PFT’s Week Seven picks

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Six weeks in, the competition between MDS and yours truly is getting very tight.

Last week, I picked up a game in the head-to-head competition, 8-6 vs. 7-7. We each went 6-8 against the spread.

For the year, we’re dead even in the straight-up chase, at 57-34. Against the spread, I’m 44-45-2 and he’s 41-49-1.

We disagree on a pair of Week Seven games. For all picks, scroll away.

Giants (+4) at Eagles

MDS’s take: The Eagles have been ravaged by injuries, but I still think they’re a better team than the Giants, not that that’s saying much. This game has major NFC East title implications, not that that’s saying much.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 28, Giants 17.

Florio’s take: Someone has to win. Anyone who watches will lose.

Florio’s pick: Eagles 24, Giants 10.

Lions (+2.5) at Falcons

MDS’s take: After ugly starts to their seasons, the winner of this game will find itself on a two-game winning streak. I think that when Julio Jones is healthy the Falcons still have an elite passing game, and the Lions will struggle to stop it.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 28, Lions 24.

Florio’s take: Lions coach Matt Patricia must win the games he should, or his chances to continue to lose games will disappear. The Falcons’ Week Six win was impressive, but they beat a team that has by all appearances given up on the season.

Florio’s pick: Lions 24, Falcons 21.

Browns (-3) at Bengals

MDS’s take: The Steelers and Ravens have made clear that the Browns aren’t the best team in the AFC North. But in Cincinnati on Sunday, the Browns will make clear that they aren’t the worst team in the AFC North, either.

MDS’s pick: Browns 30, Bengals 17.

Florio’s take: Cleveland beats the teams they should, loses to the teams they should. The Browns should beat the Bengals, especially with so many players not happy with their roles.

Florio’s pick: Browns 34, Bengals 21.

Steelers (-2) at Titans

MDS’s take: The best matchup of the day is in Tennessee, where the Titans have been surprising people all season. I think they’re going to keep surprising with an upset victory.

MDS’s pick: Titans 21, Steelers 20.

Florio’s take: The Steelers had their most complete game of the season against the Browns, and they’ve already spent a week preparing for Tennessee while the Titans were locked out of their building. If Tennessee pulls this one off, they definitely should not desecrate any Terrible Towels.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 23, Titans 20.

Panthers (+7.5) at Saints

MDS’s take: The Saints have been a little more up and down than I was expecting them to be, but I still believe they’re Super Bowl contenders. The Panthers have been a little more up and down than I was expecting them to be too, but I still see them as a rebuilding franchise.

MDS’s pick: Saints 28, Panthers 17.

Florio’s take: The bye week coupled with the potential return of Michael Thomas spells the difference for a Saints team that knows it’s time to find the gas pedal and mash on it.

Florio’s pick: Saints 38, Panthers 27.

Bills (-13) at Jets

MDS’s take: The Bills have lost two in a row, but if there’s one team they can bounce back against, it’s the Jets.

MDS’s pick: Bills 38, Jets 10.

Florio’s take: The Bills get the next best thing to a bye week after playing a couple of good teams.

Florio’s pick: Bills 28, Jets 7.

Cowboys (-1) at Washington

MDS’s take: Andy Dalton is no Dak Prescott, but he’ll play better than he did on Monday night and the Cowboys will remain atop the terrible NFC East.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 20, Washington 17.

Florio’s take: Unless and until Washington flips to Alex Smith, the losses will continue.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 23, Washington 20.

Packers (-3.5) at Texans

MDS’s take: The Packers got dominated on both sides of the ball last week against the Buccaneers, but they can do too many things on offense for the Texans to keep up.

MDS’s pick: Packers 30, Texans 20.

Florio’s take: A get-right game for Green Bay, which can’t afford to lose another game with the Bears surging.

Florio’s pick: Packers 34, Texans 24.

Seahawks (-3.5) at Cardinals

MDS’s take: I like the way Kyler Murray is playing right now, but I love the way Russell Wilson is playing, and I don’t see the Cardinals’ defense stopping him.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 28, Cardinals 20.

Florio’s take: The Cardinals have a six-day turnaround, the Seahawks have two weeks to get ready. Also, the Cardinals may not be able to slow down the high-octane Seahawks Offense enough to outscore it.

Florio’s pick: Seahawk 34, Cardinals 27.

Chiefs (-9.5) at Broncos

MDS’s take: The Broncos’ defense did impressive work in upsetting the Patriots on Sunday, but there’s no slowing down the Chiefs’ offense.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 28, Broncos 17.

Florio’s take: The Chiefs already have stubbed their toe in the division this month. It’s not likely to happen again, Denver’s upset of the Patriots notwithstanding.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 31, Broncos 21.

49ers (+2.5) at Patriots

MDS’s take: The Patriots are better than they looked Sunday against the Broncos. The 49ers are worse than they looked Sunday against the Rams.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 21, 49ers 14.

Florio’s take: A full week of practice will make a difference for the Patriots, who should be able to generate enough points to slow down San Francisco’s creative attack. Also, no one knows the flaws and limitations of Jimmy Garoppolo like the coach who drafted him.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 24, 49ers 17.

Jaguars (+8) at Chargers

MDS’s take: The Jaguars came out playing hard this season, but the reality that they’re among the NFL’s least-talented teams is starting to sink in. Justin Herbert should have a big game.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 31, Jaguars 20.

Florio’s take: The Jaguars continue to be the tonic for bad teams who need a win, and the Chargers got two weeks to get ready for this one.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 34, Jaguars 17.

Buccaneers (-3) at Raiders

MDS’s take: Tom Brady is playing efficient football and the Buccaneers’ defense is playing physical football. I think Tampa Bay is going to be a tough team to beat and will go to Las Vegas and win big.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 35, Raiders 17.

Florio’s take: With the entire starting Las Vegas offensive line sent home due to COVID-19 protocols, they won’t be ready to deal with the best defense the Bucs have had since the days of Warren Sapp.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 34, Raiders 21.

Bears (+5.5) at Rams

MDS’s take: Khalil Mack is playing excellent football and the Bears’ defense should keep this game close, but I don’t trust the Bears’ offense and think Aaron Donald is going to give Nick Foles a very hard time.

MDS’s pick: Rams 14, Bears 10.

Florio’s take: A get-right night for the Rams and an overdue correction for the Bears.

Florio’s pick: Rams 20, Bears 9.

33 responses to “PFT’s Week Seven picks

  1. Also, no one knows the flaws and limitations of Jimmy Garoppolo like the coach who drafted him.
    Cause he know Garoppolo is not a championship QB.

  2. Florio’s pick: Eagles 24, Giants 10.
    Florio’s take: Someone has to win. Anyone who watches will lose.

    Biting sarcasm that works because it’s both true and deserved.

  3. Niners likely lose. They lost their top 3 centers and are down to their 4th string. Jimmy’s gonna be running for his life.

  4. Disagree on Bears v. Rams. Bears have played well recently on national TV. Nagy and Foles will surprise everyone.

    Their correction is due but not this week.

  5. I think the only way the Falcons beat the Lions is if Kirk Cousins is behind center for the Lions.

  6. I think the Seahawks game will be a lot closer than your prediction. I don’t think they cover the spread. The Seahawks really struggled last year against Lamar Jackson and his ability to run. I think the Bears will have a good chance of beating the Rams.

  7. If youre a betting man, take the Bills at -13 and run. Yes, the Jets are really that bad.

    Also, Bengals will upset the Browns. Calling it now. Cant believe we have to call that an upset

  8. Why would you pick the Cowboys to beat anyone. I can’t see them winning another game this year. 2-14 with a top 5 pick

  9. Some day you’ll pick the Raiders to win a game. Were you aware they’re 3-2 this season? Did you know they have a top-10 offense? Were you aware they beat the Chiefs? AND the Saints?

    Keep picking against them, let’s not change anything now.

  10. Bears not getting respect — but respect has to be earned long term or else success may be regarded as a fluke.

  11. collectordude says:
    October 22, 2020 at 11:51 am
    Also, no one knows the flaws and limitations of Jimmy Garoppolo like the coach who drafted him.
    Cause he know Garoppolo is not a championship QB.


    Lol I’m starting to think Jimmy G bullied you in high school or something by the way you obsessively comment on every article that mentions him 😂

  12. jimmygeewhiz says:
    October 22, 2020 at 1:16 pm

    Bears not getting respect — but respect has to be earned long term or else success may be regarded as a fluke.


    Didn’t the Bears win the division in 2018? Aren’t the Bears undefeated against the Lions and Vikings since 2018? Aren’t the Bears in first place leading the division for the second season in three years?

    That’s not a fluke, you’re just a m0m0!

  13. can you give it a rest with the constant Alex Smith lobbying? we’re all rooting for him of course, but it’s every post that has anything to do with Washington… no one cares.. they’re the most irrelevant team in football. I wish him nothing but the best but putting in an old washed up QB with a peg leg isn’t going to change anything for this team.

  14. The Falcons’ Week Six win was impressive, but they beat a team that has by all appearances given up on the season.

    It’s gonna be a long, hard, cold winter in Minneapolis this year. Given up and it’s still October. SMH.

  15. Falcons over Lions – last week the Falcons looked like the Falcons we expected at the 1st of the year… Lions are an up and down team and likely down this week..

    Saints over Panthers – Saints are just a better team at every position and coaching..

    Bucs over Raiders – should be a good game… I give Brady and those receivers the edge!

  16. Florio please RE-watch the game with Washington vs the Rams then maybe you will get why Alex Smith isn’t starting. No one is saying that he’s untalented or not better than Allen when healthy, the issue is he’s clearly not as healthy as he was and it’s not good seeing him attempt to run. I prefer Smith to just retire

  17. joetoronto has too many names! says:
    October 22, 2020 at 1:27 pm
    Bears are 25-13 since Nagy and Mack. That’s not a fluke you CORK!
    25-13? What do they have to show for it other then the donk? 5-1, but have only beat one team that is at least .500. Don’t worry though, they still get to play Saints, Packers…

  18. Vikings will lose this week.

    Even though they’re off. Why? They still have Spielman and Zimmer.

  19. The Texans are playing like a completely different team now that Bill is gone. The Titans have a good defense, and they stayed with them until they lost in overtime. Their offense should have no problem whatsoever scoring against the Packers.

  20. Florio still beating the Smith drum! You must not realize that Washington is tanking for Lawrence.

  21. Bengals over the Browns by 3. The heat is already turned up underneath Zac Taylor’s seat with all his veteran players hating him. He HAS to beat Cleveland for job security. Otherwise I don’t see this team finishing with more than 2 wins Max., Even Hue Jackson sounds good now.

  22. Patriots 24 49ers 13 I can’t see the Pats laying an egg after the Broncos game look for Jimmy to throw a couple of picks.

    Lock of the week Packers over Texans 31 to 20 I see Rodgers coming out angry and lighting the Texans up.

    Game of the week Bucs vs Raiders This game could go either way. Both teams are inconsistent with monumental wins recently depends on whether or not Carr turns the ball over. No prediction for this one.

  23. Steelers should win but if the Titans beat the Steelers that is really not much of an upset. It’s on their home field and the teams are fairly equal.

  24. Missed last night’s game, but honestly, I thought the Giants would win.

    The winners:

    Lions, Bengals, Titans, Saints, Bills, Cowboys, Pack, ‘Hawks, Chiefs, Niners, Chargers, Raiders and Rams.

  25. Russell Wilson is one bad dude and without Chandler Jones harassing RW, he will shred the Zona D for 38 points. Can anyone stop DK monster Metcalf on Zona? Kyler will make some plays as the Hawks D stinks but they won’t put up over 30 pts…

    Hawks cover the 3 points…

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