No QBs drafted in first round from 2009-16 are set to be on original team in 2021

Getty Images

There were 22 quarterbacks drafted in the first round between the 2009 and 2016 seasons and all of them came with hopes that they’d lead their teams for years to come.

Some of those players had extended runs with their original teams, but, as Field Yates of ESPN notes, none of them are expected to be with the team that drafted them when the 2021 season gets underway. Carson Wentz was the last of the 22 set to be with the same team, but Thursday’s word that the Colts and Eagles have agreed on a trade means it will be a clean sweep as long as that trade and the Matthew StaffordJared Goff swap go through as planned.

Stafford was the first overall pick in 2009 and had the longest run with his original team. The full list of the quarterbacks is below:

2009: Stafford, Lions; Mark Sanchez, Jets; Josh Freeman, Buccaneers.

2010: Sam Bradford, Rams; Tim Tebow, Broncos.

2011: Cam Newton, Panthers; Jake Locker, Titans; Blaine Gabbert, Jaguars; Christian Ponder, Vikings.

2012: Andrew Luck, Colts; Robert Griffin III, Washington; Ryan Tannehill, Dolphins; Brandon Weeden, Browns.

2013: EJ Manuel, Bills.

2014: Blake Bortles, Jaguars; Johnny Manziel, Browns; Teddy Bridgewater, Vikings.

2015: Jameis Winston, Buccaneers; Marcus Mariota, Titans.

2016: Goff, Rams; Wentz, Eagles; Paxton Lynch, Broncos.

There were three quarterbacks taken in the first round of the 2017 draft. Two of them — Mitch Trubisky and Deshaun Watson — may be with different teams next year, but it seems unlikely that Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will be splitting up in the near future.

31 responses to “No QBs drafted in first round from 2009-16 are set to be on original team in 2021

  1. In looking at that list, I am shocked how bad it is:

    Cam newton had a few good years, plus an MVP.
    Stafford has some good years.
    Luck had a few good years.
    Goff had a a couple of good years
    Wentz had a few good years.

    Out of 22 first round QBs thats 15+ good seasons.
    Thats a horrible hit rate.

  2. jker01 says:
    February 18, 2021 at 2:56 pm

    Derek Carr… no respect

    ———————-

    Carr was a second round pick, this article is talking about first round selections.

  3. I know Cleveland tried Weeden and Manziel, but (in retrospect) it’s hard to criticize them for passing on the rest of these guys. It was pretty much a no win situation; there wasn’t anyone who was going to become what you’d expect from a first rounder

  4. Stark evidence that the draft is pretty much a crap shoot. On the flip side, of course, is the later round choice who’s pretty good, you know, like pick No. 199 in the 2000 draft.

  5. NFL teams struggle to evaluate QB’s coming out of college, and project them as NFL starters. That’s an understatement. This is nothing new. Tom Brady was nearly passed up by every team. He nearly missed having an NFL career, at all. Kurt Warner was literally stocking shelves in a grocery store, after having been given up on by NFL teams. Meanwhile, numerous #1 overall picks were complete busts. There is no doubt in my mind that Tom Brady isn’t the only one. I’d say there are several QB’s walking the streets that would have been successful NFL QB’s, but were never given an opportunity, because teams were looking at the Jamarcus Russell types who could throw the ball over the moon.

  6. Florio, you need to make the NFL understand they have a QB problem. The game is way too dependent on the position. They need to increase cornerback’s abilities to defend the pass to devalue the QB so games can be one with defense and running backs and marginal QB more often. The league isn’t just dominated by the QB position, it’s dominated by the Patrick Mahommes level QB position. You have to wonder if some of the other greats in past decades like Elway, Moon, or Marino could even have had a chance to be successful today or if they too would’ve been discarded because they couldn’t play like Mahommes or Rodgers or Brees.

  7. Forget whether or not they’re with their original teams, half of them aren’t even in the league anymore. Or at the very least are so irrelevant, I can’ think of how far down what depth chart they are.

  8. Why list only the First Round QBs drafted 2009-2016 ?
    Actually there are only 3 First Round QBs drafted at any time before 2017 still playing for the team that drafted them:
    2004: Ben Roethlisberger (R1, #11)
    2005: Aaron Rodgers (R1, #24)
    2008: Matt Ryan (R1, #3)

  9. Not coincidentally two of those guys are former Jags picks. They wasted the 10th pick on Gabbert in 2010 and then wasted the 3rd pick on Blake Bortles.

  10. When you hear a fan of a particular team say “we need to use that first round on a QB”, point this out. So many first round picks are wasted because a team needs a quarterback and drafts the best available. As for this year – Lawrence, little doubt. After that, chances are better that the QB bombs or is mediocre than it is that they’ll become a franchise QB.

  11. I think it was Bill Parcells who espoused the idea that you never take a QB in the 1st round, always take a lineman (either side) that way if it didn’t work out, it at least doesn’t devastate the team for several years. And odds of a top tier lineman working out seem better than a top tier QB. Makes sense to take a QB in the 2nd and maybe another one later. If the QB flops it doesn’t kill the franchise. If it works out, you look smart. Less down-side risk.

  12. Let EJ Manuel be a cautionary tale for GM’s “taking a leap” on a 1st rd. QB.. Doug Whaley is no longer working for a team anymore.
    I don’t know why any GM that selected some of those other guys in the 1st round are still employed by teams.

  13. If you look at all active quarterbacks drafted from 2000 (the GOAT) to 2016, any round, only 6 quarterbacks are still with their original team: Ben Roethlisberger in 2004 (1), Aaron Rodgers 2005 (1), Matt Ryan 2008 (1), Russell Wilson 2012 (3), Derek Carr 2014 (2), and Dak Prescott 2016 (4).

  14. Bucs, Rams, Browns, Jags, Titans, Vikings, Broncos all on this list twice. WFT will be too when it adjusts for the Haskins bust.

    I was going to make fun of my team (Bucs) for being on here twice, but then I noticed that a LOT of teams are on here twice. Says something about the state of QB scouting in the late aughts/early teens I think.

  15. Amazing that EJ was the only QB taken in the 1st that year…not sure we’ll ever see that again.

  16. Pretty bad group. At least Newton and Goff got to SB games but played bad. Not sure who the biggest busts of this group are ?

    Maybe Bortles but he is still in the league. Lynch hardly even played. Even Tom Brady broke the Gabbert curse and got him a ring. The Titans have struck out on three 1st round QBs, Young, Locker and Mariota …

  17. That’s a really Meh list of quarterbacks. Hmmm. I guess Packer fans have been extraordinarily lucky.

  18. 12Packabs says:
    February 18, 2021 at 4:44 pm

    Amazing that EJ was the only QB taken in the 1st that year…not sure we’ll ever see that again.

    +++++

    There was only 1 QB taken in the first round in 2001 (Vick), and in 2000 (Pennington) and in 1997 (Druckenmiller).

    In 1996 and 1988 no quarterbacks were taken in the first round,

  19. Right now great teams with good QB’s cannot be consistently successful season to season. But, good teams with Great QB’s can. Look at KC. Similar team under Alex Smith, a good QB, inconsistent. Swap in Mahommes, instant perennial contender.

    That’s a problem. That’s like saying the only cars on the road that can over over 100 miles are Caddy’s, Tesla’s and Jags, and anything under that level can’t get you to work and back.

  20. Just more in a very long line of 1st round QB busts!

    And if you don’t think they’re busts just ask the teams that drafted them!

    Because after 5yrs if a QB isn’t starting on the team that drafted him he’s a draft bust.

  21. How many of these teams would have been better served to draft an offensive line before ruining a qb be hind a bad one.

  22. February 18, 2021 at 4:08 pm
    I think it was Bill Parcells who espoused the idea that you never take a QB in the 1st round, always take a lineman (either side) that way if it didn’t work out, it at least doesn’t devastate the team for several years. And odds of a top tier lineman working out seem better than a top tier QB. Makes sense to take a QB in the 2nd and maybe another one later. If the QB flops it doesn’t kill the franchise. If it works out, you look smart. Less down-side risk.

    Ask the Dolphins how that sage advice worked for them when Parcells took OT Jake Long instead of Matt Ryan.

  23. I wonder if there is any data on quarterbacks that sat a year behind a veteran before starting. There must be some kind of recipe to ensuring a quarterback has a higher success rate. One big issue that a lot of people do not consider, is the terrible teams that draft these kids should spend a year putting pieces around them before they start them in most cases. That way, they could actually have a chance. You look at Tom Brady, that offense was already built for Drew Bledsoe, with a suffocating defense. When the patriots aquired Randy Moss, Wes Welker, and Brady was able to see what great receivers do, he finally became a very good quarterback. He continually developed until about 2009. There must be a way to do analytical research in order to get these first round quarterbacks to actually work out

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to leave a comment. Not a member? Register now!

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.