PFT’s NFL Week 15 2021 picks

Pittsburgh Steelers v Minnesota Vikings
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It’s getting closer and closer. I went 3-1 last week in our disagreements and 11-3 overall, cut the gap to one game with four weeks to go.

For the year, I’m now at 130-77-1. MDS is 131-76-1. His lead is down to one game.

We disagree on a pair of games this week. For all picks, scroll away.

Chiefs (-3) at Chargers

MDS’s take: The Chiefs’ defense has had an incredible turnaround this season, and the matchup with Justin Herbert should be a great one. I like Kansas City to go on the road and establish AFC West dominance.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 28, Chargers 21.

Florio’s take: Three years ago, the Chargers shocked the AFC West with a late-season win on a Thursday night in Kansas City. This time around, it shouldn’t be quite as shocking.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 24, Chiefs 21.

Raiders (-1.5) at Browns

MDS’s take: I have no faith at all in the Raiders anymore. Even depleted by a COVID-19 outbreak, I like the Browns to win this one.

MDS’s pick: Browns 21, Raiders 10.

Florio’s take: The Raiders apparently are more interested in building character. The Browns are trying to do more than that.

Florio’s pick: Browns 28, Raiders 20.

Patriots (+2.5) at Colts

MDS’s take: I was surprised to see the Colts are favored in this one. I like Bill Belichick’s defense to shut down Carson Wentz and win a low-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 13, Colts 10.

Florio’s pick: The Patriots continue to roll, and they continue to relish any win they can get over the team that sparked #Deflategate.

Florio’s take: Patriots 20, Colts 14.

Washington (+7) at Eagles

MDS’s take: Ron Rivera has done a good job holding his injury-plagued team together, but I see Washington fading down the stretch and falling to third in the NFC East.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 28, Washington 27.

Florio’s take: Washington’s bubble seems to have burst.

Florio’s pick: Eagles 24, Washington 20.

Panthers (+10.5) at Bills

MDS’s take: The Bills either win blowouts or lose close games. This week they’ll win a blowout.

MDS’s pick: Bills 30, Panthers 10.

Florio’s take: A much-needed get-right game is coming for the Bills. The Panthers are in full get-wrong mode.

Florio’s pick: Bills 27, Panther 13.

Jets (+10) at Dolphins

MDS’s take: The Dolphins are making a nice little run here late in the season, and the Jets should hand them an easy win.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 24, Jets 13.

Florio’s take: Miami finishes its unlikely climb to .500. The Jets continue their expected slide to irrelevance.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 24, Jets 13.

Cowboys (-10.5) at Giants

MDS’s take: Dak Prescott has really fallen off this year, but against the Giants he won’t have to do much to win.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 20, Giants 13.

Florio’s take: The Cowboys rebuild some confidence, with the postseason looming.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 28, Giants 17.

Packers (-5.5) at Ravens

MDS’s take: They’re in first place in the AFC North, but the Ravens have not looked good this year, even in most of their wins. The Packers take another big step toward the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

MDS’s pick: Packers 28, Ravens 17.

Florio’s take: The Packers are the better team. The Ravens have overachieved, and injuries are catching up to them.

Florio’s pick: Packers 30, Ravens 20.

Titans (-2) at Steelers

MDS’s take: I’ve been impressed with the job Mike Vrabel has done holding the Titans together through a string of injuries. Tennessee is going to be a tough team to beat down the stretch.

MDS’s pick: Titans 23, Steelers 16.

Florio’s take: This is a gut-feeling game, with the Steelers finding a way to get a win and to keep themselves in the playoff conversation — where that tie against the Lions could become relevant to just missing it, or to just making it.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 23, Titans 20.

Texans (+4) at Jaguars

MDS’s take: This is a terrible game, but someone has to win, and I think the Jaguars are a little less terrible than the Texans.

MDS’s pick: Jaguars 17, Texans 14.

Florio’s take: The Texans are tanking, and Darrell Bevell is auditioning.

Florio’s pick: Jaguars 13, Texans 7.

Cardinals (-13) at Lions

MDS’s take: The Cardinals have blown out everyone they’ve faced on the road this season and that won’t change on Sunday.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 30, Lions 10.

Florio’s take: Arizona gets back on the right track after their third straight home loss.

Florio’s pick: Cardinals 31, Lions 17.

Falcons (+9) at 49ers

MDS’s take: The Falcons either lose blowouts or win close games. They’ll lose a blowout on Sunday.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 31, Falcons 14.

Florio’s take: San Francisco keeps making what was once an unlikely push to the postseason. The Falcons come closer to having their pipe dream end.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 31, Falcons 20.

Bengals (+3) at Broncos

MDS’s take: This is a big one in what promises to be a very competitive AFC playoff race. I like the Bengals to pull out a close win.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 20, Broncos 17.

Florio’s take: It’s now or never for the Bengals.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 24, Broncos 20.

Seahawks (+4.5) at Rams

MDS’s take: If there’s any lingering hope in Seattle of a playoff run, it comes to an end on Sunday.

MDS’s pick: Rams 27, Seahawks 16.

Florio’s take: It was fun while it lasted for Seattle.

Florio’s pick: Rams 24, Seahawks 20.

Saints (+11) at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: The Buccaneers’ defense played its worst game of the season on Halloween against the Saints. In the rematch, I think the Bucs dominate.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 28, Saints 7.

Florio’s take: The Bucs have consistently struggled with the Saints. They’ll stuggle again, but Tom Brady and the Bucs will finally get a regular-season win over New Orleans.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 27, Saints 20.

Vikings (-4.5) at Bears

MDS’s take: Not the most attractive Monday night matchup, but the Vikings are still fighting for their playoff life while the Bears are finished.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 28, Bears 14.

Florio’s take: Minnesota once again finds a way to build a lead and to hold it, somehow.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 30, Bears 23.

37 responses to “PFT’s NFL Week 15 2021 picks

  1. Saints gonna own Tampa again, the bucs defense has been pretty bad. The only real shot is if cheapshot artist white hurts another qb

  2. : This is a gut-feeling game, with the Steelers finding a way to get a win


    Gut feelings are where fandom shines thru.

  3. How often are games in a dome low scoring? I mean the average boost to accuracy for a QB is about 5 points for outdoor QB’s to indoors. That puts Mac around 75% for this game. Kickers are also better indoors, and NE’s kicker is pretty good. rushing is the least effected between indoor and outdoor, which is both teams offensive strengths.
    No way this is a 14-10 game.

  4. You failed to mention that Washington only had 8 defensive lineman available for Sunday. Most of which are signed off the street.

  5. Bills over Panthers – Bills are a better team at nearly every position!

    49ers over Falcons – even in the back half of the season the Falcons are struggling but the 9ers are playing well…

    Bucs over Saints – The Bucs are fighting for the top seed and he Saints have gone WAY off the rails!

  6. Brady plus the benefit of all “judgement calls/no calls” by the zebras equals a Tampa Bay victory.

  7. Patriots 24 Colts 10 Wentz throws multiple picks allowing the Patriots to score fast and early.

    Saints 23 Bucs 16 Bucs are vulnerable on defense look for Taysom Hill and Kamara to get 100 yards each.

    Bills 38 Panthers 10 Bills are gonna be extremely mad following their last 2 losses look for them to light up the Panthers via Allen to Diggs and for Newton to throw multiple picks.

  8. It’s really cute that Florio and MDS think the margin of victory for the Packers will only be 10/11 points.

    Packers 31
    Ravens 13

  9. How can you even make picks as the Covid squid game continues to unfold? We dont even know who will be playing Sunday.

  10. How ever will the Colts top the Colts Catastrophe play? Deploy in a single line parallel to the sideline and then lateral backwards 10 times in hopes the Patriots get tuckered out running forward so much? Ooh maybe long snap the ball through their own uprights for a super safety? Wait — claim that the sunlight reflecting off the Patriots helmets gives them an unfair advantage! Truly the sky is the limit for that buck toothed village dunce of a team.

  11. I agree with almost every pick except the Seahawks/Rams. With all the players LA has on the Covid list it is going to impact them. The only caveat to that is that just as the Seahawks seem to always beat the Niners, the Rams seem to always beat the Seahawks. So the mental aspect may be what kills the Seahawks. But if Ramsey is still out look to Metcalf to have a big game. How’s that for being totally wishy-washy? 🙂

  12. Pretty sure this is the weekend when ariani1985 goes to the Vikings-Bears game, then jumps into Lake Michigan.

  13. If the Vikings hold anybody to just 14 points, it would be their best game of the year.

  14. You should list your season records as games you actually have different opinions on who wins. In other words you guys are basically 2-1.

  15. The Vikings led by Kirk Cousins in prime time, I’m sure this QB will thrive under the lights…..Oh Wait. 😐

  16. dino2997 says:
    December 16, 2021 at 1:54 pm
    Putting your trust on the Vikings in a place where they struggle and never win is foolhardy.
    The Vikings literally beat Chicago, in Chicago, last year. And, it was on a Monday night.

  17. Platinum Pick of the Week: Patriots (+2.5) over the Colts. New England getting almost a field goal?? Who set this line, a bookie in Terra Haute? First, the Patriots will stifle Jonathan Taylor. They’ll build a decent lead, say 14-3, midway through the third quarter and the task of bringing Indy back will fall to Carson “Happy Feet” Wentz. Not good for the Colts. Patriots 24, Colts 9.

  18. I could see the Saints winning, and would not be surprised if they lose, but +11 is generous. They are slowly but surely getting healthy, and if they somehow manage to win this one, watch out, as the schedule is manageable (Miami, Panthers, at ATL)the rest of the way

  19. “The Raiders apparently are more interested in building character. The Browns are trying to do more than that”

    This is so true that’s why they keep messing up in the draft.

  20. Ravens have just flat out run out of gas, with the toughest part of their schedule coming up. Any wins they get from here on out will be on pride and intestinal fortitude. If they some how make the playoffs Harbaugh is coach of the year. Not even close.

  21. weepingjebus says:
    December 16, 2021 at 1:51 pm
    How ever will the Colts top the Colts Catastrophe play?


    I never get tired of watching that play. During practice for that play, Griff Whalen was at the opposite end of the field catching punts. He ended up being a substitute on the play because one of the players got hurt during the game. He NEVER practiced that play but somehow ends up in the center position? With nobody around him except the punter lined up behind him in the QB position? With 3 Patriots defenders right in front of them and two more slightly to either side? And he hikes the ball? LOL!

    Collinsworth called it insane. It’s actually worse than the butt fumble, although that has its own special place in history.

    Anyways a quick google of “colts fake punt” and there will be several links right in front of you

  22. I actually want the Ravens to beat the Packers, especially if Tyler Huntley is the one playing. Then, Ravens fans will have no business telling us all that Jackson is the most valuable player to this team.

  23. Justin Fields will eat Minnesota up which will respond by running Cook up the middle to set up 3rd and 14.

  24. Ravens have been pretty lucky this year, their luck is running out now. Packers 31 Ravens 21

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