PFT’s Week 6 2022 NFL picks

Philadelphia Eagles v Dallas Cowboys
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Yes, it’s already Week Six. Finally, the byes begin. Which means fewer opportunities to get games right.

And fewer opportunities to get games wrong.

Last week, I had another 12-4 performance. MDS went 11-5.

For the year, I’m at 49-30-1. MDS is 41-38-1.

This week, we disagree on five games. For all selections, keep scrolling.

Commanders (even) at Bears

MDS’s take: This should be the NFL’s second consecutive lousy Thursday night game, between two teams that appear to be having some buyer’s remorse about their quarterbacks. I have a little more faith in Justin Fields than in Carson Wentz.

MDS’s pick: Bears 16, Commanders 13.

Florio’s take: The short week is a bad week for any team to have a distraction created by the coach misspeaking. The misstep should help the Bears get back to .500.

Florio’s pick: Bears 20, Commanders 13.

49ers (-5.5) at Falcons

MDS’s take: The 49ers are now the clear favorites in the NFC West, and they’ll cruise against a Falcons team that isn’t going anywhere in the NFC South.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 27, Falcons 17.

Florio’s take: The 49ers don’t mess around with inferior foes; they dismantle them.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 30, Falcons 13.

Patriots (+2.5) at Browns

MDS’s take: The Browns have a good offense that should be able to move the ball against the Patriots, and I don’t trust rookie quarterback Bailey Zappe to put many points on the board even against a bad Cleveland defense.

MDS’s pick: Browns 24, Patriots 17.

Florio’s take: The Patriots are getting better. The Browns are becoming too inconsistent.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 24, Browns 20.

Jets (+7.5) at Packers

MDS’s take: Aaron Rodgers was right when he said that the Packers haven’t played four good quarters yet this season. I don’t think they’ll play a great game on Sunday, either, but I don’t think they’ll need to play a great game to beat the Jets.

MDS’s pick: Packers 27, Jets 24.

Florio’s take: The Packers are having a hard time putting inferior teams away. The Jets may not be all that inferior.

Florio’s pick: Packers 27, Jets 20.

Jaguars (+2) at Colts

MDS’s take: Early in the season I thought the Jaguars were making a lot of progress toward turning the franchise around. Sunday’s loss to the Texans made me reconsider that.

MDS’s pick: Colts 24, Jaguars 20.

Florio’s take: The Colts find a way to get on the right side of .500. Somehow.

Florio’s pick: Colts 20, Jaguars 17.

Vikings (-3.5) at Dolphins

MDS’s take: Top to bottom the Dolphins are the better team, but with rookie Skylar Thompson set to make the first start of his NFL career in Miami, I have to go with the Vikings.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 21, Dolphins 20.

Florio’s take: The Vikings keep doing just enough to win, thanks to plenty of good luck. Their luck runs out this week.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 24, Vikings 21.

Bengals (-1.5) at Saints

MDS’s take: The Saints’ offense turned in an impressive performance without Jameis Winston last week, but the Bengals’ defense is playing very well this season and should lead them to a win in a low-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 13, Saints 10.

Florio’s take: Joe Burrow returns to New Orleans and gets the Bengals back on the right track.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 28, Saints 20.

Ravens (-6) at Giants

MDS’s take: Give the Giants all the credit in the world for a 4-1 start in what was supposed to be a rebuilding season, but the Ravens are going to come to town and dominate them.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 30, Giants 17.

Florio’s take: Don’t be surprised if the Giants pull this one off, thanks to the knowledge of the offense carried to New York by former Ravens defensive coordinator Don Martindale.

Florio’s pick: Giants 24, Ravens 20.

Buccaneers (-8) at Steelers

MDS’s take: It’s been an ugly season for the Steelers, and it’s going to get uglier when a good Buccaneers defense gets its hands on Kenny Pickett.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 20, Steelers 7.

Florio’s take: The hole keeps getting deeper for the Steelers. It’s hard to imagine them getting embarrassed two weeks in a row.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 24, Steelers 17.

Panthers (+10) at Rams

MDS’s take: PJ Walker will be an improvement over Baker Mayfield as the Panthers’ starting quarterback, but this Panthers team has too many holes, and the Rams should cruise.

MDS’s pick: Rams 30, Panthers 20.

Florio’s take: The Rams get back on track against a team reeling from the firing of Matt Rhule.

Florio’s pick: Rams 31, Panthers 13.

Cardinals (-3) at Seahawks

MDS’s take: The Seahawks’ offense has defied all expectations with Geno Smith running the show, but at some point they’re going to come back to earth, and I think that point may come this week.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 17, Seahawks 16.

Florio’s take: The Seahawks are inconsistent. This feels like a week when they’ll be due to finagle a win.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 30, Cardinals 27.

Bills (-2.5) at Chiefs

MDS’s take: This is billed as Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes, but to me the difference is that the Bills have a better defense and better special teams.

MDS’s pick: Bills 28, Chiefs 24.

Florio’s take: This one may determine the site of the rematch. Last year, it didn’t. The Bills are the better team right now, the Chiefs are operating on a short week, and the Buffalo starters got a little extra rest during their blowout of the Steelers.

Florio’s pick: Bills 31, Chiefs 24.

Cowboys (+6) at Eagles

MDS’s take: This looked like a good game before the season, but it looks like a great game now. The Eagles will earn a hard-fought win and put themselves in prime position to walk away with the NFC East.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 27, Cowboys 20.

Florio’s take: This one could go either way. The defense gives the Cowboys a slight edge.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 20, Eagles 19.

Broncos (+4.5) at Chargers

MDS’s take: The Broncos’ offense has been abysmal this season, and I don’t see them scoring much on Monday night in Los Angeles. Justin Herbert will lead the Chargers to what should be an easy win.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 28, Broncos 14.

Florio’s take: At least this one isn’t in Denver.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 27, Broncos 16.

34 responses to “PFT’s Week 6 2022 NFL picks

  1. Idk how you are going to struggle so hard against the Raiders and beat the Buffalo Bills the following week when they’ve had 8 months of staring at this game as their chance for revenge.

    Bills have what 9 new players that would have been upgrades over the 22 that played in the divisional round?

    Chiefs lost Tyreek and their defense is worse this year.

    Bills defense will get after Mahomes and keep Kelce from his average gazillion yards unlike years past and that’s gonna be the difference.

  2. “Florio’s take: The 49ers don’t mess around with inferior foes; they dismantle them.”

    They do? That only happened last week. See Broncos, Bears. Hope you are right though.

  3. A Super Bowl 35 rematch will be a whole lot closer than the final score of that game. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Giants pull off the upset.

    Ravens 24
    Giants 21

    Bucs are the Survivor Pick of the Week.

  4. Platinum Picks of the Week: (1) The under, currently at 43.5, in the Browns/Patriots game. Two offenses that like to run, run, run, which means the clock will run as well and shorten the game considerably. Add two iffy QBs, and you have a low-scoring game: Patriots 20, Browns 16. (2) Eagles (-6) over the Cowboys. Cooper Rush, fine so far, will be facing his first big game on a big stage, national TV, before an extremely hostile crowd. He will have his hat handed to him. (Plus, whenever it’s Dallas, you have to keep in mind …. always, always, that the Cowboys are overrated.): Eagles 28, Cowboys 17.

  5. I sadly have to go against Florio and my Giants this week. The Giants are a better team than most gave them credit for, but they still dont appear to be a playoff team yet, regardless of the record. The Ravens may not be great but they are on a different level than the Giants. Ravens 27-17.

  6. 49ers over Falcons – 49ers are the more complete team… If the Falcons can get the defense to show up then it should be a good game…

    Bengals over Saints – The Bengals are in need of a ‘get right game’ and with the Saints still struggling to put together 4 strong quarters, the Bengals capitalize for the win…

    Bucs over Steelers – Steelers have conceded to let this season be a learning and developing season for a rookie at qb… Bucs defense will NOT be kind..

    Rams over Panthers – Both have been a disappointment this season BUT the Panthers far more…

  7. Congrats on Florio’s domination (so far). Personally, I don’t see the Bucs/Steelers as close as either of you. Pickett has energy, but he’s not ready and Najee Harris is the most pedestrian young RB in the League. Hard to stop a pass rush when your leading rusher has no explosiveness, and you can stop him with just your front 4.

  8. Anyone getting the feeling the Giants will walk away with a win on Sunday? Anyone getting the feeling the Cowboys will beat the Eagles?

  9. The 49ers don’t mess around with inferior foes; they dismantle them.
    Sure they do.
    Then why did they lose to the Bears & Broncos?

  10. My undefeated Eagles battling the surging Cowboys. This will be a great game! Two teams playing great football in all phases of the game. I say flip a coin, it could go either way, but fly Eagles fly!

  11. Add Vegas to the list of people that haven’t been watching the Packers.

    7.5 point favorites? Comical.

  12. The 49ers are now the clear favorites in the NFC West>>>

    Are they really? This team continues to be the media darlings of the NFL. The NFC West is mediocrity at it’s finest and still up for grabs.

  13. Why would you both purposely provoke me by picking the Bucs over the Steelers? The truest betting saying there is “the home dog is the best bet in all of football” will be true this Sunday. If you are just picking the winner though, you are probably right …. but just barely.

  14. I was going to take the Bears tonight, but whenever MDS and Florio are aligned on the pick for the Thursday night game, the team they pick against wins at an extraordinarily high rate.

  15. Florio’s take: The Vikings keep doing just enough to win, thanks to plenty of good luck. Their luck runs out this week.
    Not sure what he means here. Beat the Bears by 7. No luck in stripping the ball away. But had the lead anyway. Beat the Saints. They couldn’t make a 61 yarder to send to OT. Not lucky for them maybe. Great play by Cousins in 2 minute drill to beat the Lions. KJ Osborn beat his man easily. Man handled the Packers. No luck involved in these games. Just good play to win in close games.

  16. Patriots 23 Browns 16 The Browns have Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt but not much of a passing attack look for Brissett to give away some gifts to his old team. Zappe won’t do much but just enough along with some Stevenson downhill running to get the Pats season back on track

    Bills 38 Chiefs 31 High scoring affair with Allen getting the upper hand thanks to getting the ball last.

    Vikings 27 Dolphins 20 Without Tua the Dolphins will have to rely on their defense and I do not trust them enough yet.’

    Packers 30 Jets 17 Rodgers will come out angry after last week plus the Packers defense will force multiple turnovers off of Zach Wilson.

    Bucs 30 Steelers 10 Steelers are the worst team I have seen in the AFC so far. Look for the Bucs as a whole to have a field day against the Steelers.

  17. Can you imagine how awful tonight’s game will be. Chicago has no offense. Period. Washington’s fading defense should be able to handle that if the Alablubber boys can get together without fighting. Now on offense, should Carson Yutz start, I suspect there could be three sacks in the first quarter with one taking out Yutz. Then Heinicke comes in and shows why he isn’t physically talented but can run the offense as designed and can find 17 wide open when needed. The Washington Heinicke’s 17, the Chicago Lost Fields 3

  18. I personally wouldn’t say the 49ers are the clear favorites to win the NFCW with all those injuries

  19. “between two teams that appear to be having some buyer’s remorse about their quarterbacks.”

    Commanders yes, but there’s been no public evidence that this is the case for the Bears. In public they’ve consistently had Fields’ back and are coming off of his best performance of the season.

  20. While Buffalo did beat KC in the regular season last year (at Arrowhead), I can’t see it being a sure thing one way or the other. Glad to see 90’s retro is back even in football.

    Lock of the week: Bears over Commanders, 28-14. How they can get past Rivera’s flub at the microphone and Snyder threatening scorched earth on all the owners on such a short week is beyond me. And I usually think Rivera to be a sound coach.

  21. Top down dolphins are a better team ? lol. Vikings got a better QB, RB, WRs yes WRs, OL, DL, LB, Safeties.

  22. I love eagle feathers. Gonna be a lot if feathers in the air from the pounding they are about to get

  23. If the Cowboys keep Hurts contained, Eagles lose. Hurts can’t “pass” a team to a win. Rush can’t either, but he doesn’t have to. Cowboys have a better pass rush, CB’s and special teams.

    Hurts has 4 TD’s, 2 INT’s, sacked 11 times, QB rating 106.7
    Rush has 4 TD’s, ZERO Int’s, sacked 7 times, QB rating 100.7

  24. Fins rookie QB puts Miami back in 1st place. Packers beat the Jets and the KC fans lead the Chiefs over the Bills.

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