PFT’s NFL Week 14 2022 picks

Detroit Lions v Minnesota Vikings
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Last week was a good week, for both of us.

I went 12-2-1. MDS went 11-3-1. And we disagreed on six games, which means that as to the nine agreements, we were 9-0 each.

Along the way, my lead increased to 11 again. I’m 127-66-1. MDS is 116-77-1.

This week, we differ on only two of 13 games to be played. For all picks, scroll away.

Raiders (-6) at Rams

MDS’s take: The Rams are still trying to compete, but they’ve had so many injuries that they’re basically putting a preseason roster on the field at this point. The Raiders should win easily.

MDS’s pick: Raiders 27, Rams 13.

Florio’s take: The Rams emptied the tank to try to beat the Seahawks on Sunday. With the Raiders playing well — and with their fans poised to take over SoFi Stadium — the Rams won’t have the talent or the will to overcome one of the hottest teams in the league.

Florio’s pick: Raiders 30, Rams 20.


Jets (+9.5) at Bills

MDS’s take: This will be a closer game than the point spread suggests, but the Bills will prove to have too much for the Jets.

MDS’s pick: Bills 30, Jets 27.

Florio’s take: Last year, Mike White‘s third start resulted in a four-pick, 45-17 meltdown against the Bills. It won’t be that bad this time, but the Bills are reinvigorated — and rejuvenated after Kansas City’s loss gave Buffalo the inside track to the top seed.

Florio’s pick: Bills 31, Jets 20.


Browns (+6) at Bengals

MDS’s take: The Bengals are playing great football right now, and Deshaun Watson did not look good in his first game in almost two years on Sunday. I like the Bengals.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 28, Browns 14.

Florio’s take: The Browns have owned the Bengals lately. That ends now, especially since Deshaun Watson needs at least a few more works to get his career back on track.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 28, Browns 20.


Texans (+16) at Cowboys

MDS’s take: This is the biggest point spread in any NFL game all season, and with good reason: The Cowboys are dominant, and the Texans are awful. Dallas covers.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 40, Texans 17.

Florio’s take: This could be the one that gets Cal McNair to finally decide to hit the reset button after the season ends.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 42, Texans 14.


Vikings (+2.5) at Lions

MDS’s take: It might look a little strange that the 5-7 Lions are favored over the 10-2 Vikings, but it makes sense given how well the Lions have been playing lately. They’ll win this one.

MDS’s pick: Lions 24, Vikings 20.

Florio’s take: Nothing gets a 10-2 team more focused and motivated than being a 2.5-point underdog against a team that started the year 1-6.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 30, Lions 27.


Jaguars (+4) at Titans

MDS’s take: The Jaguars have improved this season, but that’s not saying much given how bad they were last year. The Titans will control this game throughout.

MDS’s pick: Titans 28, Jaguars 17.

Florio’s take: Mike Vrabel has taken control of the Titans, and the Titans will take control of the Jaguars.

Florio’s pick: Titans 31, Jaguars 17.


Eagles (-7) at Giants

MDS’s take: The Giants are struggling after their hot start, and they’re going to fall further behind in the NFC East on Sunday.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 30, Giants 21.

Florio’s take: Remember when the two upcoming games against the Giants were regarded as potential problems for the Eagles?

Florio’s pick: Eagles 34, Giants 17.


Ravens (+2.5) at Steelers

MDS’s take: Without Lamar Jackson, the Ravens are going to struggle to put points on the board, and the Steelers are playing hard every week.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 17, Ravens 10.

Florio’s take: These two teams always keep it close. With Lamar Jackson out, Pittsburgh has an even better chance to further complicate the AFC playoff picture.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 13, Ravens 9.


Chiefs (-9.5) at Broncos

MDS’s take: The Broncos’ offense is awful. The Chiefs’ offense is great. Hard to see this game being close.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 31, Broncos 13.

Florio’s take: When Russell Wilson was traded to the Broncos, we were smitten with the promise of two annual battles with Patrick Mahomes. Now? Not.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 27, Broncos 13.


Buccaneers (+3.5) at 49ers

MDS’s take: I get why the 49ers are favored, but I just can’t pick Brock Purdy to beat Tom Brady.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 20, 49ers 17.

Florio’s take: Tom Brady will once again be thinking about trying to join the 49ers after seeing their defense.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 24, Buccaneers 13.


Panthers (+3.5) at Seahawks

MDS’s take: The Seahawks have a big opportunity in the NFC West after Jimmy Garoppolo‘s injury, and I think they’ll win the games they need to win down the stretch. Including this one.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 24, Panthers 16.

Florio’s take: With some tough games looming, Seattle can’t afford to lose this one.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 27, Panthers 20.


Dolphins (-3) at Chargers

MDS’s take: The Chargers just haven’t been as good a team as they should be in what was supposed to be a big year for Justin Herbert. The Dolphins win in what really is a big year for Tua Tagovailoa.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 27, Chargers 20.

Florio’s take: The Chargers will keep it close before finding a way to lose.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 30, Chargers 24.


Patriots (-1) at Cardinals

MDS’s take: The Patriots look like long shots to make the playoffs, but the Cardinals look like no-shots to make the playoffs.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 24, Cardinals 20.

Florio’s take: Bill Belichick had 11 days to get ready for this one, and his team has something to play for.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 27, Cardinals 17.

38 responses to “PFT’s NFL Week 14 2022 picks

  1. MDS desperately wants to be right about the Vikings, but he just keeps on losing. Just like the Vikings’ opponents.

  2. I have had this one circled on my calendar since the schedule first came out last spring and now the stars are aligning for us. Kenny “Wicked” Pickett is the heavy favorite for Rookie of the Year leading all rookie quarterbacks in passing and rushing. Mike Tomlin has locked up yet another Coach of the Year Trophy for his umpteenth non-losing season. And by the time “Renegade” plays 68,400 screaming yinzers will be intimidating the so-called “mighty” Ravens into blubbering baby birdies. Stay focused, humble, and out of reach of the long arm of the law! GO STEELERS!

  3. Same old Lions lose this game in humiliating fashion. If it’s a truly new day in Motown, they’ll win.

  4. The Ravens/Steelers rivalry has lost some luster over the last couple years.

    Tyler Huntley vs Kenny Pickett doesn’t help.

    Ravens 12
    Steelers 7

  5. “With the Raiders playing well — and with their fans poised to take over SoFi Stadium — the Rams won’t have the talent or the will to overcome one of the hottest teams in the league.”

    The Raiders. One of the hottest teams in the league. Hahahahaha. Ladies and gentlemen, presenting the comedy stylings of Mike Florio. Big hand, please!

  6. Vs Spread
    Raiders, Jets, Bengals, Cowboys, Lions, Jags, Eagles, Ravens, Niners, Seahawks, Dolphins, Patriots

  7. 49ers over Bucs – defense wins games and 49ers better defense…

    Seahawks over Panthers – when 2 teams are mediocre, go with home team..

  8. Be still my beating heart. Did Florio just say the Raiders are one of the hottest teams in the league?? Joking aside, I’m really crossing my fingers that the Raiders don’t mess things up by playing down to the level of the opposition, as they usually tend to do.

  9. Steelers fans are in denial. Do they really think this rebuild is good? Pickett is not good

  10. “NY is gonna beat Philly”
    Anyone who knows the NFC East knows the rivalries so NY could easily win this game. Your not some kind of miracle prognosticator by predicting that. Fly Eaglrs Fly!

  11. Against the spread, I’d pick Eagles and Pats as my locks of the week. I think Dallas is pretty likely to cover the spread as well, but that is such a big spread in the NFL that it makes me nervous. I’ll take the Ravens as the upset pick of the week.

  12. MF picking the Pats to win? Gee, that only happens 100% of the time. How’s that BB as executive of the year working out?

  13. Cryptker says:
    December 8, 2022 at 1:20 pm
    “NY is gonna beat Philly”
    Anyone who knows the NFC East knows the rivalries so NY could easily win this game. Your not some kind of miracle prognosticator by predicting that. Fly Eagles Fly!
    ————————————————————
    Yup. I remember when Dallas won the Super Bowl in 95-96 two of their 4 losses were against an eventual 6-10 Washington. Fluky things can happen in division games. While I hope for a Giants upset, I’m definitely not counting on.

  14. The betting line has the 5-7 Detroit Lions as favourites over the 10-2 Minnesota Vikings.
    That’s an amazing statement about what Vegas/betting public thinks of the Vikings.

  15. I understand it’s hard to pick games, but what were you smoking/drinking/injecting when you picked the Chiefs over sure fire, first ballot HOF QB Russell Wilson and his Broncos?

    If the line could just hold their blocks a little better (I mean come on, 3-4 seconds goes by quickly), and if the defense would quit giving up points, and if they would let Russ cook, I don’t see the Chiefs keeping up.

    You paid for the meal, let the man cook!

  16. Ravens will go into 4th quarter leading Steelers 17-7. Then the defense will have another meltdown and the Ravens will lose 21-17

  17. There is no doubt the Steelers will crush the ravens. Nobody wants to face the Steelers right now. Can’t wait to listen to all the doubters heads exploding after this weekend! Go Steelers!!!

  18. rdthree says:
    December 8, 2022 at 1:05 pm
    “With the Raiders playing well — and with their fans poised to take over SoFi Stadium — the Rams won’t have the talent or the will to overcome one of the hottest teams in the league.”

    The Raiders. One of the hottest teams in the league. Hahahahaha. Ladies and gentlemen, presenting the comedy stylings of Mike Florio. Big hand, please!

    ———————————

    The Raiders have the third longest current win streak in the league.

  19. As an Eagles fan you can never overlook the Giants. In 2017 we barely beat them twice and we won the Super Bowl that year and the NYG won 3 games. One of those wins was on the miracle Jake Elliot 61 yard FG with no time remaining.

  20. footballer23 says:
    December 8, 2022 at 2:30 pm
    There is no doubt the Steelers will crush the ravens. Nobody wants to face the Steelers right now. Can’t wait to listen to all the doubters heads exploding after this weekend! Go Steelers!!!
    —————————–
    HOF QB Russ Wilson…and the broncos, aren’t Afraid of the Steelers….smh…..

  21. I too would pick with Florio on the Vikings but the illness issue has me worried. If 4 or 5 of the starters aren’t playing because of the flu, they won’t have a chance.

  22. People talk about how well the Lions are playing because they won four of their last five. Those four wins were against the Packers, Bears, Giants, and Jaguars. Only the Giants have a winning record and none are in the top 11 in scoring defense.

    The Vikings have also won four of their last five. Those four wins were against the Commanders, Bills, Patriots, and Jets. All are playoff contenders and in the top 10 in scoring defense.

    Oh, and before winning four of their last five, the Vikings won the previous five as well.

    I get why people are picking the Lions because they’re going to be sky high for this one and it doesn’t really matter to the Vikings, but there have been great reasons for picking against the Vikings in every game this year and all they do is win.

  23. Don’t see the Bills scoring above 30 & Jets over 20…both D are better than these predictions. 24-17 Bills is my take.

  24. Tennessee is going to mop the floor with Jacksonville, even if Lawrence plays. The Jaguars last week looked like they’ve quit on Pederson. Just like they quit on Meyer and Marrone in the two seasons prior.

  25. Monday night football should be reserved for at least 1 team with a winning record. After October, if your team isn’t good, too bad, only good teams should get those slots. Patriots and Cardinals? Gross!

  26. Patriots 20 Cardinals 13 Cards are plain awful no matter if it is Kyler Murray or Colt McCoy.

    Chargers 27 Fins 23 Tua looks to be more hurt than he is letting on look for the Chargers run game to keep the possessions long and for the Fish to be out of sync.

    Bills 31 Jets 21 Allen and Diggs are on fire right now.

    Steelers 17 Ravens 10 No Lamar spells doom for the Ravens.

  27. I might be crazy, but i kinda think the chiefs are gonna lose this week. No idea why, just a feeling that the Broncos D will hold steady, and Wilson will annoyingly pull out a miracle.

    Just a feeling. Nothing to back it up…LOL

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