Inside the Von Miller deal

NFC Divisional Playoffs - Los Angeles Rams v Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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March is a time for new NFL contracts and, inevitably, a gross overstatement of the value of certain contracts in the group texts sent to an ever-growing throng of reporters who willingly pass along not-entirely-accurate information to their followers in the hopes of beating someone else’s Twitter account to the punch by a handful of seconds, so that they can tell their bosses they were first.

The truth always follows the initial round of tweets. In some cases, it’s a little jarring.

Case in point. Von Miller‘s SIX-YEAR, $120 MILLION contract with the Bills. Anyone who understands anything about football economics knows that there’s no way a 33-year-old pass rusher will be making $120 million over the next six years. So what is the deal really worth?

Per a source with knowledge of the terms, here’s the full breakdown.

1. Signing bonus: $18.525 million.

2. 2022 base salary: $1.12 million, fully guaranteed.

3. 2023 roster bonus: $13.345 million, fully guaranteed.

4. 2023 base salary: $1.3 million, fully guaranteed.

5. 2024 base salary: $17.145 million, $10.71 million of which is fully guaranteed at signing. The rest becomes fully guaranteed in 2024.

6. 2025 base salary: $17.145 million.

7. 2026 base salary: $19.645 million.

8. 2027 base salary: $29.645 million.

9. 2022-27 per-game roster bonus: $255,000 annually.

10. 2022-27 workout bonus: $100,000 annually.

As a practical matter, the six-year, $120 million deal is a three-year, $52.5 million arrangement. So it’s $17.5 million per year, not $20 million. And the Bills have committed for three years, not six.

That said, Miller definitely is getting at least $45 million. The deal has fully-guaranteed money into year three; thus, Miller will either be with the Bills through 2024 or he’ll be getting paid by them. After that, it’s year to year. And there’s a very good chance that 2024 will be the final year.

Then again, who knows? Maybe by 2025 a non-guaranteed base salary of $17.145 million will be regarded as a bargain, even for a 36-year-old pass rusher.

17 responses to “Inside the Von Miller deal

  1. Wise investment. Buffalo’s young defensive ends Rousseau, Epenesa, Bashim will benefit from this future HOFer.

  2. 3 years and 17 million is still isn’t a horrible contract for a 33 year old subrusher with injury issues? lol!

    This is terrible analysis. No way he is a 3 down player for 17 games a year for the next years. No way.

    And teams, will run all over him to that side as they’ve been doing.

  3. buffalobluecollarlunchbucket56 says:
    March 19, 2022 at 10:03 am
    Wise investment. Buffalo’s young defensive ends Rousseau, Epenesa, Bashim will benefit from this future HOFer.

    428Rate This

    ————

    Epenesa and Basham are busts. We’ll see about one trick pony Rousseau. Not looking great so far especially setting the edge.

  4. Some people commenting on Bills players and their performances obviously don’t watch Bills games, or Bills All 22 breakdowns, and certainly not anything on Von Miller either. Rousseau was absolutely stout against the run last year, it was where most of his plays were made. Rousseau also showed he has some tools to work with and will absolutely benefit picking the brain of Von Miller. Basham had some nice moments as well, but he was limited in his time on the field. Obada was being used mainly in the role Boogie will play this year as Obada is gone. He’ll line up some on the outside and get kicked inside at times in rush packages. A bust? Lol, yeah, not yet by any means. McDermott and his staff always bring the younger players along slowly, allow them to learn, and then makes them earn it. Epenesa has flashed some real quickness off the edge, but he needs to put back on some of the weight he took off coming into the league. He did that because that’s what the Bills told him to do. He was 280lbs in college and showed up at 255lbs for us. He’s been hit or miss, but is another guy who will benefit from the presence of Von Miller just like Basham and Rousseau. Another guy who’s going to benefit from his presence? Ed Oliver who really came on last year. Teams will not be able to key on him because now they have to deal with Miller in one on ones all game long. Now onto Von. Did you see him play for the Rams at all? Really? He was a terror in the Playoffs and had 5 sacks in 8 regular season games. He also doesn’t get bowled over and plays the run well. He’s 12 years in so there is no defense or scheme he hasn’t seen. He’s just as good because of the mental aspects of the game as he is from his ability. Buffalo needed a legit pass rusher and they got him. This will benefit the Bills in multiple ways.

  5. Run all over him? Someone obviously doesn’t know what they’re talking about. With rare occasion is the man ever out of position defending the run and has been one of the best run defending edge rushers in NFL history.

  6. Epenesa and Basham are busts. We’ll see about one trick pony Rousseau. Not looking great so far especially setting the edge.
    ______________________________
    The fear is real.

  7. You’ve gotta get up pretty early in the morning to post ahead of TB6 on a Bills article.

    I guess it’s where the action is now that the Patriots are headed for a stretch of mediocrity (at best).

  8. Thanks for breaking the contract down. When it comes to the NFL the total contract doesn’t mean a thing as we have seen by all the releases and cuts….it all comes down to the fully guaranteed money and for how long.

  9. Von Miller looked cooked in Denver and didn’t make a difference against the Chiefs. We’ll see how much he has left in tank in Buffalo. This division is wide open as the Patriots offense takes that next step. Other young QBs in the division will probably get better too. The Bills are not guaranteed to win the division let alone run through the AFC gauntlet to get to the SB and face their kryptonite Brady.

  10. These pats fans are a real hoot. They don’t have an offensive line to speak of, and are resigning the same players that allowed two straight beat downs by the Bills last year…The second being a playoff record. Not sure why they are so obsessed with Bills threads and can’t be happy commenting on their own (lack of) team.

  11. It’s going to be fun to watch the pats finish last in the division and bottom 5 in the conference.

  12. I don’t think the Pats will finish last in their division, remember, they are in the same division as the Jests. I think they will finish second. They have a chance to be 4-2 in the AFCE, but after that utterly laughable defensive performance against the Bills in the playoffs and the defense now weaker with players leaving, I don’t see them making a wild card birth. I won’t bet against BB pulling something out of his hat, but the odds look long for a Patriots playoff game this year. I think this is yet another rebuild year.

  13. “I don’t think the Pats will finish last in their division, remember, they are in the same division as the Jests”
    ____________________

    Just like we call the Jets the Jests, we used to call the Pats the Patsies. Nothing in the NFL is permanent.

    I think the Jets are moving in the right direction; they could easily take 2nd or 3rd in the East this year.

  14. This division is wide open 😆😅🤣😂 that gets me every time. Such denial in play… love it

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