Bengals-Chiefs point spread shifts again, now even after good news on Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs v Cincinnati Bengals
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The Chiefs opened as favorites in the AFC Championship Game. The the line shifted and the Bengals became favorites. And now neither team is favored.

Bengals-Chiefs is listed as even at multiple sports books, a rare Vegas line meaning that there’s currently no difference between betting straight-up and against the spread.

The reason for all the line movement is the Patrick Mahomes injury: Early in the week, bettors thinking Mahomes’ sprained ankle was going to seriously affect him put big money on the Bengals. But after Mahomes was a full participant in Wednesday’s practice and video surfaced of him appearing to move around well on the practice field, more bets have come in on the Chiefs.

That line may continue to move this week, especially if there’s any new news on Mahomes’ ankle. But suffice to say, the betting odds view this game as one of the closest, hardest to predict big games that we’ve ever seen.

29 responses to “Bengals-Chiefs point spread shifts again, now even after good news on Patrick Mahomes

  1. Line movement is more about the casinos balancing their books than the difficulty of predicting the game.

  2. I’m a Bengals fan and like they way they are playing, but I’m afraid people are overlooking KC (if that’s possible). Cincinnati was very lucky to overcome a huge KC lead at halftime last year and I’m sure they are sick of hearing about Cincinnati winning the last three head to head matchups. It may be PTSD from the 20 years of pitiful football under Shula, Coslet, LeBeau, et al., but I’m not very confident about this game. KC is going to bring the heat and can that patchwork line hold up well again? We shall see.

  3. Bengals defensive game plan should be simple: COVER KELCE! He had 17 of 30 pass attempts come his way. Most often he is WIDE OPEN in zone coverage for easy completions. Put a guy on him full time and make Mahomes throw to others or fit the throws into coverage. This is not rocket science. Pop Warner coaches can see it.

  4. I was rooting for the Bengals until Apple started his crap after the Bill’s game – now I hope the Chiefs score a ton, especially the guys he’s covering!

  5. Im looking forward to both of these games. This is when it gets good. 4 really solid teams it should be good to watch.

  6. mikebrownisstilltheworstwwnerinthenfl says:
    January 26, 2023 at 9:12 am
    I’m a Bengals fan and like they way they are playing, but I’m afraid people are overlooking KC (if that’s possible). Cincinnati was very lucky to overcome a huge KC lead at halftime last year and I’m sure they are sick of hearing about Cincinnati winning the last three head to head matchups. It may be PTSD from the 20 years of pitiful football under Shula, Coslet, LeBeau, et al., but I’m not very confident about this game. KC is going to bring the heat and can that patchwork line hold up well again? We shall see.

    Cowboys fan here. No horse in the race so I can look at things objectively.
    The Bengals O-line might not be elite but it’s better than it was last year. As long as they don’t lose anyone else from the O-line they should be fine. Bengals play with a quiet confidence and they’ve earned it. This team is solid. You might have PTSD after 20 years of pain but think about where the Chiefs and their fans are. As good as the Chiefs and Mahomes have been, they’ve lost 3 consecutive games to the Bengals who just seem to match up well with the Chiefs. The Bengals also have Joe freakin’ Burrow, the modern day Joe Montana. I’m picking the Bengals to win.

  7. I have no dog in this fight, but anyone who believes that Mahomes isn’t limited somewhat isn’t living in reality. I’d be happy to see him and the Chiefs win–there’d be great storylines, especially if they faced the Eagles in the SB, including the Kelce brothers and Jason possibly playing his final NFL game==but you’ll never tell me he magically overcame that injury in just a few days (even with the aid of of painkilling injections).

  8. So betting fans either assume that the Chiefs were lying about how bad the ankle is or Mahomes heals at a different rate than normal human beings. Got it.

  9. uzuck says:
    January 26, 2023 at 9:52 am

    Easy money. Bengals are the most complete team in the AFC. Been saying it all year.
    _________________________________

    And all this time, I thought Burrow did it all by himself. Didn’t he return a fumble 98 yards to secure the victory?

  10. haterskryptonite says:
    January 26, 2023 at 9:29 am
    KC vs SF rematch upcoming.

    I think you’re wrong on both counts. Philly and Cinci are the most complete teams in the league, top to bottom. For me, a slight edge goes to Philly because their O-line and D-line are both among the best.
    I’m looking forward to these games but I wish Mahomes wasn’t injured. I like to see the best at their best in the biggest games.

  11. Lockport Lax says:
    January 26, 2023 at 9:33 am

    I was rooting for the Bengals until Apple started his crap after the Bill’s game – now I hope the Chiefs score a ton, especially the guys he’s covering!

    ****************

    Apple has always been a loudmouth. Not sure why one guy’s mouth would make you hate the whole team.

  12. Eli Apple you should of kept your mouth shut. Apple seems to forget that the Chiefs were 2nd in the NFL in sacks this year and the Bengals 2nd and 3rd string offensive lineman that worked over a pitiful Bills defensive line aren’t facing the Jill’s this week. Got a feeling McCauley Caulkin aka Joe Burrow better hope he bought some new shoes that he can run real fast in because Jones, Clark and the rest of KC’s defense is going to make McCauley hurt on Sunday.

  13. The way the chiefs are trying so hard to to sell him being healthy I wonder if they even plan for him to play at all? He was obviously extremely hobbled in those “practice” clips yesterday. When a guy is not even capable of doing all tbe team warmups, that’s pretty bad.

  14. Tough one. The Bengals have obviously had some sort of magic wand against the Chiefs. That can’t last forever. Over the Mahomes era he’s made pretty much every team in the league look like amateurs at some time or another. One of Andy’s biggest weaknesses, and has been forever, is clock management. The Bengals, however, are masters at it and I just don’t think Andy realizes that part of it until it’s too late. The Bengals DC clearly knows how to gameplan for KC and Andy has yet to come up with an answer. Again, this can’t last forever. I really can’t believe another AFCW team hasn’t scooped this guy up as their HC at this point.

  15. darthhelmut says:
    January 26, 2023 at 10:25 am
    Eli Apple you should of kept your mouth shut. Apple seems to forget that the Chiefs were 2nd in the NFL in sacks this year and the Bengals 2nd and 3rd string offensive lineman that worked over a pitiful Bills defensive line aren’t facing the Jill’s this week. Got a feeling McCauley Caulkin aka Joe Burrow better hope he bought some new shoes that he can run real fast in because Jones, Clark and the rest of KC’s defense is going to make McCauley hurt on Sunday.
    ————-

    Is that the same Jones who’s had exactly 0 sacks the last 2 games vs the Bengals? Did he even play?

  16. darthhelmut says:
    January 26, 2023 at 10:25 am
    Eli Apple you should of kept your mouth shut. Apple seems to forget that the Chiefs were 2nd in the NFL in sacks this year and the Bengals 2nd and 3rd string offensive lineman that worked over a pitiful Bills defensive line aren’t facing the Jill’s this week. Got a feeling McCauley Caulkin aka Joe Burrow better hope he bought some new shoes that he can run real fast in because Jones, Clark and the rest of KC’s defense is going to make McCauley hurt on Sunday.

    ****************************************
    Insert Home Alone Brut on the face GIF here.

  17. Apple seems to forget that the Chiefs were 2nd in the NFL in sacks this year and the Bengals 2nd and 3rd string offensive lineman that worked over a pitiful Bills defensive line aren’t facing the Jill’s this week.

    – – – – – – – – –

    I’m sure Joe Burrow’s 2.55 second time to release and arguably the leagues best receiving corps might be able to offset that. Could also be why Jones hasn’t had much success in 3 games against Burrow.

  18. mikebrownisstilltheworstwwnerinthenfl says:
    January 26, 2023 at 9:12 am
    I’m a Bengals fan and like they way they are playing, but I’m afraid people are overlooking KC (if that’s possible). Cincinnati was very lucky to overcome a huge KC lead at halftime last year and I’m sure they are sick of hearing about Cincinnati winning the last three head to head matchups. It may be PTSD from the 20 years of pitiful football under Shula, Coslet, LeBeau, et al., but I’m not very confident about this game. KC is going to bring the heat and can that patchwork line hold up well again? We shall see.
    ______________________________________

    Finally, someone makes an astute analysis of a game without interjecting personal feelings.

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