Week 17 NFL playoff picture: The AFC says hello to the Dolphins

Miami Dolphins v New Orleans Saints
Getty Images

The Dolphins were 1-7 at one point this season and the discussion around the team had more to do with whether Brian Flores would return for a fourth season as their head coach than anything related to a playoff run.

It’s a very different discussion after Monday night’s 20-3 win over the Saints, however. The Dolphins are now in playoff position with two games to play and winning both of those games would put the team into the postseason for the first time since the 2016 season. Neither of those games are going to be easy as neither the Titans nor the Patriots fit the profile of the teams that the Dolphins have faced during their seven-game winning streak, but stacking that many wins together is never easy in the NFL and counting the Dolphins out twice probably isn’t wise.

This week also brings us new leaders in the AFC East and an AFC North with all four teams still alive despite three of them losing in Week 16. The entire AFC playoff picture is laid out below:

CLINCHED

1. Chiefs (11-4) They haven’t sewn up the No. 1 seed in the conference yet, but it’s hard to bet against the team riding the eight-game winning streak.

IN THE HUNT

2. Titans (10-5) Ending the Dolphins’ winning streak this weekend will make them the AFC South champions.

3. Bengals (9-6) Hosting the Chiefs isn’t the most favorable of matchups for a team trying to close out a division title.

4. Bills (9-6) After an emotional win over the Patriots, they should be on guard against any letdown with the Falcons coming to town.

5. Colts (9-6) Winning shorthanded in Arizona is the latest sign that the Colts are going to be a tough out come the postseason.

6. Patriots (9-6) Facing the Jaguars gives them a chance to get right after back-to-back punches to the gut.

7. Dolphins (8-7) The next two weeks provide the Dolphins a chance to prove their turnaround was more than just a product of the schedule.

8. Chargers (8-7) If they can’t climb back up the ladder, the stench from Sunday’s flop in Houston will linger for a long time.

9. Raiders (8-7) Two straight wins have left the neon lights on in Vegas, but they’ll need to win in Indianapolis to generate real belief that they can get a ticket to the dance.

10. Ravens (8-7) While they should have some players back for this weekend, a visit from the Rams offers no respite when it comes to the opposition.

11. Steelers (7-7-1) This weekend’s game against the Browns could be Ben Roethlisberger‘s last stand.

12. Browns (7-8) Cleveland got the help they needed after losing on Saturday and they’ll need that to continue while they win both games left on their schedule.

13. Broncos (7-8) They remain mathematically alive, but the focus in Denver is on Vic Fangio’s future rather than the postseason.

ELIMINATED

14. Jets (4-11) Beating the Jaguars won’t help their draft standing, but doing it with a depleted roster while missing their head coach made for the rare happy day at MetLife Stadium.

15. Texans (4-11) They played spoiler against the Chargers and can do so against the 49ers this weekend as well.

16. Jaguars (2-13) Back-to-back losses to the Jets and Texans leaves no doubt about where to find the bottom of the barrel in the AFC.

19 responses to “Week 17 NFL playoff picture: The AFC says hello to the Dolphins

  1. can someone explain how the ravens were in 7th before the mnf game, then dropped to 10th with a miami win

  2. Dolphins will win out and Mac Jones will get crushed in Week 18 and throw 3 picks. Patriots had two decades of unparalleled success but Mac Jones is the next Matt Cassel even though he had the audacity to take the MJ10 trademark.

  3. I’m not privy to the math, but how did the Dolphins end up in front of the Raiders? Considering we have the same record, and we beat them.

  4. Would like to see Jax get a decent program together down there and turn that franchise around.
    Wasted talent at QB with no other help

  5. godkingskovald says:
    December 28, 2021 at 8:45 am
    Dolphins will win out and Mac Jones will get crushed in Week 18 and throw 3 picks. Patriots had two decades of unparalleled success but Mac Jones is the next Matt Cassel even though he had the audacity to take the MJ10 trademark.

    ———

    You’re right. I forgot about all the other MJ10 quarterbacks out there clamoring to get that trademark. It’s clearly not fair to them.

  6. “I’m not privy to the math, but how did the Dolphins end up in front of the Raiders? Considering we have the same record, and we beat them.”

    That’s a good question considering the Raiders also have the best conference record (6-4) of the four teams with 8-7 records.
    Would have assumed that would have been the first determining factor for a spot in the conference playoffs.

  7. prophessor4 says:
    December 28, 2021 at 7:57 am
    can someone explain how the ravens were in 7th before the mnf game, then dropped to 10th with a miami win

    Ravens are 1-2 against the other three teams with 8-7 records. Also have the worst conference record, 5-6, of the bunch. This ranking makes the most sense compared to the others.
    Miami being at seven is curious. Conference record of 5-5, 1-1 against the other 8-7 teams.
    Chargers at is also confusing. Conference record of 5-5, 1-1 versus the other three.
    Raiders have a 6-4 conference record, are 2-1 against the tied teams.
    What exactly is the determining factors here?

  8. Titans take care of business on Sunday in Nashville. Back to back AFCS Champs with more to come. King Henry will be back next week. Here we come.

  9. Stop pushing this team. They will lose their last two games. These are the teams they beat in their 7 game winning streak.

    Jets
    Jets
    Giants
    Panthers
    Saints with Ian Book
    Texans

    They have also lost to the Falcons and the Jaguars

  10. It’s good to be king, if just for a while
    To be there in velvet, yeah, to give ’em a smile
    It’s good to get high and never come down
    It’s good to be king of your own little town

  11. malcomreynolds says:
    December 28, 2021 at 9:38 am

    “That’s a good question considering the Raiders also have the best conference record (6-4) of the four teams with 8-7 records.
    Would have assumed that would have been the first determining factor for a spot in the conference playoffs.”

    When there is a tie amongst teams inside their division, that tie must be broken first. The Chargers own the tiebreaker between them and the Raiders because of a better division record. This means we now have a 3 way tie with Miami, LA, and Baltimore. Miami and LA have better conference records than Baltimore. In a two way tie, Miami has the tiebreaker over LA giving Miami the 7 seed. After that, LA, LV and Baltimore are tied. Again, LA eliminates LV in the division and has the tiebreaker over Baltimore, so LA is the 8 seed. Now that LA has the 8 seed, the tie between LV and Baltimore would need to be broken and LV has the better conference record. LV gets 9 seed, Baltimore gets 10 seed.

  12. In a 3- (or more) team tiebreaker, the first rule applied is to reduce the tiebreaker to one team per division if there are multiple teams from the same division.

    The chargers win the division tiebreaker over the raiders, so that eliminates the raiders, and then the dolphins win the remaining tiebreaker over the chargers based on better record against common opponents.

  13. Stop pushing this team. They will lose their last two games. These are the teams they beat in their 7 game winning streak.

    Jets
    Jets
    Giants
    Panthers
    Saints with Ian Book
    Texans

    They have also lost to the Falcons and the Jaguars
    __________________________________________________

    You failed to list the Ravens as a team Miami defeated, how convenient!
    Haters gonna hate.

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to leave a comment. Not a member? Register now!

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.