Josh Allen continues to be the MVP favorite, through three weeks

There’s a long way to go in the 2022 NFL regular season, with much to still be determined. For now, though, the sports books have determined that Bills quarterback Josh Allen continues to be the favorite to win the league MVP award.

Via BetMGM, Allen sits at +275 to secure the top on-field prize in the sport.

Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes lands next on the list, at +500. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (the AFC offensive player of the month for September) is +550.

The lowest odds in the NFC belong to Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts, at +700. Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert and Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa are at +1400.

At +2000 are Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers and Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford. Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is +2500. Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady and Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence come in at +3000, and Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray has +4000 odds.

The reality continues to be that the MVP will, barring a record-setting statistical performance, likely be the quarterback from the No. 1 seed in the NFC or the AFC. That makes a guy like Brady, at 30-1, an intriguing bet. If the Bucs capture the top seed in the NFC, Brady has an inside track — especially given his track record.

Ditto for Rodgers. At 20-1, the guy who has won the last two MVP awards could be a good bet, given the possibility that the Packers finish with the top seed.

And it’s looking inevitable that it will be a quarterback who eventually wins the award. Through three weeks, few receivers or running backs have muscled into the conversation. Bills receiver Stefon Diggs could become a candidate, but it would be very difficult for him to overcome Allen. Browns running back Nick Chubb has a chance, but he’s probably need to set the single-season rushing record, or come close to it.

7 responses to “Josh Allen continues to be the MVP favorite, through three weeks

  1. Brady is 14th in the league in rating and 22nd in the league in passing yards. MVP? Lolololol. Lol. Good one.

  2. Arguably the best QB in the league and the best RB on his team.
    Yeah, he deserves it most cause he’s carrying his team more than any other player in the league.

  3. guitarkevin says:
    September 29, 2022 at 10:57 am
    The MVP always goes to a QB, so why not just rename the award?

    ======================================================================

    It does not and should not always be.

    Just like the SB MVP should not always be the QB but the media constantly find ways to make it so.

  4. malcomreynolds says:
    September 29, 2022 at 2:21 pm
    Arguably the best QB in the league and the best RB on his team.
    Yeah, he deserves it most cause he’s carrying his team more than any other player in the league __________________________________________

    You could literally say the same thing about Lamar Jackson except he didn’t miss a wide open receiver in the end zone during the 4th quarter of a tight game like Allen did last week or spike the ball with zeroes on the clock.

  5. mikecrabtreeschain says:
    September 29, 2022 at 3:38 pm

    malcomreynolds says:
    September 29, 2022 at 2:21 pm
    Arguably the best QB in the league and the best RB on his team.
    Yeah, he deserves it most cause he’s carrying his team more than any other player in the league __________________________________________

    You could literally say the same thing about Lamar Jackson except he didn’t miss a wide open receiver in the end zone during the 4th quarter of a tight game like Allen did last week or spike the ball with zeroes on the clock.
    __________________________________________

    You could, but then someone might bring up the fact that the Dolphins scored 28 points nearly-unanswered points against the Ravens in the fourth quarter, and Lamar failed to score a single point in that entire quarter. Couldn’t get them more than a field goal, and when Justin Tucker’s your kicker, you don’t really need to do much to get in field goal range. That’s also a dumb argument, but here we are.

    The MVP isn’t going to be decided by what players couldn’t do right on a single play or even a single game — and to be honest, both Lamar and Josh put up good numbers against the Dolphins. But nitpicking about one bad throw when Allen leads the league in fewest off-target throws at 8%, and specifically leads Lamar in completion percentage, 71.2% to 63.6%, makes you look like you have no idea what’s actually going on.

    To be clear, I think Josh, Lamar, and Jalen are the clear frontrunners in the MVP convo, and they’re all well ahead of everyone else.

    (If Tua contributed with his legs at all, he’d be in the mix, but as it stands, he’s looking at some missed games that might affect whether the Dolphins can even make the playoffs, so…)

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