NFL schedule makers gave Bills a key advantage

Miami Dolphins v Buffalo Bills
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The 2022 NFL schedule has some good news for the Bills.

Buffalo has a +13-day net rest differential on its 2022 schedule, according to Seth Walder of ESPN. That’s the most favorable rest differential in the NFL.

In other words, over the course of the full season, the Bills will be better-rested than their opponents by a cumulative 13 days.

That starts in Week Two, because the Bills play the Thursday night opener against the Rams in Week One. When the Bills host the Titans in Week Two, they’ll have a three-day rest advantage over a Tennessee team that plays on Sunday in Week One.

It also includes the Bills’ Week Eight home game against the Packers. The Bills are on their bye in Week Seven, while the Packers play in Week Seven, so the Bills will have seven more days of rest than the Packers when the two teams meet.

The 2022 NFL schedule does not have the Bills playing any opponents who are coming off their bye weeks.

And in Week 14, the Bills will have three more days of rest than the Jets, because the Bills will be coming off a Thursday night game while the Jets will be coming off a Sunday game.

The Bills were already among the Super Bowl favorites this season. The schedule does nothing but assist the Bills’ championship hopes.

65 responses to “NFL schedule makers gave Bills a key advantage

  1. Wondering if there’s any stats that can show that this has any real advantage.

  2. Can we get rid of the Thursday night games yet? A lot of people miss every Monday and Thursday game because of work.

  3. It’s about time. When the Bills were mediocre to bad for a decade and a half I can recall many seasons where the Bills were playing like 3 teams coming off their byes, among other disadvataging schedule anomalies.

  4. That’s what can happen when you have stupid things like Thursday games and bye weeks.

  5. This metric should probably be kept equitable. Travel disparity can’t be changed much. Extra rest, while not necessarily designed for the Bills, can be designed closer to equal.

  6. The time is now Bills Fans. Its been awhile since there are these kind of expectations. Fingers crossed we get one this time!

  7. And Pittsburgh will travel the least out of any team this season (6400 miles). They don’t even leave the eastern timezone.

  8. They’re defense had a 13 second rest differential vs the Chiefs and that didn’t give an advantage

  9. The previous two seasons we were disadvantaged and played a bunch of people coming off byes.

  10. can the schedule makers stop the run, rush the passer more effectively, or cover the slot? if not, the bills will need to figure that out themselves in order to win ball games in january

  11. “Net rest differential” Is this really a new parameter for measuring a team’s potential for success. Now I truly believe I’ve heard everything.

  12. temporarysuds says:
    May 13, 2022 at 8:45 am
    No excuses this year, then.
    ==============================================================
    Shouldnt be, but we know the truth. The excuses are going to be flowing.

  13. I think this is a big deal. Obviously you have to play the games but extra rest helps. Playing on fewer days of rest hurts. Time will tell but this is a variable that can help bigly.

  14. The Bills schedule looks like a 13 and 4 season. Whether that’s enough to get the number one seed is the question. The main threats to the Bills this season in the AFC will be the Bengals, Ravens, Fins, and Broncos. I think the Pats, Chiefs, and Steelers regress this season unfortunately due to personnel changes.

  15. I’m happy that the Bills are now more than perpetual also-rans if for no other reason than to make the AFC East division competitive and prevent the Patriots from being shoe-ins as the division champions every year. However, it has become obvious that the league office gives certain teams (once they are good teams) an extra push. However, when the Bills become the darlings of the league and the sportswriters, they will be taken down a peg or two the way the Chiefs were this year, as mentioned in the article.

  16. They’re still gonna choke in the playoffs. Sorry Bills Mafia. You all are great but your team just doesn’t get it done.

  17. Can you measure the benefit of travelli g to LA week 1 instead of any week between games? Buffalo has more fluidity in their schedule with that giant plane ride out of the way.

  18. The Patriots have a similar schedule with a mini bye from Thurs to the following Monday.

  19. Get rid of the Thursday night games. The players hate them anyway and then have an early and later game on Monday nights.

  20. nytro says:
    May 13, 2022 at 8:37 am
    Patriots fan’s heads explode in 3, 2, 1….
    —-
    Not this Patriots fan. If my team can’t do it I’m cheering for the Bills something I would never do for the other AFC East teams. Allen is easy to like and so is a lot of that team.

    I think they have a great shot at going all the way if they stay healthy.

  21. Rested, not rested, doesn’t matter… Bills by a million #LetsGoBuffalo #GoBills

  22. For what it’s worth, Carolina had the best rest differential last season, also at +13. It didn’t stop their best player from getting hurt for months or stop the team from finishing last.

    I do believe the rest differential is an advantage, just a very small one, maybe even negligible.

  23. Look at the Browns schedule – furthest west they travel is Houston. No west coast to LA, Seattle, Las Vegas, no playing in Europe. Most games within a <3 hour flight (or drive)

  24. I will never understand why teams cry about travel. They can sit at home for hours playing video games but if they have to sit on a chartered plane 3 hours flying to the coast is torture

  25. webster8723 says:
    May 13, 2022 at 10:11 am
    Rested, not rested, doesn’t matter… Bills by a million #LetsGoBuffalo #GoBills

    ———–

    As a Patriots fan, I acknowledge the Bills are the team to beat this year, even in a very loaded AFC. Allen is incredible and the additions on defense and White returning should make their defense elite.

    If it cannot be the Patriots, I would still love to see the Bills in the Super Bowl vs Brady. How incredible would that be? Everything on the line for the Bills. Vanquish all their demons in one moment or continue the legacy of losing to Brady and Bills standing for “Boy, I love losing Superbowls”.

  26. Pats fans won’t be able to use that as an excuse for finishing lower than the Jets, though

  27. packerbacker says:
    May 13, 2022 at 8:10 am

    Can we get rid of the Thursday night games yet? A lot of people miss every Monday and Thursday game because of work.

    There is no way in hell the league is going to give up the Thursday game… it’s the only one they broadcast live on NFL network.

  28. While this is an interesting metric and given the choice I would rather have the rest advantage than not have it, still seems to me such a theoretical advantage will, in practice, depend on the specific injury situations for the Bills and their opponents each week. Depending on the significance of your injuries, a longer rest period may or may not mean too much, and if you are healthy a shorter rest period may be just fine.

  29. Maybe the league is tired of Dallas choking every year so now they have a new favorite!

  30. H C Runfola says:
    May 13, 2022 at 8:07 am
    Wondering if there’s any stats that can show that this has any real advantage.
    ___________________________________________________________________________________________
    On average, teams have won 57.2 percent of their games straight up after coming off a bye week since 2011.
    Also it is just common sense. In every sport the oddsmakers consider the rest difference.

  31. I have seen no study or proof that having that “extra rest” makes any difference. In fact, many teams appear rusty coming off of a bye.

    Now, if the advantage is near the end of the season when everyone is tired, sure, it MAY make a difference. But most of the Bills so-called “advantage” is done by week 8

  32. If it cannot be the Patriots, I would still love to see the Bills in the Super Bowl vs Brady. How incredible would that be? Everything on the line for the Bills. Vanquish all their demons in one moment or continue the legacy of losing to Brady and Bills standing for “Boy, I love losing Superbowls”.
    —-
    Tommy is never playing in another Super Bowl ever again. Book it.

    I’m not sold his team is even making the playoffs.

  33. I guess now that the Patriot are done winning, their fans will be occupied making references to 13 seconds and 3-decade old SB losses for the team they’ll be looking up to in the standings.

    Sounds fun.

  34. The fix is in! Nah, “net rest differential”? That’s not a thing…

  35. Now if Buffalo could find a way to win close games… 0-6 in one score games last year…

  36. billsrthefuture says:
    May 13, 2022 at 12:41 pm
    I guess now that the Patriot are done winning, their fans will be occupied making references to 13 seconds and 3-decade old SB losses for the team they’ll be looking up to in the standings.

    Eh we still have to not just hear about the helmet catch but see it all the time in highlights. At least Scott Norwood’s miss doesn’t get that treatment.

  37. In contrast to consistent rest disadvantage given to patriots during their 20 year dynasty. Didn’t stop them and bills have already squandered 2 years of their excellent qb cost advantage.

  38. nytro says:
    May 13, 2022 at 8:37 am
    Patriots fan’s heads explode in 3, 2, 1….

    —————————-

    How come?

  39. The Patriots should still win the divison as they have the most upside. They would have won it last season if not for Mac Jones hitting his rookie wall after the bye week.

  40. pmars64 says:

    May 13, 2022 at 1:26 pm

    Now if Buffalo could find a way to win close games… 0-6 in one score games last year…

    ____________________________________

    And 12 wins by double digit points.

  41. I find it funny how Bills fans feel disrespected and like their team was never good. They went to four straight Superbowls, yeah they lost but there was enough success for the Bills to be sick of them.
    Now, the Bills mafia talk smack as though they’ve won the last three Superbowls. Funny.

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