things around.

  43. No, no, and no. Can’t happen unless they change the rules. Too big a hit, and the youngster could probably use a year or two to get his sea legs.

    ================

    Bahahaha! …a year or two to get his “sea legs” gimme a break

  44. Don’t forget the cap could go down significantly depending upon how the Coronavirus plays out. No team could take a $30M cap hit + the cap going down substantially.

  45. cletuspstillwaterjr says:
    May 3, 2020 at 8:51 pm
    I am waiting for the NE fans to start telling us he will got to the Patriots at a discount to win a Super Bowl with Belichick.
    ———————————————————
    Nahhhhhh, we got our future franchise QB in Jarrett Stidham

  46. @ Wafflestomp

    “Yes, what an absolute horror show.
    They only went 13-3 (6-0 NFC North) and a game away from the Super Bowl.
    But thanks for your astute insight and crack analysis”.

    SF did us all a favor by predictably crushing the severely overachieving Packers. Had Rodgers and the Packers somehow made it past SF in the NFCCG (we all knew they wouldn’t, and got pounded in Santa Clara by 17 pts), it would have been a boring Super Bowl. KC would have mopped the field with them, and we never would have witnessed the exciting comeback game we all were treated to between KC and SF.

  47. I have said this is his last year with them. Use the media to Express his thoughts on the LAST DANCE with GB putting pressure on the GB FO, to move him.

    He is under no moral or professional obligation to remain a Packer post 2020. Let GB remember that those Favre and Rodgers do not grow on trees. Far more mediocre Majiks than the fortunes of 2 HOF.

  48. Dreaming. There’s an automatic assumption that Love can’t sit for two years. The Packers don’t know if he can play or not at this point, so this is all just speculation.
    Everyone assumes Rodgers is going to be upset with the arrangement. He knows he’s the top dog likely for two seasons minimum.

  49. What if Jordan Loves has longevity like Brett and Aaron? Solid QB work for a decade. Poor Vikings/Lions/Bears.

  50. I think there is less than zero chance this happens. It creates less than 5 million in cap space and there’s no way Love is ready after one season, especially if it’s altered by COVID-19.

  51. “The Packers see Rodgers obvious decline. It’s just their plan for dealing with it is dopey.”

    Everyone who watches the Packers on Sundays can see Rodgers slow and continuing decline from the excellence he had shown over fifteen years as Packers quarterback.all aging quarterback decline with age.last season he missed so many easy throws he usually completes to wide open recievers,either at their feet,over their heads, or behind them that fans were scratching their heads in disbelief.Rodgers will remain the starter for at least two more years unless he forces his way out of GB.getting his replacement in early while still available in the draft was nothing but brilliant forsight on the Packers part.

  52. The only way I see Rodgers leaving after this year is if the Packers have a bad year and Rodgers has attitude problems.

  53. If he plays well..no. If he doesn’t and the team feels Love is the long term answer yes. The Packers will be in a great position because they have time to see if they have the real deal in Love like they did back when Rodgers was young. If Rodgers is still playing well in two years either one could be traded. Green Bay is in the drivers seat..

  54. No way his contract allows him to be cut or traded this year. But in 2021 and beyond his post June cap hit verses cap savings flips to saving money. GB would carry $14 million in dead money ’21 and ’22 but save $22 and $25 million each year respectively. His base salary and roster bonus are only $7 million this year on a $21 million cap charge. Whereas next year his base salary becomes $14 million (+ $6.8 million roster bonus), $25 million, $25 million over the next 3 years. All numbers are based on post June cut/trade. Pre-June it would have to be ’22 at the earliest.

  55. Conspiracy brewing!!!! Remember all that love BB and Rodgers showed each other last time Pats and Pack went head to head? “You’re the best”. “No, you are the best.”

    BB didn’t make a move to get a viable QB. Could Rodgers be wearing #12 next year in NE!?!

  56. Wafflestomp nailed it. The media is making a big deal about nothing here; Rodgers will continue to be the best option moving forward fr GB. Best player plays.

  57. packers291 says:
    May 4, 2020 at 10:15 am
    Wafflestomp nailed it. The media is making a big deal about nothing here; Rodgers will continue to be the best option moving forward fr GB. Best player plays.
    /////////
    Then why in the world would you trade up in the first round to take a player that YOU say the Packers will not need or play? If you’re concerned about injury or having a solid backup, you could have had Dalton or Winston for $1-3 mil, or easily drafted a guy in the 2nd or 3rd round.

  58. Wait, people actually thinks Love is a good QB? I have seen many times Love throwing directly to a defender with no receivers anywhere close to where he threw the pass. In other words, he is an interception throwing machine. That’s not something he would be able to improve in the NFL. Just look at Winston. There were questions about his turnover prone habits coming out of Florida State. Fast forward to a few years, he led the NFL in turnovers and just recently completed a season where he threw 30 interceptions. Love is definitely a gunslinger like Favre but has zero awareness or vision on the field. After years of seeing Rodgers protect the ball, Love is going to send the fans into early graves throwing picks left and right. As a Bears fan, I’m all for that.

  59. It’s time for all of these pundits, prognosticators, and commentators to R-E-L-A-X until Aaron speaks on the issue.

  60. Prior to last season I half jokingly pointed out if the pack unloaded Rodgers for a 1 a 2 and a 1 from the next season, with their two one picks they could have quickly rebuilt with new QB and some real d talent.
    Now his value has gone way done. The team did ok last year but he was like 10th in rankings and was so so.
    I do see this season as the end but they arent going to get a lot for him. many teams have rebuilt or are more then just a QB away from greatness.

  61. He’s an overpaid crybaby…don’t let the door hit ya on the way out and good riddance.

  62. Last year it was will Rodgers be able to change plays. This year it’s whether he will remain a Packer. It’s laughable what the media tries to sell.

  63. I normally don’t like to see holdouts, but if any player has a case that his team has no intent to support him and advance his prospects of winning, it’s Rodgers.

    I just don’t understand paying a QB so much money and then completely ignoring offensive skill players in the draft, for so long. It’s ridiculous.

  64. This isn’t that hard to figure out, let Love sit for at least one season, preferably two. Then trade Rodgers to the Vikings for a King’s ransom that will make the Hershel Walker trade seem reasonable.

    Then win a Superbowl or two with Love at QB while watching the Vikings flounder with Rodgers at QB. In a sense, its perfect karma.

  65. Longtimepackerfan says:
    May 4, 2020 at 4:20 pm

    Last year it was will Rodgers be able to change plays. This year it’s whether he will remain a Packer. It’s laughable what the media tries to sell.//////

    Last year LaFleur didn’t like the way Rodgers was holding the ball too long. His offense is a timing passing game. He doesn’t like the way Rodgers is running it. If packer fans think the packers are going to let a #1 QB pick sit for 4 years they are mistaken. You don’t trade up for a player in the 1st round not to play him.
    Love is their guy, you could tell as soon as they drafted him. Their reaction was clear to read. Love will be playing in 2 years tops if not sooner.

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