Which quarterback will be the next to get a fully-guaranteed deal?

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The Browns gave quarterback Deshaun Watson a five-year, fully-guaranteed contract. Because they basically had to.

The Cardinals managed to sign quarterback Kyler Murray to a five-year extension with less than half of the $230.5 million value fully guaranteed. On one hand, Murray had far less leverage than Watson, who basically engineered a free-agency tour. On the other hand, Cardinals owner Michael Bidwill either wouldn’t or couldn’t dump $170 million or so into escrow by the end of next March.

The next quarterback in line for a new contract is Lamar Jackson of the Ravens. Will he get a fully-guaranteed contract?

In March, after the Browns gave Watson his fully-guaranteed deal, Ravens owner Steve Bisciotti spoke out against it, explaining that “it’ll make negotiations harder with others.” As in with Jackson.

Bisciotti, based on his comments, presumably doesn’t want to give Jackson a fully guaranteed deal, assuming that he even has the ability to plunk so much money into escrow.

If Jackson isn’t the next quarterback to get a fully-guaranteed deal, here’s who likely will: Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson.

Wilson benefits from the fact that Rob Walton and Greg Penner soon will buy the team. Walton has a net worth of nearly $70 billion. Walton can sneeze out the escrow check.

Besides, the Broncos already will be operating from a position of weakness, given what they gave up to get Wilson. Throw in the fact that Wilson’s agent, Mark Rodgers (who has one NFL client), typically drives a hard bargain on Wilson’s behalf, and Wilson likely will be the next quarterback to get every penny guaranteed from the moment he signs.

For other veteran quarterbacks, the ability to get fully-guaranteed contracts could hinge on playing for teams with ultra-rich owners. And that could be one way for certain teams to attract certain players. As more teams adopt Mike Tomlin’s position that they’d rather have volunteers than hostages, a quarterback looking for maximum security who plays for an owner who can’t or won’t provide it may decide to try to finagle a trade to an owner who will.

It likely wouldn’t be the deciding factor, but it can easily become an important consideration. Every penny of a massive deal guaranteed at signing, versus a long-term deal with guarantees that peter out in three years. Getting that kind of security is important. All things being equal, why wouldn’t a player want to have his contract fully guaranteed?

Wilson likely will want it. Wilson likely will get it.

20 responses to “Which quarterback will be the next to get a fully-guaranteed deal?

  1. I don’t think it will be Lamar. Already seemingly at odds and he relies on his legs. Don’t see Baltimre doing that deal. I think it will be Russ. They gave up so much to get him, they are fully committed.

  2. It’s too easy for other teams to counter by pointing out the Browns are idiots, especially if Watson doesn’t play this year or just plays average.

  3. slamdunc1071 says:
    July 25, 2022 at 2:14 pm
    Joe Burrow

    *******************
    They can’t even guarantee his safety.

  4. I’m sure when they do, it will be to someone else equally deserving as Watson…
    .

  5. Russel Wilson, don’t really see him playing after this year without a fully guaranteed and significantly more than Watson type contract. Once Walton is approved as owner his first call will be from Mark Rodgers with the terms for Russ’s new contract as a take it or leave it type deal.

  6. Give guaranteed deals. Just don’t make them for so many years that you ruin the teams future if it doesn’t work out.

  7. Watson will want a new deal if any of these guys get more guaranteed $$$, will hold out…

  8. Sooner or later, a team is going to give out one of these 10 year $500 million contracts to a QB. The QB is then gonna suffer a career ending injury of day 1 of the next training camp. That will put an end to this nonsense.

  9. A guaranteed contract is nice if it’s guaranteed against injury. To guarantee one against stupidity though, is well….stupid.

  10. I’d give Lame a guaranteed $1 contract for five years based solely on his running. And then I’d offer him a conditional $1 for each pass he throws that is completed for five yards or more. And if he throws 30 passes and completes 75% of them, he gets $1 million per game. If he runs for more than six times, he loses all game pay.

  11. Watson was 4-12 his last season as a starter and he had DeAndre Hopkins at wr

  12. There is zero chance DeCosta gives Lamar a guaranteed contract. Zero. They know he’s at best partially-damaged goods, and they are concerned about the trendlines of his last two years. The only people who refer to “the 2019 MVP” are the media. If Lamar hasn’t gotten a long term deal in place and doesn’t significantly improve his play, he’s in big trouble. The narrative that Lamar is elite is only spun in the media and amongst Ravens fans. Everyone else in football just looks at the facts and his trendlines and concludes he’s like every other running QB in the NFL over history.

  13. RunItGunIt says:
    July 26, 2022 at 1:55 pm
    There is zero chance DeCosta gives Lamar a guaranteed contract. Zero. They know he’s at best partially-damaged goods, and they are concerned about the trendlines of his last two years. The only people who refer to “the 2019 MVP” are the media. If Lamar hasn’t gotten a long term deal in place and doesn’t significantly improve his play, he’s in big trouble. The narrative that Lamar is elite is only spun in the media and amongst Ravens fans. Everyone else in football just looks at the facts and his trendlines and concludes he’s like every other running QB in the NFL over history.

    ———————————————————————-

    EVERYONE that knows football knows that the RAVENS were decimated by injuries last year and he was the one that carried the RAVENS to an 8-3 record before getting hurt himself.

  14. Baltimore is tariffed paying Lamar Jackson 160 m over 4 years and those that aren’t biased know why .

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