PFT’s Week Five picks

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Last week, we agreed on all the winners. We didn’t agree on the points by which they’d win. And it showed.

We both went 9-6 straight up. Against the spread, I went 6-8-1. MDS slipped even farther underwater, at 4-10-1.

For the year, he’s 42-21 straight up and 31-31-1 against the spread. I’m now 40-23 and 32-29-2.

For this week’s picks, featuring one straight-up conflict and several spread variations, scroll away.

Buccaneers (-4.5) at Bears

MDS’s take: Nick Foles struggled in his first start in Chicago against a good Colts Defense, and he’s going to struggle against another good defense on Thursday night. I don’t see Tom Brady having a big game, but I do see the Bucs holding Foles in check well enough for the Bucs to win a low-scoring matchup.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 17, Bears 10.

Florio’s take: The Bears got a harsh dose of reality on Sunday, when they faced a good team. Another good team is coming to town on Thursday night.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 24, Bears 16.


Jaguars (+6) at Texans

MDS’s take: I expect the Texans to come out strong in their first game under interim head coach Romeo Crennel. They’ll win this one big.

MDS’s pick: Texans 30, Jaguars 17.

Florio’s take: The Artificial Interim Coach Bump is very real, as players begin to realize the very real benefit to themselves of ensuring that a new coach who may make big changes doesn’t show up.

Florio’s pick: Texans 27, Jaguars 20.


Panthers (+2) at Falcons

MDS’s take: The Falcons will get their first win of the season against a Panthers team that has been playing well but still has a lot of holes on the roster.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 23, Panthers 20.

Florio’s take: I believe in the Panthers. I don’t believe in the Falcons. And I believe that Dan Quinn will soon be watching games from home.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 27, Falcons 17.


Rams (-7.5) at Washington

MDS’s take: Can Kyle Allen get the Football Team’s offense rolling? I have my doubts. Aaron Donald is going to make it a long day for Allen in his first start in Washington.

MDS’s pick: Rams 28, Washington 10.

Florio’s take: Kyle Allen would like to wait a week to start his first game for Washington, given the presence of Aaron Donald on the L.A. line.

Florio’s pick: Rams 31, Washington 17.


Cardinals (-7) at Jets

MDS’s take: The Cardinals’ offense has struggled the last couple weeks, and it’s making me think opposing defenses are starting to get a handle on Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray. But the Jets are a mess, and I still see the Cardinals winning this one.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 21, Jets 17.

Florio’s take: A flock o’ Cardinals should be able to overcome Joe Flacco.

Florio’s pick: Cardinals 28, Jets 20.


Raiders (+13) at Chiefs

MDS’s take: The Chiefs just keep rolling right along, and this game looks to me like a shootout in which the Raiders won’t have the ammunition to keep up.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 35, Raiders 21.

Florio’s take: The Chiefs need to re-establish themselves after a close call against the Patriots. They will.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 38, Raiders 20.


Eagles (+7) at Steelers

MDS’s take: The Eagles finally got a win on Sunday and are actually in first place in the NFC East, but I see them taking a beating in Pittsburgh.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 34, Eagles 20.

Florio’s take: An unscheduled bye and a salty disposition for having to take an unscheduled bye should help the Steelers finally win a game convincingly.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 30, Eagles 17.


Bengals (+13) at Ravens

MDS’s take: I like Joe Burrow a lot, but I think it’s going to be another year before the Bengals have a team around him that can win consistently. They’re certainly not winning in Baltimore.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 30, Bengals 10.

Florio’s take: Joe Burrow has the goods, the Lamar Jackson has an injury. I’ll split the baby on this one, with the Bengals covering but not winning.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 21, Bengals 13.


Bills at Titans (no line)

MDS’s take: We’re not even sure if this game is going to be played, given the COVID-19 situation with the Titans, but if it is played, I see the Bills winning big.

MDS’s pick: Bills 40, Titans 20.

Florio’s take: We’ll likely be picking this game again, during the week when they play the makeup games. For now, the Bills are too good and the Titans seem to be in disarray.

Florio’s pick: Bills 30, Titans 17.


Dolphins (+8.5) at 49ers

MDS’s take: The 49ers have been ravaged by injuries, which might keep them out of playoff contention. But I still think they ought to beat a bad Dolphins team.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 23, Dolphins 20.

Florio’s take: Toughest game of the week to pick. The 49ers fell flat against the Eagles, the Dolphins are better than 1-3 would suggest, and Jimmy Garoppolo remains up in the air. 

Florio’s pick: 49ers 22, Dolphins 19.


Giants (+9.5) at Cowboys

MDS’s take: The Cowboys’ offense will score a lot. The Giants’ offense will not. This game won’t be close.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 42, Giants 14.

Florio’s take: If the Cowboys were in any other division, they’d be done. In the NFC Easy (it initially was a typo but then I realized it works), they’re sitting pretty.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 38, Giants 20.


Broncos (+11) at Patriots

MDS’s take: The COVID-19 situation surrounding the Patriots is alarming, but if this game is able to go on, I think they’ll beat the injury-plagued Broncos without much difficulty.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 30, Broncos 20.

Florio’s take: The Patriots are the better team, if they ultimately have a team that can be put on the field.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 31, Broncos 17.


Colts (-1.5) at Browns

MDS’s take: The Browns ran for an incredible 307 yards in Sunday’s win over the Cowboys, but they won’t be able to control the game like that against this Colts defense.

MDS’s pick: Colts 17, Browns 14.

Florio’s take: The Cleveland offense is pretty good. The Indy defense is even better. The absence of Nick Chubb makes the difference.

Florio’s pick: Colts 20, Browns 17.


Vikings (+7) at Seahawks

MDS’s take: The Vikings are starting to turn it on after a rough start, but Russell Wilson will cook up a big game as the Seahawks win.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 38, Vikings 28.

Florio’s take: Mike Zimmer has never beaten the Seahawks. This is his best chance, especially with no fans in Seattle. He’ll come close to doing it, and could possibly pull it off.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 34, Vikings 31.


Chargers (+7.5) at Saints

MDS’s take: The Saints are better than their 2-2 record suggest, and are a better team than the Chargers in all three phases of the game.

MDS’s pick: Saints 34, Chargers 21.

Florio’s take: New Orleans, Indianapolis, L.A., San Diego, wherever. The Saints are the better team, and they’re starting to hit their stride.

Florio’s pick: Saints 38, Chargers 24.

31 responses to “PFT’s Week Five picks

  1. This is the third consecutive year the Vikings have gone to Seattle to play a primetime game. They have about as much chance of winning there as the Twins winning a playoff game.

  2. NFC Easy. Ha. Amazing how the only division to have all four teams win a Super Bowl is so awful again.

  3. Bucs over Bears – Bucs are improving and growing with every game.. Bears are struggling.

    Falcons over Panthers – two bad teams but someone has to be the better team and I don’t see the Panthers being that team!

    Saints over the Chargers – chargers played well in their last game and should gain some confidence playing the better teams… Saints are just further along and experience will win on that day!

  4. Reclaiming My Time says:
    This is the third consecutive year the Vikings have gone to Seattle to play a primetime game. They have about as much chance of winning there as the Twins winning a playoff game.
    ==

    On paper, common sense tells me you’re right.
    However, Minnesota’s top skill-position guys have broken out of late. Seattle’s run defense may be able to control Dalvin Cook, but I expect Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen will have a field day against a porous pass defense.
    Even though Kirk Cousins tends to disappear in Prime Time like the Statue of Liberty in a David Copperfield special, the lack of the 12s could greatly mitigate that particular edge for the Seahawks.
    The real question is, can the Vikings’ defense even remotely slow down Russell Wilson?
    It sure shapes up as a shootout to me.

  5. Vikings-Seahawks:

    One team will be up 41-35 late in the game and the other team will have the opportunity to drive for a winning touchdown.

    Regardless of which team is leading, Seattle wins in that situation.

  6. Hey, I don’t care what the prevailing winds say, my money is on the Vikings!
    I’m looking forward to that team strolling into Seattle and taking care of business.
    I, for one, will be cheering for them all the way. 😉

  7. It all depends on which Cousins shows up, I’ve never seen a more bipolar QB.
    Seattle wins either way as the fake season continues.

  8. The winners:

    Bears, Texans, Panthers, Rams, Jets, Chiefs, Eagles, Ravens, Bills, Niners, Cowboys, Broncos, Colts, ‘Hawks and Saints.

  9. The 1-3 Vikings are exceptionally hapless and tasteless this season.

    Seahawks 37
    Vikings 20

  10. Frazier28/7 says:
    October 8, 2020 at 1:00 pm

    Seattle wins either way as the fake season continues.
    ~~~~~~~~~~
    Yeah, I really don’t blame you for playing off this season as fake, as if it doesn’t really count. If I was a whiny Viking fan, cheering for that putrid team, I’d probably feel the same way.
    Wait a minute…..no I wouldn’t, because I’m not a spineless troll, forever looking for some excuse why my team always sucks.
    Whether it’s the officials, bad luck, NFL league-wide favoritism and now fake seasons, you guys never fail to make me laugh.

  11. Florio’s take: The Cleveland offense is pretty good. The Indy defense is even better. The absence of Nick Chubb makes the difference.

    Agreed… Hunt will make a statement. Browns win this game.

  12. You guys never ever pick Dallas to lose do you??? I know that the Giants are bad but this is a division game and division games go hard!!!

  13. You honestly think this is real football? That’s hilarious.
    No offseason, no training camp, no preseason, no fans and now teams are missing multiple practices and games and even starting quarterbacks are missing games while offenses are scoring more points than ever and defenses are playing as bad as football as we’ve seen across the league.

    You really think this is real football?
    It’s fake. Enjoy it while you can.

  14. springfield says:
    How exciting you guys have picked 1 game in which you have a different winner.
    ==

    Every week someone leaves that same comment.
    Their job is to pick who they think will win, not to provide “excitement” or to entertain us by being different for the sake of being different.
    Maybe it’s the NFL’s fault for having so many bland, mediocre, or poorly-managed teams that are easy to pick against.

  15. Mike Zimmer has never beaten the Seahawks.

    That will all change this weekend! Zimm and Co. will march into Seattle and dominate in prime-time, showing the rest of the country what we Minnesota fans already know – this team is for real!! Russell Wilson has yet to face a defense as talented and dominating as this one, and Seattle’s defense hasn’t seen anyone with the talent that Minnesota has on the offensive side of the ball – Cousins is the best long ball thrower in the game, Dalvin Cook is far and away the best running back in the league, Jefferson, while just a rookie is already one of the top receivers in the league, and they have the best coaching staff in the league, able to put all of these pieces together. This one could get ugly early for Seattle!! The Seattle bandwagon will be a lot less crowded after this coming Sunday!

  16. Even though Kirk Cousins tends to disappear in Prime Time …..
    ————–
    “Disappear” implies first “showing up”.

  17. Patriots 23 Broncos 10 I see Damian Harris making some nice runs and the defense forcing 2 picks to win a low scoring game.

    Lock of the week Bucs 27 Bears 13 I think Bucs strike early with some runs by Ronald Jones and passing to Scotty Miller.

    Upset of the week Eagles 20 Steelers 10 Ugly defensive game and Ben’s first struggle after his injury.

  18. Heres my hot-take, “lock of the week” prediction:

    Lions 20
    Bye Week 45

    Lions lose again and Matt Patricia gets outcoached by an inanimate object

  19. OMG, how could you pick against my packers again.

    At least we lead the country with our whole state being a hotspot.

  20. This seems like an easy week to pick games in the NFL.
    First off, It will be Bills over Titans by forfeit. There’s no way that the NFL can allow the Titans to play that game. That will give the Bills an easy victory and have Steelers fans in an uproar because they didn’t get a forfeit last week. So get ready — because the Seelers fans will be crying next week and the Bills will be 5 and 0.
    In the other games, I see the Bears upsetting the Bucs, Texans over the Jags, Panthers over the Falcons, Chiefs over the Raiduhs, Steelers over the Eagles (and the Eagles might not even score a TD), Ravens over the Bengals, 49’ers will crush the Dolphins, Cowboys over Giants, Patriots over Broncos, Colts over Browns, Seahawks over the Vikings, and Saints over the Chargers.

  21. This may be the only week the entire season when we can say authoritatively that the Loins will not lose.

  22. In this 2020, weird as it is, the Browns beat the Colts. Stefanski is a coach of the year candidate.

  23. patsfan1818 says:
    October 8, 2020 at 3:32 pm

    Lock of the week Bucs 27 Bears 13 I think Bucs strike early with some runs by Ronald Jones and passing to Scotty Miller

    —————————————

    HaHaHaHaHa!!!!

  24. ThenCameBronson says:
    October 8, 2020 at 3:13 pm
    Mike Zimmer has never beaten the Seahawks.

    That will all change this weekend! Zimm and Co. will march into Seattle and dominate in prime-time, showing the rest of the country what we Minnesota fans already know – this team is for real!! Russell Wilson has yet to face a defense as talented and dominating as this one, and Seattle’s defense hasn’t seen anyone with the talent that Minnesota has on the offensive side of the ball – Cousins is the best long ball thrower in the game, Dalvin Cook is far and away the best running back in the league, Jefferson, while just a rookie is already one of the top receivers in the league, and they have the best coaching staff in the league, able to put all of these pieces together. This one could get ugly early for Seattle!! The Seattle bandwagon will be a lot less crowded after this coming Sunday!

    4 48 Rate This
    ———————————-
    Minny’s real defense that gave up 42 to Aaron Rodgers?
    Yeah, I think Wilson, Metcalf, Lockett, Olsen, and Carson are going to have a good time

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