On three fourth-down plays, quarterbacks aired it out

NFL: JAN 29 AFC Championship - Bengals at Chiefs
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Two weeks ago, the football-following world was trying to understand why/how Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins threw the ball five yards short of the sticks on fourth and eight, with the season on the line in the wild-card round. On Sunday, three quarterbacks showed a willingness and ability to throw past the sticks on a high-stakes fourth-down play.

In the NFC Championship, Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts threw 29 yards downfield on fourth and three from the San Francisco 45.

In the AFC Championship, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw a touchdown pass to tight end Travis Kelce on fourth and one from the 14. More significantly, Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow casually fired a 35-yard pass to a double-covered Ja'Marr Chase on fourth and six on the first play of the fourth quarter, while his team was trailing by seven.

Some would say that it helps to have Chase. Well, Cousins has Justin Jefferson. And Cousins didn’t throw the ball to Jefferson with the season on the line.

This is a prime example of the difference between those who get it done in the postseason, and those who don’t. On Sunday, Hurts, Mahomes, and Burrow weren’t simply trying to extend the drive by getting to the line to gain. They were using it as an opportunity to make something happen — and they have not only the will but the ability to get it done.

20 responses to “On three fourth-down plays, quarterbacks aired it out

  1. To be fair, Tom Brady made a living converting 3rd and 4th downs throwing short passes and screens to his receivers and then getting the YAC for the first down. Not sure throwing passes that have a less than 25% completion percentage is the way to go on 4th downs- even if a couple of them worked this year.

  2. There is a weird thing going on with the league that is just now starting to get noticed. Teams cling to and overpay average QBs and wonder why they never get over the hump. The Raiders held on to Average Derek Carr for 9 years.. the Cowboys are holding on to average Dak Prescott for 7 .. the Vikings are holding on to average Kirk Cousins. The thing is.. kids coming out of college who 8 months ago were attending class at some state college, can put up similar numbers at a fraction of the price. There was an awakening to the over valuing of running backs.. maybe teams will wake up and see.. QBs aren’t as rare as teams think. Look no further than the 49ers who played well with 3.

  3. Two weeks ago, the football-following world was trying to understand why/how Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins threw the ball five yards short of the sticks on fourth and eight, with the season on the line in the wild-card round.

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    And that’s why Kirk Cousins continues to rake in the guaranteed money while never accomplishing anything of note.

    It was a meaningless completion for meaningless yardage but it helped out his stats. You can’t point at his stats and say it was his fault but his situational awareness is one of the worst in the league.

  4. The Vikings are just continuing their tradition of blowing the playoffs. One player surmised maybe Cousins didn’t know the down and distance, an even more incomprehensible position……….but definitely possible in his case.

  5. Easy to say when it works. Let’s remember, Smith actually didn’t catch the ball. And if the throw to Chase into double coverage didn’t work, you would no doubt be saying why throw 35 yards downfield into double coverage when you only need 6 yards.

  6. Well let’s not over react. We have next year to draft undersized offensive linemen, scramble their brains by moving tackles to guard and train our centers/guards to back up faster so they don’t get run over by nose tackles but step on Cousins feet in the panic rush. Maybe if we break away from this philosophy and try building a line like 32 other teams do, we can keep the offense on the field so our 31st ranked defense can get ready to go in and give up yards. Seriously we should be very happy with this season given that the defense has been terrible for years, it’s been more than a decade since the offensive line was above average and oh yeah Cousins is not the guy. One could argue that the new coaches got more out of some of the players but the defects are still the same.

  7. I do enjoy this trend of going for it on 4th down. And I think that it goes beyond analytics. I think that with the fast-strike nature of so many top offenses, punting has become less of a “safe” option, and possession has become more important.

    Guys like Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, Hurts and their skill players can punish you quickly if you give them the ball back, so “playing it safe” by punting can hold a lot more risk than it used to. Coaches know they can’t just back into a win over those top QBs.

  8. I took note of Burrow going deep to Chase when he was double covered on fourth down. Cousins didn’t have a problem with doing that during the regular season but for some reason, he wasn’t comfortable doing it in the playoffs. He had a great season but he’s getting older and isn’t the long-term answer at quarterback for this team. I think he would waive his no-trade clause if he could go somewhere he’d like and get a new contract, so Kwesi should definitely explore what he can get. Seems like Carolina, Las Vegas, and maybe San Francisco would be in the Tom Brady sweepstakes. Whoever doesn’t get him may give up a nice pick for Cousins.

  9. Burrow threw short on 4th down in the SB to lose the game…maybe getting pressure and triple coverage on your #1 matters…but Florio uses anything to bash the Vikings. He should just stop being a fan (cuz we don’t want him anyways).

  10. Fact of the matter is it can get a lot worse than having a Cousins/Carr/Prescott for a team but paying any of these guys market value will almost certainly prevent a team from having a real shot at winning a Super Bowl. The Wilfs are comfortable selling out the stadium and winning 7-9 games a year with Cousins but anyone with a brain knows he ain’t the guy to win a championship.

  11. The playcaller didn’t do Cousins any favors either. 4th and 8, not a 10 yard route in the mix. Three deep routes and 2 outlets near the LOS with poor pass protection. Doesn’t mean he couldn’t just throw it but he was in the verge of being sacked. It was a bad look all the way around.

  12. The thing is.. kids coming out of college who 8 months ago were attending class at some state college, can put up similar numbers at a fraction of the price. – And there’s this beauty-
    QB’s aren’t as rare as teams think. Look no further than the 49ers who played well with 3.
    /////////////////
    So… just draft a QB, make sure you get the one that’ll take us to the final 4. And that’s how easy it is. The Niners were the exception. As they were last year. Remember, Stafford won a Super Bowl. Before then he was in that- put up great numbers but can’t do it in the playoffs- crowd. And SF has had the best defense in the league for couple years. That’s a big reason they’ve been successful.

  13. Does going into next year with Cousins feel good to a Viking fan? My guess would be no.

  14. No need to over analyze this situation.
    Kirk is just a coward, always shrinking in the biggest moments possible. Always.
    Some adages simply aren’t true, one that comes to mind: You get what you pay for.

  15. Wafflestomp says:
    January 31, 2023 at 12:24 pm

    Kirk is just a coward, always shrinking in the biggest moments possible. Always.
    _______

    His eight fourth-quarter comeback victories this season, tied for the most ever, suggest that you don’t know the meaning of the word “always.” Maybe you’re thinking of Aaron Rodgers.

  16. The Vikings made the Giants punt like once the whole game and that was in the 2nd half.

    A single stop or just a shortened field possession for the Vikes and the game might not have been close.

    A 4th down pass on your side of the field with no time left is not why you lost. Not even close.

  17. Does going into next year with Cousins feel good to a Viking fan? My guess would be no.
    ///////////////////
    Been a Viking fan for almost 50 years. Sure beats the hell out of…Ponder, Bradford, Teddy, Jackson, Johnson, Salisbury/ Gannon, McMahon. Kind of the same feeling as Moon and maybe Kramer and Wilson. I know he’s going to be a good QB. If he gets a well coached defense, there’s a chance.

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