Underdogs of more than 7 points are 4-1 outright in Weeks 9-10

Baltimore Ravens v Miami Dolphins
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The Dolphins’ win over the Ravens on Thursday Night Football continued an impressive run of success for big underdogs in the NFL.

Underdogs of more than seven points have gone 4-1 in Week Nine and Week 10. Before Week Nine, underdogs of more than seven points were 1-26 this season.

The four big recent upsets:

  • The Dolphins beat the Ravens 22-10 as 7.5-point underdogs.
  • The Broncos beat the Cowboys 30-16 as 10-point underdogs.
  • The Jaguars beat the Bills 9-6 as 14.5-point underdogs.
  • The Titans beat the Rams 28-16 as 7.5-point underdogs.

It’s been a surprising run of upsets. And perhaps a warning for the Colts, Cowboys, Bills, Buccaneers, Steelers and Cardinals, all of whom are favored by more than seven points on Sunday.

7 responses to “Underdogs of more than 7 points are 4-1 outright in Weeks 9-10

  1. Would love some sports wagering history to give context. When was the last time this has ever happened? How many huge upsets per year on average? Why do the referees stand out in my mind more so this year than in any other? Coincidence that legalized wagering coincided with a lower standard for personal fouls being called? Etc.

  2. The Steelers would be wise to take heed of the warning in this article. The Lions should not be taken lightly, for they could be the next addition to this article.

  3. Rams as 7.5 favorites over Titans was an absolute joke. If I gambled (and I never do) I would’ve bought that and nothing but. Tennessee is an awesome team this year, and with all due respect to LA, they maybe can be favored but should not have been more more than 1.5-2.5.

    That Tennessee won should not have been a shock to anyone: they can beat any team in the league.

  4. …just realized the fact that they didn’t have Henry. Okay…maybe 3.5-5.5 underdogs is believable but still, 7.5 dogs to LA made no sense.

  5. Also, no team should ever be a 14.5 dog to any other team. The league isn’t built that way: there is more parity in the NFL than anyone ever wants to admit.

  6. I can’t help but notice that two of those upsets came to teams that had beaten the Vikings the week prior. Kind of frustrating when your team loses a game they should have won to a good team and that team gets blown out by a big underdog the very next week.

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