What happens if Aaron Rodgers doesn’t show up?

NFC Championship - Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Green Bay Packers
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A recent report from another publication included this clear, unambiguous, and unmistakable remark: “The Packers would trade Rodgers if they believed he was truly committed to never playing for them again.”

This statement implies that the Packers don’t believe he is truly committed to never playing for them again. Which means that, to the extent he’s suggesting by words (or lack thereof) and actions that he’ll never play for them again, the Packers are calling what could be a bluff.

So what if this isn’t a bluff? What if Rodgers doesn’t show up? What happens next?

The financial penalties commence with mandatory minicamp. Per page 249 of the labor deal, the Packers can fine Rodgers $93,085 for missing all three days of the camp. Then, if he skips training camp, the Packers will fine him $50,000 per day. Under the 2020 CBA, the daily fines for missing training camp are mandatory and cannot be waived.

If Rodgers sits out all of 2021, he’ll lose his $14.7 million salary. The Packers also will be able to recover $11.5 million in unearned signing bonus money and Rodgers’ $6.8 million roster bonus, which was earned earlier this year and (per a source with knowledge of the situation) will be paid out with his game checks.

Assuming 40 days of camp, that’s a total financial penalty for Rodgers of more than $35 million if he doesn’t play this year — along with a lost opportunity to play football in one of his remaining years of high-level athletic ability. Which helps explain why the Packers don’t believe he won’t show up.

Thus, the privilege of skipping all of 2021 costs more than $35 million and one full season of adding to Rodgers’ legacy. That’s a huge price to pay. And it helps explain why the Packers don’t believe Rodgers will stay away for all of the 2021 season.

Rodgers could avoid roughly $2 million in fines by retiring before the start of training camp. He’d still lose $33 million by not playing this year. That’s money that will never be replaced, unless he convinces himself that he’ll be able to play year deeper into his forties by not playing this year.

The Packers remain unconvinced. Which is one of the reasons why the Packers aren’t looking to give Rodgers what he wants. The Packers seem to believe (and for good reason) that he won’t give up what he needs — playing football and getting paid handsomely for it.

24 responses to “What happens if Aaron Rodgers doesn’t show up?

  1. What happens if Aaron Rodgers doesn’t show up?

    The sun will still rise, the birds will still sing, there will still be an NFL season, and Jordan Love will take over. No one is indispensable, including Rodgers, even if he’d like to think otherwise.

  2. “What happens if Aaron Rodgers doesn’t show up?”

    …….then Jordan Love has to prove himself one year sooner than planned, and there’s nothing wrong with that. The team surrounding Love on both sides of the ball is no slouch. Most newbie top-tier quarterbacks get relegated to bottom-dwellers, and most often they do not do well in their early years because of it. That’s not the case here.

    Plus, if Rodgers actually and really wants another SuperBowl ring, staying right where he is is his best chance for it. He knows this.

  3. ……..having said nothing about anything, since the beginning, works in Rodgers’ favor.

  4. “What happens if Aaron Rodgers doesn’t show up?” ….. Rodgers doesn’t get paid and his legacy gets tarnished, er more tarnished.

  5. Rodgers not showing up would be the best thing for Jordan Love and the team for evaluation purposes. It would give everyone time to see Jordan in action and how best to proceed with Rodgers moving forward.

  6. Consider what might happen if he just skips the minicamp and/or training camp. It would be chump change to him, but a LOT of pressure would be on the Packers to resolve the situation. He could show up the week before Game 1, smiling and ready to play. What would the Packers do then?

  7. Aaron should show up and develop a case of the yips and force GB’s hand, As long as he shows up he gets paid there is nothing about actually playing or playing well to the point they have to play Bortles or Love.

  8. I wonder how much of this is “the Packers remained unconvinced” and how much of it is not wanting to be the front office that will be forever known as the one that alienated the MVP.

    If the front office is willing to let Rodgers sit for an entire season, they should be removed. The Packer fans won’t see it that way because they’re feeling jilted by Rodgers, but it would be professionally derelict on the part of the FO to do so.

    If they play chicken with Rodgers and he sits for an entire year, everyone loses: Rodgers, the front office and the fans. That scenario means the team lost its most valuable asset for an entire season with absolutely nothing in return.

    That’s why it’s better to rip off the band aid and trade him. Get your ransom of draft picks, move forward and hopefully learn from it. Because all signs point to Rodgers not returning. Contrast Rodgers’ past communication style with the present. A notoriously private guy is now posting vacation photos to Instagram during OTA’s. He’s relaxed, he’s bumming around Hawaii, he’s got long hair, he’s playing guitar. He’s living the good life. He’s sending a message to the Packers front office that they are the furthest thing from his mind.

  9. Packers have all the leverage here in waiting this out whether Rodgers plays or not. Not only are fans taking their side in this, but if they traded him now, they’re dealing with probably the Broncos and possibly the Raiders. Honestly what could they offer them at this point? Better to trade him in January when multiple teams will have actual Top 5 draft picks to offer.

  10. gazinkus says:
    June 2, 2021 at 10:41 am
    Consider what might happen if he just skips the minicamp and/or training camp. It would be chump change to him, but a LOT of pressure would be on the Packers to resolve the situation. He could show up the week before Game 1, smiling and ready to play. What would the Packers do then?
    Zzzzzzz

    Fail his physical.

  11. that’s going to be one heck of a toxic work environment when he finally shows up.

  12. gazinkus says:
    June 2, 2021 at 10:41 am

    Consider what might happen if he just skips the minicamp and/or training camp. It would be chump change to him, but a LOT of pressure would be on the Packers to resolve the situation. He could show up the week before Game 1, smiling and ready to play. What would the Packers do then?
    ===================================================

    We’ve seen this movie before. Ironically Rodgers had a supporting role in that one playing the part of Jordan Love.

  13. Somehow this will work out in the Packers’ favor. Because Rodgers has three years left on his contract, the Packers truly hold all the leverage, plus the longer he holds out the more snaps Jordan love gets in camp and preseason.

  14. What happens if happens if Aaron Rodgers doesn’t show up?
    …the rest of the NFC North breathes a deep sigh of relief, while their fans continue to slap each other on their backs reveling in their good fortune.

    The Packers continue to grind, like they always do.
    One step at a time, one day at a time.
    Greatness awaits.

  15. There’s no way that this report of the Packers “calling Aaron’s bluff” is going to do anything but make him more irate. Nice work leaking that out, probably should’ve just internalized that and let it play out. Now he’s got even more reason to dig his heels in. Buckle up, it’s about to get very bumpy.

  16. You Packers fans crack me up. Until Love proves himself – not in practice but in a real game situation against ya know ‘Live” targets you really do not know what your team has. The guy didn’t have a pre-season last year, was inactive most if not all last year. Ya all playing spin doctor saying he gets more snaps with the first team, yadda yadda yadda. There is only one guy who can take the Packers Super Bowl this year. Packers fans know it and the rest of the NFL knows it and its not Love. Packers front office thought Rodgers was on the decline, drafted Love Rodgers goes out and has an MVP season. The front office down to the coaching staff has egg dipping off their face. They got too cute and its going to cost them an MVP player and a chance this year.

    What happens if Aaron Rodgers doesn’t show up?

    The Packers do not make the NFC title game let alone the Super Bowl. Its this organizations last shot for a few years at winning the big one before guys like Adams and others depart for greener pastures.

    Viking Fan Blames Officials…..Everybody Drink says:
    June 2, 2021 at 11:21 am
    What happens if happens if Aaron Rodgers doesn’t show up?
    …the rest of the NFC North breathes a deep sigh of relief, while their fans continue to slap each other on their backs reveling in their good fortune.

    —————————————————————–

    Good Fortune? Packers couldn’t even beat the Vikings last year AT LAMBEAU with the Vikings having a piece meal secondary. Packer strength of schedule is ranked number 4, Vikes at Number 5. The teams in the North have improved and if you think Packers going 13-3 without A A Ron ya all need to lay off that green Kool-Aid man.

  17. The Love pick was an awful move by Gute and the franchise is now in an awful place because of that move. With that said you can’t just hand the franchise over to a 37 year old player. Fact of the matter is getting compensations for him will be hard because of his contract, age and diva personality. The Packers best move is to call his bluff. His only move is to pay back millions to prove to the world that Gute made a horrible draft pick. I have seen some spiteful people in my time but this one would take the cake.

    Now if I am Gute and someone does come with an offer of two 1sts and a good player, take the deal. If you are not willing to take a deal that will clear cap space and let you build around your 1st round pick then maybe Gute should be shown the door. Fans will let you struggle with the new kid for a year or two. Lets see what your vision has to offer because the Packers aren’t putting themselves over the top with recent moves.

  18. Well… from the sounds of it, he’s certainly not going to be hosting jeopardy if he retires. He also doesn’t have a great on air personality (maybe for podcast) so sounds like he either plays ball for the packers or takes more trips to Hawaii.

  19. These team have to stop bowing to diva players, it’s gotten totally out of control, time to put a stop to it!

  20. danicafallsinlove says:
    June 2, 2021 at 11:48 am

    Viking Fan Blames Officials…..Everybody Drink says:
    June 2, 2021 at 11:21 am
    What happens if happens if Aaron Rodgers doesn’t show up?
    …the rest of the NFC North breathes a deep sigh of relief, while their fans continue to slap each other on their backs reveling in their good fortune.

    —————————————————————–

    Good Fortune? Packers couldn’t even beat the Vikings last year AT LAMBEAU with the Vikings having a piece meal secondary. Packer strength of schedule is ranked number 4, Vikes at Number 5. The teams in the North have improved and if you think Packers going 13-3 without A A Ron ya all need to lay off that green Kool-Aid man.
    *********
    Yes, good fortune.
    You know, I’m curious, who were all these people over the last month trolling on every single Aaron Rodgers story on here and other social media platforms? Who were those guys? 🤔
    I’ve heard from so many NFC North fans who are absolutely giddy with the prospect of an Aaron Rodgerless (Yes, I coined a new word.) Packers team that they can barely contain their excitement.
    You must be the only fan with no opinion on the subject.

    As for the Vikings big regular season win last year, congrats.
    I hope you truly enjoyed it.
    The NFC North is now 1-11 against Matt LaFleur led teams.

    As for the Packers future, I’ve made no grand predictions for next season or the years beyond with or without Aaron Rodgers.
    Though someone like you will never admit it, Green Bay is a talent laden football team.
    They ended the 2020 season ranked 1st in overall roster talent according to PFF.
    4th after the offseason and the draft.
    Figuring out the QB position and Jordan Love’s growth and development will weigh heavily on this team’s immediate success.
    But, as I said before, this team will continue to grind and there’s absolutely nothing wrong with being excited about your team’s future. 😉

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