On the future of Aaron Rodgers, the ball is likely in Green Bay’s court

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On Wednesday, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers made it clear that he’ll make an early decision regarding whether he’ll retire. The decision that precedes his decision likely will have a major influence on the eventual decision.

Rodgers has made his feelings clear. He has made his value even more clear. He’s making $33.5 million per year. That’s Jared Goff money. And Aaron Rodgers most definitely is not Jared Goff.

So, in our view, it’s up to the Packers to move quickly to make Rodgers the kind of offer that inherently reflects both an understanding of the market and an appreciation of what Rodgers has done and will continue to do for the franchise. Money talks. Money speaks volumes. And the money that the Packers do or don’t offer Rodgers — coupled with the structure of the package — could go a long way toward convincing Rodgers whether he does or doesn’t want to stay.

There’s no owner in Green Bay to Scrooge away the profits. Everything goes back to the team. And with millions in money for nothing currently flowing through the cash register via the ongoing non-stock stock sale, the Packers have the ability to make Rodgers the highest-paid player in football, with true and firm guarantees toward that end, for two or more seasons.

Although the Packers can’t undo the drafting of Jordan Love, they can make Love moot by giving Rodgers the kind of contract that makes him the starter for the final two years of Love’s rookie deal, and perhaps for the option year. Maybe they’d even trade Love, the ultimate acknowledgement of the fact that they did Rodgers wrong, and that they’re genuinely and truly trying to make things right.

In this chess match between Cheeseheads and churlish (at times) quarterback, the first move by the team will go a long way toward determining the player’s next move. If he likes what they offer, maybe he accepts it and puts to rest any and all talk of finishing his career elsewhere. If he doesn’t like it, then he asks to be traded or retires if he isn’t. Possibly with a plan to unretire in July, like Brett Favre did 14 years ago.

For as complicated as things have gotten, it’s really fairly simple. The Packers have failed to show Rodgers proper appreciation in recent years. They’ve definitely failed to adjust his compensation to reflect the market dynamics. He’s likely giving them a chance to make things right. If they do, he stays. If they don’t, he goes.

Your move, Green Bay Packers, Inc.

72 responses to “On the future of Aaron Rodgers, the ball is likely in Green Bay’s court

  1. The org and Rodgers need to concentrate on the Vikings coming to town and wanting to take their first place play off position away and make the playoffs themselves.
    IMO which aint worth two cents, the time is right for them to trade him and get some rebuilding tools. This team is in need of pass rushers, line backers, kickers and pass defenders, and a nrew QB. Hey they came keep him and put off the pain but it wont be much longer his value reaches zero and his age his 40.

  2. Most teams can throw money at him. It’s whether or not he is still holding a grudge toward the front office

  3. I assumed the decision to run another non-stock stock sale was to put them in a position to do exactly this: pay Rodgers. No? Bit of a coincidence otherwise?

  4. That’s the problem, these moronic teams pay these other quarterbacks so much money that it drives the costs of a great quarterback up. This is where I give Brady a lot of credit for not needing to be paid the highest of the qbs. I wish Rodgers would realize this as well.

  5. Does Aaron understand that the reason Tom Brady wins where ever he goes is because he takes less money so they can get and pay other good players? If this is all about how much he wants and how valuable he thinks he is it is never going to work.

  6. After all the whining and drama over the summer, Rodgers unbelievably never had the final year of his Packers deal torn up. He’s still under contract next year. So in a way he accomplished nothing and has no leverage since handshakes and agreements mean nothing in business.

    Why would Gutekunst agree to a trade request? The worst Rodgers could do is threaten to retire. And when the only alternative is him playing for another team, the fans would never side with Aaron.

  7. They are going to be 39 to 44 million OVER the cap. How do they resign players and give him a boost? I know they are cap tricks you can do but they are in salary cap hell

  8. With Brady playing as well as he has at 44, Roger’s may be looking at a 4 to 5 year Dak Prescott type contract that pays him at least 45m to 50m and truth is there are several QB starved teams who would do it.

  9. The only question the Packers have to ask themselves is……….

    Is Rodgers worth approximately 20% of the salary cap for the next 3-4 years?

    If yes then they do it, if no then they don’t and let the chips fall where they may. Admittedly, right now, Rodgers is a top 5 QB (put him wherever you’d like). Will he be that next year? 3 years from now?

    And you STILL have to find a replacement no matter what Rodgers’ feelings on the subject is. He ain’t playing forever.

    Personally I’d be ‘This is your contract. This is what you get paid and this is when it expires. You can play or you can retire it is up to you but we hold your rights. And son, we’ve both won and lost with and without you, it’s no big deal either way.’

    The nice thing about the Packers is they DON’T have an owners’ huge ego getting in the way.

  10. Green Bay fans should face reality – LWAR (Life Wihtout Aaron Rodgers) is coming. I wouldn’t be suprised if he ends up in Denver and with the inconsistant play of Jimmy G maybe Frisco. This is his Last Dance in Green Bay. The trick will be can Green Bay rebuild on the side if and when he does leave – Aaron Rodgers is the Green Bay and makes the other players around him better just like Farve did with Harbin Rice and Bertelsen….after Farve retired those WRs never were as good again. Enjoy it Packers fans, it was a good run.

  11. The Packers have done a masterful job of managing this, and win big either way. Option A – get the best player on the planet back for a couple more title runs. Option B – get the world’s largest draft pick haul that sets the table for yet another decade of domination.

    There is a reason we have more championships than anyone else.

  12. When you sign a long term contract, you get guaranteed up front money, at a risk that the market will not significantly increase in the later years of the deal. Rodgers has been well paid through his career – 240 million and counting (Which actually shows a whole hell of a lot of appreciation – 8th all time in earnings). Sure, if he were willing to gamble – he could have become a free agent, and potentially made more money. But he would have also assumed the risk of potentially having a career limiting or ending injury.

    Rodgers has one more year on his contract before he is a free agent. He likely doesnt have that many productive years remaining – and he will turn 39 at the end of his current deal. I dont think the Packers have done anything wrong here, and as an employee they are not required to run their draft strategy by him. If the Packers are interested in him, they can keep him for an additional season – or offer him an extension for additional seasons. If they aren’t – he didnt negotiate a no trade clause in his contract, so the Packers can choose to trade him anywhere. Rodgers only power is to withhold his services, but at his advanced age – sitting out a season could end his career.

  13. I must challenge this story premise that “the Packers have done Rogers wrong.” Did the Packers also do Brett Favre wrong when they drafted A-Rog while Favre still had 3-4 good years? No. They didn’t. If we want to talk about teams doing their FANS wrong, how about Pittsburgh and Atlanta who’ve watched great, but fading QB’s fade even more, and do nothing to find their replacement, Kyle Pitts and Najee Harris may be a top tier players at their positions, but will they change the course of their franchises? No way. If I were a Falcons or Steelers fan I’d much rather see Mac Jones or Justin Fields waiting in the wings than the empty QB cookie jars they have. My point is, Love may never be great, he may never be a long time starter, but you cannot blame a GM for planning ahead at the most important position on the field. The money stuff will work itself out, Green Bay has paid big to worthy players like Favre, Rogers, Reggie White etc. The bigger question laid out by an earlier commenter is, will Rogers see the wisdom in making his deal work so the Packers can also re-sign Davante Adams, Jaire Alexander, Elgton Jenkins and the kinds of players he needs to get another ring?? If Rogers wants to finish his career in GB, the team WILL make it happen.

  14. Packers are not stupid. They will determine if the headache that Aaron has become is worth it. They know if he wants to break the bank that the team will suffer in other spots and it is hardly worth keeping him around if that is the case. Love may not be the answer but keeping Aaron around with less around him is no good either.

  15. 1 Ring wonder……plays the Bears twice the Vikings twice and the Lions twice a year pads his stats and gets blown out in the playoffs. This year’s excuse will be the Toe…….print it now discount double check

  16. Move him this off season. Sign him if and only if he can play well in the NFC championship. The thing is if he doesn’t it won’t be his fault in his mind and you will be playing the same game next off season

  17. Packers seemed like they were ready to move on from Aaron after this year until they saw how bad Jordan Love looked when Aaron was out. One start certainly doesn’t make a career, but that was U-G-L-Y. It’s obviously never an easy decision to get rid of a future HOFer, but when your handpicked replacement for him doesn’t seem ready at all, its even more difficult.

  18. This is where I give Brady a lot of credit for not needing to be paid the highest of the qbs. I wish Rodgers would realize this as well.
    ——
    I hear you but keep in mind Brady actually has a $45 million cap hit for this season…

  19. YouEnjoyMyself says:
    December 30, 2021 at 9:55 am
    So Rodgers is the third highest paid QB in the NFC North. Yeah, that makes sense.
    ********
    Obviously Rodgers is not just the best QB in the division, but arguably the entire league.
    There is a reason The Packers have the best record in the league right now, and its because they are not paying Aaron Rodgers “what he deserves”. When they do, they cant afford the pieces around him. Simple math. If GB wins SB this year, Best course of action is get some huge draft capital from a trade, and make those picks count.

  20. yeahsayswho says:
    December 30, 2021 at 10:58 am

    1 Ring wonder……plays the Bears twice the Vikings twice and the Lions twice a year pads his stats and gets blown out in the playoffs. This year’s excuse will be the Toe…….print it now discount double check
    __________

    He also swept the AFC North and the NFC West, you know, so there’s that too.

  21. After a brief 3-year golden era with Matt Lafleur (3 straight seasons with ~13 wins)… the Packers are about to return back to their days of Aaron padding his passing stats, but because we have no cap space to sign defense, we will be finishing 10-7 or 11-6 every year, lucky to be a 4th seed in the NFC. A tale as old as time.

  22. Dear Aaron,

    a) Money
    b) Offensive weapons
    c) Top-10 defense

    Pick 2.

    Sincerely,
    Packers Mgmt

  23. I think at this point in his career he wants to win more than he wants to be the highest-paid QB in the league. I think he wants to be appreciated. Drafting Jordan Love was just stupid. They could have added a key piece to go on a few more playoff runs instead of trading up to draft a guy to warm the bench. I think that’s what made Aaron mad. And to be honest, I don’t blame him. It’s not every day you get a QB of his caliber and you have to do everything you can to make another Super Bowl run instead of drafting a guy who won’t play until his contract is up. That was just stupid.

  24. I assumed the decision to run another non-stock stock sale was to put them in a position to do exactly this: pay Rodgers. No? Bit of a coincidence otherwise?

    **************************************************************

    Money from the stock sale is not allowed for player contracts, only for other improvements such as stadium upgrades, etc… It’s in the offering prospectus.

  25. I thought there was still a salary cap, and GB was over it by 30+ million going into next year. How do you increase Rodgers and pay Davante? Good luck with that GB

  26. I’m not crazy about the way that Aaron Rodgers conducts himself at times, but I absolutely love watching him play. At age 38,he definitely still has “it”, and I would hate to see him walk away from the game now. I don’t really care where he winds up…I just think it’s way too soon for him to retire. The guy has a cannon for an arm, and accuracy like no other, not even Brady or Mahomes. He can make plays or extend them with his legs, even with a fractured toe. He just does things at his age that are amazing. I hope he continues on. Someone please make him an offer that he can’t refuse.

  27. Actually, the Green Bay Packers’ decision will depend largely — maybe entirely — on how Rodgers performs in the playoffs. Another NFC Championship game mishap — like scoring 0 points off 3 Tom Brady interceptions — and the Packers may feel justified in realizing this is as far as they can go with this guy. And rightfully so.

    So, to correct your final sentence: Your move, Aaron Rodgers.

  28. buss26 says:
    December 30, 2021 at 10:00 am
    That’s the problem, these moronic teams pay these other quarterbacks so much money that it drives the costs of a great quarterback up. This is where I give Brady a lot of credit for not needing to be paid the highest of the qbs. I wish Rodgers would realize this as well.
    ——————————————————————————————————————
    Give him credit? Well I’m sure it makes it easier to leave money on the table for a better team when your wife makes $40 million a year.

  29. You can’t fault the Packers for drafting Rodgers. Did you see how he performed the year before Love was drafted? Not great. The Packers knew the only way to make Rodgers be Rodgers was to put a chip on his shoulder, and Love is that chip. It worked. But it’s pretty sad that a player can’t choose to play his best, he has to feel slighted in order to do so. If the Packers trade Love, Rodgers may very well go back to being the Carson Wentz of the NFC North.

  30. Rodgers is a generational talent. And as we saw with the whole covid thing, a generational jerk as well.

  31. bob1959 says:
    December 30, 2021 at 10:30 am
    The only question the Packers have to ask themselves is……….

    Is Rodgers worth approximately 20% of the salary cap for the next 3-4 years?

    ——-

    Unless the Packers have a viable replacement they would not win a game without Rogers.

  32. Some here don’t look at all angles! If you say trade Rodgers and get a hall of picks! Well that depends where he would get traded. If the Jets offered 4 Number1s and 2 number2s why would Rodgers want to go there? He would retire for a season only to come back and sign a 3 year contract with who ever wanted him! If the Packers don’t want him fine, he’s not going to do them any favors!

  33. I will miss watching him play when finally retires.
    I will not miss the petty dramas that comes with him.

  34. scottdcp says:
    December 30, 2021 at 10:49 am
    You keep suggesting the Packers might trade Jordan Love. Who would trade FOR him?

    ——-

    The Jets

  35. philmccracken says:
    December 30, 2021 at 10:38 am
    The Packers have done a masterful job of managing this, and win big either way. Option A – get the best player on the planet back for a couple more title runs. Option B – get the world’s largest draft pick haul that sets the table for yet another decade of domination.

    There is a reason we have more championships than anyone else.
    ——————————-
    There are no gurantees man, no matter how you want to skew it to fit your arguement. Option A? Well there is no gurantee at a couple of more title runs nor does it gurantee he will play up to that current level at which he is now. Sometimes there is a dramtic drop off in skill espcially in QBs, look no further than Favre his one year with the Vikes, the next year he wa pedestrian.

    Option B? Draft haul as you put it, doesn’t gurantee all those choices are going to pan out either. They are investments just as the stock brokers on Wall Street there is not a gurantee for divisional domination either.

    Your team has more championships because the organization is as old as dirt. Packers also played in an era when there wasn’t as many teams too. Packers have hve 4 Super Bowl wins since 66, there are more teams that have more Super Bowl wins than Green Bay, cooll your Jets son.

  36. I think it’s pretty obvious what should happen here. If Aaron Rodgers wins you the Super Bowl, you throw the bank at him. If he doesn’t, you trade him or let him retire. The problem is they continue to do everything backwards. They are both passive aggressive and wishy-washy with him. They should just be upfront with him. Here’s the offer, here’s what we think, if you don’t like it we understand.

  37. It always amazes me how much commentary there is regarding the souvenir stock sales, especially when said commentary makes it perfectly clear, those doing the commenting know absolutely nothing about that which they’re commenting on.

    Any and all monies from the stock sales can only be used for stadium upkeep and renovations. It can never be used for player salaries (or coaches, for that matter).

  38. When people say who would trade for Jordan Love? There is your answer! Not many so if no one wants him, what makes you think he’s the answer for the Packers! I guess they need to own their mistake.

  39. All the “Brady takes less money” people forget that his wife makes 100 million or more a year. He can say pay me less. Rodgers and the rest of the NFL are earning their money for now and the future vs Brady being able to live off his wife’s money.

    The comparison is moot.

  40. “ All the “Brady takes less money” people forget that his wife makes 100 million or more a year. He can say pay me less. Rodgers and the rest of the NFL are earning their money for now and the future vs Brady being able to live off his wife’s money.

    The comparison is moot.”

    ———

    I’m gonna go ahead and argue that the veteran minimum is a decent living wage though.

  41. Do the words “salary cap” mean nothing?

    “Last Dance” wasn’t just about Rodgers and Adams. This is the last year of the Packers’ championship window for the foreseeable future. Green Bay is $40 million over the cap for 2022. They’re going to have to blow up the team.

    Not only will this offseason be the right time for them to move on from Rodgers, Rodgers shouldn’t WANT to play for the squad Green Bay is going to field next year.

  42. He’s not leaving any time soon. The Packer’s biggest problem by far is the mess they have with who will take over when he finally does decide to call it a career.

  43. It wasn’t about paying him more money. It was wasting a first and a second on Love. Then spending the third on a blocking TE. One of the worst drafts in history.

  44. Rodgers is a great QB — one of the best ever — for sure. But he’s also a whiny diva who loves making people dislike him.
    The Packers have way more decisions to make than Aaron Rodgers. And their biggest obstacle in dealing with all their potential free agents will be the salary cap.
    No one knows what the cap will be, so until that is known, the Packers can’t do anything with his contract, even if he told them he wants to come back right now.
    The best thing which could happen is he retires. Then he won’t have anything to complain about and can get on with his life.
    That will be one big headache off the Packers, and especially Matt LeFleur, who has to deal with this egotistical diva all the time.

  45. I don’t like Rodgers as a human, but it’s impossible to deny that he’s a great quarterback. No team in their right minds gets rid of a QB that has the team leading the league in wins and is a likely MVP.

  46. “ All the “Brady takes less money” people forget that his wife makes 100 million or more a year.”

    The money a player’s wife earns has NOTHING to do with what he should be paid.

  47. Offer him $1 billion in (worthless) Green Bay stock!
    ==========

    He already owns the Bears.

    Can he own 2 teams?

  48. malarchy says:
    December 30, 2021 at 2:01 pm

    It wasn’t about paying him more money. It was wasting a first and a second on Love. Then spending the third on a blocking TE. One of the worst drafts in history.

    +++++

    Aaron Rodgers QBR in 2019 was 52.5…. his lowest figure ever. Since Jordan Love was selected, his QBR is roughly 73.8 (and they traded a third, not a second).

  49. I don’t think it’s possible that they can kiss his butt anymore. But it’s fun watching them grovel.

  50. Rodgers will not play east of GB people
    ==========

    Not too sure about that.

    If he leveraged his way out, and wants to Brady it, the Colts could be terrifying.

  51. Brady took money under table with him,lawyer,and his health gooruu. So, yeah. I guess he did help his team but don’t act like he didn’t get paid

  52. No need to hurry. If he doesn’t win a SB, then why make him the highest paid QB? They’ll still sell out every game. Honestly, without him makes more sense. Then the organization doesn’t have to put up with his crap. Even though you claim money doesn’t matter since they don’t have an owner, money is still the only thing that matters to the entire nfl.

  53. Do the words “salary cap” mean nothing?

    “Last Dance” wasn’t just about Rodgers and Adams. This is the last year of the Packers’ championship window for the foreseeable future. Green Bay is $40 million over the cap for 2022. They’re going to have to blow up the team.
    ==========

    How much will the cap go up?

    Rodgers hit alone is $46mil. Re-work his deal. Problem solved.

    But I’m sure you junior bean counters are right. The Packers should just cease operations after 2021…

  54. Your team has more championships because the organization is as old as dirt. Packers also played in an era when there wasn’t as many teams too.
    ==========

    Less teams = stronger competition, better teams

    5 Titles in 7 years, and a 3-peat. I know I’ll never see that in my lifetime.

  55. mikestan says:
    December 30, 2021 at 10:03 am
    Does Aaron understand that the reason Tom Brady wins where ever he goes is because he takes less money so they can get and pay other good players? If this is all about how much he wants and how valuable he thinks he is it is never going to work.

    ________

    Just because a guy takes less money doesn’t mean his team will be better. The one year Brady missed in NE they still won 10 or 11 games because the Patriots had a good team. A few years back without Rodgers I’m not sure GB won any games, demonstrating that he is the team. If GB wants to remain one of the better teams in football they should try real hard to retain Rodgers because its already been proven that without him they are awful.

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