Tom Brady likely to break NFL passing yardage record in Week Four in New England

NFL: SEP 19 Falcons at Buccaneers
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Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady is closing in on the NFL record for career passing yardage, and he’s likely to break it when he returns to New England in two weeks on Sunday Night Football.

Brady currently has 79,859 career passing yards, meaning he needs exactly 500 yards to break the all-time record of 80,358 yards, held by Drew Brees.

Through two games this season, Brady is averaging 327.5 passing yards a game, so if he continues at approximately that pace, he’d break the record in Week Four, when he makes his much-anticipated return to New England to play the Patriots.

The career passing yardage record changed hands from Brett Favre to Peyton Manning in 2015 and from Manning to Brees in 2018, so with Brady poised to break it in 2021, it’s been broken every three years. But once Brady breaks the record, he’s going to own it for many, many years. Brady is showing no signs of slowing down, so he’ll likely add many thousands of passing yards to the record, and no one else is particularly close: Ben Roethlisberger, who’s second behind Brady among active players, is almost 20,000 yards behind Brady.

This is a record Brady will likely still own when he’s inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame years from now, and it’s a record he’s likely to break in the most-anticipated game of this NFL season.

52 responses to “Tom Brady likely to break NFL passing yardage record in Week Four in New England

  1. Just imagine if BB provided Brady with receivers not scrounged from bargain bins all those years. But at least we can still witness greatness, enduring drive for excellence, and will to win for at least this year. We are lucky to grow old and older watching Brady. We are seeing something that we probably won’t see again for years to come. Hopefully there’s still You Tube when we feel nostalgic.

  2. This is always an interesting stat category, because it doesn’t include playoff games (played against the best teams in the league) where Brady leads all others by over 5,000 yards (12,449 total). While he typically isn’t a personal stats guy, it would/will be a nice crowning achievement for him to be able to have the NE crowd share the moment.

  3. What remains to be seen is what the Patriots will do to acknowledge it if it were to occur on that day. I know Brady is the competition now, but I see no scenario in which Kraft and the organization wouldn’t respect and honor the situation from a guy who was so instrumental in giving the region the greatest run in NFL history.

  4. Not that Belichick is much of a “look ahead” kind of person, but I bet he has been thinking about the Brady game (week 4) for a while. Tampa Bay looks strong. I think that is the game where the Patriots will loosen the reins on Mac Jones. I am hoping for a close/exciting season highlight kind of game (to match the storyline).

  5. Legend. Its gonna be weird watching him go up against my Patriots. I want my team to win, but its still nice seeing Brady crushing it.

  6. If anyone else played as long as he has, they would be breaking these records too. Basically all he has to do it outlive everyone else to claim all the NFL records.

  7. If it holds true and he does Break the mark at Foxborough, what are the chances the game being stopped and honoring it? My guess is about zero, other than flashing it on the big board.

    As a Pats fan it will certainly be bittersweet in two weeks but I hope Brady does break the record, and the Pats, led by Mac Jones upset the Bucs 30 to 27 where it matters 😜

  8. One passing record that will stand forever is Favre’s career interception record. That will, literally, stand for as long as the game of football exists.

  9. turkeycreekjackjohnson says:
    September 21, 2021 at 7:25 am
    What remains to be seen is what the Patriots will do to acknowledge it if it were to occur on that day. I know Brady is the competition now, but I see no scenario in which Kraft and the organization wouldn’t respect and honor the situation from a guy who was so instrumental in giving the region the greatest run in NFL history.

    ——————————-
    You thinking they should stop the game and hold a ceremony right there? Live band? Podium?

  10. Imagine that, do you really think this hasn’t been thought out via the schedule maker?? The NFL is so predictable anymore.
    Only thing better would be him not breaking it in NE.

  11. RE LEE says:
    September 21, 2021 at 6:33 am

    Just imagine if BB provided Brady with receivers not scrounged from bargain bins all those years.

    ——————-

    Yeah, he might not have been able to assemble the rest of the roster that won SBs because too much was allocated for non “scrounged” WRs. But hey, at least Brady would have had bigger numbers!

    Stats are for losers.

  12. 400marios says:
    September 21, 2021 at 8:04 am

    One passing record that will stand forever is Favre’s career interception record. That will, literally, stand for as long as the game of football exists.

    ===================================

    Jameis Winston: Hold my beer….

  13. GreenLargo says:
    September 21, 2021 at 8:08 am
    turkeycreekjackjohnson says:
    September 21, 2021 at 7:25 am
    What remains to be seen is what the Patriots will do to acknowledge it if it were to occur on that day. I know Brady is the competition now, but I see no scenario in which Kraft and the organization wouldn’t respect and honor the situation from a guy who was so instrumental in giving the region the greatest run in NFL history.

    ——————————-
    You thinking they should stop the game and hold a ceremony right there? Live band? Podium?

    ————————
    Not at all.

    Respectfully acknowledge it with a prepared statement. Not a lengthy pause of the game. I’m sure there will be a long ovation and all of that, and Brady is the type to remember that there’s a football game and each side is trying to win it.

    Then, get back to the game.

  14. Other records Brady is likely to break or progress in this year:

    1. Games played by a non-kicker (will pass Jerry Rice with first snap in the Rams game);
    2. With the first snap of the Rams game, Brady will also pass Vinnie Testaverde to become the tenth-oldest person ever to play. Of the nine ahead of him, 5 were pure kickers, 1 came out of retirement to start (and lose) one game, 1 played in the early 1920s, and didn’t start playing until he’d turned 40, 1 (John Nesser) played 2 games in 1921, one as starting qb in a loss, and one as guard, and 1 (Blanda)had been both a quarterback and a kicker, but didn’t start a game after 41 and threw a grand total of 22 passes (7 completions for a 31.8% average) over the four seasons he played after he turned 44. He was used almost exclusively as a kicker;
    3. Passing yardage (likely in the New England game);
    4. Career regular season completions (likely by the end of the season); and
    5. Sacks taken (even then, his average sacks per games started is lower than all but two HOF’ers or maybe gonnabe HOF’ers).

    Yeah, this is a watershed year for him. He can still break other records, but he’ll have to come back for a season or three to do that. That’s one reason I think he might keep playing, although I really do believe he’s playing for love of the game.

  15. If anyone else played as long as he has, they would be breaking these records too. Basically all he has to do it outlive everyone else to claim all the NFL records.
    ————————

    Name any sport where an individual holds an all-time cumulative record that has not played a ton of years.

  16. raiderdave0109 says:

    September 21, 2021 at 7:58 am

    If anyone else played as long as he has, they would be breaking these records too. Basically all he has to do it outlive everyone else to claim all the NFL records
    ————
    That’s the whole point genius which is the case with any career achievements. It’s about not only playing at a high caliber for years but being able to play for that long as well since just because someone wants to play doesnt mean their good enough to continue to play for as many years as he has.

  17. Be interesting to see how Brady fares against the Rams D…. They have to go to west coast then back to Florida then travel up to New England so they could be a little tired/warn down when they come to the Razor… Pats will be home those two weeks & their road trip to Jets the week before was just a hop skip & a jump to go to…. Could be a factor!!!
    Go Pats!!!

  18. Not when Bill breaks out the new 2-5-4 defense…the buccs may set a single game rushing record…but Brady won’t be the yardage leader on Belicheck’s watch…no way Jose!!!

  19. “If anyone else played as long as he has, they would be breaking these records too. Basically all he has to do it outlive everyone else to claim all the NFL records”

    This is a great point…as more games are added to a season…almost every record will be up for grabs…except Emmitt Smith’s total carries and total rushing yards records…which makes him the GOAT among non-QBs!!!

  20. Longevity counts. I never thought much of it- see Yastrzemski, Carl for a good MLB example. He achieved his HOF stats by staying around for a long time but…he was also a terrific player and his ability to avoid a serious injury has to factor in.

  21. dw11 says:
    September 21, 2021 at 8:49 am
    Name any sport where an individual holds an all-time cumulative record that has not played a ton of years.
    Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

    Which is exactly why he’s the Luckiest Of All Time.

  22. GreenLargo says:
    September 21, 2021 at 8:08 am
    turkeycreekjackjohnson says:
    September 21, 2021 at 7:25 am
    What remains to be seen is what the Patriots will do to acknowledge it if it were to occur on that day. I know Brady is the competition now, but I see no scenario in which Kraft and the organization wouldn’t respect and honor the situation from a guy who was so instrumental in giving the region the greatest run in NFL history.

    ——————————-
    You thinking they should stop the game and hold a ceremony right there? Live band? Podium?

    ______________________

    Well they did for Drew in New Orleans. That said, Brady is not an individual stats kind of player, he won’t want it stopped.

  23. goodellisaclown says:
    September 21, 2021 at 8:11 am
    RE LEE says:
    September 21, 2021 at 6:33 am

    Just imagine if BB provided Brady with receivers not scrounged from bargain bins all those years.

    ——————-

    Yeah, he might not have been able to assemble the rest of the roster that won SBs because too much was allocated for non “scrounged” WRs. But hey, at least Brady would have had bigger numbers!

    Stats are for losers.

    ———
    Tampa Bay appears to have put together some great players on defense as well. Perhaps BB just isn’t as good a GM as he is a coach

  24. raiderdave0109 says:
    “If anyone else played as long as he has, they would be breaking these records too. Basically all he has to do it outlive everyone else to claim all the NFL records.”

    ———–

    The problem is that if you don’t play at a high level, you would not have a job no matter how long you want to play. Being available at a high level for long time is a already great achievement in itself but winning championship along the way is called Brady-esque.

  25. This Bucs squad is loaded, if they make it through the season healthy, it could be number 8 for the GOAT.
    Lifelong Pats fan and it’s sorta bittersweet, but Brady wouldn’t of gotten #7 in NE last season and this season’s NE team isn’t close either had he still been with the Pats. Brady will prolly look back one day and thank Belichick for not paying him to end his career in NE. Dude always lands on his feet and now he’s in the best situation possible, AGAIN. It’s insane how good Brady really is.

  26. stellarperformance says:
    September 21, 2021 at 9:16 am
    dw11 says:
    September 21, 2021 at 8:49 am
    Name any sport where an individual holds an all-time cumulative record that has not played a ton of years.
    Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

    Which is exactly why he’s the Luckiest Of All Time.

    —————

    You do realize that no one at all, anywhere, thinks this about any athlete who has achieved long-term success? Here, let me help you out of the grumpy sandbox you’re clearly in all alone:

    Michael Jordan – just lucky
    Derek Jeter – mostly lucky
    Wayne Gretzky – lucked out big time

    See how insane that sounds? Know why?

    Because it is.

  27. raiderdave0109 says:

    September 21, 2021 at 7:58 am

    If anyone else played as long as he has, they would be breaking these records too. Basically all he has to do it outlive everyone else to claim all the NFL records

    ______________________________________________________________________________________________

    Raider Dave is apparently too young to remember George Blanda.

  28. Bucs pass defense has struggled with consistency so far. That is really that team’s only weakness. If that gets even slightly better, I don’t know who beats this team. Not when the offense is scoring like this. Going back to last season the Bucs have scored 30 or more points in 9 straight games. That stretch is already an NFL record.

  29. Tom is going to humiliate Bill. Shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone. Bill’s record without Tom = 54-60. No better than Rex Ryan’s record.

  30. “Not when Bill breaks out the new 2-5-4 defense…”

    What you think Brady hasn’t seen that sort of thing in both in practice against the Pat’s D and when Bill has done it to opposing teams during Tom’s years with the Pats?

    There’s nothing new about it, Brady has seen it as much as anyone has, and he won’t be fooled.

  31. Including postseason Brady will likely wrap up his career with over (maybe well over) 100,000 passing yards. Ridiculous.

  32. It’s a TRAP! says:
    September 21, 2021 at 7:58 am

    Mahomes: hold my beer…

    —————————————————————-

    Pretty crazy to think that Mahomes could throw for 5000 yards a year for the next 14 seasons and he would probably still fall short

  33. Nobody does schmaltz like Boston’s sports fans. I’m sure the standing ovation Brady receives BEFORE the kickoff will be epic, rivaling memorable Boston Garden and Fenway park tributes to heroes of yore.

  34. Brady is carving up the NFL at 44 while the Manning’s are on MNF in rocking chairs and some fools years ago thought Peyton was better. Brady is not only better than Peyton he makes Peyton look like a bum.

    Brady 7 Manning’s combined 4

  35. No Matter what Belichick and Brady accomplish there will always be excuse makers whiners and haters. It is what happens when a Dynasty that is dominant for 20 years and crushes the dreams of multiple teams and their loser fans who whine and cry.

    Ignore all the sore loser and media driven drivel Patriots fans.
    We had the GOAT Coach and GOAT QB for 20 years. ignore what idiots say.

  36. dsigrey says:
    September 21, 2021 at 9:21 am
    GreenLargo says:
    September 21, 2021 at 8:08 am
    turkeycreekjackjohnson says:
    September 21, 2021 at 7:25 am
    What remains to be seen is what the Patriots will do to acknowledge it if it were to occur on that day. I know Brady is the competition now, but I see no scenario in which Kraft and the organization wouldn’t respect and honor the situation from a guy who was so instrumental in giving the region the greatest run in NFL history.

    ——————————-
    You thinking they should stop the game and hold a ceremony right there? Live band? Podium?

    ++++++++++

    Maybe a repeat of what they did for Brees when he broke the record ……….

    The game was paused in the second quarter after Brees completed a 62-yard touchdown pass to wide receiver Tre’Quan Smith to allow for recognition of the accomplishment, which came in the quarterback’s 18th NFL season.

    Brees was immediately enveloped by his teammates in a joyful hug, then he pointed to the home crowd while Pro Football Hall of Fame President David Baker took possession of the football used on the play. Brees’s next move was to the sideline, where his wife, children and Saints Coach Sean Payton awaited emotional embraces.

  37. It should be quite a moment. There would seem to be very little doubt that Boston fans will be anxious to show appreciation where it has been earned (including RK). The interesting part may be whether BB enjoys the moment as a fan of the game, or whether he proceeds “on to the next down” in traditional fashion.

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