Belichick’s Patriots have a winning record as underdogs by a touchdown or more

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The Patriots won as seven-point underdogs against the Ravens on Sunday night. Perhaps that shouldn’t have been a surprise.

Since Bill Belichick became New England’s head coach, the Patriots are 7-6 outright (including the postseason) when they’re underdogs by seven points or more, according to Mike Reiss of ESPN.

That’s a winning percentage of .538. No other NFL team has even won 40 percent of its games when an underdog by seven points or more since 2000.

Among the Patriots’ most famous wins as heavy underdogs were Belichick’s first Super Bowl, when they beat the Greatest Show on Turf Rams as 14-point underdogs, and Tom Brady‘s first career start, when they beat Peyton Manning and the Colts as 11.5-point underdogs. More recently, the Patriots won the first game of 2016 when they were nine-point underdogs with Brady out because of his Deflategate suspension.

Betting against Belichick is never safe. Do so at your peril.

9 responses to “Belichick’s Patriots have a winning record as underdogs by a touchdown or more

  1. Keep doubting Bill Belichick, he just may end up in Tampa come February, while Tammy’s wondering what could’ve been..

  2. Let’s give Josh McDaniels a shout out for his offensive play calling! That Jacobi Meyers touch down pass was a terrific play, besides being the longest offensive TD this year, @ 24 yards.
    The Pats have had some pretty loses this year, it was nice to finally have an ugly win.
    Go Pats!!

  3. lgw91s says:
    November 16, 2020 at 9:40 am
    Nobody knows this better than Vegas oddsmakers. The sportsbooks came ahead yesterday

    _____________________________________________________________________________

    This is why you shouldn’t gamble. They Vegas Oddsmakers also had the Dolphins at 5 wins total.

  4. The game list night was the first Patriots game I have seen this year after seeing all their games against the NFCE and a couple others last year. I did not recognize most of the names on defense and the offense is quite different too. Where did everybody go?

  5. A rookie and two 2nd year players combined for 29 tackles for the Patriots last night. That’s auspicious.

    Dugger, a rookie safety, picked in the 2nd round. 12 tackles

    Hall, an undrafted, practice squad linebacker. 10 tackles

    Winovich, a 2nd year defensive end, picked in the 3rd round.
    7 tackles

    JC Jackson, an undrafted 3rd year corner, added his 6th interception of the year.

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