PFT’s NFL Week 14 2020 picks

Super Bowl LIII - New England Patriots v Los Angeles Rams
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With 64 regular-season games left, one race remains tight. The other? Not.

MDS and I each went 11-4 in straight-up picks for Week 13. This has allowed him to hold a two-game lead, 122-72 to 120-74.

Against the spread, I went 8-7 to his 7-8. I now lead, 89-95-5 to 76-112-3.

For this week’s picks, scroll away.

Patriots (+5) at Rams

MDS’s take: The Patriots would be a scary team to face if they manage to sneak into the playoffs, but I see them losing in Los Angeles on Thursday night and ending any realistic playoff hopes.

MDS’s pick: Rams 24, Patriots 20.

Florio’s take: Bil Belichick knows how to slow down the Rams’ offense. The real question is whether the New England offense can outscore it.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 20, Rams 17.

Texans (-1) at Bears

MDS’s take: It’s hard to believe how far the Bears have fallen, that they’re now home underdogs against the lowly Texans. Deshaun Watson will remind the Bears they could have drafted him, and General Manager Ryan Pace’s seat will grow hotter.

MDS’s pick: Texans 24, Bears 14.

Florio’s take: If the Bears didn’t already completely regret taking Mitch Trubisky over Deshaun Watson (and they do), they will on Sunday.

Florio’s pick: Texans 24, Bears 20.

Cowboys (-3.5) at Bengals

MDS’s take: Neither of these teams is going anywhere, but I’ll take the Cowboys as the team that still technically has something to play for.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 24, Bengals 17.

Florio’s take: Like last year, Andy Dalton will be playing in Cincinnati. Unlike last year, he’ll emerge from the experience with a win.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 23, Bengals 16.

Chiefs (-7.5) at Dolphins

MDS’s take: If the Dolphins could pull an upset here, it would be a huge statement in the AFC playoff race. I don’t think they’re ready to compete with the elite teams like the Chiefs.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 30, Dolphins 20.

Florio’s take: The Chiefs can’t afford to peek ahead to the looming showdown with the Saints.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 31, Dolphins 21.

Cardinals (-2.5) at Giants

MDS’s take: The Giants are playing good football at the right time and the Cardinals are floundering, but this feels like a week for a course correction.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 27, Giants 20.

Florio’s take: It’s now or never for the Cardinals to salvage their thinning playoff hopes. 

Florio’s pick: Cardinals 24, Giants 21.

Vikings (+6.5) at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: The Vikings are still right in the thick of things in the NFC wild card race, and a win over the Buccaneers would be huge. But I just can’t trust this Minnesota team, which has narrowly escaped against bad opponents in recent weeks, against a good opponent like Tampa Bay.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 28, Vikings 20.

Florio’s take: The Vikings have been barely beating not-good teams. This one could go not too good for them.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 28, Vikings 20.

Broncos (+3.5) at Panthers

MDS’s take: They’re still a year away from contention, but Panthers coach Matt Rhule has his team playing better than most expected, and I think they’re going to keep playing well down the stretch.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 24, Broncos 13.

Florio’s take: Christian McCaffrey is back, and that should be more than enough help his team beat his dad’s team.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 27, Broncos 20.

Titans (-7.5) at Jaguars

MDS’s take: The AFC South race is going down to the wire, and the Titans need to take care of business in the easiest game remaining on their schedule. They will.

MDS’s pick: Titans 35, Jaguars 14.

Florio’s take: The Titans need to get back on track quickly, and the Jaguars have been the ultimate get-back-on-track facilitator this season.

Florio’s pick: Titans 28, Jaguars 20.

Colts (-2.5) at Raiders

MDS’s take: A big one in the AFC playoff race will see the Colts’ defense shutting down Derek Carr.

MDS’s pick: Colts 17, Raiders 10.

Florio’s take: The Raiders have beaten the Chiefs and the Saints, but they haven’t been nearly consistent enough this season.

Florio’s pick: Colts 30, Raiders 21.

Jets (+13.5) at Seahawks

MDS’s take: The Seahawks are coming off their worst performance of the season and the Jets are coming off their best, but that doesn’t change the fact that the Seahawks are easily the better team.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 20, Jets 10.

Florio’s take: This could get ugly in Seattle. It’ll be even uglier in Seattle if the Jets somehow win.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 34, Jets 17.

Packers (-7.5) at Lions

MDS’s take: The Lions looked like they were playing harder for interim head coach Darrell Bevell last week, but they just don’t have the personnel to beat the Packers.

MDS’s pick: Packers 24, Lions 21.

Florio’s take: Last week’s win gives the Lions slim hopes for the postseason. Those hopes will be dashed by Aaron Rodgers.

Florio’s pick: Packers 31, Lions 17.

Saints (-7) at Eagles

MDS’s take: Benching Carson Wentz for Jalen Hurts was the right move, but it won’t be enough.

MDS’s pick: Saints 24, Eagles 20.

Florio’s take: Different quarterback for the Eagles, same result.

Florio’s pick: Saints 30, Eagles 20.

Falcons (-2.5) at Chargers

MDS’s take: Not a lot of reason to watch this game between two teams that are out of it, except that it’s a solid matchup of a good young quarterback in Justin Herbert and a good old quarterback in Matt Ryan. Ryan’s Falcons will take care of business.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 28, Chargers 20.

Florio’s take: The Falcons are Bruce Willis in Pulp Fiction. The Chargers are Bruce Willis in The Sixth Sense.

Florio’s pick: Falcons 24, Chargers 17.

Washington (+3) at 49ers

MDS’s take: Washington is continuing to play hard down the stretch, and the NFC East is within their grasp. The 49ers have been decimated by injuries and are now a full-time road team, and I think they’re going to struggle down the stretch.

MDS’s pick: Washington 28, 49ers 14.

Florio’s take: The Niners have been resilient this year, following deflating losses with impressive wins. Next up, an impressive win.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 27, Washington 21.

Steelers (+3) at Bills

MDS’s take: This is one of the biggest games of the year in the AFC playoff race, and I think Josh Allen is going to play well against a good Steelers Defense.

MDS’s pick: Bills 27, Steelers 21.

Florio’s take: Washington exposed Pittsburgh’s imperfections; the Bills will exploit them.

Florio’s pick: Bills 27, Steelers 23.

Ravens (even) at Browns

MDS’s take: It’s a must-win game for the Ravens with the Browns surprisingly ahead of them in the AFC wild card race. I see the Ravens pulling out a close one.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 35, Browns 31.

Florio’s take: The Browns have improved significantly since losing to Baltimore in blowout fashion 13 weeks ago. But the Ravens are desperate.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 23, Browns 17.

35 responses to “PFT’s NFL Week 14 2020 picks

  1. Browns gonna boatrace. Betting all the alternate lines on the browns side. Free money!

  2. I have that strange feeling the Bills are going to get blown out at home. 37-17 Steelers 🤷

  3. When are MDS and Florio going to jump off the Cardinals band wagon? You guys are whipping a dead horse.

  4. Patriots 20 Rams 24 I don’t see the Rams run defense giving up enough for the Patriots to win this week. The upcoming weeks against the Fins and Bills will be better for the ground game.

    Lock of the week Bucs 31 Vikings 28 A close shootout ends with Cousins turning the ball over.

    Upset of the week Giants 27 Cardinals 13 Giants defense is putting in some work as is their run game. Murray has looked awful the past couple of games and other than Drake so has their whole offense.

  5. Because Anthony Lynn doesn’t know the Chargers are dead. Ha ha, very clever. You’d think Bruce Willis in Die Hard or Bruce Will in Unbreakable would be a better counter to that, though

  6. Chiefs fan so I have no dog in this fight. But I think the Bills are going to expose the Steelers and their plethora of issues.

  7. Given the Packers average 31 points a game – wondering why someone would think they’ll win against THAT Lions defense with less?

    Detroit’s best corner now plays for the Eagles and he was toasted last week by Adams.

  8. I will pick the Browns (named after a guy) over the Ravens (named after a guy’s poem). Also because I think they’re the better team at this point.

  9. greglloydrules says:
    December 10, 2020 at 1:25 pm
    I have that strange feeling the Bills are going to get blown out at home. 37-17 Steelers 🤷


    You mean kinda like how they got blown out by the MVP favorite Russel Wilson and his Seahawks at home? Something like that? Yeah, probably

  10. ariani1985 says:
    December 10, 2020 at 1:27 pm

    Packers have lost to the lions 3 of the last 4 games…let that sink in!
    Those of us dealing with reality are aware that the PACKERS have beaten the Lions the last three times they have played. 3 out of 4. ariani posting false information.
    Let THAT sink in!

  11. Mike Florio, can you please come up with Bruce Willis character references for the other 30 teams too?

  12. Bucs over Vikings – The Bucs have had 2 weeks to prepare and they have to much talent to keep struggling to figure it out!

    Broncos over Panthers – both teams are roller coasters but I think the Broncos are better built..

    Saints over Eagles – Saints are just to good and Eagles moving to new qb.

    Falcons over Chargers – Falcons have shown they can play a great game at times and the Chargers show their ability to lose games!

  13. Bills Steelers on SNF is going to be awesome. I so wish there were fans in the stands for it, the house would be rockin. I give a slight edge to the Bills because they have been clicking as of late as they have gotten healthier and the defense has been returning to form, but realistically this game could go either way. Should be a battle. Hopefully the refs stay out of it and the better team prevails. Can’t wait.

  14. DJ plays and I see a Giants win at home. Colt plays (despite his valiant effort last week) and I see a Giants loss. If DJ and the Giants do win, it wont really be an upset.

  15. I like the Steelers in Buffalo. I bet they bounce back – suffering a loss was good for them down the stretch.

  16. ariani1985 says:
    December 10, 2020 at 1:27 pm

    Packers have lost to the lions 3 of the last 4 games…let that sink in!
    Flat Earth…Bigfoot…Trump won the election…common denominator Vikings fan
    Go Pack Go!!!

  17. Browns by 10 over the Ravens. I think history is clouding a lot of peoples opinions regarding the Browns. I’m not a fan, but I see this years Titans when I watch the browns play. Best rushing game in the league with a game manager QB and a good defense. Baker as a high ceiling and can hit those big play action passes, and is athletic enough to receive and perform trick plays. On top of that they are playing with confidence for a smart coach, and they have the skill level on all sides of the ball to play into that confidence. AND nobody is giving them any serous consideration yet, just like the titans last year. Nobody picked the Titans to go to the AFC championship except maybe titans fans. I am fully on the “Watch out for the Browns” train.

  18. LOL at MDS for thinking the Packers will beat the Lions by only 3. Florio is right, GB will win 31-17.

  19. Browns and Ravens have split the season series the previous two years. Not sure why this year would be any different.

  20. Both of you not only picked the Cards over the Giants, but to cover as well… have you watched both teams lately?

  21. Buffalo is not playing against Nick Mullens and a cast of backups this week. Steelers a lock to make playoffs after this one.

  22. if the Steeler keep playing Flat footed the Bills will win! I understand that the Lions have won 3 of the last 4 against the Packers but that is fools gold! Dont buy it!!!…Washington is much improved but there are certain people who still look at them with 2019 jay Gruden glasses! They will bounce the 49ers!!!….And good luck with your Dallas Cowboys win,I doubt it will happen!

  23. Based on your season records, shouldn’t you….. shouldn’t you, maybe just stop? asking for a friend.

  24. My upsets this week are:
    The Bears over the Texans. (It will be cold and maybe windy in Chicago and the Texans will not handle it well.)
    The Giants over the Cardinals. (It’s simple. The Giants defense is way better than the Cards defense, and that will be the difference.)
    The Raiders over the Colts. (the Raiders always do what they are not supposed to do.)
    But my biggest upset of the week is the Steelers over the Bills. (Mike Tomlin is not happy with his team’s performance the last two weeks and I think he will have the Steelers ready to pound on the Bills.)
    I go along with the other picks, but I think the Vikings/Bucs game will come down to a Tom Brady last minute drive to decide it. He’ll get it done, and once again the Vikings fans’ hearts will be broken.

  25. ariani1985 says:
    December 10, 2020 at 1:27 pm

    Packers have lost to the lions 3 of the last 4 games…let that sink in!


    “Past performance is no guarantee of future results.”

    Everybody knows that.

  26. Aeiani1985
    You never cease to amaze me.

    Not too amazed at your math and statistics, or lack thereof.

    FYI, Packers swept them in 2019 and won the first game this year. The Packers got swept in 2018. Packers won 3-4 to date.

    Let that sink in moron.

  27. Rams, Bears, Cowboys, Chiefs, Cardinals, Vikings, Panthers, Titans, Colts, Seahawks, Packers, Saints, Falcons, Football Team, Bills and Browns.

  28. Can you please just tank the last few games SF? I mean, winning with Mullins at qb,even beating the rams, feels like a loss somehow.

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