Where will Jalen Hurts land on the quarterback contract scale?

Philadelphia Eagles Offseason Workout
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Several years ago, the process for negotiating second contracts for quarterbacks was simple. If the quarterback generally fell onto the right side of the pass/fail line of performance, he’d become the highest-paid player in league history. Until the next quarterback who was due for a new deal signed his.

That has changed, with a much broader range of contracts among the highest-paid quarterbacks in the league. Instead of tiers, it’s a scale that stretches (for now) from $30 million per year up to $50 million per year.

So where will Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts land on that scale? Eliot Shorr-Parks of WIP radio recently suggested that, after the coming season, the Eagles will give hurts a “massive” deal in the range of $35 million to $40 million per year.

Frankly, “massive” is relative. To the average person, yes. To the average highly-paid quarterback, no.

By next year, if/when Russell Wilson, Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, Joe Burrow, and/or Justin Herbert get new deals, “massive” could easily be $60 million per year. Maybe more. The challenge for the Eagles will be finding the right spot for Hurts among the other quarterbacks.

His performance this year will be a major factor. With receiver A.J. Brown on the team, Hurts will be expected to do more as a passer. If he does, he’ll earn a better deal.

The Eagles, frankly, could be hoping to carve out a quarterback budget that allows them to put plenty of great players around Hurts. And maybe Hurts will go along with that approach.

However it plays out, the Eagles will have a one-year window to get him signed, since he has only a four-year contract with no fifth-year option. If they can’t, he’ll either hit the open market or be tagged.

One thing we’ve learned in recent years is this: For teams who have quarterbacks they know they want to keep, the sooner they get them signed to a new contract, the better. The Eagles can re-sign Hurts upon the conclusion of his third NFL regular season. Waiting will only make the eventual contract more and more valuable.

49 responses to “Where will Jalen Hurts land on the quarterback contract scale?

  1. It all depends how well he grows as a passer. He has no excuses with the talent surrounding him but $35 mill/yr sounds probable.

    What you don’t want to do is give a QB who is one quad injury (ie. being unable to run) from being a backup quality QB (ie. Lamar Jackson) franchise money.

  2. As an Eagles fan, before we decide how much his contract will be, let’s just wait and see how he performs this season behind what should be a very good o-line and with a fairly strong set of skill position players. Likeable though he may be, Hurts looked to be a barely league average QB last year to me, anyway. I don’t believe he sees the field well, he doesn’t seem to read defenses, and his arm talent appears middling at best.

  3. minshew will be starting by game 7, he is a much better all around qb than hurts and players rally behind him, he is a blue collar qb, cant seem to say the same thing about hurts

  4. Teams are over paying for guys that won’t be able to make the team better once they eat all the cap dollars. What was Russel Wilson’s cap number when he won a title vs the times they didn’t? You pay Hurts top dollar you won’t have all those pieces around him. Murray and Lamar are two other guys who can’t carry a team. I wouldn’t pay Herbert yet either, guy can’t beat the Texans or Raiders to get in the playoffs. Very few guys are Rodgers, Brady and Mahomes, paying them like they are only hurts your team.

  5. He should be paid like a mediocre running back, that occasionally completes a pass.

  6. Hurts is mediocre at best, we only hear about him because he is a media darling. There is no way that he is worth more than $10 million. However I get the sense that the media will do for Hurts what they did for Prescott and overhype him and demand that the Eagles overpay regardless of Hurts’ low ceiling and inability to pass or read NFL defenses.

  7. Weren’t the Eagles basically a .500 team last year? Unless they take an impressive step forward, particularly by the way of Hurts and his performance, why are we even talking about a contract extension and numbers? Seems more an IF at this stage than a HOW MUCH…

  8. Jalen Hurts hasn’t proven to be worth anywhere near even top 15 money yet. Hurts wasn’t good last year really, he still a ton of developing to do as a passer as he’s not a good NFL passer and leaves an awful lot to be desired as a passer. He’s supposed to be better this year but given his flaws I don’t see him getting much better as a passer inside of one single off season but we will soon find out

  9. I guess this is the problem with “red shirting” potential franchise QB’s- especially without the 1st round option year. Hurts hasn’t done anything yet. Certainly not enough to justify a huge new contract. But unless he plays horribly and they decide to move on, they can’t risk letting him hit free agency.

  10. eagleswin says:
    June 29, 2022 at 11:11 am
    It all depends how well he grows as a passer. He has no excuses with the talent surrounding him but $35 mill/yr sounds probable.

    What you don’t want to do is give a QB who is one quad injury (ie. being unable to run) from being a backup quality QB (ie. Lamar Jackson) franchise money.
    ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Now tell us why Lamar has a higher completion percentage average than Jalen. Oh, Jalen is only in his second season? Lamar still had a higher passing completion rate than Jalen season 2 head to head. Need I go into passing TDs? Rushing TDs? I’m not even a Lamar fan, but so easy to poke holes in your statement, since you think one would be worth $35 million and not the other.

  11. Hurts should get something along the lines of Josh Allen’s contract. Both are dual threat QBs with similar risk of injury.

  12. BuckyBadger says:
    June 29, 2022 at 11:22 am
    Teams are over paying for guys that won’t be able to make the team better once they eat all the cap dollars. What was Russel Wilson’s cap number when he won a title vs the times they didn’t? You pay Hurts top dollar you won’t have all those pieces around him. Murray and Lamar are two other guys who can’t carry a team. I wouldn’t pay Herbert yet either, guy can’t beat the Texans or Raiders to get in the playoffs. Very few guys are Rodgers, Brady and Mahomes, paying them like they are only hurts your team.
    ——————————————————————————————————

    Kyler Murray absolutely can carry a team he was doing it last year fielding an elite NFL offense that was one of the NFLs best.
    Murray ranked in the top 5 last season of almost every significant passing statistic finishing with the 6th highest overall PFF grade of 84.5, 3rd highest passing grade among QBs in the league posting an elite 88.5 grade, posted the 2nd highest deep passing grade an elite 95.9 grade, had more completions on deep passes of 20+YDs than any other NFL QB with 35 2nd CMP percentage, ranked as a top 3 deep ball accuracy all 3yrs was 2nd last year, top 5 in big time throws, 7th w/ a 100.6 passer rating, 7th in ESPNs QBR, 4th in AVG YDs/Attempt AVG 7.9 YDs per pass or 8.5YD Adjusted/AVG. And Murray has yet to hit his prime yet at just 24yrs old. Murray is an Elite QB and hovers around 3rd-7th in the QB index which changes week to week.
    Murray was the MVP favorite last season until AZs roster fell apart around him in DEC over the last 5 weeks due to INJURIES losing key players n key guys were playing injury n werent very effective n AZ didn’t have the depth to overcome it.

    This off season AZ has greatly improved their offense n depth fielding one both one of the best WR & TEs room in the NFL w/ top 3 WR in Hopkins, Now working w/ a far better passer esp deep WR Hollywood Brown stats are going to skyrocket, 2nd yr WR Rondale Moore w/ elite 4.28 speed w/ a 43.5 inch vertical is primed to breakout this year (Moore n Hollywood are going to be extremely hard to cover on the field at the same time with their elite speed n quickness) #2WR AJ Green isn’t the #1 he was but hes still a premier #2WR, 6”4WR Antoine Wesley should make a jump n YR2 n this offense n is an excellent red zone threat. At TE Arizona has one of the best TE corps n NFL between Elite receiving TE Zach Ertz who’s a beast n the pass game, rookie 6”4/250pd (4.51 40) TE Trey McBride is an excellent receiver n polished route runner excelling running intermediate n deep passes. Now fully healthy again elite run n pass blocking 6”5/270 Maxx Williams is arguably the best blocking TE n the NFL def top 3 and is an excellent above average chain moving pass catching TE who’s massively underrated.
    At Running back AZ will again have one of the best top 5-7 rushing offenses n NFL as they’re stacked at RB all four of whom excel as a receivers n will play big parts n the pass game. AZ has drafted n brought in big power backs all of the top 3 backs at least 6ft/220pds with AZ planning on using them to wear front 7s down w/ a big advantage as they can rotate them n and out to keep them fresh.

    Murray has by far the best roster n more talent around him offensively than he’s ever had with quality depth to weather injuries if they have to. Murray absolutely can carry a team and will do so again this year. Murray will be an MVP favorite once again without much trouble with an excellent chance of winning it this year as he will have a top 5 caliber offense again this year.

  13. Said it before, I’ll say it again. Hurts is a RB that can throw, not a QB that can run. Until he proves this wrong, why would the Eagles pay him QB money?

    I really hopes he proves me wrong this year, he has all the weapons he needs to shine. If not, then I think Carson Strong is a person to keep an eye on… amazing arm on that dude.

  14. stilladolphinfan says:
    June 29, 2022 at 11:18 am
    minshew will be starting by game 7, he is a much better all around qb than hurts and players rally behind him, he is a blue collar qb, cant seem to say the same thing about hurts
    —————————————————————————————-————-

    Funny thing is Minshew is actually a good QB who with a good OL in front of him could be a very good starter but teams hate the idea of him being the “franchise QB” because he’s undersized with a weaker arm, not very mobile. As a pocket QB outside of a weaker arm he doesn’t everything very well but isn’t great or exceptional at anything & isn’t mobile really at all. Still he can be a pretty good starting QB n I think if he got a chance he’d only get better n better !!!
    When AZ drafted KM number one overall in 2019 I wanted them to draft Minshew in rd5 or rd6 as Murray’s backup but I knew they wouldn’t though in hindsight that would of been the right move as he’d of better n cheaper than McCoy.

  15. Teams consistently make the same mistake: – they want a QB and have a guy who sometimes makes nice plays. They convince themselves he’s going to be a good QB and give them massive contracts.
    When has that worked out?
    Carson Wentz.
    Jarred Goff.
    Sam Bradford.

    If Hurts doesn’t play well with the talent around him the team is better off not paying 40, and instead drafting a new QB.
    The new QB may (probably) be worse, but you save > 30,000,000 per year, and that pays for a lot of upgrades.

  16. This is one of the more interesting storylines heading into the season. Conventional wisdom is that he has to play like a star to earn a new deal but I don’t think the Eagles see it that way. Howie Roseman would be perfectly happy to have Hurts improve incrementally this season – he doesn’t have to carry the team, just win – then sign him to a long term deal for half of what, say, Joe Burrow gets.

    Which will still be $25-$30 million.

  17. I think getting Andre Dillard back will be an even bigger factor than having aj brown. If he can bring it this year he deserves to get that money.

  18. I’m excited to see what Hurts can do this year with another year of development and a better supporting cast. I think he’s going to disappoint a lot of people who are desperately rooting for him to fail.

  19. Based on that playoff game against Tampa and his inability to check down to receivers or stand in the pocket, any team that invests anything significant in him is going to regret it.

  20. His price will be as a backup because that is what he is. He should worry about keeping his starting job right now because most likely he won’t.

  21. I know this won’t be a popular statement with everyone, but…

    Hurts has started 22 games (one playoff game). If you compare passing stats from Hurts’s first 22 games with Josh Allen’s, Hurts’s are actually slightly better.

    I’m not saying he’ll take off like Allen did. I’m only saying there is a world where a guy with those stats can improve.

    Given the talent surrounding Hurts, this year should be the proof in the Jello Pudding Pop.

  22. The yardstick for the future will be Justin Herbert….Big, fast and a cannon for an arm and the brains to go with it.

  23. If I were the owner of the Eagles, I would not pay Hurts a large salary. Instead I would pioneer a new QB business model, which would be to draft a QB in the 1st round every 3-4 years, just when the previous QB is due for his 2nd contract. This will drive down the ridiculous salaries of QBs since they will be replaced by rookies every 3-4 years.

  24. He has to grow as a passer. Plain and simple. They were lucky to unload Wentz deal like they did with McNabb and Sammy Sleeves. Teams are catching on and they can’t expect to do that every time. So… if he can convince them that he is worth it… he will get paid. But let’s not forget they kicked the tires on Wilson and Watson this off-season and they are not interested in mediocre play. They would rather roll the dice with a rookie while paying for talent around said rookie. Consider it that Anti Vikings approach.

    People can bash me all they want for saying this but the Eagles are a well run franchise and Huts’s legs are not going to change how they approach things. He will have to show them what his arm can do.

  25. When will these kids do a “self-reflective” analysis and do the right thing? How much is too much?

    There has to be a guy or guys out there, right or wrong, that will negotiate his own deal with a righteous sense of integrity and say, “I want $10 mil per year”, and help set up the team to go get other great players that might do the same and build a real dynasty.

    Who of these athletes is really worth > $10mil/yr? In the grand scheme of life….no pro athlete is! Its why I do not go to games….One team per week gets my attention on TV, after that, I could not care less!
    The perspective is AFU.

  26. “I think getting Andre Dillard back will be an even bigger factor than having aj brown. If he can bring it this year he deserves to get that money.”

    ——————

    If Dillard sees the field this season, it means Lane or Mailata got hurt. I expect him to be traded preseason for a day 3 pick. Maybe a 3rd rounder…..maybe.

  27. Eagles had one of the worst passing offenses last year. Davis Mills was better than Hurts. As a Eagles fan I hope Hurts can improve, accuracy was a major issue pre-draft. He has the weapons around him now. No more excuses and they have two 1sts next year in a strong QB class. Eagles also no matter how he plays in 2022 should NOT give him a new contract. They did that with Wentz. Hurts needs to string together at least two good years I think.

  28. The only way waiting costs them more money is if Hurts improves his level of play – which would be a good problem for them to have. For now, he is an average QB, and committing too soon will screw up their cap, especially if he doesn’t improve his play.

  29. He’s got a good opportunity with a better team around him this year but the whole point of having a QB like Hurts is not paying him.

  30. Weve already seen enough of him to say NO WAY in hell he’s gets a top dollar deal and if he doesn’t like it let him walk.

  31. Patrick says:
    June 29, 2022 at 2:34 pm
    He’s got a good opportunity with a better team around him this year but the whole point of having a QB like Hurts is not paying him.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    Bingo

  32. In 22 starts Minshew has 41 TDs and 12 INTs and a 94 PR, with crappy teams. The guy is gold sitting right under the NFL’s noses.

  33. Hurts? Offer him 18 million. He can take it or leave it. He has proven nothing in the NFL.

  34. Hurts is a likeable guy who’s well known for his work ethic. He’s respected by his teammates. I think he steps it up this year. The addition of AJ Brown can’t be understated. Brown, Smith and Goedert are a legit trio of pass catchers. Quez Watkins is no joke either.
    Don’t be surprised if Hurts silences his critics this season. Also don’t be surprised if he takes a lower than expected contract, and the eagles don’t use their 2 firsts next year to replace him.

  35. 19th ranked QB last season which is below average. He has to be in the top 10 this year with the talent around him. The Eagles will either get a veteran QB or draft one next season with the two #1s if he struggles.

  36. IF he adds 7% to 8% to his completon percentage, 800-900 yards to yardage, 10 to 12 TD’s to touchdown total, he’ll be top 12. Better players are now on the roster to help. The ‘better’ or improved QB play should make them be more competitive in 3 or 4 more games and maybe win a playoff and be compettive in a divisional playoff or NFC championship game.
    IF you do it, you become the franchise QB, IF you don’t, use the 2 x first rounders next year to get the next QB.

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