PFT’s NFL Week Two 2021 picks

NFL: SEP 12 Chargers at Washington Football Team
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Week Two is here. It can’t get here soon enough.

We got off to a rough start in Week One. I got only nine of the games right straight up. MDS was 7-9.

This week, we have only one disagreement in our straight-up competition. Scroll for our picks as to all of the Week Two games.

Giants (+3) at Washington

MDS’s take: I’d feel better about this pick if Ryan Fitzpatrick were healthy, but given how bad the Giants’ defense looked on Sunday, I think Taylor Heinicke should be able to put up good numbers on Thursday night as well.

MDS’s pick: Washington 24, Giants 17.

Florio’s take: Washington needs to hold serve at home, or a promising season could quickly be on the ropes. They’ll do just enough to make it happen.

Florio’s pick: Washington 21, Giants 16.

Saints (-3.5) at Panthers

MDS’s take: The Saints turned in a shockingly strong performance in Week One. The Panthers looked pretty good, too, but I think that will prove to be mostly a function of playing the Jets.

MDS’s pick: Saints 28, Panthers 20.

Florio’s take: The Panthers may soon regret that they didn’t give Jameis Winston a longer look, either in 2020 or 2021.

Florio’s pick: Saints 30, Panthers 21.

Texans (+12.5) at Browns

MDS’s take: The Browns let one get away in Week One against the Chiefs. That won’t happen against the Texans.

MDS’s pick: Browns 30, Texans 20.

Florio’s take: When the Browns build a 22-10 first-half lead this week, they won’t blow it.

Florio’s pick: Browns 34, Texans 24.

Bengals (+2.5) at Bears

MDS’s take: I think the Bears are in for a long year if they don’t build their offense around Justin Fields. And so far they’re still trusting Andy Dalton.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 17, Bears 14.

Florio’s take: This could get ugly at Soldier Field, where the Bengals may be the better team on paper. The fans will be throwing something other than paper onto the field if they don’t see more of Justin Fields.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 20, Bears 17.

Raiders (+5.5) at Steelers

MDS’s take: The Steelers’ defense is going to win a lot of games for them, even if Ben Roethlisberger is way past his prime.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 17, Raiders 13.

Florio’s take: The Raiders have won five of the last seven against the Steelers, and Las Vegas still leads the all-time series. However, a physical game that went nearly 70 minutes with a long flight and a short week doesn’t bode well for the road team in this one.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 24, Raiders 17.

Bills (-3.5) at Dolphins

MDS’s take: The Dolphins could make a huge statement in the AFC East with a win, which would make them 2-0 in the division and give them a two-game lead over the Bills. I don’t see that happening, though.

MDS’s pick: Bills 23, Dolphins 20.

Florio’s take:  It’s too early for any game to be regarded as huge. This one, in the AFC East, is huge. Buffalo got a wake-up call in Week One, and Miami escaped with a game it should have lost. Things get corrected quickly.

Florio’s pick: Bills 27, Dolphins 20.

Rams (-4) at Colts

MDS’s take: Matthew Stafford easily outplays Carson Wentz. This one won’t be close.

MDS’s pick: Rams 31, Colts 14.

Florio’s take: The Colts continue to take early-season body blows.

Florio’s pick: Rams 34, Colts 20.

49ers (-3.5) at Eagles

MDS’s take: I loved how Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts played in Week One, but that will prove to be a lot harder against the 49ers than it was against the Falcons.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 23, Eagles 21.

Florio’s take: The Eagles are better than we realize. The 49ers are still pretty good. Kyle Shanahan will make sure they hear it all week long after they tried to blow the Week One blowout of the Lions.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 30, Eagles 20.

Broncos (-6) at Jaguars

MDS’s take: The Jaguars looked like a mess in Week One, a mess that’s going to take Urban Meyer a long time to clean up.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 28, Jaguars 17.

Florio’s take: There’s “no chance” Urban Meyer will coach USC. There’s only a slightly better chance his overmatched Jaguars will cover the spread against the Broncos.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 31, Jaguars 20.

Patriots (-6) at Jets

MDS’s take: Mac Jones vs. Zach Wilson may be a close call, but the Patriots vs. the Jets is an easy one.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 31, Jets 20.

Florio’s take: Patriots quarterback Mac Jones studied Jets film after losing to the Dolphins. It’s important to sometimes get a little break from watching real NFL football. (I’m kidding, Jets fans.)

Florio’s pick: Patriots 24, Jets 14.

Vikings (+4.5) at Cardinals

MDS’s take: Kyler Murray will have his second consecutive big game as the Cardinals improve to 2-0 and the Vikings fall to 0-2.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 30, Vikings 27.

Florio’s take: Arizona looks to be better than we thought they’d be. Minnesota looks to be worse.

Florio’s pick: Cardinals 27, Vikings 20.

Falcons (+12.5) at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: The Falcons looked like a disaster in Week One. The Bucs should win easily, with a second consecutive home game and three extra days to prepare.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 30, Falcons 14.

Florio’s take: The Buccaneers got three extra days to prepare for Tom Brady’s third game against the Falcons as the Tampa Bay quarterback. The Falcons will be lucky to win three games this year. This one will be over by the third quarter.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 28, Falcons 3.

Titans (+5.5) at Seahawks

MDS’s take: I don’t think the Titans can possibly be as bad as they looked in Week One, but I do think their defense is going to let the Seahawks put plenty of points on the board.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 35, Titans 31.

Florio’s take: Russ will cook. Ryan will cook. Russ will cook a little more.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 33, Titans 27.

Cowboys (+3) at Chargers

MDS’s take: The Cowboys played well against the Buccaneers in Week One and I think they’re going to continue to play well in Week Two, this time earning a hard-fought win.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 21, Chargers 20.

Florio’s take: The Cowboys have a bunch of injury issues, already. The Chargers, for a change, don’t.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 27, Cowboys 23.

Chiefs (-3.5) at Ravens

MDS’s take: The Ravens are going to fall to 0-2, with their secondary unable to keep up with the Chiefs’ passing game.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 30, Ravens 20.

Florio’s take: There’s never a good time to play the Chiefs. Six days after losing a physical overtime heartbreaker in Las Vegas is not a good time to play the Chiefs.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 31, Ravens 23.

Lions (+11) at Packers

MDS’s take: Aaron Rodgers can’t possibly look as bad against the Lions as he did against the Saints.

MDS’s pick: Packers 30, Lions 23.

Florio’s take: Green Bay’s Week One no-show raises the stakes for this one, considerably. Even with the various distractions created by the quarterback’s tenuous status, Green Bay should win this one easily — and then the Lions could finagle another back-door cover.

Florio’s pick: Packers 34, Lions 24.

43 responses to “PFT’s NFL Week Two 2021 picks

  1. I’m a lifelong Dolphin fan and have to agree with Florio’s take. Until Tua can prove that he can lead the offense down the field consistently and generate first downs Miami will be more of a pretender than contender.

  2. I feel bad for Vikings fans. They’ll never have a chance until the Wilf’s realize they should have fired Zimmer last season and went after Bieniemy. Thankfully they still have the chance this season to not make the same mistake. The clock’s ticking Ziggy.

  3. Florio’s pick: 28-3

    Point differential: accurate. Humor rating: high.

    The only thing is, I think the Bucs will score more points than that.

  4. Platinum-plus Pick of the Week: Pittsburgh (-5.5) over Las Vegas. The Raiders have four key factors working against them: (1) They’re on a short week; (2) they’re traveling across three time zones, west to east; (3) they won as home ‘dogs Monday night and, historically, teams who win as home ‘dogs have an energy letdown the next week, which ties into (4) the win over the Ravens was an emotional win, which will lead to an emotional letdown this week. The Steelers will cover easily, 27-14.

  5. 49ers at Eagles will be interesting. Which 49ers defense shows up …. the one that battered Detroit for 3 quarters, or the one that gave up massive points to Detroit in the 4th quarter nearly allowing a comeback?

    Speaking of defense, will the Eagles’ defense have as much luck against Jimmy G. as they did against the Falcons?

    Should be a fun one to watch.

  6. You are being kind to the Ravens with your score predictions. That game is going to get ugly real fast. KC will easily cover, bet the over.

  7. If the Packers continue their headline-believing malaise, the Lions will beat them and Love will be getting his chance much sooner than people think. Put up or shut up.

  8. Eagles-niners should be a fun game to watch. Hopefully the score is close, but I expect this to be a physical game with a near-playoff intensity. This will be a tough battle for both lines on both teams.

  9. “Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 28, Falcons 3”

    If that were to end up the actual score it would be hilarious. If only Arthur Blank is still in the owner’s box at that point for the cams to get a shot of the look on his face

  10. Bucs over Falcons – Bucs are the better built team and the Falcons looked like they need a lot of work to get it together!

    Saints over Panthers – So hard to really choose… If the Saints get behind and have to rely on passing, they lose… Saint will not win many games throwing so few times and yards like last week… So looking at Winston vs Panthers defense or Darnold vs Saints defense, I give the edge to Saints defense!

  11. Platinum-plus Pick of the Week: Pittsburgh (-5.5) over Las Vegas. The Raiders have four key factors working against them: (1) They’re on a short week; (2) they’re traveling across three time zones, west to east; (3) they won as home ‘dogs Monday night and, historically, teams who win as home ‘dogs have an energy letdown the next week, which ties into (4) the win over the Ravens was an emotional win, which will lead to an emotional letdown this week. The Steelers will cover easily, 27-14.
    I am not a Steelers fan but live in Pittsburgh. I heard on sports radio yesterday that Roethlsiburger and Tomlin’s worst record against a team other than New England is the Raiders. I expect the Steelers to win this game, but weird things happen when those squads play. They even have a statue of one of those events in the airport.

  12. The media blames everything on Tua. That gets a lot of internet hits but is misleading. The media overlooked how good the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins were on defense in last Sundays game. The Dolphins will change the media narrative against the Bills this Sunday with a win and some big time offense!

  13. thefootballgodssay says:

    NY GIANTS 20
    washington 17

    I seem to recall you predicting a similar Giants win against the Broncos last week.

  14. Between the two of you one upset was picked. Why bother picking the games? Just say ” I’ll take all the favorites”

  15. Miami escaped a game they should have lost? They led the entire game, beat the Pats AND the refs at home. What am I missing here?

  16. The good news here is that the NFC North teams can’t lose all of their games this weekend. They can’t win them all either, however.

  17. Eagles will beat the 49ers because of the long cross-country trip the 49ers have to make. Sometimes it’s that simple.

  18. Geez, do the Ravens even have enough players to have a full roster? Seems like they lose 3 or 4 players each week to injuries. If the Chiefs jump out to 10 point lead in the 1st quarter its going to be a very long day for Lamar. Chiefs D could end up ranked in the top 3 after Sunday if Lamar has to throw more than 25 times on Sunday.

  19. Lock of the week: Pats 31 Jets 9 this will be an ugly beating for the Jets look for Agholor and Harris to get a lot of yards and for Zach Wilson to throw multiple picks.
    Upset of the week: Eagles over the 49ers 27 to 23 I have Jimmy G struggling in the first half of this one enough for the Iggles to get the win.

  20. 49er’s not making a long cross country trip this week. They stayed in eastern time zone(West Virginia) after the Detroit game. Sometimes it’s that simple.

  21. NFC West 8-0 by Monday. I can’t wait to watch the in division games between all four teams this year.

  22. Ok everybody! I wouldnt read too much into the popular theory about teams coming across the country and being affected by jet lag! If that team is well focused and prepared you can throw that theory out the window! With that being said,I like the Raiders to win…..Not sure who said it but he was dead right about Love starting sooner than later if Aaron Rogers and the Pack lay another egg!!!…Dallas and The Chargers will be the game of the week but I have the Chargers beating the Boys in a close thriller!

  23. There has still never been a better 3 team race than the 1985-6 AFC East. After 14 games:

    Miami 10 4
    NY Jets 10 4
    New Eng 10 4

  24. The Dolphins should have lost the game against NE?! Huh?! NE was given a gift with that pick. They also were given a gift with that horrible roughing the passer call that led NE to their TD instead of an attempted FG. So give me a break that NE shld have won that gm. No.

  25. Haden and Bush are out for the Steelers and Ben has a 2-5 record against the Raiders. Hard to pick the Steelers with that in mind.

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