Week 16 playoff clinching scenarios: Most postseason spots can be wrapped up Sunday

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By Sunday, most of this season’s playoff berths may be clinched.

Six teams have already clinched playoff berths, and most of the other eight spots are there for the taking this week. Here are the full playoff clinching scenarios for Week 16:

AFC

CLINCHED:
Buffalo Bills – AFC East division title
Kansas City Chiefs – AFC West division title
Pittsburgh Steelers – playoff berth


CLEVELAND BROWNS (10-4) (at New York Jets (1-13), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, CBS)​

Cleveland clinches playoff berth with:

CLE win + BAL loss or tie OR
CLE win + MIA loss or tie OR
CLE win + IND loss OR
CLE tie + BAL loss OR
CLE tie + MIA loss


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (10-4) (at Pittsburgh (11-3), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, CBS)

Indianapolis clinches playoff berth with:

IND win + BAL loss or tie OR
IND win + MIA loss or tie OR
IND tie + BAL loss OR
IND tie + MIA loss


KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (13-1) (vs. Atlanta (4-10), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

Kansas City clinches the first-round bye with:

KC win or tie OR
PIT loss or tie OR
BUF loss or tie OR
KC clinches strength of victory tiebreaker over PIT or BUF AND clinches at least a tie in strength of victory tiebreaker over the other club


PITTSBURGH STEELERS (11-3) (vs. Indianapolis (10-4), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, CBS)

Pittsburgh clinches AFC North division title with:

PIT win OR
CLE loss OR
PIT tie + CLE tie


TENNESSEE TITANS (10-4) (at Green Bay (11-3), Sunday night, 8:20 PM ET, NBC)

Tennessee clinches AFC South division title with:

TEN win + IND loss​
Tennessee clinches playoff berth with:

TEN win OR
MIA loss OR
BAL loss OR
TEN tie + BAL tie


NFC

CLINCHED:
Green Bay Packers – NFC North division title
New Orleans Saints – playoff berth
Seattle Seahawks – playoff berth


ARIZONA CARDINALS (8-6) (vs. San Francisco (5-9), Saturday, 4:30 PM ET, Amazon)

Arizona clinches playoff berth with:

ARI win + CHI loss or tie OR
ARI tie + CHI loss


GREEN BAY PACKERS (11-3) (vs. Tennessee (10-4), Sunday night, 8:20 PM ET, NBC)

Green Bay clinches the first-round bye with:​

GB win + SEA loss or tie OR
GB tie + NO loss or tie + SEA loss or tie, as long as both NO and SEA don’t tie


LOS ANGELES RAMS (9-5) (at Seattle (10-4), Sunday, 4:25 PM ET, FOX)

Los Angeles clinches playoff berth with:

LAR win or tie OR
CHI loss or tie OR
ARI win or tie


NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (10-4) (vs. Minnesota (6-8), Friday, 4:30 PM ET, FOX/NFLN/Amazon)

New Orleans clinches NFC South division title with:

NO win OR
TB loss OR
NO tie + TB tie


SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (10-4) (vs. Los Angeles Rams (9-5), Sunday, 4:25 PM ET, FOX)

Seattle clinches NFC West division title with:

SEA win


TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (9-5) (at Detroit (5-9), Saturday, 1:00 PM ET, NFLN)​

Tampa Bay clinches playoff berth with:

TB win or tie OR
CHI loss or tie


WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM (6-8) (vs. Carolina (4-10), Sunday, 4:05 PM ET, CBS)

Washington clinches NFC East division title with:

WAS win + NYG loss or tie OR
WAS tie + NYG loss + PHI-DAL tie

12 responses to “Week 16 playoff clinching scenarios: Most postseason spots can be wrapped up Sunday

  1. Win some, lose some.

    Some of the above teams are not going to make the playoffs but, unlike the NBA, there isn’t a lottery to improve a team’s draft prospects. The Colts “Sucked for Luck” and the Jags did it for Lawrence. The Jets likely will still get an excellent prospect even though the screwed up losing.

    Time to copy the NBA approach and implement a lottery. Imagine the heads that would explode if the Patriots picked a ping pong ball that delivered Lawrence?

  2. If the Titans upset GB and the Colts lose to Pitt, Henry could sit the final game but being close to 2000 yards, would Vrabel let him go for it ?

  3. Chiefs beat Bills. There is NO path for the Bills to have the #1 seed. Chiefs lead them by 2.5 with 2 to go.

  4. So we can have a 7-8 team with a clinched playoff spot and two 11-4 teams not clinched. Crazy year.

  5. I think the NFL should have the top 3 draft teams in a lottery drawing right after the season ends, just before wildcard weekend. Or perhaps, at the ProBowl.

  6. mpsdirect says:
    December 22, 2020 at 12:28 pm
    Chiefs beat Bills. There is NO path for the Bills to have the #1 seed. Chiefs lead them by 2.5 with 2 to go

    —————————————————-

    Incorrect. Buffalo can jump KC if KC loses out and Buffalo and Pittsburgh wins out. Buffalo would own the strength of a victory tie breaker. The Buffalo/KC matchup wouldn’t matter because Pittsburgh didn’t play KC. Buffalo is the only team with a strength of victory over .500

  7. GoBills87 says:
    December 22, 2020 at 1:54 pm
    mpsdirect says:
    December 22, 2020 at 12:28 pm
    Chiefs beat Bills. There is NO path for the Bills to have the #1 seed. Chiefs lead them by 2.5 with 2 to go

    —————————————————-

    Incorrect. Buffalo can jump KC if KC loses out and Buffalo and Pittsburgh wins out. Buffalo would own the strength of a victory tie breaker. The Buffalo/KC matchup wouldn’t matter because Pittsburgh didn’t play KC. Buffalo is the only team with a strength of victory over .500

    ———–

    This isn’t correct either. The Bills are not mathematically eliminated from the 1 seed, but they are damn close. To get it, you’d have to have the scenario you outlined (KC loses 2, BUF and PIT win 2), but also have several other games turn out right.

  8. scoops1 says:
    December 22, 2020 at 11:29 am
    Chicago ain’t losing to the Jags…..

    —————————————————-

    Rams fans said the same thing about the Jets
    Steelers fans said same thing about the Bengals

    Anything can happen.

  9. Are the Steelers the worst 11-0 team in NFL history? Looks like they will finish the season with six straight losses.

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