MVP race becomes as wide open as the playoff chase

New Orleans Saints v Tennessee Titans
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With so many teams in play for playoff berths and no specific franchise dominating, the chase for the 14 slots in the postseason field is wide open. So is the contest for the NFL’s MVP.

Simms and I drafted the current candidates on Wednesday’s PFT Live.

The reality is that the MVP likely will be the quarterback of the team that wins the top seed in the AFC or in the NFC. And if the Titans, who currently are No. 1 in the AFC, pull it off, that makes it more likely that the quarterback of the NFC’s top team — Dak Prescott, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, or Kyler Murray — will be the MVP. Even though Ryan Tannehill should get serious consideration for doing it without Derrick Henry, it would be hard for him to overcome the likes of Prescott, Rodgers, Brady, and Murray.

The updated odds at PointsBet show Josh Allen as the favorite at +300, followed by Brady at +350, Prescott at +550, Matthew Stafford at +850, Rodgers at +900, Lamar Jackson at +1100, and Patrick Mahomes and Murray at +1400.

One last point. If the Patriots continue on their current trajectory, and if they emerge with the No. 1 seed, would rookie quarterback Mac Jones get votes? Probably not in comparison to the quarterback of the NFC’s eventual top seed, but at +20000 (200-1), it’s a tempting wager.

32 responses to “MVP race becomes as wide open as the playoff chase

  1. Why does MVP have to be a QB?

    These qbs need receivers, rbs, defense, ol too and this season all qbs besides Kyler who has been injured have had at least one terrible game..

  2. Given the MVP has almost never gone on to win the Super Bowl, its mainly a consolation prize. Great to get it and all that of course.

    Last player to win the MVP and Super Bowl was Kurt Warner in 1999. Since then 9 MVPs have gone to the Super Bowl and all have lost.

    I’ll take the SB winner please over MVP

  3. If Ravens make the playoffs, with all the injuries they have had, LJ should be MVP. There is no player in the NFL more important to his team’s success than LJ.

  4. Depending on who ends up with a better record, it’s either Aaron or Kyler’s. Dak will get comeback player.

  5. Should have two awards: Offensive MVP and Defensive MVP. Right now the MVP award always goes offense anyway, and this pedantic nuance between MVP and offensive player of the year is dumb.

  6. I don’t see how Rodgers, a guy who’s antics literally cost them TWO games so far should be under consideration. Not only for incredible lack of leadership, but it’s no different than throwing 5 picks in one game. as in his choices lead to direct losses.

  7. Dak will get it. He and Brady will fight for garbage time stats. Those 2 do more work up or down 17 points than anyone in NFL history.

  8. Jalen Hurts is powering the Eagles toward a playoff berth. He should definitely be in there for consideration.

  9. Don’t forget Lamar. He has improved considerably as a passer this season, and has single handedly carried the Ravens to 1st place in the AFCN.

  10. Who cares about MVP?

    Ever since the Patriots came out against the “Greatest Show On Turf” (who came out with an emphasis on individual stars) as a “TEAM” (and then won) the MVP has been a beauty contest.

  11. How is it not Murray at this point in the season? He was playing at a mvp level, had the Cardinals undefeated until AJ Green turned the wrong way, and the Cardinals have not been good on the field since he’s been out injured

  12. The NFL should follow MLB’s lead (rare, but MLB has it right). Give the QB the equivalent of the Cy Young Award and give the MVP to any other player. Call it the Johnny Unitas Award, Bart Starr, Pick-Your-Favorite-Dead-QB Award. At least then we can have the best QB and then everyone else. It’s not complicated.

  13. inozwetrust says:
    November 17, 2021 at 1:54 pm
    If Ravens make the playoffs, with all the injuries they have had, LJ should be MVP. There is no player in the NFL more important to his team’s success than LJ.
    —————————————————————————————————-
    Never mind every team in the league that has multiple players out because of an injury. Only the Ravens are fighting through it, right?

  14. Putting any amount of money on Mac Jones to win MVP is a waste of money. “Tempting,” no not really.

  15. Christopher Allan says:
    November 17, 2021 at 8:11 pm
    inozwetrust says:
    November 17, 2021 at 1:54 pm
    If Ravens make the playoffs, with all the injuries they have had, LJ should be MVP. There is no player in the NFL more important to his team’s success than LJ.
    —————————————————————————————————-
    Never mind every team in the league that has multiple players out because of an injury. Only the Ravens are fighting through it, right?

    ———-
    When Lamar learns to throw, he’s really gonna be something.

  16. Mahomes will start creeping back into the conversation. After they beat Dallas this week everyone who ever doubted him will be doing a 180 pretending they never doubted his ability as a player .

  17. Remember when Everyone laughed their asses off when Bills fans suggested Josh Allen would be a future MVP?
    Yeah.. so does Allen

  18. This is a great season, with everything coming down to the final stretch. Just about every team is still alive for the playoffs, so every game will feature at least one team that can affect the playoff picture. That’s interesting, and that draws the attention of fans. The TV audience should be huge. And people wonder why they allow the refs to have so much power over the outcome of games. Well, we’re seeing it.

  19. “Who cares about MVP?

    Ever since the Patriots came out against the “Greatest Show On Turf” (who came out with an emphasis on individual stars) as a “TEAM” (and then won) the MVP has been a beauty contest.”
    ______________________

    It’s not always about the Patriots.

    I’d agree that it’s more of a symbolic thing, but for most fans of most sports, it’s a fun thing to debate & watch on the side. Only 1 team wins a championship in the end. It doesn’t devalue the idea of winning a championship to appreciate other things about the sport.

  20. Are Ravens fans serious? Lamar as MVP? Here are the facts: over his last 4 games, he’s 2-2 playing against teams with an aggregate record of 17-20, and he’s averaged a whopping 229 yards throwing per game with 6 TDs and 5 interceptions and a QBR of 40. What part of that says MVP? He’s been somewhere between bad and awful in his last 4 games. That’s not how an MVP plays.

  21. Just wish that we had a QB MVP and a MVP for everyone else. Just too many years where it has felt a tad unfair.

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