Will 49ers eventually cut Jimmy Garoppolo?

USA TODAY Sports

The 49ers had a chance in 2020 to sign Tom Brady. They decided to stick with Jimmy Garoppolo instead.

After Garoppolo missed 10 games in 2020, a sense has persisted that the 49ers will explore all options at the position for 2021. If the 49ers can find a potential upgrade over Garoppolo (or someone with relatively the same talent level but younger and/or cheaper), what happens to Garoppolo?

Most presume he’ll be traded. But here’s the question: If the 49ers don’t want to keep Garoppolo at the balance of his current contract, who would trade for the thing?

Garoppolo has a total compensation package of $25.5 million for 2021 and $25.6 million for 2022. If he were a free agent, would anyone offer him $50.1 million over two years? It’s doubtful.

It’s doubtful because he hasn’t proven he can stay healthy. He missed 23 games over the last three seasons. Dating back to 2016, when he had a four-game audition during Tom Brady’s #Deflategate suspension, Garoppolo got injured in the second game.

So here’s my prediction: the 49ers won’t eventually roll the dice with Garoppolo again, not at his current contract. And since they won’t be able to trade the contract, they’ll eventually cut Garoppolo — taking a cap charge of only $2.8 million.

Because he has no trigger in his contract forcing the 49ers to make an early decision, they can wait to find a replacement before cutting him. Whether that happens via trade (like a Sam Darnold) or free agency or the draft, once they think they have the guy they want, they can get rid of the guy they’ll no longer need.

Maybe I’ll be wrong about this. It wouldn’t be the first time. But it definitely would be wrong for the 49ers to cast their lot again with a guy who has missed a lot of games — especially at $25.5 million.

In the end, maybe that’s the only way he’d stay. By taking less, under the threat of being cut.

39 responses to “Will 49ers eventually cut Jimmy Garoppolo?

  1. This article misses one thing. IN the one year where he didn’t get injured, 2019, less than a year after his devastating ACL injury, he took the Niners to the Super Bowl.

    It’s going to be a tough decision to make. He’s a good QB when healthy, but he’s useless when injured.

  2. The QB carousel isn’t done turning since the off season really just started. SF has enough firepower and O-line protection to be very appealing for a Watson and such. Lynch could catapult SF back to the top of the west with a coup sign/trade like that. And Houston might be willing to take Jimmy G on two years since they’re going to have to rebuild anyway.

  3. Keep in mind that if a team traded for him it would basically come with the intent of one year with a team option for a second season. That’s different than a two year, $50M+ deal, in that such a deal would likely include a lot of guaranteed money with the player wanting to make it not easy for the team to not play out the second season. Kirk Cousins understands.

  4. So many have him linked to the Patriots. But to trade and have to absorb that salary with his injury history could be crippling during the rebuild. If he is cut, and then resigns – perhaps a smaller salary with a larger bonus tied to playing time is the safer route.

  5. This is why I never understood why Carson Wentz has been derided as injury prone but Jimmy G really hasn’t. 23 missed regular season games vs 8 regular season games.

  6. You missed the boat again, per usual. The Niners and Jimmy G will restructure his deal. He’s decent when he’s a starter and sparks that team. They will restructure his deal and make it to where they can get out of the contract again next year. Roll with Jimmy this year and draft a QB in the 2nd or 3rd round this year.

  7. Seems to me, Garoppolo’s injuries are the result of him trying to do too much on his feet. That can be coached out, or JG will learn from experience to tone that stuff down. IMO he’s a top 1/3 of the league QB that would benefit most franchises. If the 49ers give up on him, I think they’ll regret it.

  8. If the Niners want to become instantly relevant again, they will do whatever it takes to get Watson. Period.

  9. They’d like to trade but only if they’ve something better!! His salary wouldn’t be an issue for Pats. He’d knows BB, Josh & Kraft love him and will try to make him “their guy” and thus will restructure. And he knows Pats O-line (despite under-manned last year) still ranked 4th according to PFF. BB has prob made a low-ball offer already just to have first dibs on him. I’d like to see it but Mariota is probably a safer, healthier option, to lead or compete with StiddyJ.

  10. rkt4mayor says:
    February 16, 2021 at 11:45 am
    This is why I never understood why Carson Wentz has been derided as injury prone but Jimmy G really hasn’t. 23 missed regular season games vs 8 regular season games.

    ——

    Because Jimmy has shown some semblance of postseason success

  11. Would Jimmy G be the answer for the Bears? He would be going home has to better than what they have…

  12. I don’t think Garoppolo is all that bad, but if he’s supposedly such a good option, why is there all this smoke coming out that the front office is looking at or in on all these other QB options?

  13. It’s amazing to think when healthy Jimmy G has accomplished almost as much as Tom Brady outside the Patriots system. Both beat the Packers in the NFCC game, both made it to the SB to face the Chiefs, the difference is the Bucs defense managed to hold Mahomes and the offense to 3 field goals while the 49ers defense gave up 31 points in the SB.

  14. Jimmy G was and is a 2nd round pick caliber guy who is a good back-up QB and nothing else. Niners wasted time, money and a SB title within the window where their D was tops. That ship has sailed. The pieces don’t align that that too often.

  15. The 49ers have been very good with Jimmy Garraopolo. When he is healthy, he’s been excellent. The issue is not him, but who they choose to have as a backup QB. And there are several options out there for that role. The Eagles learned the hard way- you need a good backup QB in this league or your season is sunk with one injury. They now prioritize it like a starting position and it has served them well.

  16. He’s good/great when healthy. They should keep him. The rest of the NFC West would be happy to see him go.

  17. Hes not very good even when hes healthy. They may have went to the super bowl last year but HE was the WEAK LINK on that team.

  18. The 49ers ‘top D’ gave up 200 yrds of total offense and 21 pts in less than 6+ mins of the SBowl. Garopollo missed a throw.

  19. The 49ers are not going to sign Kirk Cousins. Sorry Mike. Also, the 49ers are not going to become Houston Texans West so they can trade for Watson and go 4-12 with him. And Matt Ryan makes a lot more than Jimmy G, so that isn’t the answer either. And no rookie is taking that roster to the Super Bowl, not with Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers and now Tom Brady in the NFC. So, the 49ers are going to have to settle for Jimmy G, a guy who only can take them to the Super Bowl.

  20. Tom Brady missed a throw to Chris Godwin during the Super Bowl, I guess he is just as terrible as Jimmy G and should be cut tomorrow. The obsession with Jimmy G is insane, hopefully Kyle who can’t get to .500 without Jimmy understands that media narratives are not reality and gives Jimmy at least another season. And if I am Jimmy, if there is any way I can get myself to New England, I am taking that opportunity.

  21. People are so foolish in wanting the Niner’s to get rid of Garraopolo. He is a good QB, with really no top tier one WR. He comes with a manageable cap numbers that would allow the team to get help in areas of needs. Getting someone like a Deshaun Watson would be foolish because he would be cost about $15 million more than Jimmy G.for maybe a few more rushing TDs. You could say adding Watson would take away from the team more than it would help them. The best bet is to stay with Jimmy G and fill holes.

  22. wny49er says:
    February 16, 2021 at 1:32 pm
    People are so foolish in wanting the Niner’s to get rid of Garraopolo. He is a good QB, with really no top tier one WR. He comes with a manageable cap numbers that would allow the team to get help in areas of needs. Getting someone like a Deshaun Watson would be foolish because he would be cost about $15 million more than Jimmy G.for maybe a few more rushing TDs. You could say adding Watson would take away from the team more than it would help them. The best bet is to stay with Jimmy G and fill holes.
    —————————————————————————————-
    Agreed, holes like the interior offensive line, as Frank Clark and Chris Jones were in Jimmy’s lap the entire Super Bowl. No clean pockets like the ones Tampa Tom got this year.

  23. I remember pointing this out to 49er fans after he got hurt his first year as the full-time starter, and they said I was being a hater. Injury prone is injury prone. He couldn’t even stay healthy when he was the four-game fill-in.

  24. Yeah he’s injury prone…except for the time he started 19 games in one season and went to the SB. He’s had an ACL and two high ankle sprains in the same season on the same ankle. There is no connection to his injuries and they aren’t the chronic type like soft tissue or concussion etc. They are two unfortunate injuries that happened sandwiched around an excellent performance in his first full season as a starter. You never want to see a key player injured but half the 49er roster missed time last year. I would not be making long term decisions based on the dumpster fire that was 2020 for the 49ers.

  25. I can’t believe that Brady and Garopollo have accomplished the same things in literally any compactor because, well, that’s laughable.

    The credit I’ll give Jimmy G is when he’s healthy, he’s a good quarterback. A nice find by Belichick and he was brought along correctly. Secondly, it lit a fire under Brady (not that he needs motivation as we’ve seen) and got NE to a few more Super Bowls. Jimmy G couldn’t have done that.

    By the way, Brady would have hit on that pass that would have won the 49ers the SB against the Chiefs.

  26. By the way, Brady would have hit on that pass that would have won the 49ers the SB against the Chiefs.

    ——————————————————————————————
    You mean like that pass that he threw to Wes Welker that beat Eli Manning’s Giants? That pass?

  27. 1westcoastfootballfan says:
    February 16, 2021 at 4:58 pm
    By the way, Brady would have hit on that pass that would have won the 49ers the SB against the Chiefs.

    ——————————————————————————————
    You mean like that pass that he threw to Wes Welker that beat Eli Manning’s Giants? That pass?

    ——————

    Yeah. That one.

    Welker should have caught it.

  28. “When he is healthy, he’s been excellent.”
    ________

    Huge caveat to that is you’re talking about ONE SINGLE YEAR where that has happened. 2019 when he started 16 games and threw 27 TDs. His second most TDs in a year? 7. His second most starts in a season? 6.

  29. I wouldn’t call 27/13 in a season where you by far have the best defense in football on the other side from you and a great running game an excellent season. You could do worse, but he’s just above average and makes too much for what he does.

  30. If he gets cut he will fall right into the laps of the Pats. New England has the patience to wait til late in the off season for this to happen. No team will trade for him at that salary level unless he is willing to renegotiate a lower contract and then there is the trade compensation to consider. Looks like he will get cut if SF goes with a different QB.

  31. nhpats2011 says:
    February 16, 2021 at 12:33 pm
    rkt4mayor says:
    February 16, 2021 at 11:45 am
    This is why I never understood why Carson Wentz has been derided as injury prone but Jimmy G really hasn’t. 23 missed regular season games vs 8 regular season games.

    ——

    Because Jimmy has shown some semblance of postseason success
    ————————————————————-
    Semblance as in the “appearance” of postseason success, because when you take a closer look, Garoppolo had little to do with the 49ers postseason wins and plenty to do with the Super Bowl loss.

  32. Yeah. That one.
    Welker should have caught it.
    —————————————————————————————–
    If it was a better thrown ball Welker would have. Just like Sanders should have run a better route and caught the one thrown his way.

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