PFT’s Week 7 2022 NFL picks

NFL: OCT 16 Jets at Packers
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It’s getting ugly earlier than usual.

Through six weeks, I’ve opened up a nine-game lead over MDS in our head-to-head picks competition.

For Week Six, we disagreed on five games. I went 3-2. I was 8-6 for the week; he was 7-7.

For the year, I’m at 57-36-1. MDS is 48-45-1.

This time around, we disagree on four games. In theory, MDS could cut the margin from nine game to five. Or, I could run it to 13.

Scroll to see all picks for Week Seven.

Saints (+2) at Cardinals

MDS’s take: The Thursday night slate has not been a good one this season, and I’m expecting another fairly dull game, which the Cardinals will win.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 20, Saints 16.

Florio’s take: Sometimes, the question is who do you trust more? For this one, it’s who do you trust less? I trust the Cardinals less.

Florio’s pick: Saints 23, Cardinals 20.

Falcons (+6) at Bengals

MDS’s take: The Falcons are 6-0 against the spread this year, and they’ll make it a perfect 7-0 as they continue to play more competitive football than people expect.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 21, Falcons 20.

Florio’s take: The Bengals are starting to get things together.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 28, Falcons 21.

Lions (+7) at Cowboys

MDS’s take: Dak Prescott returns against a terrible Lions defense. Should be a nice way to ease himself back into it.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 30, Lions 20.

Florio’s take: Dak is back, and the Cowboys are ready to reel off some more wins. It could be a long day for Jared Goff.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 34, Lions 21.

Colts (+2.5) at Titans

MDS’s take: The AFC South race is wide open, but if I had to pick a winner right now I’d go with the Titans, who will take a big step toward a playoff return by getting this key division win.

MDS’s pick: Titans 24, Colts 20.

Florio’s take: The Colts have overachieved. The Titans have underachieved. This is one of those weeks where things start to even out.

Florio’s pick: Titans 23, Colts 20.

Packers (-5.5) at Commanders

MDS’s take: The Packers have looked pretty terrible for two weeks in a row, but with Taylor Heinicke and the Commanders next on the schedule, they can’t help but win this week.

MDS’s pick: Packers 20, Commanders 17.

Florio’s take: It’s a get-right game for Green Bay, against a team that can’t get much right.

Florio’s pick: Packers 28, Commanders 14.

Buccaneers (-11) at Panthers

MDS’s take: Last week the Buccaneers lost as 9.5-point favorites in the biggest upset of this NFL season. Will they suffer an even bigger upset on Sunday? No.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 20, Panthers 10.

Florio’s take: It’s another get-right game. The Bucs get things under control, at least for one day.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 34, Panthers 16.

Giants (+3) at Jaguars

MDS’s take: This is the ultimate “no one believes in us” line: Vegas has the Jaguars favored against the 5-1 Giants. I think Brian Daboll will make the most of it as his team continues to play hard and pulls off yet another upset.

MDS’s pick: Giants 17, Jaguars 14.

Florio’s take: This would be a prime spot for the Giants to step in a trap. Brian Daboll isn’t about to let that happen.

Florio’s pick: Giants 24, Jaguars 17.

Browns (+6.5) at Ravens

MDS’s take: The Ravens are struggling to finish games against teams they should beat, and I’m tempted to pick the upset, but I suspect Lamar Jackson will just have too much for the Browns’ weak defense.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 28, Browns 20.

Florio’s take: Deshaun Watson can’t get reinstated soon enough.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 27, Browns 17.

Jets (+1) at Broncos

MDS’s take: Russell Wilson is struggling mightily, but the Broncos’ defense is playing very good football, and Zach Wilson will struggle even more.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 13, Jets 10.

Florio’s take: Short week, sluggish offense, starting quarterback with bad shoulder and bad hamstring. Why are the Broncos favored?

Florio’s pick: Jets 24, Broncos 21.

Texans (+7) at Raiders

MDS’s take: The 1-4 Raiders are one of the NFL’s more disappointing teams, but a visit from the Texans can cover up a lot of the bad smell coming from Josh McDaniels’ team.

MDS’s pick: Raiders 28, Texans 17.

Florio’s take: The Raiders have been close in several of their losses. They could be getting ready to make a run.

Florio’s pick: Raiders 31, Texans 21.

Seahawks (+6.5) at Chargers

MDS’s take: Geno Smith has been phenomenal this season, but at some point he’s going to come back to earth, and I think that point might be Sunday in Los Angeles.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 20, Seahawks 10.

Florio’s take: The Chargers are too inconsistent. The Seahawks are gradually improving.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 27, Chargers 24.

Chiefs (-3) at 49ers

MDS’s take: It’s strength against strength when the Chiefs’ offense meets the 49ers’ defense, and I think Patrick Mahomes will make a few of his trademark plays that no defense can stop.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 24, 49ers 17.

Florio’s take: The Chiefs will be feeling just desperate enough after losing to the Bills. And the Chiefs are just good enough to get the win.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 28, 49ers 21.

Steelers (+7) at Dolphins

MDS’s take: With Tua Tagovailoa coming back, I expect the Dolphins to turn things around and end their three-game losing streak.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 30, Steelers 20.

Florio’s take: The Steelers have a habit of surprising people, and they’ll want to win this one for former Miami coach Brian Flores.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 20, Dolphins 17.

Bears (+7.5) at Patriots

MDS’s take: Justin Fields against a Bill Belichick-coached defense could be ugly for Chicago.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 20, Bears 3.

Florio’s take: The Bears just aren’t good enough to compete with the Patriots.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 23, Bears 13.

36 responses to “PFT’s Week 7 2022 NFL picks

  1. Cardinals over Saints – Both disappointing teams… Dalton gives the Saints a fighting chance if he starts but Cards defense tips the scale…

    Bengals over Falcons – Should be a good game but the Falcons defense still a ?….

    Bucs over Panthers – Panthers have packed it in and the Bucs still have the division to fight for!

  2. Platinum Picks of the Week: (1) Ravens (-6.5) over the Browns. The Browns are in disarray and last week’s pummeling by the Patriots could lead to general malaise in the ranks. The Ravens, meanwhile, are smarting from — and pissed off by — their loss to the Giants. This could be a blowout: Ravens 38, Browns 20. (2) Falcons (+6.5) over the Bengals. Arthur Smith has got something going in Atlanta with a rejuvenated Marcus Mariota. They gave the Buccanneers all they could handle and slapped the 49ers upside the head last week. They’re home dogs again and they’ll be a tough out. Bengals win, 27-24, but don’t cover.

  3. Dallas will lose in the return of the fraud. And Green Bay will overlook Washington precisely because Heinicke is starting. Washington 24, Green Bay 16. Saints over the Cardinals by 14. The Cardinals have no offense because they have no starting QB.

  4. For the year I’m 48-45-1.

    I’d be surprised in Miami drops to Pittsburgh. Tua will be ready to go.

  5. Cardinals offense will start turning the corner tonight with DHOP back given this offense is built on a#1WR who can win those ISO routes in pull coverage n another 6”3 WR w/4.3 speed who can win helps that much more with Moore/Dortch benefiting from the slot as well as Ertz. They’ll look a lot better tonight but I’m the coming weeks with a minibye after this game theylll really get going n get back to playing at a really high level offensively. James Connor is back paired with Eno n the run game will come alive now that teams cannot stack the box. AZ wins this 26-16 and from here out they start playing n looking very good offensively.

  6. Ravens are celebrating the 10th anniversary of their last Super Bowl champion team. They’ll use that as momentum for a get-right Sunday.

    Ravens 27
    Browns 14

    I’m deader than disco in Survivor, but if I were still alive I’d take the Dolphins this week.

  7. A tie should go down as a loss, since if you picked a team to win and no one won, you still lost the prediction. And on the rare event that you predict a tie, that would be a win if they tied.

  8. Patriots 27 Bears 9 An ugly beat down incoming for the horrendous Bears offense look for Fields to throw a pick six and fumble it twice and Zappe putting in another decent performance.

    Jets 17 Broncos 6 Low scoring ugly ball fest with Jets forcing a turnover off Wilson to ice the game.

  9. Glad to see that at least one of you has the sense to jump onto the Steeler Bandwagon! All are welcome! Also, look for the Panthers to upset the Bucs. The Steelers took all the fight out of the Bucs and crushed their souls last week.

  10. It’s strength against strength when the Chiefs’ offense meets the 49ers’ defense
    49ers have no strength on either side of the ball.

  11. RE: Jags hosting the Jints. Bet against Vegas at your own peril. Sneaky lines tell tales

  12. Nice to see that someone is finally starting to take the Steelers seriously. We are way better than our record indicates, and we are going to shock all of the doubters down the stretch.

  13. Mongonation’s Week 7 Picks of the 2022 Season:

    (1) Lions @ Cowboys (-7): The Lions are an absolute mess and this is probably the rare Mike McCarthy matchup in which he is the better Head Coach. Goff will struggle mightily against that Cowboys pass rush.

    (2) Packers (-5.5) @ Commanders: I’m not sure there is a single team the Commanders can beat in the league outside of the Bears and Panthers. Even if the Packers offense struggles to move the ball, I think they put up enough points to cover.

    (3) Giants (+3) @ Jaguars: Even if the Giants are nowhere close to a 5-1 talent team, it’s hard to justify a reeling Jaguars team being favored over them in this spot, even with them playing at home. 1 note of caution though: this line looks very trappy and could very well be the case of Vegas knowing something the general public doesn’t.

    (4) Seahawks (+6.5) @ Chargers: The Chargers have played really uninspired football to-date despite a 4-2 record and now face significant coaching disadvantage with Staley going up against Carroll. Add to that the short week for the Chargers and I think the Seahawks can win this game outright.

    (5) Bears @ Patriots (-7.5): I just don’t know how the Bears will put up any points in this game so New England could probably cover this spread even scoring under 20 points.

  14. Niners 20 Chiefs 6? LOLOLOL Only if Mahomes is injured on the first series and the Niners D scores two TDs.

  15. 9ers… upset of the week. The defense will be healthy again and the offense is getting better and better. Not a popular pick, but look for a balanced attack with Jimmy G throwing for two TDs, Wilson rushing for 100 yards, and the defense scoring.

  16. MDS, Broncos over the Jets and Cards over the Saints? No wonder you’re getting your a$$ handed to you by Florio!

  17. Commies in the upset of the week. GB is bad. AR will mope and blame everyone but himself. Wash will rally around Heinecke. 23-16.

  18. The Dolphins will roll Sunday night. They’ll have Tua back, wearing their glorious throwback unis, and will have the 1972 team on the sidelines before being honored at halftime celebrating the 50th anniversary of the Perfect Season. And they relish the chance to beat Brian Flores and Minkah Fitzpatrick (if he even plays).

  19. I wouldn’t want to pick any game. The NFL seems down this year with scoring. Not much in the way of powerful offenses. The whole league is mediocre, with exception of a few tes on either end of the spectrum. The league always takes about more even teams. They got it and it isn’t good. 😂

  20. Brian Flores and Minkah Fitzpatrick are going revenge on the Fins Sunday evening. They have been looking forward to this since the schedule was announced. Especially in Miami.

  21. whoatherebuddy says:
    October 20, 2022 at 12:51 pm
    If Goff has a clean pocket, St brown will burn Diggs like a Yule log.


    Some truth there, but thats a huge IF you are riding on.

  22. BB breaks Halas’ record against Halas’ old team. After that history lesson in Cleveland last Sunday by BB, the players understand what is at stake, and play their best ball of the season so far regardless of who plays QB. 26-3.

  23. When was the last time a player missed the first six games of the season and come in playing like a pro bowler his first game back, especially after only two practices? Try never. Saints will win in a close one, 20-17.

  24. I think between the elevation & the desperation on the Broncos team, the Jets will run into a buzzsaw defense that will completely overwhelm Wilson & their offense…
    Look for yet another snooze fest game with Denver coming out on top 17-10

  25. If the Packers lose, it wont be because they overlooked anybody. This team has no business taking anything for granted.

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