PFT’s NFL Week 11 2021 picks

Carolina Panthers v Arizona Cardinals
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He caught me.

In the ninth week of the regular season, MDS hit on two of our three disagreements. I wen’t 7-6-1, and he finished 8-5-1.

For the year, I’m at 92-57-1. MDS is now also 92-57-1.

This week, we again disagree on three games. Barring a tie in one of those three games, one of us definitely will lead after Week 11.

For all our picks, keep scrolling.

Patriots (-7) at Falcons

MDS’s take: The Patriots are rolling right now, and they’re going to be a tough team to beat down the stretch. They’ll beat the Falcons handily.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 34, Falcons 17.

Florio’s take: The Falcons won’t have to worry about blowing a 28-3 lead in this one.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 31, Falcons 20.

Lions (+11.5) at Browns

MDS’s take: The Lions are still winless, but at least they now have a tie on the record. They’ll get back into the losing column on Sunday but play competitively again.

MDS’s pick: Browns 20, Lions 17.

Florio’s take: If the Browns can’t win this one easily, then the Browns really is the Browns.

Florio’s pick: Browns 34, Lions 17.

49ers (-6) at Jaguars

MDS’s take: The 49ers’ Monday night win over the Rams may have been a harbinger of an impressive run coming down the stretch.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 34, Jaguars 20.

Florio’s take: Short week, long trip, and a mild danger of taking the Jaguars too lightly. Kyle Shanahan won’t let that happen.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 30, Jaguars 20.

Colts (+7.5) at Bills

MDS’s take: The Bills’ defense will shut Carson Wentz down in a low-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Bills 13, Colts 10.

Florio’s take: The Bills are moving in the right direction, but the Colts won’t roll over. Just like they didn’t roll over in the playoffs.

Florio’s pick: Bills 24, Colts 17.

Dolphins (-3.5) at Jets

MDS’s take: The schedule sets up for the Dolphins to look a lot better in the second half of the season than they did in the first half. Not so much because the Dolphins will play better, but because their opponents are worse.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 24, Jets 16.

Florio’s take: Zach Wilson, Joe Flacco, Mike White, Joe Namath, Ken O’Brien, whatever. The Jets are dysfunctional and the Dolphins are trying to fight their way through dysfunction.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 27, Jets 17.

Washington (+3.5) at Panthers

MDS’s take: Cam Newton as starting quarterback makes for a great story, and I think it will be a pretty good game, too, with the Panthers coming out on top.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 27, Washington 21.

Florio’s take: Ron Rivera knows Cam Newton far better than the current Carolina coaching staff does. If Rivera’s team can handle Tom Brady and the Bucs, they can handle Newton and the Panthers.

Florio’s pick: Washington 24, Panthers 20.

Ravens (-4.5) at Bears

MDS’s take: Justin Fields can make some big plays against a suspect Ravens defense, but Lamar Jackson can make even more big plays, and the Ravens will win.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 24, Bears 21.

Florio’s take: The Ravens gets their legs back under them against an inferior team, before a stretch run that features more than a few not-so-easy games.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 31, Bears 20.

Saints (+1.5) at Eagles

MDS’s take: I like the way the Eagles have been playing in the last few weeks, and they’re going to keep it going against the Saints.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 28, Saints 20.

Florio’s take: The Eagles are soaring. The Saints are sinking. And that’s a recipe for New Orleans turning things around, at least for one day.

Florio’s pick: Saints 27, Eagles 17.

Texans (+10.5) at Titans

MDS’s take: The Titans look like the best team in the AFC right now, even without Derrick Henry and Julio Jones.

MDS’s pick: Titans 30, Texans 17.

Florio’s take: It would make plenty of sense for a team that lost to the Jets to find a way to lose to the Texans. But the Titans learned a valuable lesson in New York, one they won’t forget against an overmatched Houston team.

Florio’s pick: Titans 34, Texans 13.

Packers (-2) at Vikings

MDS’s take: This is the Vikings’ last chance to make the NFC North interesting. It’s not going to happen.

MDS’s pick: Packers 31, Vikings 21.

Florio’s take: The Green Bay defense is grossly underrated. They’ll be the difference on Sunday.

Florio’s pick: Packers 27, Vikings 17.

Bengals (-1) at Raiders

MDS’s take: The Bengals are very much playoff contenders, and they’re going to make the Raiders look like playoff pretenders.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 28, Raiders 17.

Florio’s take: Both teams are currently struggling, but the Raiders are struggling more.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 28, Raiders 21.

Cardinals (-2.5) at Seahawks

MDS’s take: The Cardinals can put the final nail in the Seahawks’ coffin on Sunday in Seattle, and I think they’ll do just that.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 28, Seahawks 21.

Florio’s take: Arizona needs to avoid entering their bye with a two-game losing streak. Enter the Seahawks, who are overmatched on a regular basis.

Florio’s pick: Cardinals 27, Seahawks 24.

Cowboys (+2.5) at Chiefs

MDS’s take: The Chiefs looked very good against the Raiders on Sunday night, but I just think the Cowboys are the better team.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 24, Chiefs 23.

Florio’s take: The Cowboys would be regarded as the best team in the league but for their Week Nine step-on-a-rake game against the Broncos. Dallas won’t step on a rake against the former AFL team that used to be in Dallas.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 30, Chiefs 24.

Steelers (+5.5) at Chargers

MDS’s take: Even if they were 100 percent I wouldn’t pick the Steelers to beat the Chargers, but without knowing whether Ben Roethlisberger, T.J. Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick will play, the Chargers are the easy pick.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 28, Steelers 14.

Florio’s take: L.A.’s “B” team is slipping toward a “C” or “D” this season. The Steelers will run the ball, shorten the game, and keep Justin Herbert from saving the day.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 20, Chargers 17.

Giants (+10.5) at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: The Buccaneers have not been playing well recently, but a visit from the Giants should put them back in the win column.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 24, Giants 16.

Florio’s take: The Bucs currently aren’t what we thought they’d be, but they’re good enough to stop a two-game losing streak.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 27, Giants 21.

21 responses to “PFT’s NFL Week 11 2021 picks

  1. It’s hard to pick that Chargers-Steelers game. The Chargers started out hot and now they’re ice cold. The Steelers have been hot and cold all season but tying the Lions is about as bad as it can be. This could be a blunderfest.

  2. Following the Ravens’ previous two losses this season, the team went out to score 36 points vs the Chiefs and 34 points vs the Vikings.

    Now they are coming off a longer break after their loss to the Dolphins last Thursday. I feel bad for Bears fans this weekend.

    Ravens 35
    Bears 17

  3. Florio’s take: If the Browns can’t win this one easily, then the Browns really is the Browns.


    Quoting JuJu…your bar is very low, isn’t it?

  4. Time to see if the Saints rushing defense is really legit, cause the Eagles are aiming to run right through them like the last three teams they faced.

  5. Platinum Picks of the Week:(1) Patriots (-7) over the Falcons. New England is second in the league in points allowed and fourth in yards per play allowed. Atlanta will be without Cordarrelle Patterson and Calvin Ridley and the Falcons are 31st in the league in points allowed. Ergo, Patriots 28, Falcons 10. (2) Panthers (-3.5) over the WFT. Teams that pull upsets at home, as WFT did over the Bucs, frequently have a letdown the following week if they’re on the road. Carolina, meanwhile is riding an emotional high with the return of Cam Newton. So, Carolina 30, WTF 20.

  6. The Panthers with Cam Cheating as QB is a limited offense. They’ll be able to run because that is what they’ll do. No one should fear Cam Cheating as a passer. If the Washington defense can keep things under control, then Washington should win this. This could be the Cam Cheating and Christian show, but the Washington pass defense will now improve with Chaseless Young removed from an obligatory roster spot – someone will take his place who can actually play and not be so easily pushed around.

  7. Pats
    49ers (but watch for the upset)
    “Football Team”

  8. Indianapolis at Buffalo

    Not only is it going to be raining with high winds the entire game, but the Bills will be without rookie RT Spencer Brown(Covid) on Sunday. This will force the Bills to either put a struggling Cody Ford back on the field at guard and slide Williams from guard to RT where he struggled against the Jaguars or stick Ford in the RT spot where he has shown to be a major liability. This means Josh Allen will likely be on the run all day… forcing Brian Daboll to scrap their normal playbook for one that plays to the offensive line weakness. It wouldn’t surprise me to see the Colts and Taylor run the ball down the throat of the Bills in a one sided game. Especially with Lotulelei and Edmunds being out. Colts 31, Bills 17.

  9. The great thing about being a Packers owner is it comes with ownership of the Bears, Vikings, and Lions included at no extra charge.

  10. The Patriots should let themselves get down 28-3 into the third quarter. Then come back to win it. Because that would be genuinely funny.

  11. Reality is that old history will lurk around the Patriots/Falcons game and then of course the Brady vs Giants storyline is fun too. Both storylines are based old history that in reality should be let go. But it wont be.

  12. I feel like the Steelers always lose to the Chargers when they’re supposed to win, and win against the Chargers when they’re supposed to lose.

  13. Patriots over Falcons – Falcons just seem they can’t get out of their own way while the Patriots are impressive…

    WFT over Panthers – cam is rusty and the WFT are doing just enough to get the win…

    Eagles over Saints – Saints missing main cast and the Eagles are finding ways to score…

    Bucs over Giants – Bucs coming off 2 embarrassing losses will NOT let it be 3….

  14. Patriots 31 Falcons 14 This will be an easy one for the Pats. Passing to Henry and some screens to Stevenson along with forcing picks off Matt Ryan will win the day.

    Ravens 27 Bears 3 Ugly loss for the Bears incoming.

    Bucs 20 Giants 13 Ugly low scoring game with Daniel Jones throwing a pick to decide it.

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