For players facing the franchise tag, it almost always makes sense to force the team to use it

NFC Divisional Playoffs - New York Giants v Philadelphia Eagles
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Daniel Jones. Lamar Jackson. Josh Jacobs. Evan Engram. Those players and others are staring at the franchise tag, if they don’t get long-term deals done by Tuesday’s deadline for applying it.

At this point, each player should force the application of the tag.

There’s no reason not to. Unless the team is offering a premium so that it can apply the tag to a different player (such as the Giants and running back Saquon Barkley), the player benefits from having the tag applied.

Yes, I know the franchise tag isn’t good for players. But when the choice is “accept a deal or get tagged,” it’s better to just take the tag. The long-term deal can be done later, on or before July 15. And if it isn’t, the application of the tag for the first time means that (math is hard) the next application during the player’s career will be No. 2. And the next will be No. 3.

With quarterback money or a 144-percent raise riding on the third tag, no player should do a deal under the team’s threat of being tagged. Take the tag and then do a deal under the player’s threat of following the Kirk Cousins path to free agency.

If a deal isn’t done, then the player potentially gets tagged again, setting the stage for a true shot at the open market.

38 responses to “For players facing the franchise tag, it almost always makes sense to force the team to use it

  1. The Giants really should use it. Sounds like they are about to give Daniel Jones 4 years at $40 million plus per, just so they can tag Saquon? Yikes. They could just sign Barkley to a HUGE deal and still save money either tagging Jones, signing him to a much cheaper deal or signing somebody better AND cheaper. Geno Smith threw 30 TD’s last year and he probably won’t get $40 million per year, but the Giants will give a guy who threw 15 TD’s that kind of money? Lunacy…

  2. This only makes sense for quarterbacks.
    Possibly a left tackle, maybe.
    Players don’t have long enough careers that they can afford to put off their likely only big contract.

  3. The giants should tag Barkley and let Daniel Jones find out what’s he’s worth on tbe open market. Nobody else is gonna sign him for even $25 million a year they could have Brissett for probably half that.

  4. The Giants are going to be like the playoff game in Philly every week if they lose Barkley. Teams not having to account for Barkley will bring heat on Jones and that OL consistently. Go ahead and let Barkley walk, this team could end up looking for a 5th coach in 8 years.

  5. The Giants should sign Derrick Carr and let Danny Dimes walk it would be alot cheaper.

  6. The use of the tag on a QB is an indication that the front office is indecisive. After four years, you should know whether you want a QB for the long haul. If you’re thinking of using it on a QB, you should just move on and save the time, money and prepare to draft the next QB.

  7. Daniel Jones is that co-worker we all have that looks extra busy all day long,but never really gets anything done.

  8. In Jones case, he loses leverage. Once the Giants lose Barkley and chance to sigh others, they have no motivation to fo deal.

  9. It won’t be long before a bunch of GMs realize it will be best to take the five-year initial contract and the two franchise tag years then start all over again. With the out-of-control upward spiral of quarterback salaries, that will be the only way to field a competitive team.

  10. In Jones case, he loses leverage. Once the Giants lose Barkley and chance to sign other free agents, the Giants have no motivation to do a deal. Jones only has one good year in the NFL. They can see what he does in 2023 before doing a longer term deal.

  11. Baltimore and Jackson,… the non exclusive tag is a no brainer. Let him talk to other teams. Maybe he then realizes that the Watson deal was a fluke. A GM who appreciates keeping his job isn’t going to risk it with a fully guaranteed contract at the money level you’re asking for. If one team does,… then you get 2 1st rd picks and then you sign the best FA QB on the market.

  12. Yeah, but then they’re on a one year deal. Franchise tag benefits nobody except the team and the NFL is the only league that has something like that. What if they get a career ending injury?. Small chance to happen but still a chance, we’ve seen it happen within the last decade. Ryan Shazier is *only* 30 as of this post and will never play again. Same with Johnny Knox, who only played for two years and his life was changed forever yet his injury settlement was only $400k, which was probably the price of his surgeries. Andrew Luck was on a deal making QB money but retired at 29 from injuries. Luke Kuechly retired at 28. Hell, Alex Smith almost died.

    I could go on, but the franchise tag is too much risk for players

  13. How far behind in money is Jackson from Josh Allen after 2023 if he follows the Kirk cousins approach and plays on the tag? It’s something like $40M behind after 2023. So franchise tag 1 is $32M, franchise tag 2 is $38.4, franchise tag 3 is $50M, at which point he finally earns more yearly than the Josh Allen contract he should have signed after 2021 and he’s then about $25-30M in the hole (from the Josh Allen deal the Ravens allegedly offered) and finally a true free agent. At that point the only way he comes out ahead is if he’s had 2 healthy years, which seems unlikely. And at that point he would have been damn near done with the 2nd contract anyway and ready to re-up. He’s playing a game he can’t win and isn’t smart enough to see it.

  14. Once tagged, the leverage regarding long term deals starts to shift to the player……I agree that if you aren’t happy with the offer, make the team tag you.

    During the next CBA Negotiation or if an opportunity comes up, the NFLPA needs to fight to get rid of or significantly adjust the Tag option. Perhaps make it a onetime deal or if tagged, the player obtains future rights to refuse or approve any potential trade.

  15. Teams do not “apply” franchise tags; they “designate” exclusive franchise players.

  16. In actual fact if the Giants tag Jones and Barkley walks, they could in theory draft Jones’s replacement like San Diego did with Rivers when they had Brees. It’s a very risky career move for Daniel Jones. The Giants could even rescind the tag.

  17. By the time it gets real about franchising the QB, there are typically some issues about how committed the team and/or the player are to each other long term. Rarely happens with the very top tier QB. More often than not it’s with the ones who are just outside the top tier.

  18. If Daniel Jones gets to free agency the Giants will still be the highest bidder. I just can’t see any other team giving him $35 to $40 MM per year, not with players like Carr and Jimmy G available to sign. So I don’t get why the Giants are negotiating like they have a gun to their head or why Jones is negotiating like he has all the leverage. The guy had basically one decent year, last year, on an otherwise uninspiring 4 year career. I don’t think most teams believe Jones is a Superbowl QB, so they would bypass signing him in the hopes of hitting in the draft or signing Carr/Jimmy G.

    If Jones allows himself to get tagged instead of taking the offer the Giants have put on the table he is risking more than most players. Most players risk getting severely injured during a tag year and then not getting a multi year big contract. But Jones faces that possibility as well as possibly returning to his normal mediocre play. If either happens he is going to literally lose tens of millions of dollars. He should be thrilled to negotiate a 5 year contract averaging $38MM, which is more than most think he is worth, so total deal worth $190MM and somewhere between $80MM to $100MM guaranteed through bonus and the first two or three years.

  19. jlbay says:
    March 5, 2023 at 4:08 pm
    If Daniel Jones gets to free agency the Giants will still be the highest bidder. I just can’t see any other team giving him $35 to $40 MM per year, not with players like Carr and Jimmy G available to sign. So I don’t get why the Giants are negotiating like they have a gun to their head or why Jones is negotiating like he has all the leverage. The guy had basically one decent year, last year, on an otherwise uninspiring 4 year career. I don’t think most teams believe Jones is a Superbowl QB, so they would bypass signing him in the hopes of hitting in the draft or signing Carr/Jimmy G.

    If Jones allows himself to get tagged instead of taking the offer the Giants have put on the table he is risking more than most players. Most players risk getting severely injured during a tag year and then not getting a multi year big contract. But Jones faces that possibility as well as possibly returning to his normal mediocre play. If either happens he is going to literally lose tens of millions of dollars. He should be thrilled to negotiate a 5 year contract averaging $38MM, which is more than most think he is worth, so total deal worth $190MM and somewhere between $80MM to $100MM guaranteed through bonus and the first two or three years.

    ============================
    ==============================

    NFL teams do more than look at old school statistics to determine who can like fans do to determine who can actually play. Nobody wanted Jimmy G last year when he was on the trade market and Carr is not seen as someone who can be above average. I don’t know how good jones is but he is valued more than those guys. There is a reason that the 9ers gave up so much for Lance. Garoppolo and Carr have proven themselves to be in a category that you can’t win with if they are relied upon to make any plays.

  20. But but but….they have the coach of the year, at 9-7-1!! So they could insert anybody in there, right? It will be fun watching the Giants go 7-10 this year.

  21. so the Ravens have been sending contract proposals for 2 years to Lamar Jackson , and Lamar Jackson with no agent, is reading 50-page legal documents and negotiating … LOL

  22. Boy that sounds like Derek Carr too…

    sharpdressedfan17 says:
    March 5, 2023 at 1:02 pm
    Daniel Jones is that co-worker we all have that looks extra busy all day long,but never really gets anything done.

  23. You can’t possibly say it’s always better to force the tag unless you know the deal the team is offering. In Jones’ case if the Giants are offering 3 years @ $38M he should jump on that immediately. If he has a down year and the Giants decide to move on, he isn’t getting anywhere near that.

  24. You can tell the article was written by a lawyer. If the Giants win and make the playoffs each year Jones can bank millions in endorsement money in NY. The best way to win is to take $20M less than Mahones, Rogers, and the other hot dogs and let the GM build a team around you.

  25. Put the non-exclusive tag on Jones for $28M and see if anyone wants to give the Giants 2 first rounders. Atlanta? Washington? Carolina? Dallas (LOL)? Not happening. Sign Saquon to cap friendly 4 year deal with 2 years and $40M guaranteed for about $55M. Hey, this GM job is not so hard.

  26. John Mara sees Barkley as the face of the franchise. We’ll see how this plays out. Eli Manning made a lot of money in his career but each time he reached an extension, they quietly came to terms with him on mid of the pack contracts. If Dan doesn’t do the same, let him go with non exclusive tag and trade.

  27. I understand that Jones has to look out for himself and his family. But how many steaks can you eat? If he’s willing to break the cap and lose Barkley and who knows how many other potential moves to improve the team out of greed, he should be a pariah in the locker room.

  28. Wild that Danny Dimes is getting $45M when Geno outperformed him in every way and was a top-12 QB and isn’t getting that or even close

  29. I would let both walk. Barkley hasn’t been able to stay healthy and the bell cow back is a thing of the past. Sure he has been good but this is a passing league and dollars should be spent on the QB, pass catchers and OL. Speaking of passing Jones was below average his first 4 years in the league and will not elevate any team to a Super Bowl.

  30. While I generally agree with the premise, you’re missing one key piece of the equation: Potential injury.

    We all know that on any given play, a player can suffer a serious or even career-ending injury. If they’re playing under the franchise tag, that’s only two seasons worth of guaranteed money. If they’re injury prone and/or play a position that’s more vulnerable to injury (i.e Saquon Barkley), it may be in the player’s best interest to sign a long-term deal that might have less base salary than the tag, but a higher guaranteed amount overall.

  31. And if finding franchise QBs was as easy as “prepare to draft the next one” more teams would do it
    ——
    dallasfan76 says:
    March 5, 2023 at 12:24 pm
    The use of the tag on a QB is an indication that the front office is indecisive. After four years, you should know whether you want a QB for the long haul. If you’re thinking of using it on a QB, you should just move on and save the time, money and prepare to draft the next QB.

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