Logic, common sense point to a Tom Brady retirement

NFL: JAN 23 NFC Divisional Round - Rams at Buccaneers
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Tom Brady has said plenty this week about possibly retiring, after making it clear for a long time that he plans to play in 2022. One thing he said Monday night makes an inevitable decision to retire even more logical.

Brady said on his Let’s Go! podcast that he doesn’t want a Derek Jeter-style farewell tour, because (a Brady put it) it would be a distraction. Well, if he returns for 2022, he’ll be stepping into a major distraction.

Even if he says something like “I’m back for two more years,” no one will believe it. Throughout the 2021 season, he said he’d be back for 2022. His sudden equivocation would make it foolish to accept at face value the notion that he went from seriously considering retirement to signing up for two years. Thus, everyone would — and should — treat 2022 like a farewell tour.

Then there’s an idea that a reader suggested earlier today. When Michael Scott left The Office, he told everyone his last day was Friday. And he left on Thursday.

For Brady, what if 2022 is Friday and 2021 is Thursday? What if he knew all along that he’d leave a year before everyone thought he’d leave, to ensure he’d never endure the distraction of a Last Dance?

While he may indeed decision to return, logic and common sense suggest that Brady has already decided to call it quits. The only question for now is whether he changes his mind — and whether he’d be willing to endure a de facto farewell season.

94 responses to “Logic, common sense point to a Tom Brady retirement

  1. I’ve always thought this was it. Guy’s got nothing else to prove, and that building seems to be a dysfunctional mess in Tampa, the opposite of what he came from for 20 years, even if he wanted to see what it was like. Maybe if they had won again, he would have went for the three-peat, but I think he’s good with seven and one with a different franchise to prove he could do it away from Belichick.

  2. I find it hard to believe the planned out was after this year, but I’m not in the know that’s just my opinion. He sounded, looked different after that game. I firmly believe something changed, and plans as a result have changed. I’m not a fan of his, but the career demands respect. I hope he walks off the field still looking like Tom Brady and not the Ghost of Tom Brady past.

  3. Tom will play one more year. He’s at worst 2nd in MVP voting. He deserves a one more round of applause from all the fans and he could go out with a Super Bowl. Go Tom

  4. He’s the greatest champion of all time in all of professional team sports since he had to do it with a different cast of players every year and not the same core group of players like in prior year dynasties.

  5. Tom Brady will retire. The Bucs are going to go into a soft-rebuild mode for the upcoming season. They don’t have the dollars and draft capital to keep the current guys around and get the top players in the draft. Brady will not want any part of this.

  6. I think his plan was :

    “If we win the SB AGAIN this year…Im riding off into the Sunset”

    “If we dont…I gotta think about this based on How good I think we’re gonna be next year…How good are the OTHER teams gonna be…and willI be able to still do this”…

    So he needs to think about it for a bit…UNDERSTOOD

  7. The media has nothing better to do than this. Tom should play until he can’t. Just to stick it to everyone else.

  8. If that was it ,I will always remember the 1st game he came in after Bledsow got hurt , & last great ‘come from behind ‘ drive that put the BUCS into position to win the game. It was a hellva ride.

  9. Common sense points to retiring, at least from remarks he has made since the season ended. He may want to wait his announcement until the season is over, or he may want to wait until he is away from the game for a while to see if he really wants to put an end to his NFL career. It’s a big decision considering how well he is stll playing. I wonder how his kids feel about him retiring. I would think they would want to continue to go to games and see their dad play and continue to work at the stadium.

    But his health has to be considered as well.

    What he won’t do is pack up his family and move to another city/team like has been speculated.

    I remember after one of his games earlier this year a number of young opposing players headed straight for Brady. He had a small circle of opposing players around him, and they were all talking and smiling. It felt then that this was possibly his last year.

    It was a nice sight.

  10. I think a telltale sign that he’s riding off into the sunset is the fact that he stayed on the field after a loss and shook hands with the other team.
    That seemed out of character.

  11. One year later from a seventh ring, and now after another miracle comeback from a huge deficit, he may have finally realized that he has nothing left to prove even at the age of 44. Even the GOAT is allowed to get bored with game, especially when the losses aren’t his fault. Would have been poetic to play in another NFC championship game against his childhood team the 49ers, especially if ended up with a Super Bowl XXIII rematch against the Bengals and he matched the exciting close to that game, but that probably would have crashed the simulation…
    By the way he played this past season, he realistically could still play for a few more years, but every fire eventually burns out.

  12. Tom Brady’s logic says that since he lost this year he should try to win it next year.

  13. Brady actually tied that game up at 27-27. That was one of the most unbelievable games I’ve seen. He just literally causes teams to self-destruct, kind of like Tiger Woods did. But with all Brady has accomplished, it still looked impossible, yet he did it again. Not enough has been said about that. He had his team very close to an NFC Championship appearance. Brady wasn’t making any career decisions because he was too focused on winning another super bowl. He would never take away the team focus by talking about his retirement. Brady only wired to announce his retirement, only after he’s played in his last game. If he decides to walk away, he’ll let us know he’s played his last game.

  14. I love Tom, but historically after a playoff loss like that he’s scowling and off the field as soon as possible. This last game he kinda looked happy and lingered as if he was taking it in. That’s when I figured he was likely done.

  15. Tom Brady can play as long as he wants to play. Maybe he even eventually transitions to a part time player/coach role which would be totally cool. He could be backup QB and QB-coach until he’s 55 or so if Gisele says yes.

  16. Come on. People saying he should retire will motivate him to keep playing. It’s Tom Brady. Football’s first!

  17. George Blanda played until age 48. That’s one record he has yet to beat. I think it’d be awesome to see TB12 make a playoff run at age 50.

  18. It’s time to stop playing the guessing game. Ask yourselves this question. Would Brady go out with a playoff loss or after winning another super bowl?

  19. It definitely feels different. I have the feeling that Brady is done too, which means Gronk is likely done as well.

    From a grateful fan base, we thank you GOAT, and GOAT’s sidekick!

  20. It’s a pretty good way to go out. Won the Super Bowl last season with a brand new team at age 43. In his final season at age 44, he lead the league in passing yardage and touchdowns. Mike drop.

  21. The Fan Boys are going to have some problems when Brady retires. Despair can lead to depression, anger issues and suicidal thoughts.

  22. There is zero chance Tampa even comes close to that roster they have had these past 2 seasons. So that is all you need to know about whether Brady comes back. There is no way he comes back to a second rate roster. No chance he comes back..

  23. His comments about not knowing if he will return are there for 1 reason “To ensure 1 last MVP trophy for his shelf”, With Rodgers, C.Kupp, and J.Taylor all close in MVP voting, TB12 wants that edge, even if it’s sympathy

  24. Look at the Bucs’ cap and the contracts if you doubt that Brady is done! Fournette, Suh, Gronkowski, JPP, Jensen, Gholston, Jones, OJ Howard, Godwin, Gabert, Sherman, G Bernard, Whitehead and a host of others will be gone in 2022. They have one running back under contract for 2022! Brady was a piñata against LA, though most of the offensive line will return (not a positive). The team needs a major rebuild. This year was always going to be the last hurrah and Brady knew it. Gizelle was laughing and partying during the game while the Bucs were down by multiple touchdowns. She knew it was his last run. We all should have known.

  25. I’ve heard him say many times that after each season he sits down with his family and they have a majority of the vote right now. That’s pretty cool. He didn’t have anything to prove after the Tampa Superbowl but he and his family voted on him playing. Only T.B. knows how his body is feeling. I can’t help but wonder though if coach B.A. not handling a few things right this year factors in on Tom and the families voting.

  26. This argument makes sense, especially since no Godwin or AB next year will make it tougher to get back to the Super Bowl. It would make sense to retire now, but Brady has always confounded our expectations, so he’ll probably be back.

  27. Pretty much depends on whether or not the 49ers call, and can work out something with the Bucs. I’m sure he would love having his mom and dad watch him play at home. Other than that, he will retire.

  28. While Brady has nothing left to prove and could very well retire, what if he’s angling for a little extra money in 2022? He’s on the books for $10 million next season, which is ridiculously cheap. Sure, he could be waiting to see what the Bucs do in free agency, but let’s not rule out a one year contract extension that could result in a nice pay day. He’s certainly earned it from the Bucs, and I can’t see Tampa balking at the request either.

  29. He needs to prove to me he can steer to a championship a non-Belichick coached team that wasn’t loaded to the cap with talent for his benefit.

    Besides, he’s incensed with Arians for that blitz call. He should have been given the opportunity to win the coun flip and march the team into the end zone, like he did against Atlanta in the Super Bowl after erasing a 25 point deficit, against Kansas City after trading leads a number of times in the 4th quarter, and against Manning’s Broncos after erasing a 24 point deficit. He also erased a few 21 point deficits.

    In the latest comeback, he erased a 24 point deficit after which Arians promptly allows Stafford to repost the lead for good by marching roughly 80 yards in approximately 10 seconds.

  30. His guilt will overwhelm him, and he’ll sign on with the Falcons for one illustrious swan song. Then they’ll come back from 30 down to defeat the Bills in next year’s Super Bowl.

  31. It doesn’t make sense. He doesn’t say over and over and over that he will play to 45, then abandon that at the drop of a hat. There is a problem in Tampa and he likely is leveraging his way out of that. That’s what makes sense.

  32. I get the sense things in Tampa may be coming apart at the seams. With AB gone, Gronk another year older, and now Leftwich gone, Tom no longer has the Super supporting cast he wants. He may also be sick of BA (the reason AB is gone after all). Super Bowl windows open and shut quickly in the NFL. Could the retirement talk be leverage, either for a nice extension or to force a move elsewhere?

  33. There is no way this guy retires after this loss. His ego won’t accept it. BTW thanks to everyone who feels compelled to simply type in ” GOAT” as if we need to be reminded.

  34. bostonblows says:
    January 25, 2022 at 8:52 pm
    It’ll be a good riddance tour. Non-factor.
    —————————-

    This kind of stuff has been so awesome to read for two decades now.

  35. Of he DOES come back, hell probably want to see if they re-sign Godwin, keep O-line intact…. Basically retain a Super Bowl roster

  36. He got hit hard that game. Repeatedly. Has a tendency to make you re-check your priorities.

  37. Most of America is tired of his phony mug and his preferential treatment by the refs. Great QB…but a prima Donna

  38. He should retire!
    I don’t really care what the stats say this year, he hasn’t been great and very poor against Rams.
    I do think he has fallen out with Arians and won’t come back if Arians returns.

  39. Dude went diva he ain’t retiring he just wants the attention on him instead of the playoffs.

  40. As a raiders fan i still curse u for the tuck rule but if he does hang them up he definetly had a hell of a career

  41. If he plays next year why is a de facto farewell tour? He may play in 2024 too. He obviously is still playing at a high level. I don’t think anyone knows when the end will be, Tom included. I believe him when he says he hasn’t made a decision. The family man in him knows it’s time to walk away but the competitor in him wants another shot at a SB while he still has the talent to do it.

  42. The Bucs team is going to look a lot different next year, especially if OC Leftwich leaves. So it wouldn’t be worth him returning there. If the 49ers would take him, I think he’d go there though.

  43. I think if Tom is convinced they have a shot at another SB, he’ll be back. I think, though, that may be more challenging this upcoming season, with players leaving in free agency and probably losing some coordinators as well.

  44. Did anyone see Tom hanging around the game shaking hands after the loss? He never did that in New England. Something is up. He’s done.

  45. When he sold the Brentwood mansion he and Gisele had just built I expected he would stay a fixture in Boston, the Patriots and the NFL.

    He built a home next to Kraft in Brookline, a Mecca of American suburban/urban life that combines the finest medical institutions, universities, the Arts and business. Not to mention Brookline Country Club, home of the US Open.I foresaw him buying a piece of the team and being the face of the franchise and the league. Alas, I forgot the NFL is a class system and owner’s have a Rubicon they just don’t cross.

    Brady proved he could win without Belichick but he lost something fans in smaller franchise locations like Buffalo know; there’s no place like home. Just ask Jim Kelly. Florida, and certainly not Tampa, just doesn’t have that special relationship between player and community.

  46. The say admitting to it is half the battle of addiction, I think that is what we heard the other day, he put it out in the universe, sadly, I think we saw the last of TB12!

  47. I don’t think Brady is capable of retiring until he’s seen multiple seasons of proof that he can no longer compete. He’ll likely be back. Possibly with another team.

  48. Now lets have the Bucs release him so he can sign a one day contract with New England and retire a Patriot. He needs to be in the Hall of Fame as a Patriot.

  49. It makes sense to leave while he is still essentially on top. While he didn’t get to the Super Bowl, he did post great numbers and nearly eliminated the Rams.

  50. I’ll always remember him being run off the field in New England is his last playoff game. Didn’t even finish the game.

  51. So he would cheat the fans out of a goodbye tour I guess once a cheater always a cheater….

  52. He should have gone out on top last year. Now, he’ll likely never get that chance again.

  53. That last play will be something that weighs on TB12s mind, while BA tries to sweep it under the rug. A whole season on sacrifice, preparation and hard work came down to a play call (and the coaching staff fumbled the game away). The entire staff/roster should have been preparing for Kupp for the entire week, and the play call should have been solid situational football. Neither happened. Arians was busy thinking about next year coaching scenarios, and Bowles and Leftwich were busy interviewing (like there is always another season). Not the way TB12 sees it. He even made a public remark that last week needed to be all about football.

    As for Licht, the template was right there in front of him. KC lost the SB due to lack of depth at offensive tackle. So for 2021 in response, Licht overpaid Smith and went with Wells at swing. Hope was never a strategy, Wells was never the answer, and unfortunately the timing for it to play out was the worst possible scenario. If Licht and Arians aren’t admitting these things to themselves this week, then TB12 won’t be returning (and neither will Gronk). TB12 is as smart of football player as there is. It’s time for Licht and Arians to get straight with themselves (and soon). The preparation is going to have to be better next year than it was the last (10) days in order for TB12 to return.

  54. “What he won’t do is pack up his family and move to another city/team like has been speculated.” – right, he would never do that… uhm, wait a minute…

  55. dmca12 says:
    January 25, 2022 at 9:27 pm
    Has he won a Super Bowl without a loaded offense and top notch defense?


    Nope!

  56. “Brady said on his Let’s Go! podcast that he doesn’t want a Derek Jeter-style farewell tour” Right. He also said “I would say 90 percent of what I say is probably not what I’m thinking”. So there’s that.

  57. I think he comes back for 1 more year but if this is it, it’s almost fitting the team that launched Brady’s career is also the one to end it. Brady looked happy almost after the loss which is worrying. Thanks for everything Brady.

  58. raiderfanforever says:
    January 26, 2022 at 8:13 am
    As a raiders fan i still curse u for the tuck rule but if he does hang them up he definetly had a hell of a career


    I’m a Patriots fan and even I know Brady fumbled and the Raiders really won that game. It’s just common sense.

  59. GoodellMustGo says:
    January 26, 2022 at 9:31 am
    dmca12 says:
    January 25, 2022 at 9:27 pm
    Has he won a Super Bowl without a loaded offense and top notch defense?


    Nope!

    What QB has won a SB without either a “loaded offense” or a “top notch defense “???

  60. Just a hunch, of course, but I think Brady is mightily pissed off at Bruce Arians for the precipitous way he handled the Antonio Brown incident and for the boneheaded all-out blitz that cost the Buccaneers a chance to beat the Rams. I think Brady considers Arians a mediocre coach and wants out. He’ll negotiate a release from the remaining year on his contract with the team, feigning retirement, and then, then, magically, he’ll have a change of heart. And where has he wanted to be since he was a child? San Francisco, a driver and a five-iron from his boyhood home. The 49ers have a first-rate roster and need a top tier quarterback. They don’t want to turn the team over to the callow Trey Lance. So they trade Garoppolo and sign Brady. It all fits.

  61. There is something about his demeanor and actions this year that signal retirement to me. The way he lingered on the field on Sunday, talking to Rams players; his Man in the Arena series; the way he talks on his Let’s Go! podcast; his emphasis when he speaks about his family.

    It’s not about the money for him, he has more than he can spend already. He can assess the next season as well as anybody. He knew his window was closing and the Patriots would have to be in rebuilding mode, so it made sense for both sides for him to leave. He picked a team that just needed a QB–and a lot of leadership–and it paid off. But the Bucs will be in a near-rebuild next season, they have a tough 2022 schedule, and you can tell there is something dysfunctional going on in the organization. I think he’ll conclude the chances of a 2022 Super Bowl with the Bucs are minimal, and there is no way his family agrees to another move. I mean, maybe they’d agree to two years in San Francisco, where his family is, but that’s the only move I can even imagine and that’s unlikely.

    I think he might have gotten a bit of an eye-opener on Sunday. He did everything he could to stage the comeback, only to see bad play-calling on defense cost the game. He might have had it sink in deeply that no matter what he does, in football you are not the master of your own destiny. He’s got so many other things he’s into these days, too, what with TB12, his media production company, his clothing brand, Autograph, and more, and these are environments where he’s more in control. This is a good time to call it quits with football.

  62. flash1224 says:
    January 26, 2022 at 10:10 am
    GoodellMustGo says:
    January 26, 2022 at 9:31 am
    dmca12 says:
    January 25, 2022 at 9:27 pm
    Has he won a Super Bowl without a loaded offense and top notch defense?


    Nope!

    What QB has won a SB without either a “loaded offense” or a “top notch defense “???
    —————
    Big Ben, Eli Manning twice, Joe Flacco, Nick Foles. I can keep going if you want 🙂

  63. mhouser1922 says:
    January 26, 2022 at 10:10 am
    Just a hunch, of course, but I think Brady is mightily pissed off at Bruce Arians for the precipitous way he handled the Antonio Brown incident and for the boneheaded all-out blitz that cost the Buccaneers a chance to beat the Rams. I think Brady considers Arians a mediocre coach and wants out. He’ll negotiate a release from the remaining year on his contract with the team, feigning retirement, and then, then, magically, he’ll have a change of heart. And where has he wanted to be since he was a child? San Francisco, a driver and a five-iron from his boyhood home. The 49ers have a first-rate roster and need a top tier quarterback. They don’t want to turn the team over to the callow Trey Lance. So they trade Garoppolo and sign Brady. It all fits.

    —-
    Oh wouldn’t that be delicious. Brady completely screwing over the one team that gave him everything he wanted and the all star team he craved when he left New England and shooting his way out of town. LOL.

    That’s gonna end well!

  64. Why are so many commenters focusing on what his chances would be to win another Super Bowl with the Bucs? You realize he’s a free agent, right?

    There is a team still alive right now who has advanced this far with a very shaky QB. This team also happens to play very close to Brady’s hometown. Imagine THAT team with Brady at Qb.

  65. Big Ben, Eli Manning twice, Joe Flacco, Nick Foles. I can keep going if you want 🙂

    Big Ben… 11th in points allowed Held Seattle to 11 points in the SB
    Next SB win Pitt was 1st for the season in points allowed

    Joe Flacco Ravens D 12th in points allowed A Bolden dominated in the Run

    Nick Foles .. Eagles D 4th in points allowed that season.

    Eli Manning .. Defense dominated in both play runs..got hot at the right time.

    So yeah, looks like you will need to keep gout…

  66. GoodellMustGo says:
    January 26, 2022 at 9:31 am
    dmca12 says:
    January 25, 2022 at 9:27 pm
    Has he won a Super Bowl without a loaded offense and top notch defense?


    Nope!
    ——

    LOL- talk about revisionist history! Brady’s first SB win came as a 14 point UNDERDOG. He won a SB with a team that was so thin they had a 5’8″ wide receiver playing cornerback.

    Last year, they were an underdog in every post season game except the Wild Card round. They didn’t even win their division.

    Stop it.

  67. flash1224 says:
    January 26, 2022 at 11:18 am
    Big Ben, Eli Manning twice, Joe Flacco, Nick Foles. I can keep going if you want 🙂

    Big Ben… 11th in points allowed Held Seattle to 11 points in the SB
    Next SB win Pitt was 1st for the season in points allowed

    Joe Flacco Ravens D 12th in points allowed A Bolden dominated in the Run

    Nick Foles .. Eagles D 4th in points allowed that season.

    Eli Manning .. Defense dominated in both play runs..got hot at the right time.

    So yeah, looks like you will need to keep gout…
    ————
    The question was who won a SB without a top notch defense or a loaded offense.
    All those guys did that. None of them had anything resembling the team Tampa had last year. There’s a reason why Eli’s teams were ranked among the worst Super Bowl winners of all time. The Eagles defense was good against the run, terrible against the pass and we all saw it in the Super Bowl. That’s not a top notch defense. The 2012 Ravens weren’t exactly elite on either side of the ball either. Let’s compare to Tommy’s teams:
    2001-04- elite defense, offense that started to catch up by 2004
    2014 – elite defense, loaded on offense
    2016 – elite defense, elite offense
    2020 – elite defense, the best offense he’s ever played with including 2007

    It’s undeniable Brady benefited big time from the teams he’s had around him.

  68. LOL- talk about revisionist history! Brady’s first SB win came as a 14 point UNDERDOG.

    He won a SB with a team that was so thin they had a 5’8″ wide receiver playing cornerback.

    You’re really trying to argue that the 2001 Patriots defense with Ty Law, Lawyer Milloy, Tedy Bruschi, Richard Seymour, McGinest wasn’t a top notch defense? LOL. Cmon now be serious.

  69. I see a front office job on one of the three FLA. Teams. No way he will uproot the family so soon. And I think that is a compromise with Mrs.TB12.

  70. tigerlilac says:
    January 26, 2022 at 8:53 am
    When he sold the Brentwood mansion he and Gisele had just built I expected he would stay a fixture in Boston, the Patriots and the NFL.

    He built a home next to Kraft in Brookline, a Mecca of American suburban/urban life that combines the finest medical institutions, universities, the Arts and business. Not to mention Brookline Country Club, home of the US Open.I foresaw him buying a piece of the team and being the face of the franchise and the league. Alas, I forgot the NFL is a class system and owner’s have a Rubicon they just don’t cross.

    Brady proved he could win without Belichick but he lost something fans in smaller franchise locations like Buffalo know; there’s no place like home. Just ask Jim Kelly. Florida, and certainly not Tampa, just doesn’t have that special relationship between player and community.

    ———————————
    Despite owning a mansion that borders the Brookline Country Club he and Gisele were turned down fir membership, so I dont think that was a selling point. As far as Brookline itself it is everything you say, but his surroundings in Florida arent too shabby either, and I think they might be happier there too. But we never know, those two have shown they can make a life anywhere and seem to know that quite well.

  71. Considering next year’s schedule and the roster situation……retirement looks like a real possibility. Thanks for everything TB12!

  72. Big Ben… 11th in points allowed Held Seattle to 11 points in the SB
    Next SB win Pitt was 1st for the season in points allowed
    =============

    2005 Steelers defense – 3rd in points, 4th in yards

    And Ben didn’t win squat for them. That is the single worst performance by a QB in the Super Bowl. 22.6 QB rating.

  73. What QB has won a SB without either a “loaded offense” or a “top notch defense“???
    ===========

    2007 Giants offense – 14th points, 16th yards
    2007 Giants defense – 17th points, 7th yards

    2011 Giants offense – 9th points, 8th yards
    2011 Giants defense – 25th points, 27th yards

    Incomprehensible to me how those 2 teams won it all.

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