PFT’s NFL Week Eight 2021 picks

Wild Card Round - Cleveland Browns v Pittsburgh Steelers
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The lead is now three.

I picked up a game on MDS last week, with our one disagreement going my way. (Thank you, Colts.)

For Week Seven, I went 10-3. MDS finished 9-4.

For the year, I’m at 70-37. MDS is now 67-40.

This week, we disagree on four games. Check out all of our picks below.

Packers (+6.5) at Cardinals

MDS’s take: This looked like the greatest Thursday Night Football game ever until the Packers lost their top two wide receivers to the COVID-19 list. Now it looks like a game the Cardinals should win comfortably. I think the Packers will compete well under the circumstances, but ultimately fall short.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 24, Packers 21.

Florio’s take: The Packers are 6-0 after the last two years without Davante Adams. Make that 7-0, just like the Cardinals will be until Thursday’s game ends.

Florio’s pick: Packers 28, Cardinals 23.


Dolphins (+14) at Bills

MDS’s take: The Bills’ defense is going to destroy Tua Tagovailoa. This could be ugly.

MDS’s pick: Bills 27, Dolphins 3.

Florio’s take: “Tua Tagovailoa was our quarterback.”

Florio’s pick: Bills 34, Dolphins 13.


Panthers (+3) at Falcons

MDS’s take: It’s amazing how far the Panthers have fallen, and how fast. They are heading in the wrong direction, and if Sam Darnold can’t turn things around in a hurry, his 2022 salary of $18.9 million is going to start looking like a millstone for the team’s rebuilding efforts.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 28, Panthers 21.

Florio’s take: If David Tepper picked stocks like he picks quarterbacks, he would have never made enough money to buy even a copy of the Madden game.

Florio’s pick: Falcons 30, Panthers 24.


Eagles (-3) at Lions

MDS’s take: I like how hard Dan Campbell has his team playing, but right now he just doesn’t have the personnel. They’ll play hard but come up short. Again.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 17, Lions 10.

Florio’s take: The 2008 Lions can stop hoping that the 2021 Lions will render them a footnote to history.

Florio’s pick: Lions 24, Eagles 16.


Titans (+1) at Colts

MDS’s take: If the Titans win this game, they go from favorites to win the AFC South to overwhelming favorites to win the AFC South. I think they’ll do it.

MDS’s pick: Titans 27, Colts 21.

Florio’s take: It’s the de facto AFC South championship game, if Tennessee wins. Although they lost to the Jets, the Colts will have the full focus of the Titans.

Florio’s pick: Titans 27, Colts 20.


Rams (-14.5) at Texans

MDS’s take: The Texans are packing it in on this season. I don’t see them keeping it close.

MDS’s pick: Rams 38, Texans 13.

Florio’s take: Cal McNair currently has the team that he deserves.

Florio’s pick: Rams 42, Texans 14.


Bengals (-10.5) at Jets

MDS’s take: It’s amazing how dominant the Bengals have been in the last couple weeks. Zac Taylor deserves a ton of credit. I think he’s going to keep it going against a Jets team that is a huge mess and now can’t even accomplish its one goal of developing rookie quarterback Zach Wilson.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 31, Jets 17.

Florio’s take: The Bengals are good enough to beat great teams, and good enough to not stumble and fall against bad teams.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 35, Jets 17.


Steelers (+3.5) at Browns

MDS’s take: The Steelers have never been the worst team in the AFC North. Until this year.

MDS’s pick: Browns 28, Steelers 21.

Florio’s take: As evidenced by his comments from Tuesday about the USC job, Mike Tomlin is not messing around this week. His team won’t be either.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 27, Browns 24.


49ers (-4) at Bears

MDS’s take: Neither Kyle Shanahan nor Matt Nagy has done a good job this season with balancing the needs of developing their rookie quarterbacks with the desire to win now. But I think Shanahan’s team is in somewhat better shape.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 21, Bears 17.

Florio’s take: A win by the 49ers will simply delay the inevitable. They’ll still get a win.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 27, Bears 21.


Jaguars (+3) at Seahawks

MDS’s take: I’m tempted to pick the Jaguars to pull the upset on the theory that Trevor Lawrence is already a better quarterback than Geno Smith has ever been. But I just can’t quite see the Jaguars going to Seattle and winning.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 21, Jaguars 20.

Florio’s take: The low-water mark of the Pete Carroll era has arrived. It gets a little lower on Sunday, when a couple of former Carroll assistants who know how to beat the Seattle defense come to town with a defense that is good enough to contain Geno Smith and company.

Florio’s pick: Jaguars 23, Seahawks 20.


Patriots (+5.5) at Chargers

MDS’s take: The Patriots will be competitive but ultimately come up short, with Justin Herbert leading a fourth-quarter comeback.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 27, Patriots 24.

Florio’s take: The Chargers had extra time to get ready for this one, and extra incentive to make amends for last year’s 45-0 loss to the Patriots, who will wish they had saved some of the 54 they scored in Week Seven for this one.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 30, Patriots 23.


Washington (+3) at Broncos

MDS’s take: Both of these teams are desperate to turn things around, and I think the Broncos are just a little bit closer.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 23, Washington 21.

Florio’s take: Ron Rivera gets another crack at the team that kept him from winning a Super Bowl, with a team that isn’t nearly as good as the one he had in 2015.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 24, Washington 17.


Buccaneers (-5) at Saints

MDS’s take: The Saints struggled to put points on the board against a bad Seahawks defense on Monday night. It won’t be any easier against a good Buccaneers defense on Sunday.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 20, Saints 10.

Florio’s take: Jameis Winston isn’t the answer. Tom Brady is.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 27, Saints 17.


Cowboys (-1) at Vikings

MDS’s take: Look for Dak Prescott to have a big night in a Cowboys win that’s more lopsided than expected.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 31, Vikings 20.

Florio’s take: I’ll reserve the right to change this on Sunday night, if Dak Prescott can’t play. With Dak, the Cowboys are in a different class than the Vikings.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 28, Vikings 24.


Giants (+9.5) at Chiefs

MDS’s take: The Chiefs just have to turn things around eventually, don’t they? I’ll pick them to blow out the Giants.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 40, Giants 14.

Florio’s take: The Chiefs are good enough to beat the bad teams, but they’ve currently lost their ability to beat the good ones.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 38, Giants 17.

35 responses to “PFT’s NFL Week Eight 2021 picks

  1. If the Patriots can limit turnovers, they have a real shot to upset the Chargers who can’t stop the run.

  2. Florio’s take: The Packers are 6-0 after the last two years without Davante Adams. Make that 7-0, just like the Cardinals will be until Thursday’s game ends.

    Florio’s pick: Packers 28, Cardinals 23.>>>>

    This is what I came for. Keep picking against AZ. When will the media types stop being bothered by this team’s clear dominance this year?

  3. Packers fan here. We lose 38-17 tonight. It’ll be midway through the 3rd quarter when the levees break and Kyler Murray just goes off on a battered and bruised Packers defense and buries us for good.

  4. Lions have been losing but playing opponents tough! Eagles would be smart not to over look these Lions!

  5. Giants (+9.5) at Chiefs

    MDS’s take: The Chiefs just have to turn things around eventually, don’t they? I’ll pick them to blow out the Giants.

    MDS’s pick: Chiefs 40, Giants 14.

    Florio’s take: The Chiefs are good enough to beat the bad teams, but they’ve currently lost their ability to beat the good ones.

    Florio’s pick: Chiefs 38, Giants 17.>>>

    I get it, the Giants are 2-5…but the Chiefs are 3-4 and just got pounded…
    How many bad losses does KC need to suffer before they stopped getting picked to win every week?

  6. I think Florio is going to pick up a couple games this week. Feel like the Packers will beat the Cards and Detroit will grab a win. Also like the Pats for some odd reason.

  7. The wheels are coming off for the Browns this week. They could be the worst 4-3 team in the NFL, not due to their overall talent, but to the incompetence of their Play Caller/ Head Coach. Their Defense cant handle good offenses. They have a head coach that for whatever reason loves to chuck the ball around with below avg QBs, when he has the best running OL, and the 2nd best RB in the NFL in Nick Chubb. It’s truly baffling, how everyone with a clue about football knows what the Browns need to do to win, except the Head Coach who calls the plays.

  8. Who have the Cowboys beaten? Uh the Chargers who are a Top 3 Team in the AFC, and Top 8 team in the NFL. They lost to the best, worst case 2nd best team, in the NFL by 2 points at Tampa. The Vikings arent exactly world beaters. As long as Dak is playing, the Cowboys will destroy the Vikings.

  9. Falcons over Panthers – McCaffery has miss so much time and clearly the offense falls apart without him… The Falcons weak defense will be enough and the Falcons offense can score…

    Bucs over Saints – Bucs are in the top of the NFL teams and the Saints are middle of the pack…. the return of Ingram to compliment Kamara still will not be enough to overcome Winstons deficiencies!

  10. patsfan4lifedynasty says:
    October 28, 2021 at 11:42 am
    If the Patriots can limit turnovers, they have a real shot to upset the Chargers who can’t stop the run.

    ——-
    What at are your thoughts on your own favorite team….your Jets?

  11. ‘Jameis Winston isn’t the answer.’

    At least someone in the media is starting to get it… So many have given this guy every excuse to get a pass and he just keeps on disappointing…. Ian Book should at least be able to hand off the ball or complete screen passes!

  12. Steelers 27 Browns 10. In response to Garrett’s QB graveyard, Roethlisberger is going to put a Replica 1st Energy Stadium in his front yard, because he owns the Browns. 24-3-1 vs the Browns since he has been with the Steelers. Make that 25-3-1 after Sunday

  13. Ravens are off this week, so the only thing I have to add is this:

    The Bengals are the Survivor pick this week, which are words I never thought I’d say.

  14. After watching the Packers D almost blow up my parlay to Taylor Heinicke, the Cardinals will blow the Packers out tonight.

  15. Any team can beat any other team, any given Sunday. Going to be a lot of good games this weekend!

  16. I’m not sure why so many people are dismissing the Packers, they’ve done quite well with injuries all year. The Cardinals will make it close though. Packers 21 Cardinals 20

  17. THIS, in my opinion, is THE game that will decide which way the Patriots will go for the rest of the season.
    Beat the Chargers after slaughtering the Jets. . . playoff bound!(Remember, the Bills haven’t had their Covidiots sabotage their season yet.)
    Lose to the Chargers. . . no playoffs and a slow, continuous development of the team for next year.

  18. howboutthemcowboys2020
    Your logic sucks and/or is not consistent.
    The Viking lost to the Bengals (5-2) by 3 and the Cards (7-0) by 1. And put up very good numbers BTW, and lost on last plays of the game by misses by the kicker.

    “Not world beaters” is what you can call the Cowboys who have padded their stats against the Panthers, Pats, and Giants.

    Expect an upset, REGARDLESS if the might DAK plays. Cousins is more accurate and has almost as good numbers this season.

  19. As much as I dislike the annual celebration by Mercury Morris, I think the Cardinals unbeaten streak ends tonight.

  20. Game of the week: Patriots 31 Chargers 23 With some clock killing running from Harris and a turnover from Herbert the Patriots season gets an adrenaline shot.

    Lock of the week: Bills 41 Dolphins 13 Tua is garbage and Allen will feast on that weak Fins passing defense.

    Upset of the week: Lions 17 Eagles 9 Eagles look like crap and have turned over the ball constantly

  21. Assuming Dak is reasonably healthy, Dallas will win if they can find a way to stop the Vikings’ run game. If they can’t, they’ll be playing from behind all night and the Vikings won’t have to test Diggs.

  22. I dont know, for large portions of the last 4 games Zimmers defense has been dominant.
    Could be a shoot out or a field goal game.
    These two teams most likely will play again later this year.

  23. The Bungles is the Bungles. This is the type game the Bungles blow. Jets at home

  24. Lions get their first win tonight. Eagles are vanilla and predictable on both sides of the ball…Lions play hard and were in most of their games.

  25. This is what I came for. Keep picking against AZ. When will the media types stop being bothered by this team’s clear dominance this year?
    ==========

    You know why no one respects the Birds?

    Take a look at that stadium tonight. Packers home game.

  26. As a dolphins fan, even I have to acknowledge that the team SUCKS. Miami has flat out surrendered to the rest of the NFL and will probably go 1-16 (which should hopefully convince Ross to sell the team, after he fires the coaching and management staffs). The 5% of players who bust their rear ends and want to win cannot carry the 95% who are weak, incompetent, and cowardly.
    Having said that, I`m moving past the rest of the season and looking forward to a possible Burrow vs Murray Super Bowl.

  27. Browns 27 Steelers 17. As overrated as Mayfield is, the Steelers can’t get to a QB who doesn’t have to throw every down. Cleveland’s running game will provide plenty of holes for Chubb and Johnson to run through. Cleveland’s defensive line against a completely new Pittsburgh O-line? Not a good combination.

  28. You know why no one respects the Birds?

    Take a look at that stadium tonight. Packers home game.
    ***********************************************************************
    That tends to happen with a team like Green Bay, whose fans travel very well, against a team who is “new” money in the league. Perhaps if Arizona wins a super bowl or two, their fans would travel well.

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