PFT’s NFL Week 10 2021 picks

Divisional Round - Seattle Seahawks v Green Bay Packers
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Chaos is good for football. It’s not good for those who prognosticate on football.

I bottomed out, with six of 14 games right. MDS went 8-6, narrowing the gap to one game, with half the 2021 contests played.

For the year, I’m at 85-51. MDS is now 84-52.

This week, we disagree on three games. For both of our picks, keep on scrolling.

Ravens (-7.5) at Dolphins

MDS’s take: I don’t think it much matters whether Tua Tagovailoa or Jacoby Brissett starts at quarterback for the Dolphins. Either way, this is just not a good team, and the Ravens should win handily.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 27, Dolphins 14.

Florio’s take: The Dolphins have gotten their win for the month.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 34, Dolphins 13.

Jaguars (+10.5) at Colts

MDS’s take: The Jaguars played their best game of the season, by far, last week against the Bills. I don’t see them winning in Indianapolis, but they’ll keep it closer than most people think.

MDS’s pick: Colts 20, Jaguars 17.

Florio’s take: Was it an aberration or the start of a trend for the Jaguars on Sunday? It won’t be easy to win at Indy, but the spread seems too large.

Florio’s pick: Colts 27, Jaguars 20.

Browns (+1) at Patriots

MDS’s take: This game could have major ramifications in the AFC playoff race, and I believe the Patriots are going to show they’re real contenders with a big win.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 27, Browns 17.

Florio’s take: It would be great if the Patriots had OBJ for this one. New England can likely pull this one off without him.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 24, Browns 20.

Falcons (+10) at Cowboys

MDS’s take: A week ago I would have said the Cowboys were far superior to the Falcons. It didn’t look that way on Sunday, so now I’ll say the Cowboys are only slightly superior to the Falcons.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 23, Falcons 20.

Florio’s take: Week Nine was Correction Sunday. Week 10 will be Resurrection Sunday.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 34, Falcons 20.

Bills (-13) at Jets

MDS’s take: Whoever is starting at quarterback, the Bills’ defense is going to give him a tough day.

MDS’s pick: Bills 24, Jets 13.

Florio’s take: The Jets are about to get sucked into a supersonic engine.

Florio’s pick: Bills 41, Jets 21.

Saints (+3) at Titans

MDS’s take: The Titans’ offense is just fine without Derrick Henry, as Ryan Tannehill, A.J. Brown and Julio Jones will keep things rolling.

MDS’s pick: Titans 27, Saints 17.

Florio’s take: Alvin Kamara‘s knee injury becomes a big problem for a Saints team that already has lost its starting quarterback. The Titans are in an impressive groove, winning five in a row and making a real run at the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

Florio’s pick: Titans 24, Saints 20.

Buccaneers (-10) at Washington

MDS’s take: Washington is one of the league’s more disappointing teams, and even in the NFC, where a mediocre team is sure to make the playoffs, I don’t see Washington getting there. Tampa Bay cruises.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 34, Washington 17.

Florio’s pick: The Bucs were unstoppable after their bye in 2020. With the top seed in their sights, they won’t stumble as they make their push to lay the foundation for two in a row.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 38, Washington 24.

Lions (+9.5) at Steelers

MDS’s take: Ben Roethlisberger has not been good this season, but he’s been a whole lot better than Jared Goff.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 24, Lions 20.

Florio’s take: The Steelers surely will hear it all week from Mike Tomlin after blowing a 14-point lead in the fourth quarter.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 31, Lions 17.

Vikings (+2.5) at Chargers

MDS’s take: Both of these teams are inconsistent and hard to figure out, and on nothing more than a hunch I’ll say the Vikings win this one.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 24, Chargers 17.

Florio’s take: The Vikings are unraveling, one week at a time.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 38, Vikings 34.

Panthers (+10.5) at Cardinals

MDS’s take: Panthers backup P.J. Walker starting in place of Sam Darnold won’t make much of a difference because Darnold was playing like a backup. The Cardinals will cruise either way.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 27, Panthers 10.

Florio’s take: Don’t look now, but David Tepper could decide to do with his coach what he’s been doing with his quarterbacks.

Florio’s pick: Cardinals 30, Panthers 13.

Seahawks (+4.5) at Packers

MDS’s take: With Russell Wilson back and the defense playing a little better, the Seahawks will pull off a surprise in Green Bay.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 20, Packers 17.

Florio’s take: The Seahawks haven’t won in Green Bay since 1999. Aaron Rodgers will channel his frustration or whatever into delivering a win and once again silencing the suddenly-expanding throng of haters.

Florio’s pick: Packers 28, Seahawks 21.

Eagles (+2.5) at Broncos

MDS’s take: Jalen Hurts and DeVonta Smith are showing great chemistry, and I think they’ll have a big game in Denver.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 28, Broncos 21.

Florio’s take: The Broncos find themselves in the unlikely position of contending for the AFC West crown.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 24, Eagles 20.

Chiefs (-2.5) at Raiders

MDS’s take: The AFC West is wide open, and I think the Chiefs may win it even though they really have not been a good football team at all this season.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 27, Raiders 24.

Florio’s take: The Chiefs, slowly but surely, are getting their legs back under them.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 31, Raiders 24.

Rams (-4) at 49ers

MDS’s take: The Rams won’t lay an egg two weeks in a row, and they’ll deliver a big blow to the 49ers’ playoff hopes.

MDS’s pick: Rams 28, 49ers 21.

Florio’s take: Both teams are desperate to win this one. The edge goes to the better overall team.

Florio’s pick: Rams 31, 49ers 24.

25 responses to “PFT’s NFL Week 10 2021 picks

  1. Lions (+9.5) at Steelers

    Getting even a single victory for my beloved Lions looks like it’s about as likely to happen as Mitch McConnell voting for a democrat.

    And to think, just a few short years ago, 9 – 7 just wasn’t good enough. SMH

  2. MDS’s take: The Rams . . . (will) deliver a big blow to the 49ers’ playoff hopes.

    I did a quick double-take when realizing MDS actually used “49ers” and “playoff hopes” in the same sentence.

  3. The Rams won’t lay an egg two weeks in a row, and they’ll deliver a big blow to the 49ers’ playoff hopes.
    When did the 49ers have playoff hopes?

  4. The Ravens and their fans will breathe much more easily tonight than they did for most of Sunday against the Vikings.

    Ravens 33
    Dolphins 14

  5. Cowboys over Falcons – the cowboys loss to the Broncos was demoralizing to the team and I see them focused on redeeming themselves.. Falcons did beat the Saints but the Cowboys are a more well rounded team…

    Titans over the Saints – The Titans are playing good teams well and the Saints just aren’t that good of a team…. Brees was the nucleus of their success…

    Bucs over WFT – Bucs coming off of a much needed bye, resting up getting needed players healthy and the WFT are already looking towards the draft…

    Cardinals over Panthers – Cardinals can win with Murray, Cardinals can win with Colt McCoy… The Panthers are in a nose dive and losing their qb isn’t helping…

  6. It would be great if the Patriots had OBJ for this one.
    No thanks…

  7. Last Sunday was proof ‘any given Sunday’ is a real thing…
    It was sure entertaining seeing so many upsets in one day!

  8. MDS’s take: Jalen Hurts and DeVonta Smith are showing great chemistry, and I think they’ll have a big game in Denver.

    MDS’s pick: Eagles 28, Broncos 21.

    Yup, worked with Prescott and Cooper at home, why not Hurts and Smith in Denver.

  9. The caveat about Green Bay is if Rodgers starts.
    Hhe still has to pass protocol on Saturday, but given that blind eyes have been turned very frequently this season, he’ll say he’s starting.

  10. Platinum Picks of the Week: (1) Bills (-13) over the Jets. Reliably good teams frequently follow a clunker with a superior performance. Last week, the Bills had this season’s ultimate clunker. So, Bills 35, Jets 10. (2) Patriots (-1) over the Browns. With Chubb, Felton and Hunt out and New England’s momentum palpable, this game will give haters of the “Evil Empire” stomach pangs. Patriots 24, Browns 16.

  11. It’s hard enough to pick against the spread…lately, pick-ems are just as challenging. Last week was a great example.

  12. Bills are mad as heck but deliver another clunker but win anyhow because Jets. This really enrages them and they go on an even tear after that than if they started their roll this week.

  13. Browns 24 Patriots 20 This will be close but the Browns defense is no joke and Baker looks great without OBJ I expect that to unfortunately continue this week but the Patriots defense will make it close.

    Lock of the week Bucs over Washington 27 to 21 Heineke played great against the Bucs last year and will do the same here. However look for Fournette and Jones to gash their defense.

    Upset of the week Falcons over Cowboys 31 to 17 Boys looked shaky last week I expect them to do it again this week.

  14. I want to know the ref’s picks.
    The last 3 Chief games … 27 penalties an average 9 penalties per game
    The last 3 Raiders games … 19 penalties an average 6.1 penalties per game
    I would my last dollar that the Raiders will get more penalties than the Chiefs.
    Remember the 2019 Raiders/Chiefs game Chiefs ZERO penalties and Raiders 12 … lol.
    Raiders had more penalty yards than Chiefs had rushing yards.

  15. Christian Barmore will make the Clowns pay for passing him over in the Draft. He will dominate Sunday

  16. I think Rodgers will have one of the best games of his career with the motivation that the world is against him. Packers 38 Rams 10

  17. Florio’s take: Don’t look now, but David Tepper could decide to do with his coach what he’s been doing with his quarterbacks.

    Florio’s pick: Cardinals 30, Panthers 13.>>>

    Bravo for not picking against AZ again. They are legit, like it or not.

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