PFT’s NFL Week Six 2021 picks

Indianapolis Colts v Baltimore Ravens
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Football teams are always looking for consistency. I’ve achieved it.

I’m consistently mediocre.

For yet another week, I was 10-6 when picking games straight up. MDS, in contrast, hit on 12 of 16 games.

For the year, I’m at 49-31. MDS is 48-32.

This week, we disagree on three games. For all of the selections, you know what to do.

Buccaneers (-7.5) at Eagles

MDS’s take: Tom Brady and the Buccaneers are, at least in the regular season, playing even better than they did last year. They’ll cruise in Philadelphia.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 30, Eagles 20.

Florio’s take: The Eagles are still figuring out who they are. The Bucs know.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 34, Eagles 21.

Dolphins (-3.5) at Jaguars

MDS’s take: Another garbage game for the London fans. I don’t think I’d pick the Jaguars to beat anyone right now, but if there’s one team they could beat, it would be the Dolphins.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 21, Jaguars 20.

Florio’s take: Florida has one of the best teams in football, and two of the worst. The loser of their London date officially becomes the Sunshine State’s unofficial slug. I can’t believe I’m doing this, but I think the Jaguars will finally get a long-awaited win.

Florio’s pick: Jaguars 23, Dolphins 20.

Texans (+9.5) at Colts

MDS’s take: I was impressed with Texans quarterback Davis Mills last week against the Patriots, and I think he’ll do the same thing this week: Play reasonably well, but not well enough for the overmatched Texans to win.

MDS’s pick: Colts 28, Texans 21.

Florio’s take: Can the Colts put Monday night’s loss behind them? They should find encouragement in their showing, and they should start of process of trying to catch the Titans.

Florio’s pick: Colts 35, Texans 17.

Packers (-4.5) at Bears

MDS’s take: This is a very big game in the NFC North, where a Packers win would give Green Bay a stranglehold on the division. I think the Packers will do it.

MDS’s pick: Packers 24, Bears 14.

Florio’s take: Somehow, the Bears are 3-2. Somehow, a win over the Packers would put them in first place in the division. It will take a lot more than “somehow” for that to happen.

Florio’s pick: Packers 28, Bears 20.

Chiefs (-7) at Washington

MDS’s take: The Chiefs’ offense is the best in the league and their defense is the worst. I think the great offense is sustainable, while the defense should regress toward the mean a little bit, and the Chiefs will look better the rest of the way than they have through five games.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 34, Washington 20.

Florio’s take: The Chiefs’ three losses have come against 4-1 teams. Here’s a chance to get right.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 38, Washington 21.

Vikings (-1) at Panthers

MDS’s take: The Vikings have been better than their record suggests and the Panthers have been worse.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 24, Panthers 20.

Florio’s take: This one may come down to whether Christian McCaffrey can play. Even if he can, defenses seem to be catching up with Sam Darnold in the Joe Brady offense.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 27, Panthers 21.

Chargers (+3) at Ravens

MDS’s take: I love the way Justin Herbert is playing right now, and I think the Ravens’ pass defense is suspect. Look for Herbert to have a very big game.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 31, Ravens 28.

Florio’s take: The Ravens finally figured out how to drive a stick shift on Monday night, when they had no choice but to pass their way back into the game against the Colts. The Chargers are very good, but something’s gotta give.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 30, Chargers 28.

Bengals (-3.5) at Lions

MDS’s take: The Lions play hard and stay competitive, but they just don’t have the talent on their roster. While the Lions just start to rebuild, the Bengals are already on the way to a successful rebuilding effort.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 28, Lions 23.

Florio’s take: Dan Campbell’s show of emotion won him many admirers. He still needs to win a game. It will be not easy to do that against an underrated Bengals team.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 28, Lions 20.

Rams (-10.5) at Giants

MDS’s take: Matthew Stafford is continuing to play at a very high level in Sean McVay’s offense, and I think he’ll keep it up against a Giants defense that just can’t get pressure on opposing quarterbacks.

MDS’s pick: Rams 33, Giants 21.

Florio’s take: The Giants are too banged up, and the Rams are too good.

Florio’s pick: Rams 38, Giants 20.

Cardinals (+2.5) at Browns

MDS’s take: The Browns are favored, but I like the way the Cardinals’ offense is playing well enough that I’m going to pick them to stay undefeated with a big road win.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 28, Browns 27.

Florio’s take: It’s double-correction Sunday. The Browns should be better than 3-2. They will be on Sunday.

Florio’s pick: Browns 24, Cardinals 17.

Raiders (+3.5) at Broncos

MDS’s take: How will the Raiders do in the first game of the post-Jon Gruden era? Not well, in my view.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 30, Raiders 17.

Florio’s take: The Raiders are reeling. The Broncos are, too, but for far different reasons.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 24, Raiders 13.

Cowboys (-4) at Patriots

MDS’s take: The Patriots barely escaped with a win over the Texans last week. The other Texas team isn’t going to take it so easy on them.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 34, Patriots 27.

Florio’s take: America’s Team 1.0 gets the better of America’s Team 2.0, and the Pats fall to a stunning 0-4 at home.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 31, Patriots 23.

Seahawks (+4.5) at Steelers

MDS’s take: It’s Geno Smith vs. Ben Roethlisberger, and I’m not sure who the better quarterback is. But the Steelers have the better defense, and that will make the difference.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 20, Seahawks 10.

Florio’s take: The Pittsburgh offense isn’t good, but the Seattle defense is worse. And even though Geno Smith played well last Thursday night, he’s a career backup for a reason.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 23, Seahawks 14.

Bills (-6) at Titans

MDS’s take: The Bills’ defense is dominating everyone it faces, and that won’t change this week.

MDS’s pick: Bills 28, Titans 14.

Florio’s take: The Bills remain the only dominant team in the NFL. They’ll still be the only dominant team in the NFL come Tuesday.

Florio’s pick: Bills 34, Titans 17.

40 responses to “PFT’s NFL Week Six 2021 picks

  1. Florio’s take: It’s double-correction Sunday. The Browns should be better than 3-2. They will be on Sunday.

    Florio’s pick: Browns 24, Cardinals 17.>>>

    Funny how badly some folks want AZ to lose. Though I don’t disagree this time.

  2. The Seahawks could start Jake Luton and still have the better QB vs. the Steelers, but it still wouldn’t matter. Big Ben carving up their defense will be embarrassing.

  3. Florio’s pick: Browns 24, Cardinals 17.>>>

    Funny how badly some folks want AZ to lose. Though I don’t disagree this time.


    Maybe some folks want CLE to win. Go Browns!

  4. Dolphins (-3.5) at Jaguars

    This game should be pay per view, that way we would know that nobody would watch it.

  5. It’s going to get trendy to pick against the Raiders, but they’ll regroup and whip Denver, despite what Florio and MDS think.

  6. Bucs over Eagles – both teams moving in the right direction but the Bucs are more talented and ready for the challenge…

    Panthers over Viking – I see these teams as about equal so go with home field advantage..

  7. Gotta say I don’t know who KC, Arizona and the Vikings really are yet? It’s only week 6 but these teams you just don’t have a pulse on yet.

  8. Did someone say “Big Ben carving up their defense…” LMAO!!!! Are you thinking this is 2011? Big Ben can’t even carve a Thanksgiving turkey anymore.

  9. “The Vikings are better than their record suggests.” That perfectly summarizes the Zimmer era.

  10. If the Jaguars can knock off the Dolphs in London, they’ll be winning one for the home-town fans. Or at least, it seems like it. If the Cowboys can claim to be “America’s team,” can we at least say the Jags are the UK’s team?

  11. The Dolphins need a great offensive line coach . They draft really good offensive linemen but their offensive line is one of the worst in the NFL . Really good offensive line coaches can take undrafted and late round draft picks and make a really good offensive line out of them.

  12. Ravens/Chargers could be another super exciting game that raises the collective blood pressure among Ravens fans everywhere. We’re getting used to this sort of thing.

    Ravens 33
    Chargers 27

    Rams are the Survivor pick this week.

  13. I love it when nobody gives the Titans a chance. It is exactly when they show up as the better team.

  14. I would take the Raiders this week. They will be running high on adrenaline and emotion this week. It’s the next 11 games I would be worried about them.

  15. This is one of the very few times I’ll be rooting for Lamar and the Ravens. Whip the Bolts.

  16. jjackwagon says:
    October 14, 2021 at 12:39 pm

    Did someone say “Big Ben carving up their defense…” LMAO!!!! Are you thinking this is 2011? Big Ben can’t even carve a Thanksgiving turkey anymore.

    Joke all you want, the Steelers are a proud team. I see Ben going 300+ passing yards and 3 TDs.

  17. I think Carolina will beat the Vikes and Packers/Bears will be much closer than expected. Unfortunately.

  18. Using the word ‘dominant’ or ‘dominating’ to describe the Bills is overblown.
    The game against the Titans is their first against a team with a winning record. Buffalo should be steamrolling their opposition because they’ve mostly played overmatched opponents who are terrible, Washington, Houston, and Miami, or teams that have critical deficiencies – Pittsburgh and KC – and they lost one of those games.
    Looking at their schedule it’s easy to project the Bills capturing the #1 seed in the AFC with a win total that will be likely higher 13, but whether they’re actually a ‘dominating’ team?
    That won’t be answered until January.

  19. The Ravens defense has played poorly every game except the Denver game. If this turns into a shoot out I’m not sure the Ravens can keep up. Lamar and Justin Tucker may finally run out of miracles.

    Chargers 34
    Ravens 28

  20. Cowboys 27 Patriots 23 It will be closer than expected but Prescott looks like a top 3 QB and the Dallas Defense is miles ahead of where they were week 1. Jones should do well but the defense will get gashed early.

  21. I’m not yet ready to trust the Ravens defense. Spotty coverage coupled with atrocious tackling gives Justin all the opportunities to hang a 40 bomb. Lamar and company will valiantly try and stay close, but ultimately ball security will bring the Ravens back down to earth.

    Chargers – 42
    Ravens – 35

  22. Patriots have never been anywhere close to “Americas team” now or the past 50 years, people only tuned in to try and say: I watched to see if they will lose to team X

  23. Look I’m a Ravens fan, but I’m also a realist. 15+ on IR, 29th ranked pass defense, LBs that are playing horribly. Lamar’s going to have to be Superman again in this game for the Ravens to pull it off. Might need to go back to the running game to try and control the clock. The Chargers have mismatches all over the field against this Ravens D. The Ravens have been the cardiac kids this year though. We shall see. I will be there live!

  24. Florio is 2-3 on the 5-0 Cardinals, predicting obvious wins against only Minn and Jacksonville, but still isn’t convinced.

  25. What kind of odds would I get on Urban Meyer not being on the Jaguars flight home from London?

  26. Platinum Pick of the Week: Bills (-6) over the Titans. The Bills are dominant and they’re enjoying their dominance, savoring every minute. So there will be no letdown after their beatdown of the Chiefs. They will bludgeon Tennessee. Bills 35, Titans 17.

  27. dspyank2k11 says:
    October 14, 2021 at 2:28 pm
    Patriots have never been anywhere close to “Americas team” now or the past 50 years, people only tuned in to try and say: I watched to see if they will lose to team X

    Best team and dynasty of your lifetime though.

  28. Not a great matchup for Bills. If Titans can sustain drives and keep Allen off field, could be a grind. Titans by a FG in a low scoring game.

  29. The Bills are #1 in points for, #1 in points against, #1 in DVOA, #1 in FPI, #1 in ELO. They’ve won four straight games by a combined score of 156-41. That’s domination, pure and simple.

    The reason the “weak schedule” argument is meaningless is because they’re blowing teams out in a way no one else is.

    If it was that easy to blow out bad teams, every good team would have a +108 point differential.

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