Taking a closer look at the NFL’s case against Deshaun Watson

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The NFL and the NFL Players Association spent three days last week submitting evidence and argument regarding the question of whether Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson should be suspended to start the 2022 season and, if so, the number of games he’ll miss. Judge Sue L. Robinson eventually will issue a decision, subject to an appeal by either party (unless she finds that no discipline should be imposed at all).

So what was the NFL’s actual case against Watson? It’s one thing to repeatedly insist on a suspension of at least one year. It’s another to have the evidence that, when combined with the Personal Conduct Policy, will justify that kind of a punishment.

When considering the sheer number of accusations against Watson, it’s hard not to think something happened that would justify a suspension. With 24 lawsuits filed (20 have been settled) and, per the New York Times, at least 66 different women hired via social media for private massages — and given the admission that Watson had sexual encounters with at least three of the women who sued him — it seems reasonable to conclude that Watson had a habit of arranging private massages with strangers and trying to steer the massages toward consensual sexual encounters.

But that apparently wasn’t the evidence the league presented. After interviewing only 12 of the women who have made allegations against Watson, the league presented evidence as to five persons who provided massages to Watson. The 24 lawsuits, the 66 or more strangers who were retained for private massages, and the allegation made in at least one of the lawsuits that the actual number exceeds 100 apparently weren’t part of the case against him.

The NFL’s case focused on five people. And, as PFT reported last week, that evidence included no proof of violence or threats or any type of physical conduct that would constitute actual assault.

The Personal Conduct Policy expressly prohibits “assault and/or battery, including sexual assault or other sex offenses.” If there’s no sexual assault, that specific provision of the policy hasn’t been violated.

And that’s the provision that creates a baseline suspension of six games per offense. Here’s the key language of the policy: “With regard to violations of the Policy that involve: (i) criminal assault or battery (felony); (ii) domestic violence, dating violence, child abuse and other forms of family violence; or (iii) sexual assault involving physical force or committed against someone incapable of giving consent, a first violation will subject the violator to a baseline suspension without pay of six games, with possible upward or downward adjustments based on any aggravating or mitigating factors.”

Without proof of “sexual assault involving physical force or committed against someone incapable of giving consent,” there’s no violation of that specific provision. (It’s possible that the league will try to argue that the circumstances suggest that the persons were not capable of giving consent, but that typically refers to someone who is underage or incapacitated in some way, for example, someone who is unconscious due to alcohol or drug consumption.)

Absent evidence of an actual sexual assault, the league’s case rests on two catch-all provisions at the bottom of a list of bullet points in the policy: (1) “conduct that poses a genuine danger to the safety and well-being of another person”; and (2) “conduct that undermines or puts at risk the integrity of the NFL, NFL clubs, or NFL personnel.” The argument would be that Watson’s habit of trying to steer massages toward sexual encounters falls within either or both of these prohibitions.

But that’s where the lack of discipline for Patriots owner Robert Kraft complicates the league’s case. If no action was taken against Kraft for having a massage that allegedly became a sexual encounter, how can the league discipline Watson for the same thing?

The difference, of course, is that the evidence against Watson ultimately centers on the fact that he allegedly tried, repeatedly, to make massages into sexual encounters. Kraft was never accused of doing that, by anyone.

For the NFL, that may be the best, strongest argument to present to Judge Robinson in the written briefs due next week. Watson, they’ll argue, posed a genuine danger to the safety and well-being of another and/or undermined or put at risk the integrity of the NFL, NFL clubs, or NFL personnel by repeatedly arranging private massages and trying to make them into sexual encounters.

It’s unclear whether this practice was firmly established in the evidence submitted at last week’s hearing. Although the NFL focused on five women, Watson could have been questioned at length on the full extent of his habit. Did he admit that he tried to make massages into sexual encounters? If he denied it, was his testimony credible?

Then there’s the question of whether the NFL may have deliberately scaled back the effort to create the impression that Watson’s behavior extended so broadly in light of the lawsuit filed Monday (the timing may have been not coincidental) against the Texans for allegedly knowing about Watson’s alleged habit and taking no steps to protect the women who eventually found out during the massages that he would try to make it something else.

While it’s impossible to know the specific extent of the league’s argument based on an alleged habit of making massages into something other than massages without seeing the full transcript of the hearing, that could be the key to determining whether Judge Robinson would have a way to distinguish Watson’s behavior from Kraft’s and to impose discipline based not on any actual assault but on the alleged practice of trying to make massages into sexual encounters.

The answers will appear in Judge Robinson’s written decision. She’ll need to craft a ruling that clearly explains her factual findings and that outlines in basic terms the way the Personal Conduct Policy applies to those facts to result in discipline. Absent proof of sexual assaults and given that the Kraft precedent makes it very difficult to punish Watson for engaging in massages that became consensual sexual encounters, Judge Robinson likely will be able to discipline Watson only if she finds that he was engaged in a habit of trying to make massages into sexual encounters, and if she believes that this behavior runs afoul of either or both of the two catch-all prohibitions of the Personal Conduct Policy.

That’s why the NFL’s effort to discipline Watson is so different from the criminal process (which resulted in no indictments) and the civil lawsuits that are still pending. For the league, the controlling principles appear in the Personal Conduct Policy. The facts will be determined by Judge Robinson, based on the evidence that was presented to her.

She’ll make the decision. If she chooses to impose any discipline at all, the league will have to decide whether to appeal to the Commissioner for a greater punishment. But the factual findings made by Judge Robinson are, by rule, binding on the Commissioner.

Whatever the final outcome, it will need to be explained in a way that that will be understandable and satisfactory to those who may have a hard time reconciling the 24 lawsuits and the evidence suggesting that Watson had a habit of arranging manages and trying to make them into sexual encounters with something less than a one-year suspension.

40 responses to “Taking a closer look at the NFL’s case against Deshaun Watson

  1. In a weird way, I want the Judge to say that Watson gets a Zero game suspension based off of precedent.

    After the Deflategate fiasco, I just want the League to lose due to the Kangaroo Court they set up to railroad players (and we are still waiting on those “spot check PSIs”)

    This would be the ONLY way for Goodell to lose all his power as Judge/Jury/Executioner.

    This could also cost Goodell his job, as the owners would be angry at SOMEONE for all the egg they would have on their face.

    By the way, Goodell is the ONLY Commissioner with this power, and he is the ONLY commissioner who does NOT have a background in law.

  2. The union better defend him fully and publicly. Kraft was on video and got nothing.

  3. Enough money and you can throw up a lot of dust. After a while you can gaslight people into believing almost anything. Even when the plain truth stares you right in the face.

  4. This is the best article on this dilemma I have read on PFT.

    If the NFL’s focus is on his repeated attempts to turn massages into sexual encounters, wouldn’t that apply to any situation where an NFL employee tries to turn an encounter into a consensual sexual event?

  5. Abhorrent behavior that damages the brand basically sums it up, and apparently no defined suspension as there is for assault? He’ll be playing by October.
    In the real world this jerk would be fired and out the door, not making 230 million.

  6. The biggest issue between Kraft and Watson is the lack of victims for Kraft. Where Kraft engaged in behavior that might not meet some moral standards, there are no victims or anyone claiming illegal behavior. Watson has at least 24 (and possibly more to come) victims claiming that he engaged in illegal behavior.

    In addition, Watson has done nothing to help himself in this regard, by allowing it to remain in the news for over a year. I am sure there are many people out there who have no idea about Kraft’s situation, but even non football fans are aware of Watson’s proclivities. This brings a stain on the shield too.

    I can’t speak to what the NFL presented in the case, and based on your writings, I wonder if the league wants to appear tough (suspension for at least one year), while tanking the case so that minimal or possibly no punishment is actually given out.

  7. The lack of factual evidence should remind everyone of the importance of the term Innocent until Proven Guilty. PFT finally decided to write the best content on this topic.

  8. In the grand jury proceedings the prosecutor allegedly hinted to the grand jury members that Watson might get justice in the future through civil court proceedings. The NFL doesn’t have that option of defaulting to letting someone else deliver justice, does it? Is the CFL gonna stand up and give Watson a suspension? The XFL? The League’s going to have to do what’s right.

  9. nyfootballgiants says:
    July 4, 2022 at 8:50 am

    The biggest issue between Kraft and Watson is the lack of victims for Kraft. Where Kraft engaged in behavior that might not meet some moral standards, there are no victims or anyone claiming illegal behavior. Watson has at least 24 (and possibly more to come) victims claiming that he engaged in illegal behavior.

    ===============

    Two grand juries and the NFL did not find any evidence that illegal behavior occurred between Watson and any of the accusers. No force, no coercion, no violence, nothing.

    Kraft on the other hand, paid for sex which is illegal. They actually filed charges against Kraft but it was thrown out because the camera that captured him engaging in the act was unconstitutional.

  10. Big Ben got a six-game suspension (reduced to four after he started serving it) and that was for two accusations….no charges, no evidence.

    How does that figure in? Like Watson, he was a bigtime QB who was one of the faces of the league?

  11. 24 women saying Watson harassed them is enough to get him suspended no matter the evidence!!! If the NFL doesn’t suspend him for more than a year, this will send the wrong message. He should possibly be banned for life if any more accusations come up. The Browns are also a disgrace for signings him!

  12. So Mike, if I read this right, DeShaun Watson, could get a pass on this. That is pretty amazing. And as one commenter said, this would be a blow to Goddell, and maybe be the beginning of the end for him. There was no violence, and what it seems to be he is guilty of is being really horny, bad judgement, and a bit creepy. I look forward to what unfolds.

  13. Apparently the NFLPA is fine with their union members acting as Watson did. They have not done a single thing to punish him or any union members mis conduct.

  14. Watson has been very busy. It will be interesting to see how he behaves when he comes out the other side of all this.

  15. Jamie Wheeler says:
    July 4, 2022 at 9:19 am
    The lack of factual evidence should remind everyone of the importance of the term Innocent until Proven Guilty. PFT finally decided to write the best content on this topic.
    _____________

    The principle of innocent until proven guilty applies ONLY in a court of law. The general public is free to speculate and opine regarding the status of anyone.

  16. nyfootballgiants says:
    July 4, 2022 at 8:50 am
    Where Kraft engaged in behavior that might not meet some moral standards, there are no victims or anyone claiming illegal behavior.

    ———————————————

    I think the Florida DA would disagree.

  17. People keep bringing up the Kraft case and yes the league blew it by not punishing him but just because they messed up and did the wrong thing in the past does not mean that they can’t do the right thing in the present with Watson.

  18. HagemeisterPark says:
    July 4, 2022 at 10:45 am
    Apparently the NFLPA is fine with their union members acting as Watson did. They have not done a single thing to punish him or any union members mis conduct.
    ____________

    That is not the NFLPA’s job or purpose. The union is legally obligated to represent it’s members. Denouncing a member would be a breach of the NFLPA’s fiduciary duty.

  19. As usuual you are player-centric. He should be fired, banned from the league. In any other business an employee who acted inappropriately towards multiple women would be fired. There would be no need for assault, physical contact or crominal behavior. The inappropriate behavior would be enough.

  20. gibson45 says:
    July 4, 2022 at 12:09 pm

    That is not the NFLPA’s job or purpose.
    ————————–
    Exactly. So they are fine with misconduct.

  21. Coupon Email says:
    July 4, 2022 at 9:24 am

    Two grand juries and the NFL did not find any evidence that illegal behavior occurred between Watson and any of the accusers. No force, no coercion, no violence, nothing
    ____________

    Grand juries do not find evidence. Instead, they act upon whatever information the prosecutors decide to present. The two grand jury proceedings in Watson’s situation mean nothing.

  22. 2borknot says:
    July 4, 2022 at 10:47 am
    Watson has been very busy. It will be interesting to see how he behaves when he comes out the other side of all this.

    ————–

    That’s the thing I worry about the most. Is the creepy behavior going to persist or escalate or will he be able to change for the better.

  23. “Denouncing a member would be a breach of the NFLPA’s fiduciary duty.”

    “Fiduciary” doesn’t mean what you think it means.

  24. “The two grand jury proceedings in Watson’s situation mean nothing.”

    Correct. And since there have been no court proceedings, we are left with accusations and denials.

  25. justice sure does move slow… he’s probably going to be too old to play by the time it actually comes to a conclusion

  26. it seems reasonable to conclude that Watson had a habit of arranging private massages with strangers and trying to steer the massages toward consensual sexual encounters.

    ————

    Nothing remotely illegal there

  27. Nothing remotely illegal there
    _________________________________

    Nothing illegal because harrassment is nit s crime. But Watson was employing them for massage therapy. His conduct by his own admission is harrassment, and given he was acting as employer/supervisor, was also coercive. In real world, Watson is terminated, for cause.

  28. try to review the facts without preconceived notions of morality…because what he most likely did was immoral, at best, but that is not the point. whether we like it or not.
    did he violate the policy? I’m not sure he did.

  29. Sorry but the numbers being thrown around for what he was offering for a “massage”, nobody in their right mind wouldn’t think it was a strange amount….. just for a “massage”. If the prosecutor had more damning evidence he should’ve presented it to the grand jury. The problem is there is clearly nothing to present.

  30. Watson was looking for and demanding prostitution services. That is a crime in many states.

  31. How dense are people? The Kraft comparisons are so stupid. Kraft went to a spa that provided certain services that arent legal to provide for pay. He got caught (via illegal video surveillance) purchasing those services. It was completely consensual, though not legal. Ultimately, because the bust was not righteous, he got away with it (second reminder, his acts were consensual), having only his reputation tarnished. Watson on the other hand sexually assaulted (allegedly) more than 25 women. Not consensual. Forced sexual activity. These are not the same things.

  32. This is about a series of crimes that would be extremely difficult to prove on an individual basis, he said she said, but that this many women have come forward to tell their story, and that the solution from Watsons attorneys was settlement, should be more than enough to result in a substantial suspension…no one should be silenced for this level of crime against women.

  33. Owners and players should be treated alike. Even though Kraft wiggled off the hook he still tarnished the NFL’s image, and everybody knows it, especially Goodell….

  34. Tired_Of_Being_Censored says:
    July 5, 2022 at 7:43 am
    How dense are people? The Kraft comparisons are so stupid. Kraft went to a spa that provided certain services that arent legal to provide for pay. He got caught (via illegal video surveillance) purchasing those services. It was completely consensual, though not legal. Ultimately, because the bust was not righteous, he got away with it (second reminder, his acts were consensual), having only his reputation tarnished. Watson on the other hand sexually assaulted (allegedly) more than 25 women. Not consensual. Forced sexual activity

    ——-

    What is dense is your claim that Watson forced himself in any of the women. None of them have claimed that occurred.

  35. fmcken says:
    July 5, 2022 at 10:27 am
    This is about a series of crimes that would be extremely difficult to prove on an individual basis, he said she said, but that this many women have come forward to tell their story, and that the solution from Watsons attorneys was settlement, should be more than enough to result in a substantial suspension…no one should be silenced for this level of crime against women.

    ==============================

    It was determined that NO crimes were commited, sheesh….

  36. I’m skeptical of almost all conspiracy theories but I can’t get rid of this nagging thought that the NFL wants to lose this, a lot like how the DA’s failed to indict their ham sandwiches. Like they just want this over with and by October, no one is talking about it anymore. The chatter about people in the front office wanting him suspended for a year would be part of the conspiracy, part of a smoke screen. They want to sound tough and not tolerating such behavior and then have Judge Robinson impose no discipline so then they can throw up their hands and say “we tried but the rules and this judge’s ruling won’t let us.” Their reported tactics and evidence just seem weak, and intentionally so. They gave Judge Robinson the path out.

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